Demon Dynasty

Easily in SG & Co's top 10 worst ever committee results. And that's saying something. T-Mac is Gawnsky and Spargo is bottom of the small man rung at the club. Goody still experimenting with the season on the line. What a donkey.

Well that's a season ending selection of ins. SG does it again. Roll on 2021.

Most looked ok to good last week W. And so they should given the team we were playing hadn't won a match to that point and of their 22 more than half (13 to be exact) were rookies vs our 5. Lockhart is playing in a similar defensive role as a rookie and doing just as well, even a tad better imv. The obvious in is Rivers for Harmes who moves into the mid to replace Jack. They play a similar game in terms of their capability to push forward and impact on the scoreboard.

No need at all. Harmes goes into the mid and Rivers comes in to cover Harmes. Was bog ordinary in a HB role anyway. Could be the tonic Harmes needs to get his mojo back and show the hierarchy where he should be getting more game time.

Pruess plays that role ok if he's in the hub. Not as well as Big M of course but as long as he's getting the ball to ground.

May should be the VC alongside Viney. Flies the flag.

Yes. He only rucks the square and plays a spoiling role a kick behind play down the line or as part of the wall. Don't see why he can't cover ruck down back most of the time as well. LJ covers anything in the arc.

Please tell me we got Pruess into the hub knowing that Big M was carrying & suffering from an injury a while back? LJ is just settling nicely in to a forward / minor ruck relief role and we are expecting him to take over a major ruck role the next week against Goldy? And T-Mac as LJ's replacement? Recipe for a solid loss if so.

Is Pruess in the hub? Surely Harmes has to go into the middle and push forward as per his past role now. Rivers comes in to replace Harmes' role.

As long as he plays mostly ruck Mr Leg. Actually a week's rest for Big Maxy in prep for the following week against his arch enemy Grundy, may not be the worst thing that could happen. A little protection also against the big body of Goldstein crashing in this week couldn't hurt. Might also give the opp a bit of a headache as they won't have alot of data / intel as to where Pruess tends to place the ball with our mids with his tap work.

OD that probably applies to about one half of our team. Imagine the ins & outs every week

Thanks Polly. Yes i reckon that's all started to change since we saw Weid replace T-Mac. Much more mobile and converting nicely. Then we've had Clarry starting to connect a little better plus the addition of Gus slowly starting to spend a tad more time in the middle. Viney pushing forward is a better alternative than majority of his time in the middle imv. Add to that Jackson finding the ball a bit last week. A fair way to go but starting to see a couple of promising positives eh. Just need Kozzie to come on now or maybe Bedford coming in and impacting at some point. Must play Kozzie closer to goal though. Not sure why he was getting any game time up the field of late. Crazy stuff at this early stage. He needs to stay deep and learn his craft ie; crumbing, kicking goals and pressuring the opp inside 50. The other issue is some of the long kicks coming out of defence from May. His medium / short kicks tend to be a bit dodgy but he does find some targets long at times which sees those on the receiving end with plenty of time/space to find options around the arc etc. Having a solid season so far.

I agree OD. ANB, Fritta, Hannan & Melk all in a similar boat i reckon. Fritta tends to do better playing off a wing at times. We lack a dangerous HF both in the air and ground level which is why i'd be getting Harmes to play more time forward and pushing Viney up there more often as well. As we saw last week that paid off a little with a couple of goals. The issue though, who else do you bring in?

