Macca

Yep D77 ... impressive win by Sunlight and Estijaab ran a treat as well. The Slipper is an extra 100m and that extra bit of distance looks like it will definitely suit Sunlight. And Santos looms large. Show a Star couldn't get cover whilst Cellarman got a great run. Anyway I'm still alive because of the Sunlight win and hope others are as well.

Fairly sure the TAB offers that facility and I know that Sportsbet definitely does Wadda. Ladbrokes doesn't at first glance. A good run from Almandin too ... it looked home for a long time there. Worth following up on all the same

G'day Wadda I like the thinking there ... we gave the horse a bit of a chance to be in the finish at its first up run over the 1200m. I am seeing up to 6.00 offered so the odds are enticing too.

Show a Star looks every chance D77 ... the standouts are more at Rosehill rather than Caulfield. The Blue Diamond & Oakleigh Plate are especially difficult. Still, it won't mean that we won't get some great racing coupled with some excellent dividends (Tri's & First4's) I've put together some small spec multi's & spec trifectas to keep an interest throughout. Your pick in the Blue Diamond (Oohood) is a real show too - great closing speed at the finish in all of her races so the extra distance up to 1200m will suit. I like 'Prairie Fire' for similar reasons and the horse has the inside barrier.

There's a good betting race on tonight at the Valley ... hoping to kick off the weekend with a early payout. Multiple Trifecta only. Moonee Valley Race 7 Typhoon Tracy Stakes 3yo Fillies SW + P 1200m 150k Group 3

It does seem early Wadda but we only play the 2 practice games and they are 11-12 days apart ... the other game is against the Saints on the 8th March (@ Casey - Evening) I liked The Taj Mahal's run in the Zipping Classic back in November. As you said, the race is a terrific way to finish the days program. Edit: The Taj Mahal scratched. I've nearly always preferred to back horses to win at Rosehill, Randwick or Warwick Farm D77. The fields are generally smaller so the horses often don't have any excuses (held up for a run, got too far back etc etc) And as you said, it's a very difficult assignment for 'Written By' in the Blue Diamond drawing the 18 barrier in a quality 1200m race. However, it did win the Blue Diamond Prelude from barrier 13 after showing good early speed.

A few other horses I like at Caulfield - at first glance. Not necessarily in the 'best bet' category but realistic chances. I will be doing a few 2-4-6 multiple trifecta's at Caulfield so here's a few thoughts ... Bedford in the first race should go well again. Almandin is another to look out for. Smart Coupe deserves another chance in the Armanasco Stakes (Race 4) Needs to jump well! With 'Dollar for Dollar' out of the Futurity I keep looking at Tosen Stardom & Brave Smash Terribly difficult race but I don't mind 'Prairie Fire' & 'Ennis Hill' in the Blue Diamond The Oakleigh Plate is just too hard for me but I might have a 'Spec' trifecta in the race The lucky last is an interesting betting race with 3 standouts (Hartnell, Gailo Chop & The Taj Mahal) - can't split them.

I've no doubt you'll come up with a winner Wadda! I could have taken better odds with a couple of others and if it was just me, I might have done. But the best bet is for the 4 of us to work with (and anyone else for that matter ) so I arrived at 'Sunlight' because I reckon it's got the best chance of winning. You're right - there are some very good horses running around both in Sydney & Melbourne. I will definitely give 'Egyptian Symbol' another chance whilst another big winner from the Magic Millions (Pierata) is at good odds in the 'Ace High' race (Race 7 Rosehill) Super excited for Saturday as our Demons are going at it as well in the arvo.

I'm going early again this week with my best bet (Rosehill) ... Best Bet Rosehill Race 3 No.4 Sunlight ($2.80) ... coming off her Magic Millions triumph the horse looks well placed here with only 7 running. The 6 week break will have freshened the horse up as well. I like a few others at Rosehill this week but this horse was the standout because of her obvious class. She won't have it all her own way but I reckon she wins.

NothingILikeMore missed the start and then just couldn't get going ... here's a replay of the race Wadda. As an aside, I don't get why certain races are not graded as Group races when they obviously are (the same sort of thing happens with the Magic Millions & The Everest etc) This race (The Hong Kong Classic Cup) was for 4yo's only but carried prizemoney of $1.7Million AUD ... nice work if you can get it for the connections of the winner! They just motor at Sha Tin - 1:46.99 for the 1800m. If I get a chance I'll post up the replays of the European Group 1's throughout our winter (youtube normally has them up reasonably promptly)

Yes D77, the dividend (which was a substantial figure) is minus the bonus bet amount. One final catch ... The winnings from the bonus bets can't be withdrawn until he bets the total amount again! But he can now bet the 'winnings' any way he likes (Tri's, Multi's et al) Sounds complicated but he'll be smart enough to turn his initial winnings into quite a decent profit (He is, after all, another dyed-in-the-wool Demon supporter) Everyone else I know had a lousy weekend on the punt! But they'll all be back Australian Group & Listed Races

An acquaintance at work joined up at Ladbrokes last week and received a fair wad in bonus bets as a consequence. Plonked most of it on Redkirk Warrior and cleaned right up ... however most I know were on Redzel or included it 'one-out' and lost out. It will be interesting to see what odds both horses are at their next start (The Newmarket Hcp?) ... Redkirk Warrior won last year's Newmarket.

