WheeloRatings

16 premierships yes and they're in the graphic on 16 from 2000, but they've only won 14 grand finals 😉 Essendon won two premierships without winning a grand final, in 1897 and 1924.

I have produced a 99 page Brownlow Medal guide based on my model's predictions and 20,000 simulations of the model. You can download it from the following page: https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_brownlow.html My model has Petracca 4th favourite to poll most votes at 17.0% (17.8% to win, ignoring ineligible players) and second favourite to poll in the most games. I have Daicos favourite to poll most votes at 33.6% (35.6% to win) but unlikely to poll after round 18. Here are my top 4: Daicos 33.6% to poll most votes (35.6% to win) Bontempelli 26.0% (27.5%) Butters 21.6% (22.8%) Petracca 17.0% (17.8%) I plan on posting updated probabilities during the count under the following account on X/Twitter:

They're not publically available, but here are some Melbourne handball received stats. Most handballs received, Melbourne 2023 Total Most received from Jack Viney 234 Christian Petracca (29) Lachie Hunter 224 Christian Petracca (26) Angus Brayshaw 217 Jack Viney (28) Christian Petracca 206 Clayton Oliver (20) Ed Langdon 203 Jack Viney (19) Trent Rivers 187 Angus Brayshaw (19) Tom Sparrow 171 Christian Petracca (22) Clayton Oliver 148 Christian Petracca (18) Alex Neal-Bullen 137 Christian Petracca (23) Judd McVee 131 Jake Lever (14) Christian Salem 128 Lachie Hunter (21) Jake Bowey 112 Ed Langdon (17) James Jordon 108 Christian Petracca (12) Steven May 81 Jake Lever (13) Jake Lever 79 Angus Brayshaw (10) Kade Chandler 79 Christian Petracca (10) Brodie Grundy 68 Clayton Oliver (11) Max Gawn 64 Angus Brayshaw (8) Kysaiah Pickett 57 Christian Petracca (6) Bayley Fritsch 48 Kysaiah Pickett (8) Most handballs, Melbourne 2023 Total Received Most received by Christian Petracca 344 76.5% Jack Viney (29) Jack Viney 299 70.2% Angus Brayshaw (28) Angus Brayshaw 269 78.8% Lachie Hunter (24) Lachie Hunter 230 77.0% Angus Brayshaw (24) Clayton Oliver 229 79.0% Christian Petracca (20) Ed Langdon 218 81.2% Jack Viney (18) Trent Rivers 191 76.4% Lachie Hunter (17) Tom Sparrow 182 81.3% Jack Viney (18) Alex Neal-Bullen 158 73.4% Christian Petracca (13) Jake Lever 145 86.9% Angus Brayshaw (15) Max Gawn 144 77.1% Angus Brayshaw (15) Brodie Grundy 143 70.6% Christian Petracca (10), Lachie Hunter (10) Judd McVee 128 91.4% Ed Langdon (16) James Jordon 122 86.9% Christian Petracca (14) Kade Chandler 122 79.5% Lachie Hunter (16) Jake Bowey 112 78.6% Lachie Hunter (12) Christian Salem 106 72.6% Trent Rivers (9) Jacob van Rooyen 84 79.8% Lachie Hunter (11) Steven May 75 80.0% Angus Brayshaw (6), Christian Salem (6), Jake Bowey (6), Lachie Hunter (6) Kysaiah Pickett 72 77.8% Bayley Fritsch (8) Highest combination, Melbourne 2023 Handballer Received By Total Christian Petracca Jack Viney 29 Jack Viney Angus Brayshaw 28 Christian Petracca Lachie Hunter 26 Angus Brayshaw Lachie Hunter 24 Lachie Hunter Angus Brayshaw 24 Christian Petracca Alex Neal-Bullen 23 Christian Petracca Angus Brayshaw 23 Angus Brayshaw Jack Viney 22 Christian Petracca Tom Sparrow 22 Lachie Hunter Christian Salem 21 Clayton Oliver Christian Petracca 20 Angus Brayshaw Trent Rivers 19 Jack Viney Ed Langdon 19 Christian Petracca Clayton Oliver 18 Ed Langdon Jack Viney 18 Tom Sparrow Jack Viney 18 Christian Petracca Trent Rivers 17 Clayton Oliver Lachie Hunter 17 Ed Langdon Jake Bowey 17 Ed Langdon Tom Sparrow 17 Ed Langdon Trent Rivers 17 Jack Viney Christian Petracca 17 Trent Rivers Lachie Hunter 17

