Everything posted by Macca
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A Day at the Races
Midweek Special (Wednesday) Sandown Race 9 No.5 Approach Discreet (Win) $6.50 ... D Oliver on board
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A Day at the Races
We should do a 'One to Watch' segment every now and again ... early in the week would suit but sometimes one needs to say something as it happens (as Biff did yesterday) 'Showmanship' is my one to watch going forward. Beat home one of our picks but thems the breaks. Looks a real goodin' And if Nature Strip is regarded as one of the best what about Gytrash? Most impressive. Nearly broke the track record (00.55.81 over the 1000m) in winning on Saturday so it wasn't so much about Nature Strip failing first up. Bella Vella & Creedence keep winning too. Creedence is a good honest horse whilst Bella Vella is a much improved sprinter. Must be something in the water over in South Australia!
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A Day at the Races
Cruised past like a good horse alright ... and at this time of year the connections could somehow fast track the horse into some stake races or compete at Benchmark level for it's next few. 'Dee Zephyr' might have more of an idea of the pathway the horse can take from here on in. It's a 4yo so the guineas races are out.
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A Day at the Races
Did it with ease. Apparently it was meant to be called Barocca but someone misspelt the name on application. But Barocca never worked anyway ... another great con job of the 20th century. Hair of the dog or a greasy hamburger did the trick. Will watch Barocha with interest though. Big call Biff but you never know.
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Monkey Business
Been having a bit of luck lately (up until about 2 weeks ago!) with the 4pic multi. Combination NBA & Baseball but not the Ice Hockey (that's too hard) Half time/Full time with the hoops & the baseball wins at the line (-1.5) Usually get about 14-1 up to about 25-1. The hoops are more difficult to predict but a number of the baseball teams can be somewhat relied upon. Namely the Dodgers, Cubs, Atlanta, Oakland, Twins, White Sox & Rays ... at home with a pitching advantage. In the Hoops I've noticed that teams will play well at home if their last match was a loss on the road ... the bounce-back.
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A Day at the Races
I should have passed on my Sha Tin tips ... 2 winners and a double already. But you know what, I pass them on and they then lose. That's how it works. Think I'll stick to the one Saturday tip and maybe one other on another day.
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A Day at the Races
No no no Wadda! ? This is a thread for the thoroughbreds The last thing we need are people complaining about missing out on their sporting multi's by one leg. Now and again is ok as there is always some natural crossover but we don't want to turn the thread into a pure gambling thread. The Monkey Business thread exists for a reason.
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A Day at the Races
There's always one! I've gone away from the exotics a bit for that reason RF. Same principle applies to the bigger multi's. 2 legs does me these days with the occasional 3 or 4 leg multi. Big odds at 200-1 was I'll Be Gone ... just got pipped too. You often wonder how a horse can be that much of a long shot. It's form wasn't all that bad (all things considered)
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A Day at the Races
Such a good jockey is Oliver ... didn't ride a winner yesterday but making up for it today. 3 winners already today after getting Carrie over the line in the 6th race. Got it in a couple of multi's.
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A Day at the Races
Had every chance this time Gorg. As you said, a stronger field.
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A Day at the Races
Ollie couldn't get Cetshwayo out in the 4th race at Geelong ... ended up starting favourite too so was a moral beaten. But you win some you lose some. We race tight in Oz so the gaps often just don't appear That's racing.
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A Day at the Races
Haven't got any standouts at Sha Tin today other than to recommend that it's best to look for a bit of value. First race meeting back after 2 months so the formline is scratchy. Maybe a medium wide quaddie but don't forget to include the Purton & Moreira mounts.
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A Day at the Races
I was on Miss Guggenheim as well JV. Well done again for the tip ... Damien Oliver is the one. Boots 'em home Nice way to start the day! (I might add that I picked up 3 decent collects at Haydock last night so I'm on a roll this weekend)
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A Day at the Races
12 legs! Did you win enough to purchase the MFC Gorg? We need someone of good standing to get in there and clean the joint out. Drain the swamp or whatever!
