Everything posted by DeeSpencer
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Mark Robinson - AFL Coaches Wellbeing
President’s seem keen to take the credit when it’s going well then step back when the heat is on. CEO’s despite getting big bikkies like to plead ignorance. Head of football’s should be on level footing with coaches and just as visible. Particularly when it’s list issues undermining a team not coaching. We’ve seen the benefit at Melbourne when the people in these roles work together and support each other. I’m surprised Essendon haven’t put someone like Mahoney out to take the heat, but it might be they don’t want to legitimise the pressure. It’s too early for Rutten to be getting true heat. A huge issue is the level of analysis is so bad it’s hard to evaluate anyone. The only thing the media seems to be able to do is whinge about poor performance or pick out clips that show poor effort. It’s a big part of why I think the down the ground cameras and stats should be given more public profile. Better quality analysis will keep the focus actually on the game.
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Christian Salem - Straight back to the backline or something different?
If I were moving him anywhere it would be on ball. He could start at half forward and come up the ground as Trac goes forward but predominantly play as a midfielder. But really that’s if there’s a vacancy in our midfield group. If nothing changes Gus goes back to the wing. He’s been good at half back but covering Lever as much as Salem. His intercept work is good but he’s very loose defensively. Shakes hands with his opponent and doesn’t see him for 120 minutes. Salem’s nearly as strong in the air and tighter on the ground. When we’ve got 3 big talls in to control the air plus mid sized options we need that pressure on the ground.
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Hawks on the Slide: How Mitchell is making life hard for himself
Breust, Gunston and for the 15 minutes he turns up each week Wingard - yes. The others, no. He’s staggering Mitchell and O’Meara’s on ball minutes whilst investing in Newcombe and Ward (rested v us). Even using Nash as his tagger over Shiels. No longer just handing games to Shiels, Howe, Phillips and even Worpel. Only injuries are stopping Reeves solidifying the number 1 ruck role. There’s a clear shift from the way Clarko went all in on his imported/stale midfield. Sicily, Scrimshaw, Day and when he’s back from injury CJ have been the mainstays of the backline. They’re one more younger tall away from a complete rebuild down back. Up forward he has to bank on the veterans because there’s no substitute for class. But I’d imagine within 12-24 months it will be the Lewis and Moore forward line plus draft picks. The way he’s getting games in to kids, staying competitive and kept the veterans buying in despite changing their roles is really excellent coaching.
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Dylan Shiel
- big contract - 30 next year - relies on pace - defensive running needs a retooling - has other interests outside football that may mean he lacks motivation
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Dylan Shiel
He’s an awful kick, it’s the biggest deficiency in his game. His defensive running is his second biggest issue but that’s an easier fix.
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CHANGES : Rd 08 vs St. Kilda
Fritsch, Pickett, Ben Brown, Petracca all consistently burn team mates. Not to mention Harmes is the king of trying to do it all himself. Im not sure you can mark Tom down too much on taking that mark or some of his other ball use. That’s Tom. If he made good decisions he’d probably still be playing at CHB. The entire forward line needs a good kick up the backside in terms of blocking and creating space for each other. And the team needs work on inside 50 options.
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POSTGAME: Rd 07 vs Hawthorn
Gave up an early goal by punching the ball indiscriminately down back and had his usual number of half hearted attempts to defend or contest. Had some better moments too and I like they way they used him. But not enough to really be convincing.
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CHANGES : Rd 08 vs St. Kilda
Weid v T Mc remains a ??? Hard to judge today because Sam rucked a fair bit and Tom went down back late. Still think if Tom can play just ok footy he’s the right choice because we’re just so top heavy with Weid and Brown.
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POSTGAME: Rd 07 vs Hawthorn
Missed our 3 best defensive runners and played like it. Well done to the senior players who stood up. Some others showed they aren’t the most switched on defensively or weren’t really hitting the contest.
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CHANGES: Rd 07 vs Hawthorn
He's doing very well but his kicking is ordinary and he doesn't provide the aerial contest that Gus does on the wing. In some ways he's steadier than Gus was last year but he doesn't have the same upside. Plus once Salem is back he should take the highest half back role which Gus is currently playing. Gus is doing very well in that role racking the ball up with freedom but I don't love him down back in a more defensive role. And for the balance of the backline I still think Rivers is such an important 7th defender given he can move in to a lot of roles. I'm also not really of the belief Riv has been poor. A little quiet, a few mistakes here or there which was pretty normal for him last year, but delivering exactly what's needed when the heat is on. Anyway, it's hypothetical and it's looking unlikely that we'll get through most of this year without guys in and our regularly, but I'm yet to see anything this year to really change my mind on the pecking order and roles from last year down back and on the wing apart from Hunt for Hibbo.
