Everything posted by Macca
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A Day at the Races
Well on Racing.com the 'Best-bets; were the same except the 4 was named 4th instead of the 7. So the first 3 picks were the same. Tim Edwards also put his tips up but I don't know anything about him. The 'Best-bet' picks have been up since Wednesday where as Tim's tips only went up today. I'm just going to keep an eye out ... are you on twitter Wadda? Maybe we could find out his tips that way
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A Day at the Races
James Jordan picked the trifecta in order in the 1st at Morphettville. If he keeps that up we'll have discovered a licence to print money
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A Day at the Races
Yeah Wadda I meant that if you took the first leg at best possible fixed odds (or enhanced/boosted odds) and then let the winnings roll over to the next leg where you bet the same way. The odds can end up being better overall by doing it that way. Anyway, I've done my usual bets with our picks ... multi up the 4 (out already with 'Hear the Chant' not winning!) and then a small outlay on the 4 trebles.
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A Day at the Races
Alizee now out to 18.00 (enhanced) in the Coolmore Classic ... that's overs. A beaten favourite last start finishing 6th but only 1.8 lengths off the winner (Shoals) I've included it in a trifecta as a possible winner ... good/class horses always deserve a 2nd chance. Australian Group & Listed Races
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A Day at the Races
By the sounds of it Cliff's Edge mightl be spelled now although the connections may be tempted to race it in next week's Rosehill Guineas (2000m) Hard to see the horse being backed up a week later over the 2000 metres though ... there's 1 or 2 other 200k races for 3yo's that they might target over the Sydney carnival. I really like the horse and it's front-running style. Australian Group & Listed Races
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A Day at the Races
Alister Clarke Stakes on in 15 minutes ... Cliff's Edge is now odds on but should be too classy for this lot. Hope so anyway
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A Day at the Races
So here are the 3 best bets (with 1 more to follow) ... Rosehill Race 4 No.1 Written By (2.30 enhanced) Flemington Race 5 No.1 Tosen Stardom (2.45 best available) Morphettville Race 9 No.5 Despatch (3.30 best available) A multi returns about 14-1 as Wadda indicated but backing the horses separately could return about 18-1 if you let the winnings ride. I like all 3 tips and I reckon we're in with a big show this week.
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A Day at the Races
Going early with my best bet ... Flemington Race 5 (Blamey Stakes) No.1 Tosen Stardom (2.40) The extra furlong up to the Mile helps and with only 6 in the race, Rawiller should be able to get an ideal run for the horse. I also like a few up in Sydney but they are also very short
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A Day at the Races
Which will probably mean James will end up in Sydney or Melbourne sooner rather than later ... could be a case of striking while the iron is hot! I'm bound for South Australia (trifecta style) And yeah, I watched Lite'n In My Veins win yesterday D77 and thought about the time you mentioned it as a former group horse in that Zephyr race when it ran 2nd. It's won a couple of times since and it beat a few decent horses yesterday.
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A Day at the Races
I was very impressed with the bloke yesterday ... level headed, really knowledgeable and you could tell that Bruce was quite impressed too. I usually leave the form in SA & WA till last and to be perfectly honest, the form from those States is often just too hard for me to work out anyway (save for the big races) James' tips creates a shortcut which might just pay off.
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A Day at the Races
Thanks D77 I think I've figured out that he does the tips for the South Australian races only (on the Racing.com website) For instance, the following link lists the Naracoorte races and the tips could well be his. Naracoorte Racing.com I've noted all the tips and will look at the results tomorrow night ... obviously I'm looking at James doing the work for me re trifectas at Morphettville on a Saturday. I enjoy doing the form for the Feature or Group races wherever those races are held but I find the non feature races to be hard work and quite difficult. I'd rather spend more time on the bigger races. Reading that article highlights how much science goes into the sport these days. It's incredibly thorough what with all the racing patterns and racing maps.