I have had a look at the retention for Melbourne players kicking inside 50 this season, and funnily enough, Clarry was #1 (although only 1 in 6 of his kicks directly resulted in a mark or free). The best at hitting a target (mark or free kick) were Spargo (36%), Pickett (38%), McVee (35%), and Chandler (36%). Spargo was actually #1 in the AFL (50+ kicks) for overall retention in both 2021 and 2022 (66% in both seasons)! Below are a few tables including all Melbourne players this season. Please note that this is all based on my own calculations from the underlying data that I have access to - it is not the official Champion Data retention stats but should be indicative. Here are the descriptions of the columns in the tables. Kicks: kicks inside 50 Retained Total: % of kicks inside 50 where the next possession was won by a teammate or the kick itself went through for a goal. Mark/Free: % of kicks inside 50 where a teammate marked the kick or won a free kick. Chain Goal: % of kicks inside 50 where the chain resulted in a goal. Not Retained Opp. Poss.: % of kicks inside 50 where the next possession was won by an opposition player. Stopp.: % of kicks inside 50 where no player won possession and there was a stoppage (including ball ups and out of bounds). Behind: % of kicks inside 50 where the kick itself went through for a behind (including rushed). Melbourne Players (20+ kicks), 2023 Kicks Retained Not Retained Total Mark/ Free Chain Goal Opp. Poss. Stopp. Behind Clayton Oliver 71 59.2% 16.9% 22.5% 33.8% 7.0% 0.0% Charlie Spargo 25 56.0% 36.0% 28.0% 32.0% 12.0% 0.0% Lachie Hunter 89 52.8% 28.1% 16.9% 38.2% 9.0% 0.0% Christian Salem 40 52.5% 25.0% 7.5% 45.0% 2.5% 0.0% Kysaiah Pickett 42 50.0% 38.1% 33.3% 33.3% 14.3% 2.4% Alex Neal-Bullen 75 49.3% 24.0% 21.3% 41.3% 6.7% 2.7% Trent Rivers 71 49.3% 23.9% 21.1% 33.8% 12.7% 4.2% Bayley Fritsch 41 48.8% 24.4% 19.5% 34.1% 17.1% 0.0% Christian Petracca 120 48.3% 22.5% 23.3% 31.7% 15.0% 5.0% Judd McVee 23 47.8% 34.8% 34.8% 43.5% 8.7% 0.0% Kade Chandler 44 47.7% 36.4% 20.5% 31.8% 18.2% 2.3% Steven May 34 47.1% 29.4% 5.9% 41.2% 11.8% 0.0% James Jordon 38 44.7% 23.7% 13.2% 42.1% 13.2% 0.0% Jack Viney 118 44.1% 16.1% 20.3% 44.1% 11.0% 0.8% Jake Bowey 38 42.1% 18.4% 10.5% 36.8% 18.4% 2.6% Angus Brayshaw 65 41.5% 15.4% 15.4% 41.5% 16.9% 0.0% Tom Sparrow 62 40.3% 19.4% 17.7% 45.2% 14.5% 0.0% Max Gawn 70 38.6% 10.0% 10.0% 42.9% 12.9% 5.7% Jake Melksham 26 38.5% 15.4% 19.2% 57.7% 3.8% 0.0% Ed Langdon 73 37.0% 12.3% 9.6% 53.4% 8.2% 1.4% Brodie Grundy 33 36.4% 12.1% 3.0% 51.5% 9.1% 3.0% Jake Lever 26 26.9% 15.4% 11.5% 57.7% 15.4% 0.0% Melbourne by Round, 2023 Kicks Retained Not Retained Total Mark/ Free Chain Goal Opp. Poss. Stopp. Behind Round 1 v WB 55 54.5% 29.1% 29.1% 32.7% 12.7% 0.0% Round 2 v Bris 51 49.0% 21.6% 23.5% 29.4% 19.6% 2.0% Round 3 v Syd 52 53.8% 21.2% 26.9% 30.8% 13.5% 1.9% Round 4 v WC 58 55.2% 27.6% 25.9% 36.2% 6.9% 1.7% Round 5 v Ess 41 34.1% 9.8% 14.6% 48.8% 17.1% 0.0% Round 6 v Rich 48 37.5% 27.1% 20.8% 54.2% 8.3% 0.0% Round 7 v NM 57 56.1% 22.8% 26.3% 33.3% 8.8% 1.8% Round 8 v GC 53 34.0% 18.9% 15.1% 54.7% 11.3% 0.0% Round 9 v Haw 62 58.1% 30.6% 19.4% 30.6% 6.5% 4.8% Round 10 v Port 45 51.1% 20.0% 17.8% 42.2% 