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CHANGES: Rd 07 vs Hawthorn
JJ
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POSTGAME: Rd 06 vs Richmond
To be fair it’s also the way we defend and a result of our cautious ball use up field. We pick our moments for fast play forward and rarely switch to the open side. Apart from better midfield kicking I think we aren’t blocking for each other well as a forward group, and we don’t crumb very well. I’d like to see one if Spargs and Koz get deeper rather than 2 or 3 talls together. And Weid, Brown, Fritsch work on a blocking routine
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POSTGAME: Rd 06 vs Richmond
Expected score was 102-49. Not exactly a 100 point margin. There were a few bad misses - Gawn, Spargo, Fritsch and ANB go 0 from 4 set shots, Pickett not passing then missing. But over it was 4-5 goals we left out there. A very good Richmond backline which had the right match ups for us forced us in to a lot of bad shots. We need to work out how to score when we don’t have a clear match up advantage
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CASEY: Rd 05 vs Richmond
Mitch White - easily our best player, sadly body didn’t hold up to afl work loads. T Mc - found space a few times but couldn’t clunk any when defended, his decision making with the pill is still odd and he keeps barreling umpires. Rosman - loves a kick out and handball receive. Stronger in the air than expected. Still very suspect with ground ball contests. Something to work with though. Baker - a class above racking them up at half back, some ok defensive moments but mostly sweeping. Not exactly afl footy. Chandler - has his good moments but his handballs are fumbly and he can’t escape traffic. Melksham - lots of lazy high contact free kicks and iffy decision making. Otherwise good. Daw and Brown - fine. Deak Smith - some very strong defensive efforts and good aerially but a few mistakes, still one to watch. Put the clamps on Stack JVR - are we Sauntner-ing him by playing 2 mature talls and 2 rucks? He relegated to flank duty. Ellison - solid as a rock, has he got room to develop? Tugboat Tomlinson - commentators raved about his first half racking stats but he wasn’t that good. Not sure he has full confidence in the knee Laurie - he’s classy. But he struggles to win it in tight and he’s just slow. Sadly doesn’t look like an AFL level athlete at this stage AMW - does a bit of everything. Worth watching. The Shep mates kid - has talent and competes. Got to see more.
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CHANGES: Rd 07 vs Hawthorn
Harmes clearly wasn’t right in the second half. Maysy is nursing something. I get the feeling if Petty and Lever get settled they’ll very much consider giving May a week off. A couple to watch. If Harmes needs a week off it could be Gus back to a wing, Lever down back. Or Dunstan stays in and Sparrow does more wing and less on ball.
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Eddie’s Bold Plan to Revamp Umpiring
Goal umpires should be able to pay push in the back free kicks and other marking infringements. Boundary umpires should be able to pay throws. Start with that, work your way towards more decisions. I can’t see boundary, goal and field umpires being interchangeable. They are different skills. But using the existing pairs of eyes should help when they are caught out of position. It’s nearly impossible with the speed of ball movement as it is now to triangulate the play as designed. As for pay: the question is whether the money will be worth making it a career. I think that requires not just a greater top end wage but also long term contracts and a decent semi pro back up leagues. Personally I still suspect it’s still better as a lucrative second gig.
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Exclusive down the ground vision
Every club gets it. There’s very few secrets in modern footy. Allowing the fans (via the media initially) more access promotes understanding and let’s fans know what to look for. If nothing else it might stop idiots in the crowd constantly calling for players to ‘kick it’.
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CHANGES: Rd 06 vs Richmond
I doubt they’ll play together either because it’s a bad defensive combination, but I do think both Weid and Brown have the ability to play higher up the ground in terms of offensive role. They’ve done that in partnership at Casey. Brown has a big tank and has been reasonably trusty at halving pack contests. Weid isn’t exactly flying around the field but does seem to be moving a little smoother than last year too. Might not matter if they can’t pressure and cover ground defensively as Tom does but there’s some reason to try it.
