Everything posted by Diamond_Jim
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Trump v. Biden
Georgia,,,, Biden 1800 votes down with 50k (1%) left to count
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WELCOME TO THE MELBOURNE FOOTBALL CLUB - BEN BROWN
agree but it was Hogan at low salary with kickers.... not a bad deal For GWS it's a much better deal than say Patton or Bennell. Do we yet have insight into the money and contract length offer?
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Trump v. Biden
In the case of developing countries democracy is often a brake on economic development as it results in the inefficient delivery of resources to satisfy elements of the constituency. It's all about trade offs. Most of the so called democratic countries outside the West are rife with corruption and cronyism. Iran is a democracy but it has been perverted by a religious overlay. Turkey is fast going down a similar path. Vietnam seems to have achieved a decent balance but who knows it could do a China and crackdown on everything. Then you have many of the former Soviet States which are all democratic to some extent and in the main are basket cases from an economic viewpoint. Australia lucked into compulsory voting, preferential voting and a mainly two party system. It delivers a largely workable system and fingers crossed it continues. The recent border closures shows however how fragile the Federation is when faced with major challenges.
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Trump v. Biden
My popcorn is in danger of going stale. I'm still floored by the fact that Trump increased his vote. I have applied varying attempts at logic and they all fail. Could it be that democracy as we know it is perhaps not the most efficient form of government when in so many countries it can be manipulated by religion race and sheer ignorance. Problem is I can't think of a better one. What is even more worrying is who will the Republicans put up in 2024.....Ivanka Trump perhaps. If you've never seen it watch Game Changer an insider version of Sarah Palin and John McCain in 2008. We all laughed at it but it was a true portent of US politics. Mind you the Democrats are not free of fault when they put up such tired hacks as candidates.
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Football Program Review
The getting of sponsorship is his job... a drop of 10% is easily attributed to on field performance...not his job. The re-signing of sponsors in 2020 given our 2019 performance and the virus was a decent performance. MFC has many problems IMO but Pert is not at the top for now.
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Trump v. Biden
came across this .....deserves to be framed !!
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Trump v. Biden
Arizona fast going back into the doubtful basket. 500k votes tobe counted. Although they are pre polls they were the ones delivered on election day and are expected to favour Trump as the Biden pre pollers favoured voting early. Could be a potential game changer.
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Trump v. Biden
2% of votes around 90k still to be counted in Georgia with Biden trailing by 30k Biden would need to take over 70% of the remaining vote to win Close
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Trump v. Biden
It's all over Sports Bet have paid out on Biden ? Watching the ads on Fox News has certainly expanded my knowledge on medical and health quackery in the 21st century not to mention they have an online business prepared to broker almost anything for a fee.
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Football Program Review
Not surprised as many sponsorship contracts have kickers if you make finals... (more exposure). If anything surprised that in 2019 it was not down further by comparison to 2018. Sponsorship dollars are directly related to TV exposure... Hard to blame Pert for that. Let's remember that MFC is a medium size business at best in a highly controlled industry where the opportunity to grow your market is restrained to say the least.
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Trump v. Biden
On the off topic discussion. I have increasingly become a student of alternative history. Simply spelt it means looking at history from multiple angles. Tharoor's book for all his faults is incredibly well argued and thought provoking. A few years ago in Kolkata I came upon a house turned into a small museum. It was the home of Chandra Bose. Why had I as a very well educated Westerner never heard of him. India treats him as a national hero. Anyway back to the race and nice to have some reasoned discussion. Thanks Trump edging away in Michigan (24klead) but still around 900k votes to count PS.. have been noticing a third candidate Jo Jorgensen... Pauline Hanson on steroids from my quick research. Seriously though you wonder if there is room for a third party spoiler in the future given how close the parties have become numbers wise. Would be a nightmare for the two big parties.
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Trump v. Biden
Pensylvania will drop an enormous number of votes in one hit in the next few hours. For reasons I can't understand that State will not publish the pre poll votes before they have finished counting all the election day votes Get ready for a big shift If Trump hadn't lost me three plus years ago how bad do you have to be to question your own country's voting system. Undermining trust in institutions is what third world dictators are so good at. PS... Trump now only 60k ahead in Michigan with around 600k votes to be counted.