6.7% 0.0% Round 11 v Frem 53 47.2% 18.9% 15.1% 37.7% 15.1% 0.0% Round 12 v Carl 56 42.9% 25.0% 10.7% 39.3% 16.1% 1.8% Round 13 v Coll 56 41.1% 25.0% 12.5% 42.9% 12.5% 3.6% Round 15 v Geel 51 37.3% 13.7% 11.8% 33.3% 21.6% 7.8% Round 16 v GWS 66 34.8% 7.6% 3.0% 48.5% 16.7% 0.0% Round 17 v St K 42 45.2% 26.2% 26.2% 45.2% 7.1% 2.4% Round 18 v Bris 50 48.0% 26.0% 18.0% 44.0% 8.0% 0.0% Round 19 v Adel 50 56.0% 26.0% 26.0% 40.0% 4.0% 0.0% Round 20 v Rich 63 42.9% 23.8% 22.2% 41.3% 12.7% 3.2% Round 21 v NM 65 44.6% 23.1% 20.0% 43.1% 10.8% 1.5% Round 22 v Carl 40 45.0% 20.0% 17.5% 42.5% 10.0% 2.5% Round 23 v Haw 56 48.2% 26.8% 17.9% 39.3% 10.7% 1.8% Round 24 v Syd 50 42.0% 18.0% 12.0% 44.0% 14.0% 0.0% Round 25 v Coll 61 41.0% 16.4% 9.8% 44.3% 9.8% 4.9% Round 26 v Carl 48 45.8% 18.8% 14.6% 43.8% 8.3% 2.1% Melbourne by Season Kicks Retained Not Retained Total Mark/ Free Chain Goal Opp. Poss. Stopp. Behind 2021 1301 46.9% 23.2% 19.4% 35.3% 14.2% 3.6% 2022 1233 46.5% 21.2% 18.2% 35.3% 15.4% 2.8% 2023 1329 45.9% 21.8% 18.1% 40.7% 11.6% 1.8% Teams, 2023 Kicks Retained Not Retained Total Mark/ Free Chain Goal Opp. Poss. Stopp. Behind Adelaide 1164 49.6% 23.9% 21.1% 34.2% 12.9% 3.4% Essendon 1066 48.6% 22.9% 18.9% 38.9% 10.0% 2.4% Port Adelaide 1337 47.9% 24.2% 18.6% 36.0% 12.8% 3.3% Geelong 1098 47.9% 26.9% 20.7% 37.5% 12.6% 2.0% Greater Western Sydney 1339 47.6% 23.0% 18.1% 37.6% 12.5% 2.3% Brisbane 1241 47.2% 24.4% 20.2% 35.9% 13.8% 3.1% Richmond 1128 46.9% 24.3% 17.8% 38.3% 12.1% 2.7% Collingwood 1203 46.9% 24.9% 21.8% 36.7% 13.5% 3.0% Sydney 1178 46.7% 21.6% 18.6% 38.0% 11.4% 3.9% Melbourne 1329 45.9% 21.8% 18.1% 40.7% 11.6% 1.8% Western Bulldogs 1173 45.4% 22.7% 17.9% 37.4% 14.2% 2.9% Fremantle 1063 44.5% 22.9% 18.8% 39.0% 14.2% 2.3% Carlton 1281 44.3% 23.1% 19.2% 37.5% 14.5% 3.7% Gold Coast 1149 44.3% 20.6% 18.7% 39.6% 13.0% 3.1% St Kilda 1180 44.0% 20.2% 16.4% 44.2% 10.3% 1.4% West Coast 926 43.7% 21.5% 16.4% 39.2% 14.6% 2.5% Hawthorn 1053 43.2% 22.2% 17.1% 40.5% 13.3% 3.0% North Melbourne 1004 43.0% 20.1% 17.9% 41.6% 12.8% 2.5% Top 20 AFL players (50+ kicks), 2023 Kicks Retained Not Retained Total Mark/ Free Chain Goal Opp. Poss. Stopp. Behind Gryan Miers (Geel) 84 61.9% 45.2% 36.9% 28.6% 9.5% 0.0% Darcy Byrne-Jones (Port) 51 60.8% 45.1% 21.6% 21.6% 17.6% 0.0% Dayne Zorko (Bris) 66 60.6% 34.8% 22.7% 24.2% 10.6% 4.5% Jack Ross (Rich) 52 59.6% 32.7% 28.8% 34.6% 3.8% 1.9% Clayton Oliver (Melb) 71 59.2% 16.9% 22.5% 33.8% 7.0% 0.0% Jason Horne-Francis (Port) 77 58.4% 27.3% 22.1% 32.5% 7.8% 1.3% Dion Prestia (Rich) 61 57.4% 27.9% 21.3% 26.2% 16.4% 0.0% Willem Drew (Port) 82 57.3% 24.4% 22.0% 31.7% 11.0% 0.0% Brayden Maynard (Coll) 56 57.1% 32.1% 19.6% 32.1% 7.1% 3.6% Scott Pendlebury (Coll) 76 56.6% 31.6% 28.9% 32.9% 10.5% 0.0% Zach Merrett (Ess) 100 56.0% 30.0% 20.0% 33.0% 10.0% 1.0% Brent Daniels (GWS) 61 55.7% 26.2% 21.3% 29.5% 11.5% 3.3% Kieren Briggs (GWS) 54 55.6% 14.8% 22.2% 29.6% 13.0% 1.9% Nic Martin (Ess) 58 55.2% 36.2% 25.9% 37.9% 6.9% 0.0% Patrick Dangerfield (Geel) 100 55.0% 31.0% 23.0% 34.0% 11.0% 0.0% Jordan Dawson (Adel) 131 55.0% 29.0% 26.0% 31.3% 9.2% 4.6% Hugh McCluggage (Bris) 102 54.9% 30.4% 19.6% 30.4% 13.7% 1.0% Ben Keays (Adel) 64 54.7% 21.9% 34.4% 31.2% 12.5% 1.6% Archie Perkins (Ess) 72 54.2% 20.8% 30.6% 31.9% 9.7% 4.2% Cam Rayner (Bris) 67 53.7% 35.8% 25.4% 31.3% 11.9% 3.0%

Here are the official player ratings with a breakdown by quarter.

