A Day at the Races

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

11 minutes ago, Macca said:

That was a blow out ... Pakistan Star dominant. 

Sure was, sounds like hes had an erratic career but found some form. Bit like the Dees today!

That guy in the floral jacket gets my vote...

 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Just needed Hot King Prawn to run a plc and i picked up a small 4 leg multi with the Dees, so happy about that.

Daniel Ricciardo is going around in the Azerbaijan GP tonight. Theres not much between the cars and the track suits the Red Bulls. Fresh off his maiden win for the season last weekend, a win tonight would see him take the lead in the championship for the first time ever if Vettal has an average race.   At 7/1 its not a bad flutter.

Race is on at 10pm tonight.

 

Edited April 29, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

On 4/27/2018 at 5:42 PM, Wadda We Sing said:

Since the racing has slowed down a little, im going to throw my sport multi in that i take every week. I like going for home teams and lower margins in more even games. Ive done ok with them over the years, but lately its been a bit hard, with a few upsets around the place. I generally just take AFL & NRL but occasionally throw in some others. I also try and keep it to a max of 6 legs.

So FWIW:

Melbourne 1-39 $2.40 (I think we have too much to play for to lose, dry track as well, but will be close)

Western Bulldogs 1-39 $2.06 (well youd think!!..... bullies will get the job done)

Geelong Cats 1-39 $2.08 (Danger game, but tipping Geelong at home)

Richmond H2H $1.50  (should account for Collingwood)

Hawthorn H2H $1.42 (StKilda are terrible, could be a big win for the Hawks)

Penrith H2H $1.52   (to get up at home over Canterbury)

Manley H2H $1.52  (You would think will beat Newcastle)

61.03 (enhanced) for $7.00 = $427.18

Ok so i have to do my review of my weekly multi and see where i went wrong. Geelong was the blowout. Most thought theyd beat a Sydney team with a few injuries inc Franklin down at Cat Park. The other one was Manly, losing to Newcastle, also a bit unexpected. Wont be counting on Manly in the future, they have done this sort of thing before too. The rest went pretty much to plan. 1 too many legs perhaps?

Macca, your mate was spot on with his NBA assessment and his line call on the Boston Celtics. Easily made their line. Good call. Looks like they also screwed up on Geelong. 1-39. You went very close with that line call on the Crusaders also......was it 13 in the end i think? Bad luck. Nice to see you went against the flow which was 13+. Much better odds.

Edited April 30, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Macca 16,173]

Found another race (Hollindale St.) this upcoming Saturday that could be a decent trifecta race - and it's a good field assembled too if the early acceptors are any indication.  In fact,  all 3 races have a number of very good horses that have been accepted. So 3 races in all that could suit although there may be 1 or 2 other races that might measure up. 

A.D. Hollindale Stakes  Gold Coast  1800m  G2  WFA  $358k

Australasian Oaks  Morphettville  2000m  G1  SW  $500k

Robert Sangster Stakes  1200m  G1  WFA  $1Million

 

Trifecta Strike Rate

2: 1 - 1 (+66.50)

 

 

Edited May 1, 2018 by Macca

[Macca 16,173]

Here are the 4 Group 1's from Sunday (Japan & Sha Tin) ...

 

 

 

 

 

[Macca 16,173]

@Wadda We Sing  @Dee Zephyr  @binman

You blokes got a preference for the trifecta race?  I'm happy to go with any race that takes your fancy ... the 4 races listed below all have merit. 

No rush but we probably should decide by Friday Evening ...

Robert Sangster Stakes  Morphettville 1200m  G1  F & M  WFA  $1Million

Australasian Oaks  Morphettville  2000m  G1  SW  $500k
 

Euclase Stakes  Morphettville  1200m  G2  3yo  SW  $500k

A.D. Hollindale Stakes  Gold Coast  1800m  G2  WFA  $358k

 

[Dee Zephyr 18,035]

16 minutes ago, Macca said:

@Wadda We Sing  @Dee Zephyr  @binman

You blokes got a preference for the trifecta race?  I'm happy to go with any race that takes your fancy ... the 4 races listed below all have merit. 

No rush but we probably should decide by Friday Evening ...

Robert Sangster Stakes  Morphettville 1200m  G1  F & M  WFA  $1Million

Australasian Oaks  Morphettville  2000m  G1  SW  $500k
 

Euclase Stakes  Morphettville  1200m  G2  3yo  SW  $500k

A.D. Hollindale Stakes  Gold Coast  1800m  G2  WFA  $358k

 

Great choices Macca. The Oaks appeal to me at the moment but will have a deeper look tomorrow. A lot of quality running around. Thanks for posting the track configurations.

