Everything posted by Macca
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A Day at the Races
3 x Group 3 races today at Newcastle (including the Newcastle Cup) All decent fields too ... Mugatoo being the hot favourite in the Cup But I'm doing a few small F4 bets (testing the water for tomorrow!) Go to Racenet.com for the fields & form
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A Day at the Races
And we now have 5 choices for the 6 pick exotic (Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes) #1 Behemoth (Default Pick) #4 Cascadian (DZ) #11 Age of Chivalry (Gorg) #6 Dollar for Dollar (JV) #13 Pretty Brazen (Wadda) If there aren't any more takers by 6pm tomorrow I'll post up a choice. But I like all the choices so far anyway ... My first 3 choices have been taken up but in such a wide open betting race, there's a few others to choose from So we should have it all finalised by tomorrow evening. Putting a bet on is optional of course and up to the individual in any way they prefer. I'm tossing up between a Tri & F4 but I might split my outlay and have 2 smaller bets on either exotic. And a small percentage can still deliver a very decent dividend. Thanks in advance for participating.
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A Day at the Races
And we have 3 choices already for the 6 pick exotic (Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes) #1 Behemoth (Default Pick) #4 Cascadian (DZ) #11 Age of Chivalry (Gorg)
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A Day at the Races
Some nice value there fella's I've already worked out a few doubles and a treble as well as using 1 or 2 picks as place options (in small multi's) The big multi only has to cost the price of a coffee but there is always value within all the picks. And there's still a couple/few best bets to come in. This is the bounce-back weekend, I know it ?
- Monkey Business
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A Day at the Races
Best Bet (Saturday) Caulfield Race 4 No.7 Front Page (Win) $3.10
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NFL
@layzie @Gorgoroth @DemonDave @Dr. Gonzo @JV7 @Dappa Dan @titan_uranus @DeeSpencer @Clintosaurus @Dee Zephyr @Go the Biff Might copy & paste the above when I think of it Anyway, 2 points on offer in the tipping comp this week. No leaderboard yet as we're all still in the barriers (Chautauqua style)
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A Day at the Races
@Wadda We Sing @Dee Zephyr @JV7 @Biffin @rolling fog @Gorgoroth The Team Exotic (for want of a better term) The choices (6) can be used for your favourite type of exotic bet (Quinella, Exacta, Trifecta, First4) A total of 6 nominated horses only in a chosen event (so get in early) n.b. One choice each only If your choice gets scratched you get another choice (once alerted) All choices will be collated at the end of the week for your perusal (Friday or Saturday) Nominate 1 horse only - it's not multi choice. No pre-empting please. If possible, nominate your choice along with your best bet (in the same post) Remember, it's all about the team! This week's nominated race is the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes so good luck! Executive decision - unless anyone has any objections, we can include 'Behemoth' as the default 1st pick. That way, everyone else can look for some value. So we're really only looking for 5 more choices. And I don't mind in the least if I miss out first time up ... so go to it ladies and gentlemen. First in, best dressed. I'll make a choice on Friday if all the slots aren't filled by then.
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A Day at the Races
A total of 9 Stakes races at Caulfield & Randwick on Saturday including 2 x G1's, 2 x G2's & 4 x G3's Main interest will be with the G1 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes (our nominated 'Team Exotic') & the G1 George Main Stakes. Some great racing to be had Randwick Saturday (full card) ... Stakes Races 4, 5, 6, 7 & 8 Caulfield Saturday (full card) ... Stakes Races 6, 7, 8 & 9 Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes G1 1400m $500k (Field, Form & Odds) George Main Stakes G1 1500m $500k (Fields, Form & Odds)
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A Day at the Races
@Wadda We Sing ... executive decision time. If you're going to be around on Saturday and we get a late scratching, just add one yourself. But you're going to have to do it early as people here won't want to hang around or wait too long. I barely get 5 minutes to scratch myself on a Saturday so I don't want to be checking in here too much. Not everyone is idle during Covid-19. Half I know are flat out like I am. The other half are bored witless. Or just leave it at 5 choices (if we had 6 nominated) ... I'll leave it up to you. We can worry about rotating the sub choice later on but from a personal point of view, it won't bother me at all if there are only 5 choices ... I'll just add 1 or 2 myself. Preview to follow
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A Day at the Races
If it goes from 6 nominated to 5 because of a Saturday scratching I don't believe we should be too fussed. Make it low maintenance Individuals can add their own private choice or choices from the 5 left over if there's a Saturday scratching. If the scratching happens Friday or earlier the person gets another go if they are alerted and aware. Otherwise the thing becomes too cumbersome with too much moderation for any individual (and it won't be me as I work Saturdays) Any earlier scratching can be worked the same way we work the best bets. By the way, with the best bets, I don't view the choices as a 5 or 6 pick multi as first port of call. Others can but that's their choice. I'd much rather single bets, a double or 2 and maybe a treble. I'll still have a coffee on the bigger multi but with zero expectations.
