binman

We could be 4 points and more than 20% clear of the blues by the end of the round.

I think my +15 line bet is safe now.

I meant at the start of the season dd about bb. I didn't mention McAdam. On Petty I meant underdone in terms of his physical readiness no form. Which makes my point. They obviously felt it was better for Petty to fine full fitness playing AFL football not playing at VFL level. An approach consistent with my point about Selwyn's philosophy.

#demon myths

Its been that way since Burgess took over the high perfroamnce program. As evidence Selwyn has the same philosophy, just this year alone we have had Tmac, BBB, Petty, Oliver and Bowey all coming back from injury (with the first four clearly being a little underdone) and being selected in the ones as opposed to coming though the magoos. Salem will make it six such examples this weekend.

Sorry, not sure what you are referring to. You've misquoted me - fake news!

Oh yeah, so it was! Would you believe.....

Hats of to the suns, they obviously prepared super well. But it's worth noting that the cats were also playing their 3rd game in 12 days. The first was their incredibly taxing loss against the dees. Six days later, they come out flat as a tack on a chilly friday night in geellong against port, flighting their way back to a close loss in another taxing match. Six days later they are playing their third game in 12 days in 30 plus degree heat and humidity just about as far north from kardinia Park as you can get. Without their two best players and choosing to rest others. Great preparation by the suns, they obviously set themselves for the darwin double, a ground they have won their last 5 at by an average of 50 plus points. But the cats simply could not handle those conditions at all - totally gassed from the get go. Witches hats. Makes our effort in similar conditions against the swans look more meritorious.

Optus stadium's first season was 2018. So six, seasons - this season being the 4th. Ten games. Seven wins. Including two of the all time great demon wins - Tmac's the prelim and Grand Final wins in 2021. Unfortunately I've only been to one game at Optus oval. Our last in 2018.

Against us they were off. Against Port he ranted about the umpires. Scott bingo. What will his excuse be in this presser? I'm picking schedule. Conditions are tough.

Cats have giants next week.

But there might be some pumping up the sun's strategy. Back to back games in Darwin, off a 5 day break. They rested 5 players I think.

Are you watching the sun cats game?

Won't be many pumping up the cats strategy of managing players after the last three games.

The cats have currently lost a tick under 13%.

This has now actually become a pretty big game for us. Cats could end up losing 10% plus. Say we add 3 or 4%. We finish tge round equal points with the cats, and 13% plus clear. And the blues play the swans at the scg. The blues are also on 24 points but are only on 109% If the blues lose, we could be a game and 15% plus clear of them. That's a big gap for the blues to fall behind us Dogs beating the giants would be the cherry on top.

Live ladder has cats second on 28 points, with their percentage dropping to 112.5. We are 24 points on 121.1%. Keep going suns.

We broke the Cats.

C'mon be fair. Scotty's right, they're a bit off. Maybe they are sick of losing.

11.05 am?

I reckon billings and woey will split it, with woey taking tge defensive end.

By the by, the punting money has us winning by 29 - a five goal win. William makes a reasonable for under a two goal win. Worth keeping in mind if say we win win by 5 goals in so far as tempering the inevitable cries of 'a good team would beat this mob by 10 goals, wasted opportunity to boost percentage'.

I'm guessing layzie, but for the wingers and hhfs I think you are right that it is more likely option b. Their 'zone' is a lane extending end to end. But option a would reflect the role of other positions, though I doubt it's patch's of grass so to speak but rather 'shape' and where they need to be/should in that shape or grid. Watching from behind and above the goals you can really see that shape, and see players behind the ball pointing to teamates to cover a particular area (patch of grass if you will). The most obvious example is a defender playing the goal keeper role. That might be one the defefenders main job (usuallya big), but all defenders would have responsibility to make sure someone gets back, for example if the main player can't.

Interesting prediction on the winning margin being 9 points. The betting line, an excellent predictive indicator, gives us a 29 point handicap (ie -29 for us and +29 for the Eagles). If you agree with William's prediction, and like a bet, then the Eagles at the line is crazy good value. Personally I think the line is about right.

Quote not edit.