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Exclusive down the ground vision
No, it shouldn’t. The NFL release the ‘all 22’ footage which is the side and end cameras and allows media and I believe fans to study each plan. That then allows the media to study the game at a much higher level and create far more interesting content. Instead of this weeks ‘Essendon don’t defend’ or ‘aren’t working hard enough’ we might actually get some understanding of just where and why they are breaking down defensively.
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POSTGAME: Rd 05 vs GWS
They know it and have tried to address it, they took a number of talls early in their first go at building a side and even now are pretty well stocked down back with Taylor, Haynes, Buckley (underrated player coming back from an ACL) and a big body veteran in Keefe or Davis. I don't think they expect to loose Corr either. They deliberately used an early pick on Leek Aller who I think will prove a good talent but needs time. Their forwards are more troubling. Lost Sunshine McCarthy. Lost Jeremy Cameron. Lost Finlayson as anything like a competent player. They've tried to fill the void with Hogan, Brander and Riccardi. Hoges got pretty close to playing good footy last year, just had a heap of injury interruptions. I really hope he can make something of it up there.
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CHANGES: Rd 06 vs Richmond
Jolly left because we had White and Jamar as his successor. Martin left because we had Jamar and Gawn as his successor. And partially because we preferred to bring in Pedersen as a forward/ruck to play alongside a number 1 ruck. I don’t think Weid is the same comparison though. Every club had a chance to get him last year. None wanted him. If he started playing well he’d draw interest, but if that was the case we’d play him every week and probably keep him.
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CHANGES: Rd 06 vs Richmond
You can drop Weid You can rest Tom - his chronic knee could do with a tune up now. 5 weeks in a row is probably the right workload for a veteran. You can make BBB earn his spot back after losing it through ill-discipline. I haven’t really seen anything that changes my mind on Weid. He needs time down back at Casey to learn more skills and develop as a footballer. With his current skill set he has to clunk marks to truly contribute and without the height or athleticism to do so he’s unlikely to just flick the switch. So I’d drop him. But I’d understand if Goody went with him for another week.
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The next Coundrum... Bowey, Salem, Brayshaw, Hunt, Jordon and Hibberd
The reality is we were super healthy last year and Salem is a while off being back, it's very unlikely there won't be shuffling by the time that occurs. And whilst we've built some backline depth through this period we haven't got any midfield depth at all - as evidenced by Bedford being sub 5 weeks in a row and the Casey midfield disposal totals. So the most likely outcome is by the time Salem is back there's a spot open for him down back and/or Brayshaw has moved back to the midfield to cover a gap there anyway. If we are at full strength and there's no gap by the time Salo is right to go: Send Gus back to the wing playing 50% wing, 20% forward, even 5% or more on ball. JJ then becomes the 3rd winger with a similar break down of game time. Drop a key forward. The 2 rucks and Fritsch can get more involved as key forward targets. Harmes then plays more forward with some stints on ball and is fresher without the wing minutes. Viney and Oliver get a fraction more rest. Petracca attends centre bounces but otherwise sticks more forward. Sparrow provides some marking if needed, he's strong in the air. Oliver gets a little full forward time for something different, as does Brayshaw who's reading of the ball in the air hasn't ever been maximised deep forward.
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The very, very contentious 50 for Dissent Rule
Yep when the ball is live in play in Rugby there's plenty happening and the refs don't start plucking penalties for players reactions. Then if the game is stopped the ref will interact with offending players or the captain and that interaction is always done with respect for the official. I think the player on the mark for a set shot can have some interaction with the umpire and it doesn't have to be as formal as rugby as long as it's respectful. The only other player speaking to umps should be the captain, but the umps should just tell all the other players he's not listening, rather than be looking to punish them ala the Hawthorn one yesterday. I can't believe they've made such a mess of this.
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The very, very contentious 50 for Dissent Rule
Learn what though? To become absolute robots? Is that really what we want? We’ve added so many rules to try to free up the movement in the game and get scoring and skill back in to the game. Players like Gawn, Petracca and Pickett bring joy and excitement to the game, it’s why we watch. Part of players expressing themselves has to be frustration after a free kick. That’s human and normal. A clamp down at abuse should be aimed at abuse. At the moment it’s a clamp down on putting your arms up. Rather than letting the umpires call it how they see it and use their judgment they’ve turned them in to the ‘arms out’ police.