Melbourne v Carlton (Semi Finals, 2023) https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20232601 Key Team Stats Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff Disposal Efficiency 66.3 71.7 -5.4 Kicking Efficiency 57.9 65.4 -7.5 Metres Gained 6013 6226 -213 Inside 50s 53 52 +1 Shots At Goal 28 21 +7 Shots Per Inside 50 52.8 40.4 +12.4 Contested Possessions 153 137 +16 Ground Ball Gets 110 86 +24 Intercepts 92 84 +8 Intercept Marks 27 22 +5 Centre Clearances 8 13 -5 Stoppage Clearances 28 20 +8 Contested Marks 15 12 +3 Marks Inside 50 10 9 +1 Hitouts 38 29 +9 Hitouts To Advantage 7 8 -1 Tackles 49 64 -15 Tackles Inside 50 10 8 +2 Def One On One Loss % 18.2 27.3 -9.1 Pressure Team pressure Quarter For Against 1 187 195 2 172 204 3 166 158 4 187 196 Match 178 189 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average* Clayton Oliver 28 72 60.7 Alex Neal-Bullen 26 64 46.5 Tom Sparrow 25 57 44.2 Christian Salem 17 39 31.6 Charlie Spargo 13 39 26.0 Jack Viney 15 38 54.8 Kade Chandler 12 32 30.4 James Jordon 14 28 24.2 Joel Smith 14 28 19.9 Tom McDonald 13 26 24.9 Christian Petracca 12 23 45.0 Kysaiah Pickett 12 22 41.4 Lachie Hunter 11 22 23.0 Ed Langdon 13 19 27.5 Trent Rivers 12 19 22.9 Adam Tomlinson 8 19 14.7 Max Gawn 10 16 21.8 Bayley Fritsch 7 14 18.7 Judd McVee 7 13 17.8 Jake Bowey 4 9 21.5 Jake Lever 6 8 14.6 Steven May 2 5 14.3 Josh Schache 0 0 8.7 * Pressure points for rounds 4 and 6 have not been able to be sourced from the Herald Sun. Pressure points for these matches have been estimated from the number of pressure acts for each player. Source: Herald Sun Time in Forward Half Quarter For Against 1 44% 56% 2 47% 53% 3 63% 37% 4 59% 41% Match 55% 45% Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations. Score Sources Summary Score sources highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Category For Against Diff G B T G B T Kick-in 0 1 1 0 1 1 +0 Centre Bounce 1 0 6 3 0 18 -12 Stoppage (Other) 4 3 27 2 0 12 +15 Turnover 4 13 37 6 6 42 -5 Category For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in 1 2.4 1 2.2 Centre Bounce 6 10.9 18 9.0 Stoppage (Other) 27 23.6 12 19.4 Turnover 37 51.2 42 41.1 Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Carlton. Category Region For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in D50 1 2.4 1 2.2 Centre Bounce Centre 6 10.9 18 9.0 Stoppage (Other) D50 0 0.5 0 1.8 Stoppage (Other) Centre 7 2.8 0 1.1 Stoppage (Other) Wing 12 12.2 12 6.6 Stoppage (Other) F50 8 8.0 0 9.9 Turnover D50 7 11.3 18 7.0 Turnover Centre 1 7.2 1 6.2 Turnover Wing 26 26.4 21 20.6 Turnover F50 3 6.3 2 7.3 Region For Against Match Season Match Season D50 8 14.2 19 11.0 Centre 14 21.0 19 16.4 Wing 38 38.6 33 27.2 F50 11 14.4 2 17.2 Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season 24 32.8 38 24.8 Shots at goal Team Shots G B T Acc. General Play Melbourne 15 4 9 33 26.7 Carlton 8 3 2 20 37.5 Set Position Melbourne 13 5 6 36 38.5 Carlton 13 8 4 52 61.5 Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2023 % 2022 % Clayton Oliver 23 96 81.4 86.5 Max Gawn 21 88 64.9 65.5 Jack Viney 20 83 72.1 74.6 Christian Petracca 13 54 61.1 74.6 Tom Sparrow 11 46 44.9 32.2 James Jordon 3 12 26.9 0.2 Tom McDonald 3 12 5.7 0.0 Kysaiah Pickett 2 8 11.2 1.3 Trent Rivers 0 0 3.0 0.