Everything posted by binman
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COVID & AFL 2021
To be clear I meant the comment from Gladys was disingenuous, not rjay's
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“Winning” is the new drug
Love it. Some first impressions feedback: On the smartphone app the MFC news comes first. Personally i would put all the aggregated 'other' news (eg age/HUN articles about the dees) first and MFC stuff last Why? becuase i would go the MFC website for all that stuff (and their videos, podcast etc etc) ie it is already aggregated (and can pop it on autoplay) - which i can't do obviously for news from multiple media outlets In fact i would consider not having any official MFC stuff on there as there is heaps and it is distracts from all the other stuff (and from a club perspective they may prefer not to lose traffic to their site?) the videos i would like aggregated in one spot is the YouTube channels that have bespoke edits of games, shows, clips etc etc. Lace out is an excellent example I might of missed it, but if not, i would absolutely put up a link to the Dees bible - Demonwiki
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COVID & AFL 2021
That is such an incredibly disingenuous comment. Not to mention dangerous As Dan Andrews said today the modelling by the Doherty Institute is predicted on low daily community transmission case numbers, not numbers in the hundreds.
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COVID & AFL 2021
Spot on. With one exception. Tomorrow is day one a 14 day lock down as the current one was scheduled to finish tonight at 11:59pm. I'm actually quietly confident that if we have some luck we'll get it down close to zero. The engagement party does not seem to have been so called super spreader event (it was 8 days ago, attendees started to get test on Sunday, when the first positive test came and in and and surely all have been tested by now) and at this stage, as you say, they have very good handle on chains of transmission. Of course all depends on no further mystery case breaches from NSW, people doing the right thing and a healthy dose of luck.
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Finals 2021
That is a function of the betting pool and how much has already been bet on the Cats Around the time of the bye rounds kicking off the Dogs, dees and cats were essentially all equal favorites for the flag. In the 3-4 weeks post that period we were perceived to be struggling and the dogs had come off the boil. However the Cats were unbeaten in that same period and the money came for them, and punters were not keen on the dogs and the dees. The weight of money meant the cats became favorites at around $4 (where they remain). Three weeks ago, prior to the Suns game, we were $5.50 and i think the dogs $4.50. I know that because I took the $5.50 ten minutes before the Suns game started on the logic that it represented great value as i was confident we would win our next two games and tighten considerably. Regardless of the result on Friday night the Cats are likely to drift, as punters will back the winner and increase the pool and decrease the cats percentage of that pool (essentially maintaining the bookies profit margin). If Port are impressive they will come in and the same goes for the dogs If we win this week punters will back us and the Cats will likely drift again. Particularly if they end up having to play Port at Adelaide oval as even more money will bt on Port in that scenario. I think we will win and the dogs will win. If that occurs i suspect we will be slight favorites for the flag at $4 and the dogs second favorite at $4.20. The dogs will be aprox $5.50 and Port remain at $6.50. If you are punter, the $4.50 you can get on the dees atm still represents great value. We are the best team in the AFL and we are in the best shape injury wise of any team too. If i was framing a fresh market (ie no money in the pool yet) i would have dees $3.50 favourites.
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CHANGES: Rd 23 vs Geelong
Yep, that's the likely changes. Not sure melksham could be considered unlucky if he comes out though.
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Finals 2021
Its actually narrower i think. Which is weird. Cricket is the only other team sport that comes to mind that does not have uniform size playing field.
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Richo’s Praise of Luke Jackson
Or alternatively he will keep getting better and better and like almost every big before him hit his peak around 26-28 years old.....
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Richo’s Praise of Luke Jackson
That's a really good comparison. Both super athletic, super competitors, love to be where the football, crazy good lateral movement for talls and big x factor. Interestingly Schwarter was also gun junior basketballer. By leap do you mean LJ doesn't have Schwarter's leap or vice versa?
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CHANGES: Rd 23 vs Geelong
You could try doing what that fella did in the England v India test - come onto the ground in a full playing kit. Park yourself at full forward, Barwon river end.
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CHANGES: Rd 23 vs Geelong
Only inside both teams 50 metre arc.
