Everything posted by titan_uranus
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PREGAME: Rd 13 vs Collingwood
Yeah itās odd. Carlton and Essendon play 20 hours before us but named squads 3 days before us, and finalised teams 48 hours before us.
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TRAINING: Sunday 8th June 2025
Maybe Howes too (although Iād have thought TMac might deserve that spot more).
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NON-MFC: Round 13
Gee this place would be up and about if we hadnāt [censored] the bed last week. Had we won, weād currently be 10th, knowing that a win on Monday (however unlikely) would take us past the Dogs, and just percentage off GWS in 7th. As it stands, weāre now just percentage out of the bottom 4 again, and a 10 goal loss would send us back there. Yay.
- CASEY: Rd 11 vs Collingwood
- CASEY: Rd 11 vs Collingwood
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Goalkicking
If you want a great example of a good side doing exactly what we did last week, watch that last quarter of Adelaide v Brisbane again. Adelaide nailed some good shots (5 goals from about 8 inside 50s), but they also had a pressure rating of 248(!). Brisbane, all of a sudden under extreme pressure, spent 15 minutes repeatedly bombing it inside 50, repeatedly taking low percentage shots (snaps in the wet from 40m out), and repeatedly botching their shots on goal (Bailey at least twice, Robertson twice, Lohmanm twice, even Neale).
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Goalkicking
Again, @WheeloRatings shows this. St Kildaās shot map shows they kicked 8 goals from directly in front, 7 of which were within about 25m from goal. We barely had a shot from the same area. St Kilda got too many easy looks inside 50, hence their accuracy. We had too many difficult shots, hence our inaccuracy.
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Goalkicking
Thereās fairly enough plenty of focus on the players taking the actual shots, but thereās no doubt that on the weekend and historically we take low percentage shots. @WheeloRatings ā shot map shows how many shots we took on the angle and outside 30m. Our expected score was 83.8. We had 28 scoring shots. So that would still have looked like 11.17.83. So with the shots we had we were still expected to kick inaccurately. The shots were too often too hard. Weāve done better this year at generating better shots on goal. Last week was a regression IMO.
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PREGAME: Rd 13 vs Collingwood
Photos from training today show them in blues and whites, with the blues looking like the senior team. TMac, Laurie and Jefferson all seen in blue. Culley, Campbell and Howes all seen in white. Perhaps some insight into selection?
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POSTGAME: Rd 12 vs St. Kilda
Yeah like those unserious Hawks who won 4 flags whilst selling 4 games a season to Tasmania.
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Aidan Johnson Cops 2 Match Ban
The right suspension. Worse than Millsā hit last week. Absolutely deserves two weeks. Lucky he didnāt seriously hurt NWM. Quite frankly, it was idiotic and he has to learn to be better than this.
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PREGAME: Rd 13 vs Collingwood
I personally also think he wonāt make it but itās poor list management and leadership from the FD to never give him the chance to prove us wrong.
- Stats File - 2025 edition
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Jake Lever
@poita ? Hyperbole? No, never.
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PREGAME: Rd 13 vs Collingwood
AJ suspended. Thatās two suspensions in, what, 5 games? I get that aggression is his thing, but if he canāt control it then itās useless to us, and therefore so is he. JVR replaces him. I donāt care that Jefferson kicked more goals in the VFL, JVRās the better prospect and can take AJās ruck minutes. Sharp to be dropped for Viney if fit. If Viney not fit, find someone else to take Sharpās spot. Give Laurie at least one full game before we drop him (likely for the final time, tbh). Lever needs to find form pretty soon. We canāt keep TMac in the VFL in the form he was in if Lever isnāt playing just as well.