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 2.1 3.5 Lachie Hunter 0 0 0.2 0.0 Josh Schache 0 0 0.0 13.8 Brodie Grundy 54.4 83.7 Angus Brayshaw 35.3 16.0 James Harmes 26.7 14.6 Jacob van Rooyen 7.6 Harrison Petty 0.7 0.0 Ruck Contests and Hitouts Ruck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2023 % 2022 % Max Gawn 65 81 57.5 57.8 Tom McDonald 10 12 9.3 7.0 Christian Petracca 4 5 0.4 0.1 Joel Smith 1 1 0.9 0.0 Josh Schache 0 0 4.1 13.4 Clayton Oliver 0 0 0.1 0.0 Steven May 0 0 0.0 0.0 Tom Sparrow 0 0 0.0 0.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0.0 0.0 Brodie Grundy 47.7 77.4 Jacob van Rooyen 13.1 Ben Brown 2.3 3.6 Harrison Petty 2.0 0.0 Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2023) To Adv. % (2022) Max Gawn 65 36 6 30.1 33.6 Christian Petracca 4 1 1 100.0 Tom McDonald 10 1 0 20.0 33.3 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0 0.0 Joel Smith 1 0 0 0.0 Josh Schache 0 0 0 0.0 33.3 Jacob van Rooyen 31.1 Brodie Grundy 30.4 30.2 Harrison Petty 25.0 Ben Brown 0.0 14.3 Opposition hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. Marc Pittonet 64 21 4 Tom De Koning 20 8 4 Expected scores (Champion Data) 82 - 61 😭

Interestingly, when you account for the difference in game time for Brayshaw and Jordon, their average pressure points per 100% game time is very similar. Player M TOG Pressure Acts Per 100% TOG Pressure Points Per 100% TOG Highest Pressure Clayton Oliver 14 83.5 26.6 31.9 59.8 71.7 106 James Harmes 9 52.7 17.8 33.8 37.6 71.3 82 Jack Viney 23 78.8 24.0 30.5 55.5 70.5 98 Alex Neal-Bullen 24 76.7 20.9 27.2 45.8 59.7 64 Tom Sparrow 22 73.9 20.2 27.4 43.6 59.0 71 Christian Petracca 24 83.8 21.8 26.0 45.9 54.8 74 Kysaiah Pickett 22 82.8 19.7 23.8 42.3 51.1 65 Angus Brayshaw 24 76.8 15.5 20.1 34.2 44.5 70 James Jordon 17 54.7 11.9 21.7 24.0 43.8 58 Bailey Laurie 5 39.4 8.2 20.8 16.6 42.2 31 Kade Chandler 22 72.6 14.1 19.4 30.3 41.8 49 Charlie Spargo 13 63.9 11.3 17.7 24.9 39.0 50 Brodie Grundy 17 69.9 11.1 15.8 26.1 37.3 39 Christian Salem 15 83.4 13.5 16.2 31.1 37.3 44 Taj Woewodin 4 66.2 12.2 18.5 23.0 34.7 28 Tom McDonald 7 75.4 12.3 16.3 24.8 32.9 30 Ed Langdon 24 91.0 14.4 15.8 27.9 30.6 50 Trent Rivers 24 77.1 10.5 13.6 23.1 29.9 38 Jake Bowey 22 73.8 9.8 13.2 22.0 29.8 39 Jacob van Rooyen 20 74.0 9.7 13.1 22.1 29.8 37 Joel Smith 13 64.8 8.0 12.4 19.3 29.8 43 Josh Schache 2 46.5 6.0 12.9 13.0 28.0 21 Max Gawn 21 80.8 9.8 12.1 22.1 27.4 37 Lachie Hunter 23 91.1 11.7 12.8 23.1 25.3 35 Harrison Petty 14 77.9 8.9 11.4 19.7 25.3 28 Jake Melksham 13 69.7 7.6 10.9 16.5 23.6 28 Bayley Fritsch 16 81.9 9.2 11.3 19.0 23.2 37 Judd McVee 24 78.2 8.4 10.8 18.0 23.1 32 Daniel Turner 2 81.0 6.0 7.4 18.0 22.2 21 Ben Brown 7 74.4 6.1 8.3 12.3 16.5 19 Adam Tomlinson 8 92.1 5.8 6.2 14.1 15.3 23 Jake Lever 23 98.4 7.6 7.7 14.9 15.1 32 Steven May 22 97.5 6.1 6.3 14.7 15.1 40 Michael Hibberd 12 78.5 4.8 6.2 10.5 13.4 17

It's the points we concede on average. I did include a note under the chain start region subheading to that effect but it may not be clear enough.

