Everything posted by deanox
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Board Changes
As members we can put our hands up whenever we want. Are any of us well enough credentialled? Good practice would be to review current capabilities, identify skill gaps, assess term lengths (its important to refresh members to bring in new perspectives), identify suitable candidates, and bring them into the fold. Elections aren't healthy, they are combative and disruptive. You dont force yourself into a board without upsetting the balance of skills, personalities etc. You stand for election if you disagree with the current strategy, direction, or board performance. But you form a new ticket and try to take over.
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WELCOME TO THE MELBOURNE FOOTBALL CLUB - BEN BROWN
All clubs have to pay 95% of the cap as a floor. So at best there was $650k unspent this year. With front/backloading the available money for three coming year could be anywhere from $0 to $1.5 mil. Want to bring in Brown and Smith? Need to make some room. Aversge salaries include first year draftees, rookies and the Franklins of the game. Tomlinson, after 8-9 years in the system, is expected to be above average salary.
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Oliver Rumours on Footy Classified
Beat me to it, I came here to say that! https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Betteridge's_law_of_headlines
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Weideman Takes Strides Forward
But he was 17th in the comp in goals per game, and before the last month (an admottedly poor patch played in wet conditions and at the end of 13 games in 11 weeks) he was in the top ~7, and he only had 5 goal assists this year, so didn't give that many off...
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Weideman Takes Strides Forward
I thought this was interedting: Weideman was "the target inside 50 on 93 occasions, taking 25 marks in the arc". That put him 10th in the league for marks inside 50 third year per game. He is also holding on to more than 1 in 4 marking attempts in the forward 50. He kicked 19.8 and 5 goal assists. I can't remeber many shots from outside 50. So be is converting from those opportunities. He was 17th in goals per game with 1.46. Only 6 players were above 1.8. (Jayden Hunt snuck in with 1.67 from 6 games). It would be nice if he was Hawkins or Kennedy, but outside of the top 3-4, he was statistically on par with the next group in 2020. We have a lot more worries then Weideman.
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Weideman Takes Strides Forward
The games in Cairns were also pretty wet weren't they? Makes it tough. I don't think he does well as the only tall, as he struggles when 2-3 out in the air: he gets blocked from running at it and it looks like he isnt making the contest. I think he goes better when others play well around him. TMac being out of form hasn't helped. Jackson seemed to pair well. I think it's about space and positioning, so that he isn't competing against multiple opponents. Does that make him a second forward? Or doea that mean he is a KPF who works well in tandem? I think he would probably work ok with any quality second tall up there. Hopefully he can really take more steps though.
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Jesse Hogan on the way out at Freo?
I think the Bennell experiment was always such a long shot, except we all thought it would be his calf that went, and not that he would explode right as it looked like he had gotten through.
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Free agency - the rich (clubs) get richer
Yeah that might be the case, but it doesn't solve the problem that in 2013 our players recieved at best an average of 5% less than Hawthorn players. And that this year, Adelaide players recieved at best 5% less than Brisbane players. It also sets up weird situations: pay less while your rising, pay extra for 1-2 years, but it doesnt spread out over 4-5 years. And contracts arent 1 year.
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Free agency - the rich (clubs) get richer
In 2019 the cap was $13 million and the floor was $12.35 million. That means no club has more than 650k free in their cap any year. Your scenario wont happen. There are minimum wages so players who are drafted wont earn anything less. But 3-7 year journeymen and 10 year B+ players wont be overpaid. (There is a reason we could afford to pay Tomlinson). And what you've described in no ways limits what they could earn. If the club doesnt offer then enough, they use FA to move and get paid more. In fact it will mean mid tier players are more likely to get that 10% if they've earnt it, because it wont be tied up in a 3 year contract elsewhere. The real arguement is that if there is no floor, clubs will pay under the cap because they are poor, and then the players aren't getting the financial share they are entitled to under the EBA. But that's easy to fix too: All clubs get a dividend from the AFL approximately equal to the salary cap. So instead of paying that to the clubs who thenpay the salaries, the AFL can pay the players direct. Any money that is left over in all 18 salary caps at the end of the year is combined into a pool. It is then split equally across all 700 players. So if the cap is $13 mil, and 9 clubs pay 100% and 9 clubs pay 85% there will be $17.5 mil left. Every player gets a neat $24k bonus to make up their collective share.
