Everything posted by Macca
-
A Day at the Races
You can get 7.00 at Ladbrokes Wadda (enhanced odds) In the end I went 20 each-way - couldn't resist!
-
A Day at the Races
Well Wadda I've always known that we the punters are not always armed with all the information & knowledge. There's a lot that goes on unsaid. For instance, Redkirk winning the Lightning slipped under the guard ... whilst many were convinced that Redzel was a certainty, the Hayes clan had other ideas. Harlem was another in the Australian Cup ... again, David Hayes didn't seem at all surprised that his 60-1 shot had got up. Weir is a smart trainer and doesn't give much away ...if I was a W/P punter I'd be backing Ormito each-way. 5.50 the win & 2.20 the place is reasonable each-way odds. With Williams on board it should be in the finish.
-
A Day at the Races
The tip is not necessarily based on previous form Wadda (although Ormito's form isn't too shabby anyway) My reading of these rare 'tips' are that the horses are set for these particular races a long time ago. That's how the previous tips have worked. In other words, it's not one persons opinion (or whim) My mate is so confident he plonked 500 on it to win (straight out) ... this mate of mine isn't short of a quid though.
-
Anyone for cricket?
That's a tremendous 100 by de Villiers ... he's given his team a healthy lead. We'll have to work very hard to get a positive result, especially on this wicket.
-
A Day at the Races
I was surprised to see Nomothaj listed to run tomorrow in the 2yo Classic but it's a Hayes horse so the motive would be easily explained. It should win easy (if it starts) I suppose 200k races aren't to be sneezed at hey Wadda. And Bruce McAvaney is back on the racing channel tomorrow covering the Morphettville races ... they're rolling out the heavy artillery! Should be a good days racing on the Public holiday. They are racing up in Ballarat too.
-
A Day at the Races
Yeah ... that tip I got for the Adelaide Cup looms large (Ormito No.11) but I might multi it up with Nomothaj which may be running in the 2yo Classic (Race 4) 11-1 for the double is quite reasonable, all things considered. By the way, Ormito has come in from 8.00 to 5.50
-
A Day at the Races
That's right Wadda ... but you just bet with your winnings from that Bonus bet (assuming you win!) as if you've deposited the money. As previously stated, you'll find a way to make it work for you. Anyway ... on with the racing. I watched the feature races from Canberra today but only had the 1 trifecta on the Black Opal Stakes and got money back (again!) 'Encryption' won well and might be worth following. So I've decided to have a go at that race in Sha Tin tonight (race 7) ... it's a really good betting race in terms of the probable dividend from a trifecta. I've got a mix of lightweights and a few group horses (dropping back) running for me.
-
A Day at the Races
Had the same conversation ... I got a bit more than a 100 so you can push the envelope with them. I'm not trying to sell the concept to you Wadda - just relaying how it works. All the betting agencies offer the bonus bet and they'll match your initial deposit on a dollar for dollar basis ... up to ?. There are conditions but if you bet smart, you'll make it work for you. I used my bonus bet with our best bets and got 2 collects. And I'm still betting with those bonus bet winnings.
-
A Day at the Races
Make sure you receive your 'Bonus Bet' Wadda ... they will match your first deposit dollar for dollar. But read up or talk to them about how the bonus bet works first.
-
A Day at the Races
I also usually restrict myself to smaller fields (max 12 runners all the way down to 7 or 8 runners) ... there are a number of 'percentage plays' involved Wadda. The big exception being the big Group 1 races where the form (for me at least) is easier to make sense of. But even some smaller field races at Group level are baffling (such as the Canterbury Stakes at Randwick yesterday) Race 7 at Sha Tin today is another tough race in terms of bringing it down to 5 chances. Class 1 races at Sha Tin are very tricky races as it often boils down to the Group horses dropping back versus the real up and coming lightweights. I really much prefer to do my trifectas in the bigger races. More so the Group 1's.
-
A Day at the Races
That's about it Wadda but I've been known to do quite a few trifectas in a day ... but only if I'm playing with house money. Often it's just 2 or 3 trifectas and if I bomb out early, I call it quits for the day. Not sure about using the the word 'amazing' though ... more like pot-luck most of the time! I have all my trifecta races lined up but lately I've been getting an early collect which keeps me going for the day. I usually aim for 33% - 50% of the dividend which involves a $12 or $18 outlay in a 3 - 5 - 5 combination. So when I get a trifecta I never get the full dividend. Multi's only using our best bets with a few other horses thrown in - sometimes those other horses are in the same races. Again, small outlays only.