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POSTGAME: Rd 12 vs St. Kilda
Completely agree. Iām probably going to do him a disservice here by tagging him and potentially misquoting him (apologies in advance) but IIRC @binman ās theory for why we were a strong chance to lose today (he was proven right) included that we would be loading and training to be ācherry ripeā for next week, potentially to this weekās disadvantage. If thatās indeed what weāre doing, itās madness. At 5-6, with the draw we have, we should be doing everything to win the games we have left against the weaker sides, today being one of those wins. Prioritising fitness for KB or some other period in July or August is useless when you start 0-5. Who knows if this is what actually happened of course. But record low pressure levels and a stack of players barely touching it compared to their usual output (Langdon had just 13 touches! Clarry 16, Rivers 14, Salem 14, Langford 10) maybe suggests something was up. Maybe.
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POSTGAME: Rd 12 vs St. Kilda
Were we loading? I hope the club is as embarrassed as we are angry. Weāve not only just [censored] 4 points down the drain, we somehow managed to again lose by 30 points, taking yet another percentage hit. We conceded 6 goals in the first quarter to St Kilda. Theyād barely kicked 6 goals to three quarter time in the last two months.
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PREGAME: Rd 12 vs St. Kilda
Garry Lyon admitted on radio earlier this year that he hadnāt appreciated how good Tom Barrass was until he saw him live, as heād only seen him on TV when he played in Perth. Studio-based commentary is sub-standard. Foxtel know that but donāt care.
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We're Not Dead Yet - The 2025 Season
My current thinking around the "run home" (which at this point is better described as the second half of the season). We have 12 games remaining. 6 of them are against sides currently below us on the ladder (St Kilda x 2, Carlton, Port Adelaide, North Melbourne, West Coast). The other 6 are, obviously, against sides currently above us (Collingwood x 2, Gold Coast, Adelaide, Hawthorn, Bulldogs). If we win the 6 games against the sides below us, that gets us 11 wins. We'd then need at least 2, maybe 3, of the other 6 to get into the top 8. For every game we drop against the lower ranked sides we have to win another one against the higher ranked sides. It won't be easy, but it's doable. Going into the byes last year Hawthorn was 4-7 with a percentage of 82.8%, but got their percentage up to 118.5% by winning 10 of their last 12 games - however, 6 of their last 7 wins were by 60+ points, including a 124 point win vs North in the final round. If we fall short, we're going to seriously rue the loss to GWS most of all, and then the terrible fourth quarter drop offs vs North, Geelong, Essendon and Hawthorn. The percentage damage we took when those margins blew out late could easily ruin us, if we do get on a roll from here.
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Callum Mills
That wasnāt to the head. It was to the side. Seemed totally fair to me.
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PREGAME: Rd 12 vs St. Kilda
Iād say ādecent chanceā for finals, at best, not āalmost certaintiesā. We have a tough fixture and strong competition for top 8 spots, and we did exhibit some truly rank football 6 weeks ago. One week at a time.
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PREGAME: Rd 12 vs St. Kilda
A good question. Surely Laurie gets a go.
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PREGAME: Rd 12 vs St. Kilda
Fully agree that we canāt get too confident this week (or any week tbh). But St Kilda have lost 6 of their last 7. Yes the win in the middle was a 10 goal win over Fremantle but Freo didnāt turn up that day. Theyāve also lost to West Coast and Carlton in the last 3 weeks, neither of whom are good/in form. Again, donāt get me wrong, if we donāt bring our A game we lose, but Iāll say that every week. Just like Sydney, my view is we are a better side than St Kilda and should win this if we play anything like we have the last 6 weeks.
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Time to go Goody?
Well weāve beaten Brisbane, and Fremantle (9th, out of the 8 on percentage only), lost to GWS (8th) by a kick in somewhat unlucky circumstances and played well against Hawthorn. That resume isnāt actually all that bad. Hawthorn, the Dogs and Adelaide have each only beaten one top 8 side (GWS for both). GWS has beaten two (Collingwood and Geelong).
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2025 MFC Injury List
Scapula yes, but club saying 4-6. Injured in the incident before the Mills hit. Viney likely but not confirmed. https://www.melbournefc.com.au/news/1792732/injury-report-strong-session-strengthens-viney-case