[Macca 16,173]

Just now, Dee Zephyr said:

Great choices Macca. The Oaks appeal to me at the moment but will have a deeper look tomorrow. A lot of quality running around. Thanks for posting the track configurations.

The sprint races at Morphettville have a 400m dash to a 400m bend which is worth noting ... those race links to racenet.com also have speed maps and settling positions which are also more than handy when evaluating a trifecta combo. 

As you'd know DZ,  the wide barriers aren't always a hindrance for those horses with early speed.  Especially if those horses to their immediate left are not fast starters. 

As you said,  there are some quality fields assembled on the weekend.  I like the Oaks race as well as the Euclase Stakes.   

[Dee Zephyr 18,035]

16 minutes ago, Macca said:

The sprint races at Morphettville have a 400m dash to a 400m bend which is worth noting ... those race links to racenet.com also have speed maps and settling positions which are also more than handy when evaluating a trifecta combo. 

As you'd know DZ,  the wide barriers aren't always a hindrance for those horses with early speed.  Especially if those horses to their immediate left are not fast starters. 

As you said,  there are some quality fields assembled on the weekend.  I like the Oaks race as well as the Euclase Stakes.   

One of my favourites in Despatch ($11 TAB) taking on Nature Strip and Viridine.  I am looking forward to this race.

[Macca 16,173]

1 minute ago, Dee Zephyr said:

One of my favourites in Despatch ($11 TAB) taking on Nature Strip and Viridine.  I am looking forward to this race.

Yep ... it's drawn gate 1 and according to racenet Despatch has the fastest barrier speed and should settle in the lead or near the lead.  Won in convincing fashion at its last start but its up against some good horses in this race. 

Viridine was a good thing beaten at its last run whilst Nature Strip is a classy horse.  She's So High is another - trained by Mick Price with Oliver on board. 

[binman 39,100]

The pools will be biggest in the oaks and the Hollindale. And i reckon sprints can sometimes throw up a bolter because bad luck can scupper a favorites chances where at longer distances horses can better recover from a bad start, tricky barrier, check or get out of a pocket (sometimes). Also i like the big field in both races as sometimes in such races (particularly in Autumn i reckon) you can draw a line through many of the horses and there are usually on a handful of legitimate chances of winning.

Not a bad race the Hollindale, but i would be leaning to the Oaks, mainly because the Morphetville  track races predictably, is usually good and gives all runners their chance. Always wary of regional tracks like Gold Coast. 

If we go the Oasks i'll jump early and take Savacool. A terrific win last start and i just love horses that have that will to win as you always get a good sight. Six starts for 3 win and 3 seconds is testament to that spirit. 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

10 hours ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Great choices Macca. The Oaks appeal to me at the moment but will have a deeper look tomorrow. A lot of quality running around. Thanks for posting the track configurations.

Im easy about it. I would tend to lean towards Morphetville, then we can have JJs picks to help us as well. may identify some place getters.

[Macca 16,173]

Well the Oaks it is then ...

binman has gone with 'Savacool so it's over to you @Wadda We Sing

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

16 minutes ago, Macca said:

Well the Oaks it is then ...

binman has gone with 'Savacool so it's over to you @Wadda We Sing

I have a few ideas, but id like to compare notes with James Jordan before final selection. Im thinking his form should be out by tonight?

My other thought is there are 3 Weir runners. They are all good and at least 1 will run a place if not win. Does that make it easier or harder?

Edited May 3, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Dee Zephyr 18,035]

Are we changing the order around this time @Macca or keeping the same? I let the team down last week?

 

[Macca 16,173]

7 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Are we changing the order around this time @Macca or keeping the same? I let the team down last week?

 

I hadn't thought of that DZ

Maybe leave it as it is for 4 week blocks?

This would be week 3

[Dee Zephyr 18,035]

Just now, Macca said:

I hadn't thought of that DZ

Maybe leave it as it is for 4 week blocks?

This would be week 3

Good plan, I’m happy with that.

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

1 hour ago, Macca said:

I hadn't thought of that DZ

Maybe leave it as it is for 4 week blocks?

This would be week 3

Macca, is James Jordan on Racing.com Get On show on tonight isnt it? What time??

On a side note, currently wanting Houston Rockets to get up against Utah in the NBA playoffs. I took them at 11+. They were 14pts down at one stage and have fought back to be +4 midway through the 3rd.

Think i need your mates advice on the NBA Macca~!

Edited May 3, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Macca 16,173]

56 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Macca, is James Jordan on Racing.com Get On show on tonight isnt it? What time??

