Macca

Not a bad days racing tomorrow at Caulfield ... more so the last 4 races which are the quaddie legs. Race 5 (The $350k Blue Sapphire Stakes) has only attracted a small field of 6 runners but with this rain about, 'Written By' may not have it all his way. Full Race Card - Caulfield

We missed the last 2 legs which is better than missing just the 1 leg in some ways Wadda. Anyway, it was a nice ride and good fun. And we do it all again next weekend ... as I indicated in an earlier post, I'll be looking for a sure thing with my early first choice and then some value with my second 'later' choice. I'll probably go with the 4/6 split bet again with the 4pick being the 4 'most-likely' picks. Should be able to get 10-1 to 15-1 on the 4 pick whilst the 6pick will no doubt deliver top odds.

My Packers line is -10 not -10.5 so I am absolutely not going to get caught out on a 10 point win to Green Bay. A collect is a collect. I'm taking no chances. But we need Spain to win first DZ ... at home, you'd reckon they should prevail and they know how to score. I can also see England scoring so fingers crossed on the match score. For some reason Laddies didn't have +2.5 available so I took +1.5 rather than +3.5.

Chiefs should win the AFC West but the Chargers might push them ... schedule isn't too tough and their week 15 game at KC could decide things. There again, KC could gap them under Reid and with the wunderkind Mahomes. The kid looks the goods with his timing - plays like a talented veteran.

With a dozen participants there was bound to be a few unforced errors. The good bit is that it is hard to fall too far behind because of the lack of scoring (this year at least) Here's a sneak peak at next weeks games (week 7) ... there's more than a few potential road winners there and with 2 points at stake, it's time to make a move. And may the better team win tomorrow!

Fabulous game of offense Dappa... dare I say it, welcome to the new NFL. However, I can equally enjoy watching a defensive low scoring game played in a blizzard. The season has lacked an abundance of upset victories although 5 or 6 divisions are up for grabs with only the Rams and almost certainly the Pats assured of winning their respective divisions. The Chargers are only 1 win away from KC & there are a number of divisions that are impossible to pick right now.

Yeah, you're right layz, it's a reach. I have to be fair to all ? But don't lose heart, perseverance wins out in the end and the winner will need to cash in on the 2 point weeks. And that could be you. Weeks 7, 9, 11, 13, 15 are all worth 2 points whilst week 17 is worth 3 points. In fact, there are total of 18 points available through to the end of the regular season. Currently, we have 6 co-leaders all sitting on a whopping 1 point. Leaderboard 1 - JV7, Go the Biff, Dr. Gonzo, Clintosaurus, Dappa Dan, Macca 0 - Everyone else. What can I say? It's a tough comp!

The 49ers line has come into +8.5 so if it comes to it, taking the slightly extra line +10.5 at $1.71 would be needed for the assured win. That's of course if Spain prevail. Here's hoping! ?

Ha ha! The 3 picks have to be road teams layz Not to worry, you could outright hit the front next week as week 7 is worth 2 points.

C'mon Spain! No monkey business!

I only just noticed you picked the Packers layz ...they're at home against your 49ers tomorrow

Yep ... I made mention of Too Darn Hot as it has gained a lot of attention over in the UK. Trained by John Gosden and ridden by Frankie Dettori it is destined for big things. Dettori especially was mighty impressed with the way it won that UK 2yo classic (Dewhurst Stakes) And the way things are going with the overseas representation, we may even see the horse here as a lightweight 3yo chance in the Caulfield Cup or Cox Plate. Long range call of course but it does look like a real standout BM. The trainer mentioned that 2400m might be the horses limit but the mile or the mile and a quarter was it's ideal distance. I reckon the Cox Plate (post Winx) will almost certainly become an international affair much like the Caulfield & Melbourne Cup's are fast becoming. Money talks. And if the mooted move to relocate the Championships at Randwick to late November does eventuate, the $4Million Queen Elizabeth Stakes becomes the 5th huge attraction in the Spring. NSW want a piece of the action as witnessed with success of the Everest. And with the Internationals the punters need to trust the Globally recognised ratings and if those horses have performed well at Group level, that needs to be taken into account as well. I got 2 decent collects on Saturday by simply recognising overseas form & the ratings of those overseas horses. Just missed on the Yucatan race by not including 'A Prince of Arron' in the exotics. Kicking myself on that one ?