It's the player's predicted rating, which is probably clearer than "estimated" so I could rename it! The predicted rating for a player is a weighted average of the player's player rating in previous matches (maximum of last 75 matches, and maximum of last four seasons) weighted towards more recent matches and more recent seasons. A match 75 matches ago or four seasons ago will not contribute much to the predicted rating - it is weighted much more towards matches in the current season. I'd say the main issue with it is how I deal with subs (players previously subbed off or subbed on, thereby reducing game time, and the named sub in the current game who would be expected to have a lower player rating). I do take into account time on ground in the weighting of past matches, but I could probably improve the way I do it.

Melbourne v Collingwood (Finals Week 1, 2023) https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20232501 Key Team Stats Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff Disposal Efficiency 66.2 65.2 +1.0 Kicking Efficiency 59.0 63.2 -4.2 Metres Gained 6106 5704 +402 Inside 50s 69 37 +32 Shots At Goal 23 15 +8 Shots Per Inside 50 33.3 40.5 -7.2 Contested Possessions 153 139 +14 Ground Ball Gets 101 96 +5 Intercepts 80 84 -4 Intercept Marks 17 19 -2 Centre Clearances 12 7 +5 Stoppage Clearances 32 33 -1 Contested Marks 15 9 +6 Marks Inside 50 9 8 +1 Hitouts 33 48 -15 Hitouts To Advantage 11 11 +0 Tackles 61 62 -1 Tackles Inside 50 13 9 +4 Def One On One Loss % 15.8 42.9 -27.1 Pressure Team pressure Quarter For Against 1 180 194 2 172 177 3 182 205 4 176 192 Match 178 192 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average* Clayton Oliver 26 61 59.8 Kysaiah Pickett 26 54 42.3 Alex Neal-Bullen 24 48 45.8 Christian Petracca 25 45 45.9 Tom Sparrow 16 38 43.6 Max Gawn 14 32 22.1 Jack Viney 16 31 55.5 Christian Salem 10 30 31.1 Bailey Laurie 13 27 16.6 Bayley Fritsch 9 22 19.0 Steven May 9 21 14.7 Trent Rivers 9 20 23.1 Jacob van Rooyen 8 20 22.1 Jake Bowey 9 20 22.0 Tom McDonald 11 19 24.8 Joel Smith 9 18 19.3 Ed Langdon 8 17 27.9 Judd McVee 10 16 18.0 Lachie Hunter 6 10 23.1 Jake Lever 5 10 14.9 Michael Hibberd 4 10 10.5 Kade Chandler 4 8 30.3 Angus Brayshaw 2 5 34.2 * Pressure points for rounds 4 and 6 have not been able to be sourced from the Herald Sun. Pressure points for these matches have been estimated from the number of pressure acts for each player. Source: Herald Sun Time in Forward Half Quarter For Against 1 45% 55% 2 63% 37% 3 67% 33% 4 75% 25% Match 61% 39% Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations. Score Sources Summary Score sources highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Category For Against Diff G B T G B T Kick-in 0 1 1 0 0 0 +1 Centre Bounce 2 1 13 3 0 18 -5 Stoppage (Other) 2 2 14 0 2 2 +12 Turnover 3 7 25 6 4 40 -15 Category For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in 1 2.4 0 2.3 Centre Bounce 13 11.1 18 8.7 Stoppage (Other) 14 23.4 2 19.7 Turnover 25 51.8 40 41.0 Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Collingwood. Category Region For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in D50 1 2.4 0 2.3 Centre Bounce Centre 13 11.1 18 8.7 Stoppage (Other) D50 0 0.5 0 1.9 Stoppage (Other) Centre 1 2.6 0 1.1 Stoppage (Other) Wing 7 12.2 1 6.4 Stoppage (Other) F50 6 8.0 1 10.3 Turnover D50 2 11.5 13 6.5 Turnover Centre 0 7.5 13 6.5 Turnover Wing 22 26.4 13 20.6 Turnover F50 1 6.5 1 7.5 Region For Against Match Season Match Season D50 3 14.5 13 10.7 Centre 14 21.2 31 16.2 Wing 29 38.6 14 27.0 F50 7 14.5 2 17.8 Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season 16 33.1 26 24.2 Shots at goal Team Shots G B T Acc. General Play Melbourne 9 3 3 21 33.3 Collingwood 4 2 2 14 50.0 Set Position Melbourne 14 4 5 29 28.6 Collingwood 11 7 3 45 63.6 Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2023 % 2022 % Max Gawn 19 95 63.9 65.5 Clayton Oliver 18 90 80.5 86.5 Jack Viney 15 75 71.7 74.6 Christian Petracca 15 75 61.4 74.6 Tom Sparrow 9 45 44.9 32.2 Angus Brayshaw 2 10 35.3 16.0 Kysaiah Pickett 1 5 11.3 1.3 Jacob van Rooyen 1 5 7.6 Tom McDonald 0 0 4.8 0.0 Trent Rivers 0 0 3.1 0.