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Everything posted by Dee Zephyr
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It looked like something happened to Deploy the way it stopped. Finished a bad last. Cliff's Edge was very game sitting 3 wide the whole trip and only tiring the last 50m after kicking away early in the straight.
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Crazy things you’ve done as a Demons supporter
Dee Zephyr replied to Cassiew's topic in Melbourne Demons
Supporting them!!! -
Nice pick Binman, it got smashed late in the betting.
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Best longshot. Flem Race 9 No.1 He's Our Rokkii.
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Sheesh, it won well, they told me it was primed for a first-up run but that was impressive. Hopefully for my mate, it guides them towards the Golden Slipper. Spewing you missed it Wadda, I had a small each way bet on it.
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Definite chance in my opinion, up in class but looks a promising galloper. Santos up in 5 mins.
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Are you still celebrating last nights triumph Wadda?? 3.01pm for the first leg.
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It would be interesting to hear thoughts from anyone else that attended the games. Took the kids for a night out and it was an enjoyable evening for most part. The sideshow grew tiresome though. There were a lot things going on during the games but it was good to see some of our boys around and add some cardboardware to the cabinet. The clash strip was pleasing to the eye, looks like a winner. We are running out of words to describe Jetta. The games tonight were really quick and his ability to read the play before an opponent even disposed of the ball was just incredible. Absolute marvel.
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Best Bet. Randwick Race 8 No. 3 Alizee $1.80. I struggled to find anything at longer odds. Alizee is definitely a class above her rivals and is well weighted. She trialled well recently and I believe she will be hard to beat. It's probably a bit silly not to declare Redzel as my "Best" as the horse is the same odds as Alizee but my record with straight races isn't very good. Edit: Sorry Macca, quoted you by mistake.
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Woo Hoo, we could fit another 12 blokes in this team!!!
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Can't believe it! Our first grand final in 17 years and they won't let me back in the stadium cause I pinched a zooper dooper from the kid behind me.
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If anyone's thinking of making a late trip down to Etihad, there are plenty of bean bags available behind the goals at the Lockett end. They might even provide a stable table for your Hot Dog and Chips!!! BTW, ANB is the only player I've seen on the ground so far ( for those remotely interested).
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Same here Wadda, the Flemington card is not appealing at the moment. Santos is in race 2 at Randwick. Currently a $5 chance. Although it's a very strong 2yr old race with the main two players being Irish Bet (1) and Legend of Condor (2) the horse is well and truly ready to go. That's the latest on the horse for anyone that decides this race is worth a flutter. https://www.racenet.com.au/racing-form-guide/randwick-20180217/the-luxury-network-pierro-plate-race-2
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Yes Macca, I'll be having a keen look early as well. Santos is nominated at Randwick in the Pierro Plate. Will know by tomorrow either way but my mate tells me they should accept. That race will be a difficult one to pick. First starters and a few with one or two starts max. I'm only interested to see how Santos races but in saying that, one of the horses nominated (Irish Bet) won a $500,000 race in its only start back in December.
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It will take something special to beat Redzel. I thought our input worked well last weekend with four of us but I do agree with your earlier point of too many selections. It does become a little unworkable. So far it is working really well, I just need to collect once. ?
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I'm happy with a maximum of 4 Macca for the best bets although I'm open to more members joining the fun. The various thoughts on weekend racing makes me look a little deeper into races that I might have skipped in the past. After @binman put his selections through it made me have a look at 'Itz Invincible' and I liked it. If two horses stand out to someone and one of them is at decent odds maybe the member can declare a second horse as an "Each Way" special.
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Nail on head Wadda! I rarely ever throw a soccer leg in a multi mixed with other sports. The double chance option ( win/draw) maybe, even then the odds are too short. My soccer multis are basically over 2.5 goals each game. High scoring leagues such as the Dutch league, I often throw a 6-8 leg over 2.5 goals multi and hope for the best. I'm finding head to head soccer multis extremely difficult. For example a team placed 6th in League 1 of England was playing the bottom placed team at home. The odds for the 6th placed team was $2.00 and automatically you think that's great odds, they should win yeah, but then you stop and ask yourself, what do the bookies know that I don't? This team should be $1.50-$1.70. Long story short, the result 2-2. Multi gone.