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Trump v. Biden
Michigan is now the key... win that Nevada and Wisconsin and he wins
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Trump v. Biden
On my quick calculations in Pensylvania he would need almost an 80-20 split to make up the difference. (64% of the vote presently counted) Much the same in Wisconsin but in that state 94% of the vote has been counted. In normal times this would be impossible but given that Trump told his base to avoid the post it might be achieved. Michigan is a little easier at somewhere near 70/30 if not a little less with 80% of the vote counted. (Michigan alone only gets him to 260 [assuming Biden takes Nevada ] so he would need another State assuming Georgia goes to Trump) Remember that the postal votes also include international and military votes that will have a more normal distribution.
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TMac on the Trade Table?
If you're told to look elsewhere it's not exactly a ringing endorsement. I wouldn't expect them to say ...you have no place... they know as we all do that it's quite possible we'll be stuck with him The interesting thing which we won't be told is whether his manager was given an idea of how much of his salary we would pickup
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Trump v. Biden
Easier to see a Trump victory at present than one for Biden. Very close. Could the world's nightmare continue...... amazing
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TMac on the Trade Table?
Agree..he has no spot on our list. As I posted earlier I would be surprised if T Mac's management has not let it be known that he would take a paycut of say $100k. Add in $200k a year from us and his cost to a new club is around $400k. If he can't get a taker on that money he would be in real trouble.
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Trump v. Biden
with North Carolina Texas and Florida likely to go to Trump it could simply come down to who wins Pensylvania. Seems like the pollsters got it wrong again. Amazing
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Trump v. Biden
I had thought Biden would win Florida and that he had a show in Texas. Strong Mexican influence with a growing liberal base in the big cities. Biden lost Florida in Miami. Bash Cuba is the key to Florida it seems. Biden still on track for a reasonable win but no landslide. The real race is the Senate. A democratic presidency with a Republican Senate would be a terrible outcome with four years of legislative stalemates.. The unfortunate thing is that the Republican right will take a reasonable loss as a win thus raising the prospects of another populist candidate such as Trump in 2024.
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TMac on the Trade Table?
T Mac may have to accpet a salary cut if he wants to stay in the game. There are limited opportunities for him at Melbourne if we get Ben Brown. If he dropped to $450k of which we paid $200k he might get a buyer. He can then back himself to improve and get another few years at his new club. If it doesn't happen this year it's sure to happen in 2021 or he's out of the game. Of course there's no guarantee another club would take him at the bargain price of $250k which shows how low his stocks have become.
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Adam Treloar
ask GCS about being burnt on front ended contracts with Gary Ablett
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Trump v. Biden
Imagine having 50 different voting eligibility systems not to mention 50 different sets of rules on how ballots are cast. The mind boggles. Used to work a lot in the US for a very big company. As you know the elections are on Tuesday (a work day) but the company dared not give their workers time off to vote as that was a political minefield. When looking at our policies for the Australian workplace they asked me what was our guns in the workplace policy. Imagine electing a guy (George W Bush) who had never been outside the US except to Mexico. They're just different and I'm not sure that being their "special friend"in the Pacific is the smartest move. Wednesday our time will be fascinating... Biden in a landslide (326 -210 if not 355-181) is my prediction simply because Trump will lose followers in the battleground states and Biden will gain more.The only unknown for me is how much the fear of covid has kept voters away (postal ballots etc aside).* The 2024 election could be interesting. Biden will be given a crap economy and a decent Republican candidate could easily take back the White House. Historically the real question for me is whether Trump is a a trend or an aberration. * I see the pundits are predicting the highest % turnout ever (around 65%) but they are doing that based on the number of pre poll votes. Voting on the day may well be low numbers thus balancing the two... who knows Finally here's a fun predictor to play with https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2020/oct/30/build-your-own-us-election-result-plot-a-win-for-biden-or-trump Texas could be the decider... if it swings to Biden it's game over
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TMac on the Trade Table?
Hard to make those sums work. Would have made for interesting discussion if Viney had gone to Geelong but short of trading Brayshaw which I don't support....mmmm..nah Must say my respect for Freo has gone up now we hear about all the triggers in Hogan's contract. Other clubs including ourselves could take lessons.
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2020 Player Reviews: #31 Bayley Fritsch
Forget the thread but it was late in the year where it was suggested that the lead to the pocket was part of a team strategy to draw the backs away. Whatever it was it didn't work very well unless he can improve his kicking on the angle.
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2020 Player Reviews: #31 Bayley Fritsch
Convert one behind a game into a goal and he is a top ten goal kicker. Probably the easiest one of them all to fix. Seems that his game relies on leading to the pocket so accuracy is important. How he works with Ben Brown could be interesting