Everything posted by fr_ap
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2023 AFL National Draft prospects: The next batch
Fair enough, appreciate the long explanation. I can see the scope and I mentioned he has timing and poise, but I think by comparing to Fyfe / Bont etc you're affirming your own preconceptions of an absolute optimum scenario for his body type. If Cale Morton was getting drafted this year, I've no doubt he would be getting Bont comparisons as well. I try to watch draftee vids with no archetypes in mind as pretty simply, what makes champions champions is more often between the ears, and from afar I don't have the means to assess that. In this area, Duursma could be streets ahead of Reid...but that's not for me to judge. What I can judge from footage is what, should their mentality be high level, a potential ceiling on their play could look like given a certain physical profile and playstyle. From what I see Reid's physicality and authority could provide a higher ceiling. But of course no guarantees either way....Zane could develop such authority (as Fyfe and Bont did) & Reid could flounder against bigger bodies!
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2023 AFL National Draft prospects: The next batch
How can you possibly watch those two videos and prefer Duursma? Looks to have some time, reads the play well and a good team ethos, but nothing he actually did with the ball was impressive. Reid was far more impactful, powerful and looked too good for the level already tbh. Given the choice (yes we may not have it), it's Reid every time.
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NON-MFC: Rd 07 2023
We talk about us needing to capitalise on our list and win multiple flags while we can.... This should be said about Geelong far more than us. There probably hasn't been a better key forward pairing than Hawkins & Cameron in the last 200 years. Throw in all time great/club legends Dangerfield, Stewart, Duncan and a team full of fantastic role players with the best home ground advantage in the league - if they don't win at least 2 before Hawk retires it's a huge failure. Curnow and McKay can be this good too, but they're early-mid 20s and need to prove themselves over the long haul, which both Hawkins and Cameron have already done. As close to a cheat code as you'll ever see at the professional level
- POSTGAME: Rd 07 vs North Melbourne
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What they area saying at Punt Road
The tigers fans I know were reasonably philosophic about the loss. They didn't expect to win, but could (arguably should) have if they kicked even 1 or 2 of the 3 shots they missed when they were on top in the last. They were very happy with how their pressure and speed showed up, which really really hampered our ball movement
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Kozzy Pickett Re-Signs for 4 Years
We didn't run him through the midfield because we didn't have Spargo in the side staying i50. Certainly wasn't kossie's best night - the free against him for dumping Baker was at a very very crucial time
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2023 AFL National Draft prospects: The next batch
Not sure I agree. I see a lot of cale Morton and a little Xavier Duursma. I see a lot of traits that wouldn't stand up at the level. Won't be on JTs list unless there are some actual competitive highlights floating around
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POSTGAME: Rd 04 vs West Coast
Yes, I and a few with me thought the same. I am a little scarred here - we now know Jackson visited Perth/Freo facilities over the mid-season break and when he came back he was never as engaged again. I don't think any of us really picked up on the cues but he was a far less emotive player than Kossie. His form certainly declined. There were discussions that Pickett was meeting family to discuss his future over the period of his suspension. I hope the look on his face doesnt reflect an outcome of that discussion, but I'm not at all filled with confidence.
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POSTGAME: Rd 04 vs West Coast
Why are you all at each others throats? Its literally a discussion forum. Viney isn't perfect but I'd rather have him than play against him. That said, it's also not heresy to question his spot and worth to the team, same as any other player in the side. Just chill - we are sitting in a good spot, playing well but not too well, whilst a number of our apparent competitors have had spluttering starts. Our splutter will come....enjoy the footy while we are winning and stop ripping into each other about selections you can't influence in any case
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NON-MFC: Rd 04 2023
What you've described is exactly why Carlton are 3rd favourites. They've not played particularly convincingly and are 3 wins and a draw from a reasonably tough opening month. Good maturing teams stack wins when they aren't humming, and the Blues are showing some good signs of maturing. They were easily top 4 on quality last year...as odd as it was for Collingwood to win all those close ones it was equally as odd for Carlton to lose as many close ones as they did. They'll be top 4 this year and a serious serious chance. I would not want to play them in a final. If they Breakeven in the middle, Charlie and Harry win them games and pretty much no team can mark them both. Their flanker types are developing around them, and their defence is very good with Weitering and Young taking the next step. They have every piece in place IMO and just need to manage their year, manage their timing and find momentum at the right time. Easier said than done but they will be absolutely thrilled to be unbeaten with very little fanfare or noise.