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A Day at the Races
I replied to this post in the post above Wadda but the post didn't quote--up (so to speak) But as for the exotic 6(?) pick should we just include Behemoth as the first choice so we can all pick something else. Solved the problem of finding the 6th participant as well. 6 picks and then people can do whatever they like with them ... allows everyone to have their own flexibility. So we just list the 6 picks once the 6 are in. Any scratchings and again, allow each individual to adjust on their own terms Keep it as simple as possible. Otherwise, it's too cumbersome and high maintenance. Behemoth as the standard bearer (?) So we then only need 5 others. We'll probably be done by Friday is my guess. I might go 3/7/7/7 but adding my own choice to the 6 (but not publicly)
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A Day at the Races
No worries Wadda I reckon the banter is great on race day ... terrific reading for those who read it later. And lets face it, it can become a bit of a free-for-all with tips aplenty (which is also terrific) But for an organised group bet we need to start as early as possible. For instance, JV7, Gorg, myself & DZ like to get in early. And yourself as well on occasions. So we'll have it all covered early if I'm reading the tea leaves right. Those who come in late run the risk of missing out. After 11.00am Saturday as a cut off time(?) Just a thought I also appreciate the work you do in collating all the best bets. Kudos. I'll post up some replays & preview later on ... as usual, flat chat at work!
- Monkey Business
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CYCLING
Richie Porte up to 6th and riding really well. Only 2'13" off the lead with a top 5 finish beckoning and a podium finish not far out of reach. His team is working well for him too. Pogacar looked strong last night and last years winner (Bernal) was dropped and is now out of contention. Roglic still leads. In the Alps tonight as well as tomorrow and Thursday. A flatter stage on Friday with the time trial on Saturday. There is still a lot to play out.
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NFL
Listened to both games today (on & off) ... none of the teams today look all that threatening although the Steelers might be half decent. As is often the norm no one picked up any points in the tipping comp. 2 out of 3 ain't bad but it ain't good either when looking for 3 road winners. Colts & Eagles put most out. My 3 standout winners for the week - Seahawks, Patriots, Ravens. Rams, Packers, KC & Saints all did what they needed to do. Teams to post a significant loss - 49ers, Colts, Eagles, Vikings.
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A Day at the Races
Showmanship out for the Spring with a tendon injury. Hopefully back in the Autumn. Such a shame as the horse was looking a real force for the Spring. Behemoth now favourite for the G1 Rupert Clarke Stakes ($3.50) but after that there are any number of chances. Dare I say it, a good betting race! 6-1 up to 15-1 ... Buffalo River, Perfect Jewel, Tagaloa, I Am Superman, Superstorm, Age of Chivalry, Cascadian & Begood Toya Mother are all not without chances. Some great value amongst the roughies too (that'll suit Biff) 25-1 up to 33-1 Reykjavik, Harbour Views, The Inevitable, Heptagon, Blazejowski Not a bad choice for a F4 team exotic (hint hint)
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NFL
I should also add that I reckon it's a good move for Tampa to bring in Brady for a year or 2. For all sorts of reasons. It's highly doubtful that they can win big but they can remain relevant and probably won't otherwise bottom out.
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NFL
Brady's 2nd half against Atlanta in that SB was immense too. He carried the team that day. At other times it's all been on Brady. But the conduit is Belichick. Prefer to view all the greats as great but all the greats would only look better under (arguably) the best of all time in Belichick. Who's to say that the combo of Belichick and Cam Newton doesn't taste success. I wouldn't bet against it.
