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AFL Braces for Nightmare 2021 Scenario

Demonland
in Melbourne Demons

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1 hour ago, Lucifer's Hero said:

Another critical figure to get down is 'Active Cases'.  There are currently about 7,800.  One would think it needs to be 100-200, especially if adding 20 per day.  But Active Cases is proving to be a stubborn number to shift.

The definition of active cases is "no longer under quarantine".  Apparently this period varies by how badly you have it from a minimum of 2 weeks to a period of 3-6 weeks.  My guess is there are a lot of old folk in the figure and thus the slow decline.

As an aside Singapore has had 50,000 plus cases among its foreign worker community due to cramped living conditions but not one death that I know of.

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    6 hours ago, dl4e said:

    I would probably open everything up again. These lockdowns are just killing the economy and many peoples livelihoods. What is the suicide rate at the momment and how many people cannot or won't get care for other problems such as cancer. How many cases in so called covid deaths especially in elder people are actually due to other reasons but because they have contracted covid their death is simply put down as one. 

    This may sound silly to some but I believe the so called cure is worse than the disease.

    I speak to people in the US, and they wish their govt had invoked similar lockdowns.  

    I think people are ignoring how bad it could get by just opening everything up.

    I wouldn’t like to be fighting for a ventilator or bed or doctor or nurses attention if the numbers exploded.

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    •  
    10 minutes ago, Diamond_Jim said:

    The definition of active cases is "no longer under quarantine".  Apparently this period varies by how badly you have it from a minimum of 2 weeks to a period of 3-6 weeks.  My guess is there are a lot of old folk in the figure and thus the slow decline.

    As an aside Singapore has had 50,000 plus cases among its foreign worker community due to cramped living conditions but not one death that I know of.

    Do we have any cases under official (hotel) quarantine in Victoria?  I think the current covid rules don't require home quarantine, just home isolation of which a huge % of +'ve  people aren't doing.

    What is 'old' ? Apparently about half of recent cases have been under 40. 

    My understanding of 'Active Cases' is Total Infections less Total Recoveries.  Handy website with relevant info.  https://covidlive.com.au/vic

    However Active is defined, the relatively high and constant number of cases aren't coming down at a rate that would suggest restrictions will be lifted anytime soon. 

  • Quote
    8 hours ago, dl4e said:

    I would probably open everything up again. These lockdowns are just killing the economy and many peoples livelihoods. What is the suicide rate at the momment and how many people cannot or won't get care for other problems such as cancer. How many cases in so called covid deaths especially in elder people are actually due to other reasons but because they have contracted covid their death is simply put down as one. 

    This may sound silly to some but I believe the so called cure is worse than the disease.

    It does sound silly. 

    We haven't actually had the full whack of the disease. You wouldn't like it if we did, believe me. The cure is pre-emptive. 

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    • Thanks 1

    8 hours ago, Pickett2Jackson said:

    100% correct.  The suicide rate is through the roof sadly.  Add in the new cases of depression and anxiety and god knows what else  and its a much bigger disaster than the virus.

    Protect the vulnerable and open things up.   Locking people in their homes and destroying their immune systems is diabolical, if not evil.

    Scott Morrison needs to show some leadership.

    Being who exactly? Obviously not the 20 year old who died yesterday or the 30 year old who died the day before. If that age bracket is starting to die, who exactly are you expecting to be in the 'invulnerable' category? 

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    • Like 2
    On 8/13/2020 at 8:53 PM, Pickett2Jackson said:

    Saw an interview about a week ago (cant remember what channel it was on but its on Youtube) with the CEO of an Aussie Pharma company who has 10 minutes at home tests ready to roll out... he contacted the Vic government and was told he would get a response in 8-10 weeks.

    Its almost as if they don't want a solution.  

    by 'ready to roll out' I presume he meant the test had been through independent approval process required to determine how reliable it is?

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    I’m thinking these days that this thing is unstoppable, so the best we can do is invest large in hospitals to deal with the most serious cases and just let the rest of us get it...

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    • Like 1
     
    20 hours ago, AmDamDemon said:

    Deleted because... who can be bothered I guess

     

     

    Yup. Don't get sucked into the contest AmDam. It's a no-win sitch. 

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