Regardless, it is a tough race to find a standout horse Wadda ... trifecta for me at this stage. The Orr Stakes form isn't a great guide either. I always like to give a horse a 2nd chance so will probably include 'Dollar for Dollar'. Lord Of The Sky & Brave Smash should feature whilst Tosen Stardom will probably be thereabouts. And then there is Humidor & also Mighty Boss to consider. Barrier draw Wednesday I believe (and final fields) Last week all the fixed odds and form for the major race meetings were up on the Wednesday evening (racenet.com)

In the early betting Hartnell & Black Heart Bart aren't listed for the Futurity so it could be presumed both aren't running. Tosen Stardom is now into 5.50 after being 11.00 yesterday. Needs a decent barrier this time though (It drew the wide barrier in the C F Orr Stakes) A horse to look out for in the Blue Diamond (if it starts) is the Hayes trained 'Nomothaj' at big odds - it won the Maribyrnong Trial Stakes back in November beating 'Sunlight' into 3rd. It did run poorly in MM 2yo Classic but it might feature. It's possibly going to be my 'Best Outsider'

Here are those 3 Group 1's from this time last year (Oakleigh Plate, Futurity Stakes & Blue Diamond Stakes) Link - The 2017 Oakleigh Plate

I could do with a Singapore Sling right now after that effort Wadda! What was the jockey thinking on NothingILikeMore? I had 4 of the first 5 but not the winner obviously. I've got cable so the race was on Sky Thoroughbred Central. Racing.com sometimes covers the races from HK but not tonight. Anyway, you win some you lose some and there's always next week - which sees 3 Group 1's at Caulfield ... Australian Group & Listed Races

I marked the short priced favourite on top as well as 'Morethanlucky' - either of those 2 to win although the 6 seems overs at those odds - fingers crossed

It's just a matter of working out how it can all work for us Wadda ... I've just about figured out how to go about it but each to their own I say. We have all got something to work with at least. As previously stated, if Cliff's Edge & Redzel both win I would have won in the mid 3 figures range. But there's a lot of if's & but's when punting. Win, lose or otherwise I'm going to try and post up the replays of the Group 1's. As much as we all want to win I'm always happy to acknowledge the winners even if I wasn't on them. Throughout the decades the Hayes clan have always had a habit of getting the big win with a good each-way shot (and they did it again with 'Redkirk Warrior') Anyway, I saved a bit for Sha Tin and there is a big feature race on later that I've had a small trifecta on. Sha Tin Race 9 The Hong Kong Classic Cup 1800m 4yo's only $1.7Million AUD (7.40pm)

After today I'm getting close to working out my strategy. At worst I'll need 2 of the 4 to win coupled up with another winner from elsewhere (in a few 3 pick multi's) I used Redzel and Addictive Nature today but both dipped out. Of course if Cliff's Edge hangs on then like you, I would have got the treble at 30-1 or thereabouts. Close, but no cigar. Bus as previously stated, we're not far away (and the treble did salute in weeks 1 & 2 of the best bet system)

Here's a replay of the Lightning Stakes (2018) ...

2 from 4 today D77 ... it was on the cards that we'd miss 2 out of the 4. Overall - 8 from 11 with two 2nds so we're not far off. If Cliff's Edge had have held on I was winning plenty. Same for Redzel. Like a few others I was uneasy re Redzel but it took a great run from Redkirk Warrior to beat it. As for the other feature race (The Apollo Stakes) I had Addictive Nature going in a small multi but it was very good win by Endless Drama - too good. The first 4 across the line are worth keeping an eye on.

I'll catch up with you blokes later ... out for the arvo. Let's hope we all get a decent collect

Well done on Santos D77 ... won well. Excellent prospects. I wasn't on it either ... got caught up. Punters lament at play again!

Yep ... good luck to all ! Best bets ... Morphettville Race 4 No.2 Stellar Collision Randwick Race 4 No.2 Deploy Flemington Race 7 No.1 Cliff's Edge Randwick Race 8 No.3 Alizee

So Poysed won in convincing fashion at the Valley at its last start and Craig Williams is on board ... the even money favourite 'Kings Will Dream' is trained by Weir so the horse (So Poysed) is more of an each-way chance.