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Free agency - the rich (clubs) get richer
Absolutley. The AFLPA should be pushing for larger lists, more professional footballers at reserves level, better than average wages for rookies and lower ranked players who put their lives on hold but may only have short careers. I have no idea why the rest of the players keep voting for EBAs that disadvantage them. I dont know why the player managers arent pushing their clients to get a better spread too: if the lowest wage increases, the managers arent as reliant on having a couple of big fish for their pay day.
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Free agency - the rich (clubs) get richer
These things need to come into play to even the field. Also, they need to remove the "salary cap floor". At the moment, all clubs must pay a minimum of about 97% of the cap. That means we, and the other poor performing clubs, are overpaying average players and dont actually have free cash to bring in FAs when they become available. If the floor was reduced to 80%, the successful clubs would be at the limit while the unsuccessful clubs will actually be able to lure FAs with cash. Another option would be if the penalty mechanic was tied to contract value. Any club interested can lodge a formal offer for any FA via the AFL. If the FA chooses to ignore the higher offers and take lesser pay, then the club gives up picks/points as part of the process. This way if you overpay you get them for free, but if you are underpaying as part of a "destination club" scenario, then you pay picks.
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Free agency - the rich (clubs) get richer
It is interesting the media is starting to call this out. They are normally pretty silent on these types of things, which fuels it.
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Isaac Smith
Look that's fair, but even losing those players, we have depth, both existing and developing. Petty, Brown, Hore, Smith as talls. Plus we are discussing whether we can actually play Brown, Weid and Jackson in the same team. Sparrow, Lockhart, Baker, Bedford, as smalls. (Note I've listed players who didnt play in round 22 and Baker and Brown who get puahed out: you could easily swap fringe players to decide who is depth). That's 30 players. This year Brisbane used 36 players, but their bottom 8 only played 12 games between them. Collingwood used 40, but their bottom 10 played 15. Geelong used 34, their bottom 5 played 10. PA used only 30. Their bottom 4 played 20. Richmomd played 33. Their bottom 2 played 3, their bottom 3 played 9. St Kilda used 34, their bottom 6 played 8. We played 36 and our bottom 6 played 20. Depth doesnt need to go beyond 26 players, if you have a solid 22. Stretch to 30 players when rotating some development or some fringe players. Premierships are won by stable best 22s. If many more are needed we either wont have the talent or we'll be too injured to win a flag anyway. Trading out 8 depth players for 3 best 22 players will improve us immensely. We just want them to be players 5-15 if possible, not players 15-22.
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Dees Reviewing Senior Footy Department Positions
With the reduced soft cap, do you think we'll have a forward, mid and defensive coach? I know we've previously used terms like offensive, defensive and stoppage coaches, implying a responsibility for all aspects of the game plan, not just 6 players. Is that better than line coaching? Can we afford both (line coaches plus role coaches)? Yze was Head of Match Day Strategy and Opposition at Hawthorn. I was wondering if he was coming to fill Craig Jennings role as Strategy and Analyst. We moved him on at the end of 2019 and chased Yze but didnt get him. Match Day strategy is interesting. Do we see Yze helping make calls and changes on game day (something that seems to be a Goodwin weakness)? This Tom Browne article is interesting. Jennings and Mcartney didnt get along. No mention of their relationships with Goodwin. Jennings celebrated in 2018 but potentialy responsible for failures in 2019. The self promotion is interesting: I wonder if he felt he should have been doing a senior role and it affected working relationships? Either way we didnt actually get to replace his role after 2019. https://7news.com.au/sport/afl/the-inside-word-on-how-melbourne-demons-craig-jennings-fell-out-of-favour-c-396886
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Isaac Smith
We don't currently look like losing any best 18 players, let alone best 22. Of those you named, only ANB played in round 22, and it seems most people here want him gone anyway! If we lose TMac and bring in Brown, lose Hannan and bring in Smith, we have just pushed Brown/Weiderman and Baker into the reserves, immediately making our team better. We have a couple of quality senior players with a couple of years left (Gawn, May, Hibberd), and the middle 12 players in our best 22 will all have hit 100 games next year. We are either primed for a shot, or need to tear apart and rebuild. If this group haven't made it in the next two seasons, we are going to be doing some major list changes.
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Dees Reviewing Senior Footy Department Positions
I think there is a chance that Pert's email about the review was prompted by realising Hawthorn were about to announce Yze's departure to Melbourne (I recall this hqppened the next day, and they mentioned his destination, not just that he was leaving). Why else would you announce the review one day, then a new apointment the next, before the review was complete?