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NON-MFC: Rd 04 2023
The way he's going, he will. Far more fashionable and kicks more goals
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Kozzy Pickett Re-Signs for 4 Years
Think that's a very interesting point and potentially underappreciated in and amongst all of this. Certainly wouldn't have helped. The other thing is it probably really illustrated that it's just a job - any team can travel any place and footy is footy. Bit of perspective they perhaps otherwise wouldn't have gained
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Kozzy Pickett Re-Signs for 4 Years
He has family on Adelaide. I'm not sure who or how close he is to them, but it's been mentioned in other places a few times. Wouldn't think anything of the fact that the article omits it. I can only assume either 1) Kozs manager is telling him to hold out, have a career year as a mid-fwd and get an extra $100-200k p.a.; or 2) He (as reported) isn't in love with Melbourne (the town) and just doesn't see himself settling here. Byron aside. Driving to Casey every day would do that I think. But some people, particularly those from remote locations, just never take to the bigger city. Koz might be one of them and that might just be our lot. He'll be well paid wherever, he's got family all over, and it's not his concern what PA or Adelaide have to offer. That's for the club to worry about and frankly, they'll take what they can get like they did with Freo last year.
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PREGAME: Rd 04 vs West Coast
We had an extra defender in the squad on the weekend and whilst I like it, if Hibbo's Achilles is not ready he's the clear out for kossie - with perhaps rivers not coming as high up the ground as he did against Sydney (which would be a shame as I really like him further up, was terrific on the weekend and is going under the radar)
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TRAINING: Tuesday 4th April, 2023.
Pretty clearly says hopefully mate
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What they are saying at Moore Park
Nah we got given some too. People who say umpires don't influence games have NFI. In the 2nd and early 3rd when they were coming, the free kick count was disproportionately in their favour and they were getting some really questionable ones. In the first and last, we got quite a few very impactful and questionable frees. When they're given consecutively it does really change the momentum of games. If you get 3-5 in a row it's as if you won 3-5 key one on one contests - like a hard ball in a pack, a contested mark i50, or a 1v1 win in D50. It's not the reason we won or the reason they lost, but it does have an influence.
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NON-MFC: Rd 03 2023
Pretty rich tbh of some of you to talk nonsense about the saints being rubbish forever. We were in the same position only 3 years ago and should have sympathy. They're playing brilliantly with an enormous injury list. To the point where I'm not sure I would be bringing players back (other than Steele) once they are healthy...this collective buy in and balance is so hard to capture. Their only concern would be how early it is to be humming this well. But in the very least they should now be aiming for top 6. If we don't win it this year, I hope they do.
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PREGAME: Rd 03 vs Sydney
He's also coming off 12 months of no footy & it was commented on here a number of times in pre-season how far behind the other big guys he is in running drills at training. Like labouring really far behind. His 2nd half was much improved against Brisbane but again, we need to temper expectations. He's not Gawn and won't play like it - either on the ground, in transition, in the ruck or in the air. Pies fans were very clear at the time of the trade that his major shortcoming is that he is very limited in the air (let alone taking marks, he really struggles to contest to bring it to ground as its a different type of strength profile to down-low). This can be overcome if you have enough contested marking players elsewhere around the ground to make use of BGs different strengths elsewhere. It can't be overcome if you expect him to provide the same presence that Gawn has provided as nigh on the best contested mark in the league over the last 5 years.
