Everything posted by Little Goffy
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Farewell Luke Jackson
I just spent a happy bit of time watching Isaac Keeler tapes on youtube. I'm a lot less afraid of losing Jackson than I was. Good set shots with bonus level outside 50, smart field kicking that doesn't overreach, high initiative, actively looks for teammates, and as a ruck-forward he gets handball receives on the run at half back and uses them effectively. We're going to want to get a pick to make sure of him. Much better looking than Jackson, too. People have written comparisons to Paddy Ryder but when you add the run through the middle aspect he's actually a bit more like a lanky Adam Goodes, or, day I say it, a slightly more regular-human Luke Jackson. My 'hot take' (as in, a statement not to be taken too seriously) is that if we lose Jackson our final trade and draft result will be Isaac Keeler with a top-10 draft pick (my guess is Gold Coast's pick 7 via Fremantle) as well as a competitive mid-age ruck-forward on moderate coin (or Grundy if Collingwood can be sucked into paying at least half his salary for lols) and probably still have a 2023 first round pick left over.
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Signs, Portents & Omens
The other evening I was in a finals-anticipation mood and drifted onto a youtube video of our 3rd quarter grand final goal blitzes. My wife noticed and was annoyed at me... ... for not inviting her to join in. She then insisted that I immediately stop watching that video... ... so we could watch the entire second half in full. If the players are half as hungry for more glory as she is, we've got this.
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Christian Petracca - 100 Consecutive Games
Just a curious thought about the difference between Oliver's consecutive run from debut, and Petracca now getting a stable run at it after a very interrupted start to his career. Gawn and Brayshaw have each only missed five games in the last five years. Got a whole group of young guys rarely missing a game now, too. Touch wood but it really seems we've got our preventative conditioning sorted out. Side note; how ridiculous is it that Nathan Jones managed 109 consecutive games starting from 2012. Resilience personified, physically and mentally.
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Most Times in Front at 3QT Record
Should we just merge this directly with the 'loading during the season' thread? I guess one of the troubles of being a tight defensive unit is that even when we are dominating the game, the scores don't blow out in our favour and opponents can realistically hope to get a run of goals going and level things up in just a ten minute burst. Other theory I'd throw out would be that the whole-ground defence requires a lot of people to all sustain their energy all the time. Just a few holes are all it takes. Being able to hit hard in our own burst is crucial. It is why having both Fritsch and Pickett finding some bags of goals lately has got me optimistic about the finals.
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Thank you Demonland
I wonder how difficult it might be to run a few searches for 'post of the day' results or simply posts which got an unusual number of reactions and responses for their topic? That could be a way to assemble a Demonland Yearbook. Ooh, Demonland Yearbook, we're opening up the merch stores now!
- Trade and Free Agency rumours
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Adam Cerra
I think Carlton would be more than happy with what Cerra has given them and what he will be giving them in future. Their midfield finally began to look like a coherent unit, with a number of previously questionable players now giving a much more complete contribution. Cerra's all-round good midfield game has helped that happen. On the other hand, I feel like if we had got him, the price might have been more than the value. Not because of anything wrong with him so much as because there is a lot 'right' with us already! Speaking of midfielders and their usefulness in different circumstances: you have to feel a bit for Luke Dunstan. He's played half as many games this season as he had Brownlow votes last season! I can't help wondering if he might 'do a Preuss' and rotate onwards to another club for better opportunities.
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TRAINING: Tuesday 23th August 2022
Looking forward to the photos of Lever giving Gawn a set shot drill.
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GWS Crowds
Note that Manuka Oval's capacity (to the point of standing in the mud around the side) is only about 12,000 and there's bugger-all parking or public transport. Almost no undercover seating but some great grass hills. It is very much a cricket ground. Sydney Showground stadium is a very pretty little (22k I think) stadium with facilities a full 30 years newer than funny old Manuka. Just being clear that the problem here isn't the stadium. Add to that the fact that most of the people going to Manuka games are going for the general love of football and not so much anything to do with GWS. The problem here isn't the fans.
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What's next for Adem Yze?
No YZE to GWS; rejected because they thought he was taking the [censored] of their three-letter-acronym name. Essendon will presumably both recruit and reject him on the same day, with different members of the executive signing different documents, and then they will have to pay him out for a three year contract. If Port decide to replace Hinkley, they will insist on it being someone who respects and is keen to work with David Koch. So, after a long search, the only acceptable candidate be David Koch. Personally I still think Yze will succeed Goodwin, possibly as soon as 2025.
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Selwyn Griffith
Had big shoes to fill. Looks like he has just quietly got the job done. The week off, and possible additional week off after we splatter Sydney, will be an interesting challenge. I wonder if it might even have been easier to manage it in the Perth Bubble-Hub, without players dealing with all the distractions of normal life.