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Listened to the review of the Caulfield races on RSN this morning. A few points that stood out: The wind ( often a problem at Caulfield) became an issue as the day progressed. Gailo Chop set for the Australian Cup and might be hard to toss. Smart Coupe put in a terrific run after missing the start ( unusual for this horse), the start cost it 3-4 lengths and there's a win in the Carnival for the horse. Merchant Navy ran the fastest 800m, 600m and 400m of the day and along with Rich Charm could be the big players in the upcoming Newmarket. The C.F.Orr is hard to assess due to the slow running of the race. Lord Of The Sky missed the start and cost the race the expected speed. The horse eventually worked up to the pace and was wider than Tosen Stardom at stages and only tired the last 50m. Keep an eye out in future runs. Just about every horse other than the winner had a hard luck story. It was stated to assess this race as a barrier trial for some of the first-up horses and look at their next run as first-up. Single Gaze was two lengths in front of the field 50m past the post and stated to note it as a black booker. Brave Smash also a terrific run after a first-up flop.
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A few clubs have confirmed some of their starters according to the AFL site. This was our write-up. Christian Petracca: His ability to win the football in tight, burst out into space and finish long-range running goals would translate nicely into AFLX. Definite starters: The Demons have not yet picked their squad ahead of next Friday night, but Petracca, Alex Neal-Bullen, Tom Bugg and James Harmes would benefit from a fast-paced game. Definite outs: Jeff Garlett, Simon Goodwin, Pat McKenna, Joel Smith, Aaron vandenBerg, Jack Viney, Sam Weideman - Ben Guthrie
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Hi Macca, some terrific runs in there, Brave Smash, Single Gaze to a name a couple. All credit to the champ in Hartnell though. Awesome effort, just pure guts to get the nose in front. I missed out on my multi, I didn't do the 3 out of 4 like you did, just all 4 to win. That's two weeks in a row now, I think I've learned the lesson. Its been positive though, with 4 of us gathering our thoughts. Egyptian Symbol looked like the winner coming around the turn but found one just too good on the day.
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In regards to other online bookies, a lot of them offer better odds and all sorts of incentives to try and lure new punters or customers of other online agencies. Every bookie except Tab will pay on the horse first past post regardless if that horse loses a protest. If the horse loses a protest they will pay out twice. That's one tool used to get a leg over the Tab.
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I believe it only applies to scratchings Wadda. If you place the single bet early and there are a few scratchings you will lose some of the original price. Say there are no scratchings the day before or in the morning prior to the race but there are one or two late scratchings at the barrier you might find a deduction on your bet if it wins, all depending on the price of those late scratchings. You won't lose the original price on fixed if your horse is backed off the map and shortens in the market. I totally agree with the principle, it wasn't the $5 I was worried about with my multi, I wanted to invest in bigger odds not a single bet. It's not my fault two of my selections decided they would join the rodeo whilst at the barriers.
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I closed my Tab account over a year ago, I had some issues with them leading up to the closure and at that stage I’d had enough. I only recently opened a Tab account under the wife’s name (with her permission of course) so I could utilise a new members bonus bet, plus their app is user friendly for live betting. I enjoy the soccer multis also and find it quicker on their app to place a live bet. I haven’t used Sportsbet for a few years but they seem to be as popular as ever.
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Lol, I feel your pain Wadda but unfortunately that's the crap we have to put up with. I stand to be corrected but I'm sure when fixed odds betting first came out there was no disclaimer (Refunds and Deductions Apply) printed on the tickets. They probably figured it was costing them too much. While we are on a rant, the multi I placed last night at the Valley saw my first two legs scratched at the barrier leaving my 3 leg multi as a single win bet on a $2.80 pop. Where was my refund? It ended up as a losing bet because the horse in my 3rd leg couldn't run out of sight in the dark. Under the circumstances a refund would have been appropriate. I placed a multi for the bigger odds, not to back a horse at $2.80 with my $5. Rant over
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The Dees were very impressive today in both offensive and defensive aspects of the game. Considering the windy conditions the skill level was actually above average for most part. Outnumbered the Crows in just about every contest and there were some very exciting passages of play. I thought Bianca Jakobsson was brilliant at intercepting today, nice skills too.