Road to Finals / GF - Triple Crown Update (to Rnd 10, 2020) Vs the Crows Meters Gained Differential (looking for + 200 or more) ? +859 ✔️ Marks inside 50 Differential (any positive is a win but the higher the better) ? +6 ✔️ Contested Possession Differential (looking for a +10 or greater) ? +25 ✔️ Season Averages (the one that counts) Meters Gained Average Differential (looking for an average of + 200 or more) ? +82.5 ❌ Substantial improvement on -14.5 last week. The top five with current ladder positions in parenthesis below. It is worth noting that only the top three clubs have a +200 (or greater) average here. That's one less club than last week with the Lions dropping out of contention. We are presently lying 6th. 1. Power 414 (1st) 2. Tigers 337 (3rd) 3. Cats 229 (5th) 4. Saints 167 (2nd) 5. Lions 106 (4th) Marks inside 50 Average Differential (ideally we need to see a top 6 ranking) ? 3rd ✔️ Up two places from last week with a +1.6 average differential, equal 3rd with the Cats and the Tiges. The top 5... 1. Lions 2. Power 3. Cats 3. Demons 3. Tigers Contested Possession Average Differential (looking for +10 or more) ? +9.2 ❌ Moving up one place to No.3 from last week and just a smidgen below the required pass rate. Super close but no cigar just yet. The top 5: 1. Pies 2. Cats 3. Demons 4. Kangas 5. Lions

general soreness hopefully & the 4 day break... save him for the following match against the Pies. While Sparrow isn't Jack (yet) we can cover him off against Norf if required. Move Melk in to play more time in the middle and earn his keep for a change. Been accurate but outside of shooting at goal he's been flying under the radar without ball in hand for far too long now imv.

Hannan straight in for ANB ... No brainer. Kozzie comes in for AVB. AVB guts & determination but his footy form is a long way off and another hit to the noggin. Reckon he needs a spell. Kozzie also brings a fair bit more pressure i50 and more score involvements. Plus he gets the rare odd goal as well. AVB doesn't. I reckon we gotta cut Harley a wee bit of slack. He's been out of the game for quite a while as we all know. He'll need a block of games in his legs to find his core strength and feet. Normally you could get the yards into him at Casey but that aint happening. Along with that it'll take him a while to find touch & with that confidence both on and off the ball physically (tackling / general contact). His time on ground is increasing slowly. Keep persevering and play him off one wing as the relief player to both Tomo and Ed and i'll reckon we'll see this gem start to work his way somewhere back to his best. When that happens, Tomo & chunk will struggle to get the game time off him! Stick fat fellow minions. Harley is the Rolls Royce we need and will eventually get around the middle and coming inside 50

What's up with Jack?

Weighted Averages up to and including Rnd 10, 2020 A very rare tie and there's two of them. Can't split top of the table Clarry and Tracc. Hannan and Fritsch also. Given the variability of the inputs and 10 weeks of data that is nothing short of incredible. Possibly an omen!?? ..."ummm .... yeh nah" Player 2020 Weighted Score 2020 Rank 2019 Weighted Score % Change vs 2019 2019 Rank Change in Rank vs 2019 Christian Petracca 3.703 1 2.616 41.55 10 9 Clayton Oliver 3.703 1 4.643 -20.25 1 0 Max Gawn # 3.039 3 3.256 -6.66 4 1 Jack Viney 2.953 4 3.068 -3.75 5 1 Steven May 2.547 5 2.446 4.13 14 9 Christian Salem 2.441 6 3.448 -29.21 3 -3 Ed Langdon 2.333 7 - - - - Michael Hibberd 2.100 8 2.124 -1.13 20 12 James Harmes 2.061 9 3.850 -46.47 2 -7 Angus Brayshaw 2.044 10 2.894 -29.37 6 -4 Tom Sparrow 2.013 11 1.075 87.26 37 26 Jake Lever 1.994 12 2.313 -13.79 17 5 Oscar McDonald 1.825 13 1.877 -2.77 26 13 Harley Bennell 1.790 14 - - - - Nathan Jones 1.763 15 2.711 -34.97 8 -7 Alex N-Bullen 1.683 16 1.984 -15.17 21 5 Jay Lockhart 1.656 17 1.660 -0.24 31 14 Mitchell Hannan 1.575 18 1.325 18.87 36 18 Bayley Fritsch 1.575 18 2.641 -40.36 9 -9 Adam Tomlinson # 1.530 20 - - - - Aaron Vandenburg 1.515 21 - - - - Sam Weideman 1.450 22 1.818 -20.24 23 1 Tom McDonald # 1.430 23 2.150 -33.49 19 -4 Neville Jetta 1.305 24 2.264 -42.36 18 -6 Luke Jackson # 1.190 25 - - - - Joel Smith 1.158 26 - - - - Toby Bedford * 1.150 27 - - - - Jake Melksham 1.128 28 1.931 -41.58 23 -5 Kysaiah Pickett 1.068 29 - - - - Trent Rivers 1.033 30 - - - - Jayden Hunt 0.858 31 1.958 -56.18 22 -9 Mitchell Brown * 0.625 32 - - - - Charlie Spargo * -0.250 33 1.375 -118.18 23 -10 Average Team Score -Top 22 47.293 59.623 -20.68 # Hit outs to advantage not accounted for * Only one match...not an average score