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A Day at the Races
Yeah sitting up late watching the Tour de France & a bit of the racing from the UK Wadda so will watch the replays in between. Didn't even hear the 'Nature Strip' race ... but I thought the horse might not have been quite ready. Will be next time you'd imagine (get better odds?) but by gee, Gytrash is a good horse. Just keeps winning against good company.
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A Day at the Races
I'm not sure Wadda .. we got 2 winners and a 2nd last week I believe And today we got 2 winners and a place pick up (3 correct then?) ... as well as a 2nd & a 3rd from 2 other win picks today I think it's just the 5 total wins Wadda but by the way, that's more than decent in terms of turning a profit. And I don't think I've seen a Saturday race live in nearly 18 months now. But I'm in the business of making money so long live capatalism!! Nearly twice as busy because of this damn virus. Go figure Anyway, playing with house money overnight & @ Sha Tin tomorrow ... the last 4 races (Quaddie legs) at Sha Tin tomorrow seem to be good betting races too. Moreira & Purton feature heavily of course
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A Day at the Races
Ended up in front for the day Wadda but what could have been hey? We started off like a house on fire. Still managed 4 collects from our tips so no complaints. My motto is that if you keep getting collects you'll end up in front. I was once again at work all day so only a bit of audio intermittently. Strike Rate 11: 5-2-1 Australian Group Racing And for those with a keen interest in overseas racing there's a full program of group racing to be held at Churchill Downs tomorrow morning (including the time-honoured Kentucky Derby) A couple of other Group 1's are on offer and Sha Tin is back in operation as of tomorrow as well. The ADATR thread never sleeps. Kentucky Derby Group 1 2000m $3.6Million 9.00am Stakes Program: Churchill Downs (7 Stakes Races in all from 4.55am) Haydock (UK) Sprint Cup Group 1 (12.25am) Saratogo (USA) Woodward Hcp Group 1 (7.30am) Sha Tin Sunday (Full Program) ... Race 8 is the feature event
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A Day at the Races
I was on Age of Chivalry as well and it was a good tip by RF ... just beaten by a real good horse in Showmanship. I'm in front with our tips anyway with 2 real chances to come.
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A Day at the Races
Always need a bit of luck Shot of Irish missing the start made things easier for Junipal
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A Day at the Races
Is 'Nature Strip' over the line in the Concorde Stakes? (Race 4 Randwick) The odds would suggest so but the horse is not always at its best first up. I've taken out a F4 in the race and I give Dirty Work & Gytrash a show in the race. And the Chelmsford Stakes (Race 7) is an open race ... Paul Joice has picked 'Angel of Truth' to win (5-1) so that might do me. At its best Avilius would win this but can it find its best form? Life Less Ordinary at 20-1 provides some real value in the race. Spec pick?
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A Day at the Races
It'll figure itself out over time Wadda ... we can just use any of the tips as we see fit. 2 leg doubles is my preference so if we have 5 or more tips then one doesn't have to necessarily use them all. Even out-out win bets such as 'I am Superman' last week can give a good return. As an example I have got How Womantic & Surprise Baby in a one-out double from our selections. Gator likes both of them as well and he's often on the money. Still worth a coffee on all of them in a big multi but again, my preference is to pick the eyes out of the selections. We could use a roughie pick for the place in a multi as well. That's how I might use that type of tip. I can see your point about multiple selections in the one race but again, it'll figure itself out once everyone knows how it all works. I don't believe we'll have a repeat of the previous double-ups.
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A Day at the Races
Now that's a good idea ... there's always a lot of value about on an each-way basis. And the value at the Valley can be the on pace runners who get a cushy run. I'm also weary of backmarkers who draw an inside alley.
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A Day at the Races
Every week we had issues yet there were only 4 tipsters! haha Anyway, well said in your previous post. We like to see ourselves as a co-op with no entry fee.
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A Day at the Races
Best Bet Moonee Valley Saturday Race 1 No.3 How Womantic (Win) $3.10
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A Day at the Races
8 Stakes races out of Sydney & Melbourne this Saturday ... an exciting day at the races coming up. Randwick Form, Odds & Tips (Stakes Races 4, 6, 7 & 8 ) Moonee Valley Form, Odds & Tips (Stakes Races 5, 6, 7 & 8 ) And here are the two 1600m races to be run ... both G2's & both worth $250k