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A Day at the Races
@Demon77 @Wadda We Sing @binman Do you blokes know much about James Jordan? Works as the SA form analyst for Racing.com & Channel 7. Seems to really know his stuff and even McAvaney seemed very impressed with him during Monday's Morphettville coverage. Where can I get his tips? Here's a feature article about James from a few months back He goes to quite some detail in working out how a race will be run ... worth following?
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A Day at the Races
Australian Group & Listed Races Best Bet record 23: 13 - 5 - 1 And here's yesterday's Adelaide Cup (The Parting of the Red Sea Part II) ...
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A Day at the Races
I like about 6 - 8 horses in the race Wadda ... it's a shame Shoals is out but they've probably set the horse for another big event or 2. There's a lot going on in Sydney over the next 6 weekends. Normally at this time of the racing season we tend to switch our attention to Saturday arvo footy but as previously noted, the Demons only play 2 Sat arvo games and apart from our Sat arvo game against North on April 7th, there's not that many neutral games on a Sat arvo that grab my attention. From about round 6 the Sat arvo games hold a bit more interest but again, no Demon representation apart from @ Gold Coast 12th May 4.45pm, @ Bulldogs (Docklands) 2nd June 1.45pm & vs Bulldogs (MCG) 14th July 4.45pm.
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A Day at the Races
Here's a replay of last year's Coolmore Classic won by 'Heavens Above' ... the Coolmore Classic is the only Group 1 event being held next Saturday although there are a host of other Group 2 & 3 races being held at Moonee Valley (Friday evening), Rosehill & Flemington. Here's the latest odds for the race (Shoals running?)
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A Day at the Races
Yep ... the hindsight quinella - related to 'Punters lament' ha ha And McAvaney has been great today ... he's such a proffesional especially when it comes to the horses. Knows his stuff. Edit: His interview with Darren Weir was fascinating.
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A Day at the Races
The jockey on Fanatic (Walker) mentioned that he could see the leader (Al Haram) was 'hanging-off' the whole race. So the run that Fanatic got wasn't as lucky as we initially thought. Did Williams not notice the same thing or was he thinking that Fanatic was going to follow him to the outside? Ormito was a good thing beaten, all things considered. I was worried about Fanatic of course ... it ran very well to win the Sandown Cup in gutsy fashion. Ah well, it was a terrific race and we got a run for our money.
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A Day at the Races
Al Haram looked like it shifted out to give Fanatic the perfect run ... rigged! Williams did the right thing with Ormito but Fanatic covered less ground - on the fence the whole way. Close but no cigar ... money back at least. My advice was each-way so I hope you blokes got something back. I only like winners Wadda - doesn't qualify. Fanatic got the perfect run - the jockey took a chance and it paid off.
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A Day at the Races
You'd reckon there's some sort of connection. And I like the international horses competing in Australia. It gives our racing more exposure and it's a win/win in my opinion.
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A Day at the Races
Interesting article from racing.com - worth a read. Newmarket Handicap showcases training over pedigree
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A Day at the Races
If we can lift that win strike rate up to 70% - 75% we will be doing very well Wadda. The concept is well worth persevering with. And Nomothaj only cost me a very small outlay (a double with Ormito) Small field in the next one (Race 5) but they've all got a chance.
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A Day at the Races
Nomothaj never looked like it ... had no acceleration
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A Day at the Races
It might be 23: 13 - 5 - 1 Wadda because we only had 3 best bets in the first week. 19 times in the finish out of 23 is quite good ... and a 56% win rate is reasonable too.
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A Day at the Races
All I know is that it had better win! I reckon it runs a place at worst Wadda. Nomothaj is next up in the 4th ... it has qualified 15th for the Slipper ((16 will run) so Hayes setting it for this 200k 2yo Classic is smart thinking. Golden Slipper Order of Entry And if Ormito wins then we could count the win towards our 'strike-rate' but if it doesn't win, forget it. How's that for a bit each-way!
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A Day at the Races
There's the verification, that's right. Mine went through reasonably quickly but not sure on the actual time. Plus, you don't want to miss out on your bonus bet. You might want to give them a call to find out.