binman

Good points. A stat that stands out is scores from turnover. We kept them to a reasonable score, but we could only generate half our season average with 25 points from turnover. Simarly we contained the pies pretty well on transition but we could only manage 16 points from our defensive half, against our season average of 33. Our defence was brilliant, but so was the Pies defence. Arguably theirs was better, particularly early on with some damaging turnover marks that created scores. And they absorbed a huge number of contests inside their D50 thru the match. Losing gus so early was a huge factor. Apart from the fact that he has been in great form and is built for these sort of games, he does a huge amount of defensive running and gets to contests. Those actions are picked up in the team pressure ratings, and the Pies, it must be said, smashed us for pressure. They were essentially down one of their key midfield rotations that they needed to cover for an entire match. Which in turn meant they couldn't put Tracc forward as much as they would have planned to. And it brought Laurie into the game really early. You'd have to say he struggled with the tempo early on, didn't play on ball or have much impact. We couldn't use him as intended to inject run and skills late in the third. I also wonder what the psychological impact might have been on the team, at least for the rest of the quarter. I felt sick watching (still do), i can't imagine how his teamates would feel seeing Gus, of all players, go down with a heavy head knock. I hope he is ok.

I see your point, but a sample size of 2 games is not enough. I actually think the issue is not needing a different method in the wet per se. The issue is whenever we completey smash teams for inside 50s we struggle converting inside 50s into scores. As BPA notes that is often a function means of very crowded inside 50 areas, in large part because so many of those inside 50s are rentries. When it's wet our ability to win more contests and stoppages than oppo invariably means a big inside 50 diff. Same is true when we play weaker teams who cant match us in the contest. The same thing happened last night after quarter time. I think inside 50s were close to even at quarter time. So to have a 37 i50 diff by the end of the game us nuts. So ironically the better we play in terms of our key metric of cp, the harder it is to have a decent inside 50 to score ratio. I think it is a reasonable question if we need to adjust that method when we are smashing them for inside 50s, for example by setting the rebound wall further to the wing and creating more space for oppo players to flood out of our 50. If we hadn't dominated the game and i50s so much after quarter time maybe we might have had some more space inside 50 and some better looks. But let's say we did that. That might have translated to a better inside 50 to score ratio, for instance because there were more leading lanes and space. But if we kicked as poorly for goal as we did last night it wouldnt have translated to a higher score. Bottom line we lost that game because we were inaccurate. Exactly same issue against GWS. That inaccuracy is only partially a function of pressure on the shots on goal from general play due to congestion that results from our method. We missed plenty of very gettable set shots. We kick them we win. I really think the key issue in the wet is, as I have been banging on about for years, we are a terrible kicking sides. The wet exacerbates that issue. The other factor is it negates the ability to play Max up forward, mnegates his marking and means he is gets few score involvements. On that front, I think we pulled the wrong straw and shoul have gone with Grundy not tmac.

I'm washing my hair Monday night.

Tell them Melbourne's sister LGA is Kreuzberg.

Why? Tickets offered 50 50. No way the dees allocation was not fully exhausted. The rest are theatre goers.

Breath.

it should have been sent a few minutes after you purchased tix i think. That might be a follow up SMS?

A front with rain coming thru soon. But with the wind will pass in a couple of hours. Then there is another band which might come thru two hours later. Ground will be slippery, and it will be very windy, but we might get lucky with the rain

Our very own no duck no dinner!

Talent scout

I think that is a completely reasonable concern. My take is they would have been loath to not go with three talls, but did so because: - slippery conditions mean Cox and Cameron are unlikely to clunk many marks inside their 50, so neither are a huge threat because once the ball hits the deck they offer nothing - Lever will probably get mcstay, but with the slippery conditions mcstay wont clunk many marks so lever can still zone off without too much risk and isn't going to be exposed one on one the way he would in dry conditions - Elliot is key, a big game player that we need to contain. Hibbo is the perfect player to take him - we have two tall forwards in smith and tmac who can go back if it becomes clear we need a third tall defender - tomo is too slow, and Turner a risk given his inexperience (but I reckon he'll play in the prelim should we win and it's dry) - hibbo's experience, strength and attack on the ball will be super valuable in a game that may prove to be the decisive, and most intense final we play - a huge 50 50 crowd (unlike the gf which is 30% theatre goers) against the old enemy and flag favourites

No it's not. The sub has to come from the emergencies. And no way tomo is sub.

No he didn't. I can't see tomo being a sub. It will be Laurie or jordon

Mcrae said he'd be sub. But formal announcement is an hour before game.

Unless it becomes clear we need a third tall at some point in the match, Smith wont play back (IMO). Why would he? Hibbo comes in for turner as a defender so they don't need anyone else to go back. I'm tipping Smith plays on murphy and looks to negate his intercept marking

My first thought was perhaps its about wanting to make the team as fast as possible, but Noble is pretty quick isnt he? McCreery was always going to come in, so someone had to make way. Maybe they figured we would go with tmac and so wanted to go a bit taller in defence? He isn't their best kick, and they really have to minimize their turnovers so that might be a factor. And perhaps he has paid the price for their leaky defence. That said, i'm surprised they selected Markov ahead of Noble.

Tap in birdie

Really great sign, on the back of koz resigning, an Aboriginal player wants to come to the dees. Suggests they have really got the cultural safety stuff right. Compare and contrast to the crows. Their most popular player, tex, gets suspended for racist comments about an Aboriginal player and then there is the whole camp nightmare and a loved figure like Eddie betts leaving the club because it the cl7b is not cultural safe.

My guess: Tmac in. Smith in the starting 22. Laurie on the bench The other possibility i can see is hibberd comes in for turner. Or perhaps Salem given he had not found his best form. That said I really can't see salo not being selected.

What's his kicking like? I wouldn't be bringing in any player the draft or trade period who isn't an elite kick.

This is first class analysis of the four finals games. Some of the best analysis I've heard - clear, makes sense and well articulated. Davis is very impressive. He does the dees game first.

.....Franks?

Nothing could be furter from the truth

Yep, I think smith will be in the 22 and he Tmac and Fritsch will all play forward. And I reckon Smith might go to Murphy and look to negate his intercept marking

Excellent timing by Smithy and his partner - and bubs!