If he continues playing that style of game LT he will be. I would show the great steps he made in this game and reinforce that game again and again. This is the promise he showed coming to reality. Rinse repeat, rinse repeat. Get the 5 top players together. Big Maxy, Tracc, Clarry, Viney and May. Show them their effort from the last 3 to 4 weeks. While there was a big gap with Port, they aren't far off beating the best on their day IF they can all bring that output together as often as possible. The rest need to lift also but if those top 5 fire more often than not and with solid support from the rest for the remainder of the season, we are headed for finals.

Weighted Average Scores - Rnd 8 through Rnd 10, 2020 Still 8% off our 2019 average team score in the last three rounds. Tracc in rocket mode vs 2019 & Clarry a fair way ahead of 2019 also once the 20% reduction in time factor is added back. Same with Viney. Lever also on the rise. Maxy a little off his best, injury no doubt taking it's toll in this block of matches. Some established senior names really struggling down low. Some not making the cut for round 10. Player Rounds 8 to 10 Weighted Score 2020 Rank 2019 Weighted Score % Change vs 2019 2019 Rank Change in Rank vs 2019 Clayton Oliver (3) 4.442 1 4.643 -4.33 1 0 Christian Petracca (3) 3.817 2 2.616 45.91 10 8 Jack Viney (3) 2.833 3 3.068 -7.66 5 2 Christian Salem (3) 2.725 4 3.448 -20.97 3 -1 Steven May (3) 2.708 5 2.446 10.71 14 9 Ed Langdon (3) 2.200 6 - - - - Jake Lever (3) 2.167 7 2.313 -6.31 17 10 Max Gawn (3) # 2.083 8 3.256 -36.03 4 -4 Angus Brayshaw (3) 2.083 8 2.894 -28.02 6 -2 Tom Sparrow (2) 2.013 10 1.075 87.26 37 27 Michael Hibberd (3) 2.000 11 2.124 -5.84 20 9 Bayley Fritsch (3) 1.933 12 2.641 -26.81 9 -3 James Harmes (3) 1.633 13 3.850 -57.58 2 -11 Harley Bennell (2) 1.425 14 - - - - Luke Jackson (3) # 1.350 15 - - - - Jake Melksham (3) 1.250 16 1.931 -35.27 23 7 Jay Lockhart (3) 1.233 17 1.660 -25.72 31 14 Sam Weideman (3) 1.208 18 1.818 -33.55 23 5 Adam Tomlinson (1) 1.200 19 - - - - Nathan Jones (3) 0.983 20 2.711 -63.74 8 -12 Kysaiah Pickett (2) 0.775 21 - - - - Oscar McDonald (2) 0.688 22 1.877 -63.35 26 4 Tom McDonald # (1) 0.600 23 2.150 -72.09 19 -4 Mitchell Hannan (2) 0.538 24 1.325 -59.40 36 12 Alex N-Bullen (1) 0.375 25 1.984 -81.10 21 -4 Aaron Vandenburg (1) 0.300 26 - - - - Neville Jetta (1) 0.250 27 2.264 -88.96 18 -9 Average Team Score -Top 22 42.749 59.623 -28.30 # Hit outs to advantage not captured Numbers in parentheses = number of games played for this data set Stats courtesy of footywire.com

Good point Stinger. The only issue is we need as many burst players escaping congestion as we can get and / or great users by hand distributing to outliers out wide so the receivers have the opportunity to use the ball nicely. With the new (old) HTB interpretation we can no longer afford to so often attempt to gather and hang on to the ball for another ball up the way chunk (and to a lessor degree Viney & Clarry) has been doing a fair bit of in his last few seasons. Gotta get moving and get it moving as much as possible under the shortened quarter format imv.