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Ben Rutten Sacked
Hardly been a premiership coach in 20 years that didn't go through that struggle and aaaaalmost get sacked. Fun thing to do; comment to an Essendon support that that haven't passed 12 wins once in the last 19 seasons, then let them to correct you (2013).
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NON-MFC: Round 23, 2022
When Essendon suffers, I always enjoy it because they continuously renew their deserved sentence of eternal damnation. But the football deities have gone too far with Carlton. It is just gratuitous cruelty now.
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Percentage calculation
This is gonna be tough. I live in Sydney and haven't been able to get to a Demons game since the couple of games we played at Homebush during Covid. If Sydney finishes second, I'll be going to my first game for the season and my first Demons final ever.
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GAMEDAY: Rd 23 vs Brisbane
Jake Lever, two disposals to 1/4 time - a goal and a clearance. Has clearly forgotten he's a defender.
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GAMEDAY: Rd 23 vs Brisbane
Melksham halfway through the first and already the direct set-up for two goals and one other shot. Quite seriously, if we are getting Premium Grade Melksham for September it changes our premiership prospects.
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We’re finishing INSIDE of the Top Four
Eyeballing it; looks like we'd need to win by just two or three goals more than Sydney does, assuming Sydney win. Hmm, just making a mental note of everything to check on the weekend. If Melbourne win, our final position is either 2nd or 3rd, depending on percentage with Sydney (or Sydney losing) If Melbourne lose, we stay in the top 4 provided one of these two things happen: Collingwood lose to Carlton. Sydney lose to St Kilda by a margin that drops their percentage below ours. (Our losing margin, plus two or three goals)
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Ben Rutten
Strangely enough, Hawthorn made a real mess of a few drafts, including some high draft picks (Brennan, Ellis, Dowler & Thorp) But when they hit big, they really hit big; 2001; Hodge, Mitchell 2004; Roughead, Franklin, Lewis, And then with that level of potency and leadership in place they set about filling roles with trades. Meanwhile, how do we feel about Rutten as an assistant coach?
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Jake Lever - You've done it again!
He would've been pretty annoyed at himself for a few mistakes over the course of that game, so I'm glad there was a clear moment of excellent to finish off. (Actually, I feel like he would be a little annoyed at himself every game, until one day he will play the perfect game) Overall he's been a bit down this season compared to last, mostly because of just a few quite poor games by his standards, but that is partly happening because he is such a danger when allowed to play the way he likes that our opponents are actively working out strategies to avoid him. He's basically Achilles yelling "Is there no-one else?"
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POSTMATCH: Rd 22 vs Carlton
Side note: Despite playing possibly his worst game for the season, Bailey Fritsch is now the only player left standing with a goal from every game of the season. He better not fluff it next week!
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POSTMATCH: Rd 22 vs Carlton
Lol, my wife is currently in the other room and I can hear he playing highlights on her phone. Again. Last night she started to struggle emotionally and did the old 'Oh, we're not going to win now' routine after the Curnow goal. I've asked her to say that right at the start of the game next week so we can score a steady 60 goals.
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Patrick Cripps FREE to play
For shame. I have family who support Carlton and now I don't have any sympathy with their worry that they'll slide out of finals. Carlton just 'lawyer-attritioned' their captain and most important player out of an obvious, unambiguous penalty for an obvious, unambiguous breach. Late, deliberate, head high, bump, caused injury.
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Farewell Luke Jackson
AFL needs to introduce present-pick trading for future players. 🤪
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Farewell Brodie Grundy
Personally I think he's more good to us as a block on Collingwood's salary cap than as a ruckman on our own team. Surely any tall player we look at right now has to be able to contribute up forward when not rucking, and provide a marking target around the ground as well. Grundy isn't a match for the needs and there are much, much cheaper and younger players who are.
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H&A % as an indicator of team chances to win Finals
Collingwood have done what it took in each game and that is priceless. They are a mile above where they 'ought' to be based on total scoring. Think of it this way; Last year the Demons were a top-4 side that then found their spirit late in the season and became a devastatingly potent premiership side. This year Collingwood are a top-8 side that found their spirit mid-way through the season and have willed themselves right into premiership conversation. Immense credit to their new coach and it will be very interesting to see if it can be sustained with the pre-finals bye, the finals context, and the shifting expectations. I'd be watching for a 'Demons 2018' style dead stop when the luck and momentum turns against them and they finally embrace the reality that they aren't actually as good as they seem. And without being sour about it, they have had a lot of luck. Personally, my mind is mostly fixed on the very simple fact that if the Demons allow themselves to be rush-scored against, they lose. If they don't, they win. That's it.