-
A Day at the Races
I wouldn't even know where to look Wadda ... all my betting is via the internet and as previously stated, I have no idea how all-in betting works as I never do it. And I'm with Ladbrokes (for now) Give them a ring (or you could try Sportsbet or any of the other betting agencies)
-
A Day at the Races
I wouldn't know Wadda ... I don't do all-in betting as a general rule. And I've left the TAB behind and won't be going back! The other betting agencies have so much more to offer. I like Ladbrokes for now but am keeping my options open. I do like to look ahead at the odds though ... mainly to see which horses are what in terms of their future schedule. For instance, next weeks big Group 1 - Coolmore Classic 1500m
-
A Day at the Races
After consulting the Australian Group & Listed Races I see that 'Criterion' & 'It's a Dundeel' have done the double in more recent times so it's not such a big ask for Ace High. It's had 3 runs now this campaign and looks primed. Ladbrokes are showing Ace High at 3.50 for the Rosehill Guineas & 6.00 for the Derby Wadda ... combined odds of 21.00 but I believe it's 'all-in' betting.
-
A Day at the Races
Yes Wadda, Ace High is building really nicely and is obviously looking for the 2000m and further. Won't be long to wait either ... The Rosehill Guineas (2000m) is being held in 2 weeks (March 24) and then the Australian Derby (2400m) is held on April 7. Ace High showing 3.50 for the Guineas and 6.00 for the Derby.
-
A Day at the Races
On 'After the Last' on the racing channel they showed an overhead shot of the Newmarket from the start and Redkirk was way out in front from the get-go. David Hayes made mention that the outside going was a lot slower too (and he'd know) There's real talk of taking the horse to Royal Ascot (mid/late June) although because of the Hong Kong ownership the horse may go to HK first. The horse was good to me today as I also had it in a double with Kementari as well as landing the trifecta. I also had Merchant Navy in a few other small multi's so the best bets can be used in a variety of ways including of course, adding another horse in the same race/races (as I did with Redkirk) Kementari was the banker as was Gailo Chop ... got one but missed on the other.
-
A Day at the Races
The Newmarket Handicap & The Randwick Guineas (2018)
-
A Day at the Races
I'll post up the replays of the Newmarket Hcp & the Randwick Guineas when they become available but here's the G1 Canterbury Stakes & the G1 Australian Cup (2018)
-
A Day at the Races
Anyway, for those who may wish to partake, there's a few decent races at Canberra tomorrow (Canberra Guineas, Canberra Cup & Black Opal Stakes for 2yo's) 'Assimilate' is favourite in the Guineas, 'Show a Star' favoured in the Cup whilst there are a few chances in the Black Opal. There's some decent races on Monday as well at Morphettville (Nomothaj is running around in the 2yo Classic!) ... more on that meeting tomorrow night.
-
A Day at the Races
I was a little up for the day but still playing with house money ... no hard luck stories either. The highlights in terms of the racing were the impressive wins by Kementari & Redkirk Warrior whilst credit must go to the Hayes clan for getting the chocolates with Harlem (was its last run a track gallop?) Happy Clapper was too good in a highly competitive Canterbury Stakes whilst Redzel was also too classy in its race. Estijaab ran a very quick time to win but that track was probably closer to a fast 2 than a good 4 judging by a lot of the other times. The other big story was Hugh Bowman falling (no broken bones apparently and he should be ok) and what happens to 'Performer' now ... the stewards might have a bit to say on that one. It's now out to 8.50 for the Slipper.
-
A Day at the Races
Sugar Bella should win but not a tip D77. It's very short
-
A Day at the Races
The Hayes clan again with Harlem ... my goodness they know how to hide their horses' ability.
-
A Day at the Races
Don't go KK ... we need all the help we can get!
-
A Day at the Races
What a horse! Kementari did easy in the end. A class above.
-
A Day at the Races
This is where the best bets can help D77 ... without Wadda nominating Merchant Navy as his best bet, I probably don't get that trifecta. I knew Wadda liked the horse before he nominated the horse so I included the horse as a winner in my trifecta. Same goes for Shillelagh in the next race ... both binman & yourself especially like the horse's chances so I have therefore included it in another trifecta.