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Kade Kolodjashnij on Battling Concussion
The list managet and coaches would be choosing the trade targets, identifying tbe draft targets and what pick numbers they want for those targets, not Mahoney (although as part of the football department I'm sure he is involved in the discussions). Mahoney's role, as GM of Football (effectively the business manager of the football dept), is more likely to be involved in the negotiations/trading to acquire those targets
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WELCOME TO THE MELBOURNE FOOTBALL CLUB - BEN BROWN
As a thought: Did Fritsch do the defendive stuff in 18/19 when playing back and wing? It could be that his role this year, effectively as a FF, meant he wasnt really in the positions to do the small/medium forward things.
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Rule Change proposed
This is their aim. More shots at goal. Increase scoring. Makes tv happy.
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Rule Change proposed
It's completely ridiculous. The only possible time that is relevant as "deliberate" is when a player is by themselves, in 20 m of space and does a doublehanded uncontested punch to the bounday. But even then how silly would that be? If the player thought they were safe to mark it, instead of going to a stoppage, they would. The punch would only ever happen if you felt percieved pressure, real or not.
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WELCOME TO THE MELBOURNE FOOTBALL CLUB - BEN BROWN
I think this will help too. One issue I think we had this year was a very congested forward line. I can't remeber Weid being one out very often, and he only found space on leads occassionally. We tended to have packs of players forming. Ideally, with Brown in the side, he and Weid would split the space so that the key defenders arent at the same contest. The 3rd tall (Jackson) would roam around half forward wing, looking to bring it inside 50 (Weid would also play this role so Jackson can go forward, but I think Brown would tend to stay inside the 50). This would improve Weids marking chance, and also technically free Fritsch up as a 3rd marking target inside 50 against a much weaker opponent. We'll really need Melksham, Pickett and Fritsch to step up, they are then our defensive forwards. ANB, Hannan, VDB, Jones, Hunt and Spargo will be putting pressure on those three to perform.
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Jared Polec
Sorry, I wasn't saying we had said that. I was saying it's why we might be happy to do so. We could drive a real hard bargain based on 2 year contract and get nowhere. If we were demanding more than anyone would offer, then this wouldnt be public. So it is possible that we decided to accept a more reasonable compensation to make sure he moves, so that we can improve our overall list position. If Preuss leaving for a slightly lower pick than we think he is worth allows us to improve ourlist position overall, then why would we play hardball on principal and miss out?
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Isaac Smith
Agree with this. You can get players through the draft, through trading or FA. Draft probably represents best chance of value: could get a bargain, but its riskier and takes time to develop. Trading is the lowest risk but there are limited resources we can use on trading and it is the most expensive (players are developed so more confidence in what you are getting). FA allows you to get good players for no resource (other than cap and list space, which we need to use and fill up anyway). In our situation plugging a few gaps for 2-3 years while developing younger players from the draft allows us to accelerate our improvement short term.
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Isaac Smith
I think we are saying the same thing but imo it is the tone/connotation which are different. You seemed to imply derisively that he was choosing short term success for a selfish reason and that it is not the best decision for the club. I disagree and think that you are playing both sides: if he trades/drafts for finals you will say it "was to save himself" but if doesn't make finals you'll be one of the first to say he needs to be sacked. Am I correct?
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TMac on the Trade Table?
Both have had injuries this year and struggled to find rhythm. It cant have been an easy year when out of form. I don't think either are to blame, but the quesrion is "who is more likely to hit form in 2021? I think that Brown (kicking 32, 41, 63, 61, and 64 goals in the 5 seasons before 2020) has a more consistent body of work behind him than TMac (one season above 23 goals) who although he has had periods of top flight football, it has been in patches and in different positions. Ben had an average 2020 (injuries and personal reasons). Tmac had an average 2020 (also injuries) but also a poor 2019, so has been out of form longer. Based on that, one could assume Brown is more likely to regain form, than TMac who has been in the wilderness for a couple of years now. TMac has always been a chaos player and he gets bogged down in structures which is why he gets thrown on the wing every now and then for a bit of freedom. Unfortunately chaos and freedom isnt a great way to find form at the top level, where even if you aren't in form, you need to find a way to do the basics and play your role. It seems Brown may have had a falling out with the coaching staff around their response in a difficult personal time (documented elsewhere). So it also could be that for both players, a fresh start, new environment, new coach, new game plan, will reinvigorate form.