On a side note, currently wanting Houston Rockets to get up against Utah in the NBA playoffs. I took them at 11+. They were 14pts down at one stage and have fought back to be +4 midway through the 3rd.

Think i need your mates advice on the NBA Macca~!

Yes JJ is on 'Get on' but he only gives out his best bet of the day. Sometime after 8 30pm

Racing.com had his tips last week but they only went up on the Saturday.

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

1 hour ago, Macca said:

Yes JJ is on 'Get on' but he only gives out his best bet of the day. Sometime after 8 30pm

Racing.com had his tips last week but they only went up on the Saturday.

Ok, well unlikely his best will be in our race. So in that case im going with the Weir runner by So You Think ~ No 4. Think Bleue. Bit of a wide gate, but should be in the finish. Might not win, but probably run a place. Think we may have the winner already.

Edited May 3, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Macca 16,173]

6 hours ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Ok, well unlikely his best will be in our race. So in that case im going with the Weir runner by So You Think ~ No 4. Think Bleue. Bit of a wide gate, but should be in the finish. Might not win, but probably run a place. Think we may have the winner already.

Yeah I like Savacool to win as well but 'Think Bleue' has good speed from the barrier and the horse inside it (Pretty to Sea) should bring your pick near to a leading position. 

It could be a bit of a mad scramble to the first turn though Wadda and that's why my pick is a Weir Horse that has drawn a decent barrier - 'Sopressa'  The inside gate should see the horse get a nice run in the race and it's in decent form. 

So here's how we sit with @Dee Zephyr to finish off ...

• W/2/3  -  Savacool
• W/2/3  -  Think Bleue
• W/2/3  -  Sopressa
• 2/3       -   ????????
• 2/3       -   ????????

Edited May 3, 2018 by Macca

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

1 hour ago, Macca said:

Yeah I like Savacool to win as well but 'Think Bleue' has good speed from the barrier and the horse inside it (Pretty to Sea) should bring your pick near to a leading position. 

It could be a bit of a mad scramble to the first turn though Wadda and that's why my pick is a Weir Horse that has drawn a decent barrier - 'Sopressa'  The inside gate should see the horse get a nice run in the race and it's in decent form. 

So here's how we sit with @Dee Zephyr to finish off ...

• W/2/3  -  Savacool
• W/2/3  -  Think Bleue
• W/2/3  -  Sopressa
• 2/3       -   ????????
• 2/3       -   ????????

I dont think we need to rush this. Im happy to wait till we know all the facts, weather, scratchings, JJs selections for the race etc etc. I for one am happy to wait until Saturday morning.

I note Pleasuring is top selection in the tips and Damien Lane is riding it out of the 3 Weir horses....

Edited May 3, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Macca 16,173]

1 minute ago, Wadda We Sing said:

I dont think we should rush this. Happy to wait till we know all the facts, weather, scratchings, JJs selections for the race etc etc. I for one am happy to wait until Saturday morning.

I suppose that's up to DZ but whilst there's been a bit of rain in Adelaide today the forecast is for mainly fine weather tomorrow & Saturday.  The track is still graded as a Good4 so it probably won't be downgraded to slow. 

We should have a contingency plan for scratchings though Wadda and I suppose whoever is in the position that DZ is in now could get to make the executive decision?  Picks 4 & 5 finishes off the bet as it is. 

It will be interesting to see JJ's tip but I'd be surprised if it wasn't one of our top 3.  There's a few more that can get into the finish and Identifying those horses is the other half of the battle. 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

48 minutes ago, Macca said:

I suppose that's up to DZ but whilst there's been a bit of rain in Adelaide today the forecast is for mainly fine weather tomorrow & Saturday.  The track is still graded as a Good4 so it probably won't be downgraded to slow. 

We should have a contingency plan for scratchings though Wadda and I suppose whoever is in the position that DZ is in now could get to make the executive decision?  Picks 4 & 5 finishes off the bet as it is. 

It will be interesting to see JJ's tip but I'd be surprised if it wasn't one of our top 3.  There's a few more that can get into the finish and Identifying those horses is the other half of the battle. 

Yep 4 sure. just thinking out loud really. Even just making notes for myself, so i remember.

Are your mates doing the weekly multi this week Macca?

Hey im on 3000 likes.....shucks.

 

Edited May 3, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Dee Zephyr 18,035]

Hi fellas. 

How do you want to go about this? I can list them now or do you prefer Raceday? I’ve also got 3 “ Emergencies” ready to go in case of scratchings. 

@Wadda We Sing raise the bat mate! 3000 likes!!

Edited May 3, 2018 by Dee Zephyr