Who wins over the next month?

Queanbeyan Demon · 2021-08-22T10:30:06+00:00

The Deez obviously . . . who else? Geelong have their problems. Ryes Stanley, not for the first time, was cut to ribbons by Gawn. Geelong do not hold any real fear for the Dees. Other than 20 mins in the second term, we controlled the game. Too old, too slow, flat track bullies that s*%t the bed when it's white-hot. Port have a reputation as downhill skiers, but are going to be favoured by home crowds and wounded opponents. Keep tight. The Bears are well coached and don’t have a glaring weakness. If (and it’s a huge IF), Joe plays four weeks of great footy, they can win it. The Dogs have had a brain fart big time . . . difficult to tell if it's terminal or if they can bounce back. Can't see Essendrugs beating them though. Swans . . . Longmire is cunning (in a nice way) as any coach going around. A well balanced side who on their day can beat most others. GWS . . . Cameron’s coaching this year has been brilliant. Completely slipped under the radar of the pundits. Has completely rebuilt the backline on the fly and reinvented the roles of all his mids. (Whoever wins out of GWS and Swans could go on and play in the granny against us.) Essendrugs . . . . . vomit.

Posted August 22, 20214 yr

The Deez obviously . . . who else?

Geelong have their problems. Ryes Stanley, not for the first time, was cut to ribbons by Gawn. Geelong do not hold any real fear for the Dees. Other than 20 mins in the second term, we controlled the game. Too old, too slow, flat track bullies that s*%t the bed when it's white-hot.
Port have a reputation as downhill skiers, but are going to be favoured by home crowds and wounded opponents. Keep tight.
The Bears are well coached and don’t have a glaring weakness. If (and it’s a huge IF), Joe plays four weeks of great footy, they can win it.
The Dogs have had a brain fart big time . . . difficult to tell if it's terminal or if they can bounce back. Can't see Essendrugs beating them though.
Swans . . . Longmire is cunning (in a nice way) as any coach going around. A well balanced side who on their day can beat most others.
GWS . . . Cameron’s coaching this year has been brilliant. Completely slipped under the radar of the pundits. Has completely rebuilt the backline on the fly and reinvented the roles of all his mids.

(Whoever wins out of GWS and Swans could go on and play in the granny against us.)

Essendrugs . . . . . vomit.

Edited August 22, 20214 yr by Queanbeyan Demon

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August 22, 20214 yr

Week 1
Dees
Port
Dons
Swans

Week 2
Lions beat dons
Cats beat Swans

Week 3
Dees beat Cats
Port beat Lions

GF
Dees beat Port

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August 22, 20214 yr

Week 1
Dees
Port
Bulldogs
Giants

Week 2
Bears beat Bulldogs
Giants beat Geelong

Week 3
Dees beat Giants
Port beat Bears

GF
Dees beat Port

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August 22, 20214 yr

I'm betting on the side that has had a season with a player who took the most intercept marks ever during the season and another player who had the most contested possessions ever in a season.

Two pretty vital stats in the modern game.

Go Dees!

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August 22, 20214 yr

Actually think it could be an Essendon V Melb grand final.

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August 22, 20214 yr

43 minutes ago, Nelo said:

Actually think it could be an Essendon V Melb grand final.

Firstly, for that to happen, it would have to be Melbourne v Essendon. Important as they would have to wear the clash strip! :-)

It would also require us to win against Bears, and Essendon to beat Footscray, Bears and then Port/Cats. That would be a massive ask for a side that's barely beaten a top 8 side all season and just scraped into the 8.

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August 22, 20214 yr

Most years people see upsets happening but most years the top 4 make the prelims.

Indeed, since 2000 I think only 7 sides have gone out in straight sets. That's 7 out of 80. Less than 10%.

So whilst Sydney and GWS and Essendon are all in good degrees of form, the odds suggest that the losers of Melb-Brisbane and Port-Geelong will make the prelims.

Whilst Sydney is in good form, they don't match up well against Port or Geelong, who they'll have to beat in the SF. I'll back the loser of Port-Geelong to make the prelim, therefore (and FWIW I smell a Geelong win this week).

On our side of the draw, I think we'll beat Brisbane, which means I think we'll play Port in the prelim.

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