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NFL
Brady is/was outstanding but Belichick made him even better. Rodgers has never really been surrounded by that sort of structure - the structure not being terrible but certainly not great. Father time is catching up to Tom as well. And he can't carry Tampa on his shoulders. If he does, I will go out of my way to give full credit.
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NFL
Aaron Rodgers wasn't underwhelming though GtB! The man looks to be back, better than ever. Pinpoint accuracy with 3 or 4 long throws ... a sight to behold. And Cam Newton under Belichick? ... an unlikely pairing but it might just work if we go by what happened today. I always felt that Brady needed Belichick more than Belichick needed Brady.
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A Day at the Races
The trouble with collating an exotic on a Saturday is that you need everyone here for 4 or 5 hours and it could be a mad scramble. You have to allow lag time and it's a bit of an imposition for punters here who may be otherwise involved in something else. For instance, I work every Saturday and only tune into the thread when I've got time (which is rare) Others can have the same issue. My main interest in the racing is in the lead up days. e.g. Rolling Fog's tips came in too late to be included in the multi last week. No one's fault either, he explained that he couldn't have done it any earlier. So that's 2 people potentially out already. It's just the circumstances of how things work (or don't work) We've had previous issues here waiting on a Best Bet on a Saturday. You could try it on a Saturday Wadda but I doubt whether it would work. The window is too tight. You're going to be chasing people up left right & centre. Myself included. And what about when people are out and about post the restrictions? Right now, many people are stuck inside but that's going to change. Down the track there might only be 1 or 2 people here on a Saturday. Esp if the Demons are playing on a Sat arvo ... for instance, we play Essendon next Sat at 2.10pm. I favour kicking the whole thing off on a Wednesday as the best bets are. Gives us lots of lead up time - problem solved in advance. Finalising an exotic bet on a Saturday makes more sense.
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A Day at the Races
It might be as simple as nominating a horse in the nominated race when putting up one's best bet. Do it at the same time. We'd probably have all the choices in by Friday evening and if we're 1 or 2 picks short 1 or 2 of us can have a 2nd choice on a rotating basis. The fields are out on a Wednesday so we could nominate the race on that day. If the race is a G1 race it will stand out anyway. The standout G1 race gets everyone's attention anyway and a lot of the G1's have around 16 - 18 entrants. The Melb Cup has 24 but just imagine if we snagged that one!? Cox Plate field can be a bit skinny but even the Everest field of 12 is ok considering nearly every horse entered in that race can win it. Just had a squiz at last years Rupert Clarke and there were 14 runners and the F4 paid $5773 Begood Toya Mother (2-1 Fav) Age of Chivalry Widgee Turf Streets of Avalon All decent performers hey Wadda! (So Si Bon ran 5th so we could have landed a F5 if it existed!)
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A Day at the Races
We tried a 5 pick trifecta way back but it didn't take off. But all we needed last weekend was for someone to nominate So Si Bon and we win (or whoever places a bet wins) ... and without boxing the 6 either as we had the winner outright (Fierce Impact - 3 noms) with any 2 others to win (if a multiple exotic instead of boxing suits) But I agree ... get 6 nominated horses and then do whatever you like with them. Not having a bet using the 6 is an option too. Nothing is compulsory. I reckon we stick to the Group 1 races ... Caul Cup, Everest, Melb Cup, Cox Plate, Derby, Oaks. For instance, next weekend we've got the Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes (1400m) or the George Main (1600m) up at Randwick. Small field in the George Main so probably the Rupert Clarke(?) Showmanship gets in at 54.5 kgs but might end up with a sticky barrier around the Heath
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NFL
With 14 teams now making the playoffs the 1 seed from each conference are the only 2 teams to get a bye I believe 2 v 7, 3 v 6 & 4 v5 is the playoff pattern in each conference but I stand corrected on that. To be honest, I'm tuning in late to proceedings so trying to catch up. 6 playoff games in week 1 of the post-season could get a bit hectic in terms of trying to watch all the games. AFC East - Pats AFC North - Ravens AFC South - Colts AFC West - KC Wildcards - Bills, Steelers, Titans NFC East - Dallas NFC North - Packers NFC South - Saints NFC West - 49ers Wildcards - Eagles, Vikings, Seahawks n.b. 7Mate are covering the Pats/Miami match (Early) and the 49ers/Arizona game (Late) No SNF or MNF though and that might be the ongoing schedule (just the 2 televised games every week)