- PREGAME: Rd 03 vs Sydney
- PREGAME: Rd 03 vs Sydney
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PREGAME: Rd 03 vs Sydney
Not sure I entirely agree with this logic (bolded part) If we had come out and smashed two middling/lower teams we'd be loving life and super confident right now. Fact is - only the very good/best teams consistently smash the teams they should. What would make it more difficult to get a read on their form is if they beat both by 10-20, which would indicate they weren't functioning at a top 4 level. But that's not what happened. As it is, the magnitude and manner of their wins are indicative of their quality - which is that of a top 4 side. It's not hard to tell how good they are - they're clearly very good, as they were last year. They may even be better now, as a young side with continued growth and very few veterans getting to the feared 31/32 mark other than Buddy (who they were without in any case). Without Buddy, Mcdonald and Amartey combined for close to 10 goals. We know how tough, dynamic and accountable their midfield is. We should not be taking any confidence from them 'only' smashing GCS and Hawthorn. It's what the best teams do. Separately on us - I have a niggling concern that something we have changed - game plan or mindset wise - has resulted in far less accountability from our mids both at stoppage and in transition. I thought it was very obvious in the Dogs game that Treloar/Mcrae/etc were running relatively unchecked in transition. Repeatedly. It was extremely obvious during the period they were on top. For whatever reason, it ultimately didn't hurt us too badly as the Dogs were hesitant with the ball. It then clearly happened again vs the Lions - even worse - the Brisbane midfield appeared to play entirely unchecked for the majority of the night. At clearance, at stoppage and in transition. At different times, neither felt like Dees games and I felt more uncomfortable (yes, including the Dogs game even though we got on top) than I have since 2020. I can't quite put my finger on it but I wonder if in trying to have a little more dare and respond to the flavour of the month - attacking footy, Collingwood etc. - we've lost the balance that's served us well now for some time. If I'm right, the Swans (who have the most accountable midfield going round) will be a big reality check (and potentially, a really sizable loss). Don't hate on this btw - sky is not falling, far from it - but I can just feel something is a little awry...
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Death Riding Fremantle 2023 - Feathered Cap Edition
There is something true to all walks of life about the Jackson trade - rarely do people who achieve significant emotional (premiership, fulfilment, contentedness) & financial success at a very young age go on to even better things. It's the reason child actors seem to inevitably go off the rails, happens in the Corporate world all too often and especially with junior sportsmen who very quickly achieve what they always dream of. There are exceptions of course - Joel Selwood would be one -but he has clearly always been driven by something internal (competitiveness, pride, a chip on the shoulder?) rather than external factors. All professionals need to be self-motivated - they'd never make it to the grade otherwise, but there would be degrees of it. Jackson is physically gifted, but could have picked basketball, and achieved plaudits, success and now money in his preferred environment very young. There is something to be said for the journey and discovery of delayed gratification. IMO those close to him have misguided him and selected short term outcomes over long. Nonetheless he has all the tools and I wish him well long term....but not so much this year for our draft hand sake! There are many other examples in the AFL of a newly hyped player achieving enormous success/money only to fail to carve out a long term career. Boyd, Patto, Hogan, you can keep going
- POSTGAME: Rd 02 vs Brisbane
- MCL Injury to Max Gawn
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MCL Injury to Max Gawn
Given his height and age, if it's a medical we're probably looking at 8-12 weeks. If an ACL we all know how long. Either way, we're going to have to figure out how to play without him for a while, so let's talk about that. Do they pull the trigger on Schache? I thought Tom's ruckwork was very poor and directly cost us quite a few goals. Brodie will get better but he's a different player to Max and is not going to give us the contested marking presence we need. Not sure Schache takes a strong contested mark either. Max is irreplaceable but we will need to do something. Is KFW too raw? He seems further progressed than Verrall. I think Schache will come in for Gawn and they'll try to persist with Tom up forward until he either finds form or JVR kicks him out.