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 2.2 3.5 Lachie Hunter 0 0 0.2 0.0 Brodie Grundy 54.4 83.7 James Jordon 27.6 0.2 James Harmes 26.7 14.6 Harrison Petty 0.7 0.0 Josh Schache 0.0 13.8 Ruck Contests and Hitouts Ruck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2023 % 2022 % Max Gawn 79 77 56.5 57.8 Jacob van Rooyen 15 15 13.1 Tom McDonald 9 9 8.9 7.0 Joel Smith 0 0 0.9 0.0 Christian Petracca 0 0 0.2 0.1 Clayton Oliver 0 0 0.1 0.0 Steven May 0 0 0.1 0.0 Tom Sparrow 0 0 0.1 0.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0.0 0.0 Brodie Grundy 47.7 77.4 Josh Schache 6.2 13.4 Ben Brown 2.3 3.6 Harrison Petty 2.0 0.0 Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2023) To Adv. % (2022) Max Gawn 79 31 11 31.0 33.6 Jacob van Rooyen 15 1 0 31.1 Tom McDonald 9 1 0 22.2 33.3 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0 0.0 Joel Smith 0 0 0 0.0 Brodie Grundy 30.4 30.2 Harrison Petty 25.0 Ben Brown 0.0 14.3 Josh Schache 0.0 33.3 Opposition hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. Mason Cox 66 34 6 Darcy Cameron 34 14 5 Daniel McStay 3 0 0 Expected Scores (Champion Data) 70 - 55

Coaches Votes for Melbourne players, 2023 https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_stats.html Votes Matches Polled Matches Christian Petracca 98 18 23 Jack Viney 65 12 22 Max Gawn 42 8 20 Clayton Oliver 40 9 13 Jake Lever 27 5 22 Steven May 26 4 21 Angus Brayshaw 24 6 23 Kysaiah Pickett 23 4 21 Brodie Grundy 12 2 17 Trent Rivers 12 2 23 Jake Melksham 11 2 13 Ed Langdon 10 2 23 Harrison Petty 8 1 14 Bayley Fritsch 7 2 15 Kade Chandler 6 2 21 Lachie Hunter 5 3 22 Christian Salem 4 1 14 Michael Hibberd 4 1 11 Tom McDonald 2 1 6 Alex Neal-Bullen 1 1 23 Jake Bowey 1 1 21 Round-by-round votes Votes 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Christian Petracca 98 5 • 7 9 1 1 10 • 10 • 8 10 1 5 2 7 8 • 2 3 1 • 8 Jack Viney 65 • • • • 6 • • 7 • • • 10 3 9 • 1 4 6 9 3 2 5 Max Gawn 42 5 • 3 • 3 • • 2 • 2 • • • 10 7 10 • • • • Clayton Oliver 40 2 1 9 8 • 2 7 7 2 2 • • • Jake Lever 27 9 2 • • • • • • • • 5 • 1 • • • • • • • 10 • Steven May 26 • • • • • • 1 • • 8 7 • • 10 • • • • • • • Angus Brayshaw 24 • • • • • • 5 • • • 2 • • • • 1 • 5 • 9 2 • • Kysaiah Pickett 23 9 • • • 3 • • • • • • • • • • 7 • 4 • • • Brodie Grundy 12 • • 6 6 • • • • • • • • • • • • • Trent Rivers 12 • • • • • • • • 6 • • • • • • • • • • • • 6 • Jake Melksham 11 • • • • • • 3 • • • • 8 • Ed Langdon 10 • • 6 • • • • • • • • 4 • • • • • • • • • • • Harrison Petty 8 • • • • • • • • • • • • 8 • Bayley Fritsch 7 • • • • • • • • • • • 2 • • 5 Kade Chandler 6 • • 1 • • • 5 • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Lachie Hunter 5 • • 1 • • • • • • 2 • • • 2 • • • • • • • • Christian Salem 4 • • • 4 • • • • • • • • • • Michael Hibberd 4 • • 4 • • • • • • • • Tom McDonald 2 • • 2 • • • Alex Neal-Bullen 1 • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 1 • • • Jake Bowey 1 • • • • • • • • • • • • 1 • • • • • • • •

Viney is 4th on the Coaches Votes since round 13 and clearly number 1 for Melbourne during this time. He has polled in 10 of a possible 11 games which is more than any other player in the AFL (Bontempelli, Serong, Rozee and Petracca have all polled in 9 games during this time). Here are the most votes for rounds 13-24: 69 Errol Gulden 58 Marcus Bontempelli 53 Caleb Serong 52 Jack Viney 50 Lachie Neale --- 37 Christian Petracca 29 Max Gawn 17 Angus Brayshaw 17 Steven May