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CHANGES: Rd 23 vs Geelong
I disagree on both these points A F. Faded in the second half, but I thought he was our best defender in the first half. And i don't recall being out of position or undermining our defensive structure (certainly not repeatedly) being an issue at all. From a structural perspective we missed May, but Smith wasn't playing his role really. No one was. So that no doubt created some structural challenges for the defence. We will need to replace Hunt's overlap run and carry and i I think they took the opportunity to give Smith a run with view to assessing if he might be a good replacement for Hunt. And he played accordingly, meaning he was zoning off, providing a link option for handballs, provising some run and carry overlap, using his pace to impact marking contests and getting up the ground. For me Smith is chance of coming into the side at the expense of Hibberd. Hibbo is the incumbent and deservedly so. And in all likelihood keeps Smith out. But he is slower than Smith and Smith can impact aerial contests better, so Smith is definitely in the frame for a finals gig. It might end up being be horses for courses a bit. Hibbo's best games this year have been going one one one with gun strong mid sized forwards - like Papley and Martin. Hibbo will get selected this week and likely go to Dangerfield when he goes forward. Looking at the other top 5 teams, Port has Robbie Gray we would need to Hibbo to lock down, but the dogs and lions don't really have an equivalent player. So maybe Smith comes in if we play one of those two teams.
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Finals 2021
Its funny you should post that DL. As a glass half full sort, i was thinking that no pre finals bye would actually work in our favour given our fitness, but in particular how healthy our loss is (touch wood). Not sure about the Power, but the dogs and Cats are limping along a bit and would love that extra week to get prepared for the qualifying finals. I've never liked the pre finals bye, not that has been an issue for us! It is important to remember why it was brought in - which was primarily to stop teams sending out a b team in the last round in dead rubbers to keep players fresh for the finals. The trigger was freo under lyon dong juts that against the hawks down in tassie. It was stupid knee jerk decision In the years since there has been some revisionism and it is often said the benefit of it is that teams have their best shot of having their best team on the park in the first week of finals. And by doing so creating a more level playing field. But that is actually the key reason i don't like it. Teams who have prepared well, are fit and are in ok shape injury wise (through luck and/or good management) are disadvantaged. And teams that win the qualifying final then have two week break before the prelim. So lets say the team that finishes top, has an easy win again the team that finished 4th. And lest say they had dead rubber in round 23. Come the prelim they might have only played one tough game in 5 weeks - two if the qualifying final is tough. The stat swamp highlights seem to support the contention the pre finals bye disadvantages the top 4 teams
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My 3 word player analysis V Adelaide
Smith - didn't surprise binman
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GAMEDAY: Rd 22 vs Adelaide
Fair points. It was more about tbe form we were in come finals. We were red hot. And there was no standout team that year. We smashed Sydney and the roos in the finals And weren't we 40 odd points up at half time in the crows game? And they went in to win the flag. Have I got the year right?
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GAMEDAY: Rd 22 vs Adelaide
That was the year we should have won the flag. And I always thought if jarman had not refused to come to us in 1988, and instead sit out the season so he could get to the hawks in 89, we might have had a shot such was ability.
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NON MFC: Rd 22 2021
Not now. Jixed them
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NON MFC: Rd 22 2021
Could not believe the tigers were favourite with bookies for this game. So I backed them to win ay 2.20. And to win by more than 39 at 14
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Finals 2021
Can't get much more west than that!
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Joel Smith signs on for 2022
Smith will make it.
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MFC player racially abused on social media - club statement
If only he had hadn't abandoned his art....
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Luke ‘dogga’ Jackson rising star favourite
Likable bloke. Assuming you like stoners. He is hilarious o Gus and Gawny. And his post match interview with Eddie and co after the eagles game was equally hilarious. I was thinking that he could well be the long lost son of the Jeff 'the dude' Lebowski
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COVID & AFL 2021
The covid related resource drain on state police forces - time and money - in the last 18 months must be insane. Good time to be a crim. Though perhaps not of the organised variety given the anon sting and lack of international travel disrupting supply chains
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AFL TRADE NEWS AND RUMOURS
Matched only by a thread about the permutations and predictions of how we can sneak into the 8.
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COVID & AFL 2021
Agree. Surely the ADF could play a role in that space.