Big win for the Dutch this morning over Germany ... I believe the win is a historic win in terms of how long it's been or suchlike. Highlights ...

I reckon we'll get better at it too Wadda ... the team aspect and the transparency is a factor much like it is with the horses. Except with sporting events it's a 2-horse race - pun intended. And if we ever start another thread we already know what we're going to call it. It would have been a terrific title for another Marx Bros. movie. *Cartwheels in Copenhagen*

My tips ... Rams, Ravens, Seahawks Paging @DeeSpencer @titan_uranus @Dr. Gonzo @DemonDave

Australian Group & Listed Races Best Bet Strike Rate 40: 13 - 5 - 7

Yeah ... it is probably the go Wadda (slow burn) although I have had a few collects over a shorter time span. What the slow burn does do is give the option of cashing-out or alternatively, one can take a shorter time-span smaller multi within the bigger multi such as what I did. We're not talking big stakes here but the payoff can be really good ... my strategy might be that the 1st pick out of my 2 could be more of a 'sure-thing' and for that pick to be decided earlier than the 'spec' later pick. I valued my 2 picks over this weekend as equal this time, all the same. Just my thoughts moving forward.

If Jesse ends up staying it will be business as usual and he and the club will move on and get on with it. If he wants that next big long term contract wherever that might be, he'll need to perform whenever he sets foot on the ground. I can easily deal with either outcome. Like it or not, players are now commodities and commodities can be sold off or kept as assets. Either/or. No emotion, no drama, no attachment - sell or keep. Like it is with numerous individuals in sport the World over. Loyalty is a 2-way street. So it might be time for a few to take some old-school chill pills ...

Here are the other 3 replays from yesterday including one from Newmarket (UK) raced last night ... the winner of the Dewhurst Stakes (Too Darn Hot) is set for a Guineas & Derby career over there. Definitely one to watch.

Australian Group & Listed Races Best Bet Strike Rate 36: 13 - 5 - 7 And @Biffen's Sydney Qauddie fell 1 leg short first time up. Anyway, here's some replays from yesterday ... I've broken them up into 2 posts for loading purposes.

Benbatl ran just 0.46 seconds outside the 2000m track record at Caulfield yesterday carrying 59kgs at WFA level. Winx at her best should win the Cox Plate but she's got some real competition. And 'Blair House' only got beaten by Benbatl by a nose yesterday so it has real claims as well. Humidor which lost out to Winx by only half a length in last year's Cox Plate was 2.5 lengths behind Benbatl & Blair House yesterday. It is going to be one hell of a race. As for the Caulfield Cup & Melbourne Cup and even the Moonee Valley Cup, Geelong Cup & the Hotham Hcp your guess is as good as mine. There are a few locals with real claims but the overseas contingent are sure to feature including 'Yucatan' from yesterday which was very impressive.

And the notion of a combined multi is starting to serve a good purpose ... we've got a couple of days to wait Wadda but that anticipation feels good knowing that we haven't risked much and we have the cash-out option as well. And for what it's worth, the last time I won a very good amount involved a MNF NFL game so there's another omen. Well done Norway and well picked @Dee Zephyr

Hope this an omen ... At Newmarket tonight 'Norway' won the first race whilst there was another horse in the race called 'Sydney Opera House'. The racing is on the free-to-air racing channel. So come on Norway in the Nations League!

@Diamond_Jim ... here's a link (below) to the Pegasus race meeting. There has been some talk that the Everest could have the same sort of issues especially if the slot-holders keep making losses without a line-up of ready-made replacements. It should be noted that a $7Million turf race has been added to the Pegasus card and that the organisers of the event were pursuing Winx to run in the new race. Meanwhile, the Everest is set to have prize money of $15Million next year. Should they just give the race to Redzel now? ha ha Anyway, here's the link ... Pegasus World Cup

Thanks for that DZ ... did not realise it was on. Tuned in now. I've hopped on to Sha Tin tonight and am following Zac Purton by putting his mounts in a few multiple trifecta's. So far, so good!