binman

Alright. Let's compromise. A draw for the lions. And Port get smashed by the cats and the 75% of the footy media air time is absorbed with questions like how much impact did the Allir stuff have, are port unravelling, will Kenny now nor get resigned, etc etc.

Yes, well, the million dollar question. West Coast are not going to want say, and without being too disrespectful to him,a player at Dunstan's level. They need a player like jj, who is close to best 22 in our team, is young and would walk straight into their midfield. And probably gets a bigger and longer contact than we can give him But that's where my lack of knowledge about drafting and trading comes in. Maybe pick 4, 15 and jj is too much?

Because he looks so good? I'm clueless about all the draft and trading machinations, but one advantage we might have is the suggestion he has told the Eagles he will do a Horne Francis if they draft him (which apparently his manager has flatly denied) The Eagles have pick one and of course will want him. But if they are worried he might bail after two seasons, then perhaps they might figure a couple of first rounders, say pick 4 and 15, and a decent player might be of more value to them - particularly because they will be in a rebuild phase and they need to be bring in multiple quality players (which is where we landed when we decided to go with Hunt and Salo rather Josh Kelly)

Just heard that Farrell and Dixon are both out from their selected side. Four of their best 22 out from last week will make it hard for Port.

I'm torn on that front, in the sense that i'm of the view that wherever possible any penalties should be clear prior to the infraction, not post the event. Sometimes that may not be possible if the infraction is totally random or impossible to predict it might occur. Can't really think of an example, but this is 100% not one of them. Players being allowed to come back on after being concussed because the club doc okays it has been a risk that has been discussed ad infinitum ever since the concussion protocols came in. That is at the heart of the discussion about taking it out of the club's hands and have an AFL doc make the call. So there should have been clear schedule of penalties in place PRIOR to the Allir incident. That way they have the investigation and apply the appropriate penalty - just as is the case with the MRO. And in my opinion the ONLY penalty that will have any deterrent effect is loss of premiership points. Using the Alir example that might have been worth a loss of 4 points, with 4 points suspended to add to any future infractions (for say 5 years). Does anyone seriously believe if such a penalty was in place that Port wouldn't have 100% made sure a SCATT test was done? I'm not shocked that the AFL hasn't come out and said NOW, going forward any such infraction will cost premiership points. Why? because their governance of the game is all over the shop. A question for the AFL. What happens if a very similar scenario happens this weekend? Let's say a team on the bubble of making the finals doesn't do a test on a player that gets a glancing head knock, that player comes back on and later it become clear that player had been concussed. Is the penalty 100k (with half in the soft cap) because that is what Port copped? Would any other penalty be fair? Given making finals might mean at least 100k in additional revenue, is a 100k fine actually a deterrent in that scenario?

Blimey. I thought he was a forward? Looks like the bont with his skills in the middle.

Nah, we will win our last four and pass lions the lions on percentage - even if they beat Freo and happen to beat the pies at Marvel (which i think they may well do). What we need is a high scoring bruising, niggly encounter that the lions win by a point. Though i'd take a draw. And i wouldn't mind Zorko getting weeks for hitting however tags Neale out of the game and/or gets into his face all game about being a loud mouthed, whining thug. The Freo Lions game is late Sunday arvo in Perth, which means a late flight out of Perth for the the lions and players back in their own beds at 3am on the Monday. The Lions play the crows at the gabba on the following Saturday, so a six day break. They are favs for that game, but the Crows, who have a 7 day break, won't be easy to beat.

Personally, i'm not a big fan of copping them!

And where will 50k be cut? Not in an area they think had a direct bearing on winning and losing. At footy clubs it will be in areas like player welfare. Or comms. So the players and fans wear The brunt of the fine. Typical

Trump logic is not to stick with anyone.

So did I.

I think mick mcguane misunderstood the loading memo

Empty your pockets. I said #$%@## empty your pockets tinker bell.

We win a flag and get pick 4? What sorcery is this?

He's being traded to rhe cats?

Goofy thinks he's human.

Exactly. As goody has said many times its not about one flag. It's about being in contention to win a flag for years. The club has been brilliant under goofy in terms of ensuring young players are brought into the team. Sparrow, koz and Bowey are terrific examples. Played in a flag as kids. Will all be senior players in three years time. Mcvee and jvr are on the same path.

My tip for the bench: Spargo Sparrow Petty Hibberd Smith (sub) Meaning woey, harmes and tomo dropped.

Spargo and Chandler plsy different roles.. I suspect spargo comes in for Woey, who had been playing spargo's role.

Indeed. There's no mystery why they promote multis to the exclusion of almost every other bet type. And bet with mates? Please. Another way to throw money at em

Some random reflections of this terrific data: The ratings reflect what the eyes said - a super high quality game, with both teams playing out of their skin The tigers are outsiders against the dogs at Marvel, but that ratings suggests they should almost go in as favs given the dogs gave up a half time 5 goal lead in must win game (albeit against team, the giants, who i really rate) - i happened to just listen to the catch up of Hoyne from Champion Data on (i really like his analysis - in large part because i agree with most of it!) and he made the point it is not who you play, its how you play Whilst the tigers played great, their bets players fell in a hole in the last q - and for me it is further evidence of how critical fitness is and the relationship between player ratings and fitness (in the sense that i'm sure players like Soldo and Dusty's ratings would have fallen off cliff in the last because they barely touched it and they looked completely gassed Related to the above point the high ratings in this game tracks with the graph you put up DD with the player ratings mirroring our loading phases in 2021, 2022 and again this year (ie great rounds 1-9, poor middle of the season, on the rise as we approach finals) I'm surprised at how low Langer's ratings for this game Nibbler (who by the by is our 13th highest ranked player, which might surprise many) keeps on keeping on I love this data - thanks so much for going to the effort of posting it (same goes for Wheelo and Demon Dynasty)

Good question, not sure of the answer, but i'm pretty sure they call it Mariah. Or perhaps if it's bending down to give us a rainbow, everyone knows it's Windy.

Objective update on the probability of us winning our last four games Prior to the Crows game, based on the bookies odds for that game and the Tigers game and my estimate of the likely odds in the remaining games (because the bookies only field markets for the next two upcoming games), the odds of us winning our remaining 6 home and away games was a tick over: 9-1. After the Crows win, using the same formula, those odds dropped to: 5-1. We have four games to go. The bookies have us at 1.10 to beat the Roos, 1.60 to beat the blues (which by the by i had estimated the price would be 1.70 in my calculations for the odds above) and i'm estimating our price for the Hawks game will 1.40 and the Swans game 1.70. So 1.10 x 1.60 x 1.40 x 1.70 = 4.188. That translates, after our win over the tiges, the odd of us winning out final four games as aprox: 3-1. I said prior to the Crows and Tigers games i thought we would go unbeaten for the remainder of the season. And, unsurprisingly i still think we will. There's actually no market for the bet (ie dees to win its last four games), but if there was i wouldn't take 3-1. Why? Because I think 3-1 is pretty close to the true odds of us winning our final four games and therefore there is no value. 3-1 seems pretty short. But what's important to remember is that at those odds the probability of us winning our final four games is 25%. So 75% chance of not winning our final four games.

So do I. I would prefer he was playing. For one thing is he is past it, his recent slight up tick in form notwithstanding. For another, carrying a player who can't cover territory or is as slow as buddy now is, puts them behind the 8 ball because the clicks have to covered by the rest of the team. And May matches up perfectly on buddy as evidenced by the fact he has given him a complete bath every time he has played on him since may came to the dees. I'd have to look it up, but I doubt buddy has kicked mutiple goals against the dees more than two or three times in the last seven years.

My take too.