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Curry & Beer

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Everything posted by Curry & Beer

  1. yeah but 7th and 3rd on differential
  2. are you serious, it obviously does as the tables in the OP illustrate. Show me the ladder of inside 50s and ill show the ladder of goals and then the actual ladder i might have to start a thread arguing the sky is blue FFS
  3. and reducing an opponents by the same amount therefore reducing the differential by 24.6
  4. that is exactly right. It is not mysterious or speculative but a cold hard fact. Thank you intelligent person for absorbing the point
  5. that might the funniest post I have ever seen in your sarcasm you have nailed the exact point i am making just think about it for a bit
  6. you also have to subtract the same amount from our opponents score because there are a finite amount of points to go around otherwise the total game score just goes up by 4.3 for no reason which has been pointed out several times already painfully wow
  7. that's a decent point, and helps explain why we get less goals for our inside 50s than the average. What also contributes to this is the fact we didnt have a forward line most of the year obv.
  8. think about what you have written - youve proposed a scenario where the average total inside 50s goes up 250% for some reason. How would this happen, by the length of the football ground being reduced to about 80 metres? One thing that is certain is that the average game next year WILL record around 103 inside-50s for the match. If our PORTION of those increase by 12 then our opponents WILL ALSO DECREASE by 12, there are 103 to go around so every extra one you get is ALSO one less than your opponent gets, therefore differential is roughly DOUBLE the difference. Obviously there will be exceptions to this rule but over 198 games this is the equation, that is what the word 'AVERAGE' means. Am I taking crazy pills or is there is one person with a grasp on basic mathematics that will be back me up here?
  9. good one seinfeld shame you dont know wtf youre talking about
  10. oh dear me what? answer this, yes or no, are our football matches likely to remain at around 28 goals total per game or are they going to increase to 32 for some reason? and if our portion of those goals goes up from 10-14, how many will our opponent get? How is this a difficult mathematical problem to grasp?
  11. you've illustrated that 15 of the 18 clubs are extremely close in their positions which is of course a high correlation..
  12. hmm yeah the point was the moderate difference between us and the average, as was clealry stated, but thanks for your valuable input.
  13. umm no, if the average side scores 14 goals then the average game has a total of 28. If our average is 10 then our opponent's average is 18. If we increase our average to our 14 then it stands to reason that our opponent drops to 14, meaning the average total remains at 28. Unless you are suggesting that for some reason every game we play is going to somehow go up from a total average of 28 to 32 next year, which is of course silly. Stats 101. Actually grade 3 maths 101.
  14. love this he hasnt gotten nearly enough credit for showing a bit of loyalty in age where it is nearly extinct bear in mind though we dont know whether or not he would have gotten more $$$ elsewhere in which case he probably would have done what they all do and clear out his locker
  15. yes well go find those stats for the league average and im sure youll find they also correlate with inside 50s and goals
  16. you will notice that is about double that's because if we get an extra 4 goals generally our opponent gets 4 less also shouldnt have to point that out
  17. wtf are you on about how much do you want to bet me that if we were to average 52 inside 50s and 14 goals in 2014 we would make the 8 or very close to
  18. i would wager the average games of the 22 that takes the field in round 1 has not increased much since early Bailey, we have remained an inexperienced mob relative to our opponents that's another stat that doesn't lie, average games/age = wins
  19. I have banged on about the importance of these particular stats before, but here I go again: in the table below from L-R we have: ladder, ave goals per game, ave differential goals, ave inside 50s, ave inside 50s differential what it clearly shows that there is an extremely high correlation between inside 50s, goals, and wins this of course should not be a shocking revelation to anybody - but the reason i raise it is to make the point that despite how awful we were last year, when you look at these critical stats we are actually not too far off the mark 2013 MFC average stats inside-50s: 40.0 goals: 9.5 2013 AFL 8th place stats inside-50s: 52.3 goals: 13.8 so, we get the ball inside an 12.3 times a game for and extra 4.3 goals a week and we're in the finals if that seems like an oversimplification look at the table again and realise these stats are incapable of lying
  20. and from the station you completely miss it
  21. thanks mate I was hoping somebody would have some info like that, cheers
  22. on a similar note, does anyone have any insight as to what to expect at training on various days? I went on Monday and was slightly disappointed that there was maybe 40 minutes ball work and then heaps and heaps of running does anyone know if there is a type of schedule in which certain sessions focus more on ball drills?
  23. this has been going on for years and it's a disgrace yeah we only have XXXLARGE size guernseys really? if all the smaller sizes sell out so quickly why do you stock so many more of the massive ones?
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