Preferably not in public PJ

Finally we have a coach who is telling it how it is and putting the AFL/ umps on notice that we've had enough. Very happy to see SG finally letting it rip in public just as Clarkson does pretty much every other press conference. Especially given we apparantly took it to the AFL behind closed doors earlier but of course, nothing changed. The club needs a strong voice both on and off the field and a united one. No more AFL whipping boy. Keep it up Mr Goodwin ?

Rnd 10, 2020 Adelaide Oval - Crows vs Demons A nice finish over the League's lowest ranked team. A win is a win but important not to get ahead of ourselves. The adjusted team score is still approx 1% off the team's 2019 average and 12% lower than 2018. This team still hasn't 'clicked' as a team as such IMHO bar for one very decent 'team' game against the Hawks, where we had Langdon, May, Clarry, Viney, Big M & Tracc all firing together at somewhere near their best. . IF that happens then we might finally see take off. Imagine if we add a very solid game last night from say Tracc and Harmes also lifts to somewhere near his 2019 best. Quite the game by Clarry. Technically the highest rated statistical output of any player this season, bettering Tracc's 5.675 against the Hawks in Rnd 7 and Viney's 5.625 in Rnd 1 against the Eagles. However there was also Max's stellar game against the Blues in Rnd 2, where he scored an incredible 5.325 (for a ruckman that's off the charts) and that figure does not include his hit outs to advantage. If we add approx 0.70 for that attribute (stab in the dark guess at it's worth) this pushes Maxy's game to potentially being the best for the year so far (statistically). Although this was a great result for Clarry, he has bettered this score on multiple occasions since i've been keeping these tables from 2018, with his best result so far (funnily enough also against the Crows in Rnd 11, 2019) a massive score of 7.35 Yes, Clarry does rack up a fair amount of "junk time" stats as they are often referred to so need to be careful how much we read into them. However, a (massive) score of 7 has only been reached/exceeded on three other occasions since season 2018...by only one player, Mr C Oliver! A lovely game by Jackson, finally finding his feet in his 5th match and a 73% improvement on his season average of 1.038. Let's look at some of those numbers a little. 6 Effectives @ 75% (AFL average approx 73%), 2 contested marks (1 of those inside 50), 3 inside 50s, 5 score involvements, 1 tackle inside 50, 2 goals AND 14 hitouts (i don't have 'to advantage' numbers). Very noice indeed from the young fella. Sparrow following up last week's handy result of 2.000 with a 2.025 Not bad at all from the young mid. Not the greatest returns from ANB and AVB here. Player Score Rank Clayton Oliver 5.925 1 Jack Viney 4.325 2 Christian Petracca 4.175 3 Steven May 2.950 4 Bayley Fritsch 2.850 5 Jake Lever 2.450 6 Angus Brayshaw 2.325 7 Max Gawn # 2.200 8 Christian Salem 2.150 9 Tom Sparrow 2.025 10 Jay Lockhart 1.925 11 Ed Langdon 1.900 12 James Harmes 1.850 13 Luke Jackson # 1.800 14 Sam Weideman 1.700 15 Harley Bennell 1.450 16 Nathan Jones 1.300 17 Adam Tomlinson 1.200 18 Michael Hibberd 1.050 19 Jake Melksham 0.950 20 Alex N-Bullen 0.375 21 Aaron Vandenberg 0.300 22 Team Score 47.175 Top 6 22.675 Bottom 6 5.175 # Hit outs to advantage not captured Stats courtesy of footywire.com