Everything posted by Tolstoys Nudge
- PODCAST: Rd 18 vs Brisbane
- PREGAME: Rd 19 vs Adelaide
- VOTES: Rd 18 vs Brisbane
- PREGAME: Rd 18 vs Brisbane
- PREGAME: Rd 18 vs Brisbane
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Garry Lyon analysis
Everyone does seem to be forgetting that expected score had us winning by 37!!! Fwd issues re entry are real but if we fix that even by 10-15% and kick anywhere else expected score these 2 things combined will have an absolutely ENORMOUS impact and perfect conditions @ Marvel is 💯 the place to start to see that begin to come to fruition! I think the wet weather exacerbated the whole thing our last dry game we beat the unbeatable Collingwood minus our best player! Just let that percolate for a sec. Yes there’s issues but blv Me it is FAR BETTER to have fixable issues than personnel or major gameplan issues both of which require an off-season and preseason to correct. I’m livid right now but I’m also aware it can all change very very quickly and I think losing Fritta might actually help our balance a little whilst we work through this period.
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Garry Lyon analysis
I thought BBB looked good, esp given conditions! Expect 3-4 this week
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AFL Premiership Metrics
Again, reference the Hoyne sports day comparison that clearly suggests otherwise! The data says we’re playing the same for same time of year & that we just need to connect and convert better Ala 2021 r13-19 then r20-GF — we’re in thick of it on all key metrics and UNLIKE LY we’re gonna have a well rested group not carrying major injuries (at this stage) inc a rested Oliver & Gawn!!!
- PREGAME: Rd 16 vs GWS
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Liam Henry
2nd rounders might be required for PK1 if not then yeah sure it’s still a chance
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Liam Henry
Henry might’ve just priced himself out of red and blue — was close to done deal some say but now.. price might be too high (trade price) let’s hope he drops off again…
- PREGAME: Rd 16 vs GWS
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Are we banged up again?
The more I think about it the more we may be getting annihalated by loading! Bye didn’t help but last qtr vs cats was more about silky handballs that turned to direct turnover goals to cats it’s that simple! Viney is ok, just a stinger. Clarry looking ok now fingers crossed! Petty working back, May 💯 has a back injury it’s just his it is and weeks out won’t help apparently. Loading hard for finals may be the difference this year if it’s been as hard as reported so let’s be thankful we can now gather some momentum being in BBB to help create a mismatch with resting tuck instead of seeing them labour and be nothing but poor defensively and get some fwd cohesion — remember it’s the wet that’s killed us, that and poor goal kicking in Freo game. So we’re on track! ANB genuinely under pressure now given the turnovers and others issues he’s having atm, this week I think we might even see Woey depending if Clarry is fit. Brown, Clarry and Bowser the ins with Woey a chance if Hibbs needs a rest or if Clarry doesn’t come up.
- PREGAME: Rd 16 vs GWS
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PREGAME: Rd 16 vs GWS
It’s got to be BBB time now — that’s the movement and run we needed to see! So despite me wanting Petty fwd, seems it won’t happen unless Smith plays small, which isn’t impossible but BBB, JVR, Fritta has a MUCH nicer look and would worry ANY defence o don’t care what anyone says! Cats game a write-off for me in those conditions it’s always a slogfest & Cats got lucky with us being too cute i50 — Dry conditions that fwd setup would be great to see! If we go Petty over Smith or BBB then Disco/Tommo play for Petty spot down-back. MY CHANGES: *If Petty stays back (which I doubt) IN: BBB, Bowey, Clarry OUT: Jordon, Chandler, Spaz (sad but who else?!?!) *If Petty returns fwd IN: Bowey, BBB OUT: Jordon, Chandler/JVR (IF JVR rested, if not which I’d prefer, just to see JVR/BROWN/PETTY/FRITTA combo I’d drop Chandler, Fritta/Koss/Nibbs enough smalls as Smith is also capable playing small) THIS is the fwd setup I’m bloody DYING to see and BBB showed his run this week for first time this year to cover ground doing exactly what they want him to do. His Di is hung much needed and we’d have 4/5 lethal finishers as well, Koss deep with Smith HHF & Nibs slightly deeper at times since BBB can get up ground, Brayshaw to play HHF at times)
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Most underrated player of all time?
One is my profile pic — SO good but cut down by injury others: Ingersole, Obst, Moo, Walsh, Whelan
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PREGAME: Rd 15 vs Geelong
Fair enough but personally I rkn our back 10 is cohesive irrespective of Gameday combo! issues is a bit rich too if I’m honest — ESS got hot & pressure lacking up field meant they got good looks at it and we lost Lever pre game whom has a solid 1/1 def % and would’ve crunched a HEAP of those long balls
- PREGAME: Rd 15 vs Geelong
- PREGAME: Rd 15 vs Geelong
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PREGAME: Rd 15 vs Geelong
Who says he isn’t match-fit? No WAY he’d be playing if he wasn’t bit only match fit but loaded at same level of all others in his position. Ergo Clarry decision — hospital visit mean the isn’t loaded enough and shows the maturity of the coaching group and ensures come finals our team win the full of u overcooked-under rested meat!!!
- PREGAME: Rd 15 vs Geelong
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PREGAME: Rd 15 vs Geelong
You don’t think our back 6 have cohesion?!?? Gimme a spell — It’ll be dewy as and Max behind ball is effectively same as playing Tommo but with added flex of Smith/Petty duality for ultimate matchups maximisation. I rkn if Hibbo plays it’s a lock he will take Cameron and Max will be behind ball!
- PREGAME: Rd 15 vs Geelong
- PREGAME: Rd 15 vs Geelong
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PREGAME: Rd 15 vs Geelong
Petty or Smith Will play back IF required but I think max is gonna play behind the ball and we will see the first true showing of Gawndy now that Grundy has his fitness — This was ALWAYS the intention (both play 80% GT & one is fwd whilst one is behind the ball) as well as the odd time to stretch oppo d50 as 4th tall Ala pre-season. this is my top pick but below could also be what’s up! Goody continuing the new experimenting ethos and I love it!!! We need to find out all the best situational strategic ploys and this is excitingly the first time I think we will see it.. can’t WAIT!!! Could also be a genuine double-switch ie Smith/Petty fwd/back rotation depending on match-ups and game time love feedback to keeP teams guessing who’s gonna be fwd or back. Finally, wouldn’t surprise to see Gus//Hibbo rest/mngd for Woey late change nor Brown/JVR w/Petty back — so many possibilities and that’s what has me so excited.. we have NO IDEA what’s gonna happen which means neither does Scott 👏🏻