I have to ask, was @binman's comment on the pod "...as a backman, Turner goes into overdrive..." a reference to Bachman–Turner Overdrive? 😂

Melbourne v Sydney (Round 24, 2023) https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20232408 Key Team Stats Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff Disposal Efficiency 63.9 71.2 -7.3 Kicking Efficiency 58.9 67.0 -8.1 Metres Gained 6145 5729 +416 Inside 50s 58 51 +7 Shots At Goal 30 27 +3 Shots Per Inside 50 51.7 52.9 -1.2 Contested Possessions 160 157 +3 Ground Ball Gets 112 121 -9 Intercepts 79 73 +6 Intercept Marks 15 7 +8 Centre Clearances 10 10 +0 Stoppage Clearances 27 24 +3 Contested Marks 11 13 -2 Marks Inside 50 12 12 +0 Hitouts 40 22 +18 Hitouts To Advantage 8 6 +2 Tackles 79 76 +3 Tackles Inside 50 19 16 +3 Def One On One Loss % 12.5 36.4 -23.9 Pressure Team pressure Quarter For Against 1 172 182 2 185 199 3 198 214 4 192 193 Match 187 197 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average* Clayton Oliver 37 86 59.7 Jack Viney 25 69 56.6 Alex Neal-Bullen 26 63 45.7 Angus Brayshaw 21 48 35.5 Christian Salem 21 44 31.1 Ed Langdon 17 38 28.3 Kysaiah Pickett 16 37 41.7 Tom Sparrow 20 34 43.8 Kade Chandler 16 32 31.4 Joel Smith 12 32 19.4 Christian Petracca 15 28 46.0 Trent Rivers 13 26 23.2 Jacob van Rooyen 10 24 22.2 Daniel Turner 7 21 18.0 Judd McVee 7 20 18.1 Jake Melksham 8 17 16.5 Bayley Fritsch 7 16 18.8 Bailey Laurie 8 16 14.0 Lachie Hunter 8 15 23.7 Max Gawn 8 14 21.6 Jake Bowey 6 11 22.1 Steven May 6 9 14.4 Jake Lever 6 8 15.1 * Pressure points for rounds 4 and 6 have not been able to be sourced from the Herald Sun. Pressure points for these matches have been estimated from the number of pressure acts for each player. Source: Herald Sun Time in Forward Half Quarter For Against 1 55% 45% 2 61% 39% 3 43% 57% 4 56% 44% Match 53% 47% Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations. Score Sources Summary Score sources highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Category For Against Diff G B T G B T Kick-in 0 1 1 0 2 2 -1 Centre Bounce 0 1 1 3 2 20 -19 Stoppage (Other) 3 5 23 1 2 8 +15 Turnover 8 4 52 3 8 26 +26 Category For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in 1 2.5 2 2.4 Centre Bounce 1 11.0 20 8.3 Stoppage (Other) 23 23.8 8 20.4 Turnover 52 53.0 26 41.1 Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Sydney. Category Region For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in D50 1 2.5 2 2.4 Centre Bounce Centre 1 11.0 20 8.3 Stoppage (Other) D50 0 0.6 1 2.0 Stoppage (Other) Centre 0 2.7 0 1.2 Stoppage (Other) Wing 8 12.4 1 6.6 Stoppage (Other) F50 15 8.1 6 10.7 Turnover D50 12 11.9 7 6.2 Turnover Centre 12 7.8 7 6.2 Turnover Wing 20 26.6 11 20.9 Turnover F50 8 6.7 1 7.8 Region For Against Match Season Match Season D50 13 15.0 10 10.6 Centre 13 21.6 27 15.6 Wing 28 39.0 12 27.5 F50 23 14.8 7 18.5 Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season 19 33.9 14 24.1 Shots at goal Team Shots G B T Acc. General Play Melbourne 17 4 7 31 23.5 Sydney 14 4 4 28 28.6 Set Position Melbourne 13 7 3 45 53.8 Sydney 13 3 7 25 23.1 Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2023 % 2022 % Jack Viney 18 82 71.6 74.6 Max Gawn 18 82 62.7 65.5 Clayton Oliver 17 77 79.9 86.5 Angus Brayshaw 13 59 36.1 16.0 Christian Petracca 8 36 61.0 74.6 Tom Sparrow 6 27 44.9 32.2 Jacob van Rooyen 4 18 7.7 Kysaiah Pickett 2 9 11.6 1.3 Trent Rivers 1 5 3.2 0.0 Lachie Hunter 1 5 0.2 0.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 2.3 3.5 Brodie Grundy 54.4 83.7 James Jordon 27.6 0.2 James Harmes 26.7 14.6 Tom McDonald 5.4 0.0 Harrison Petty 0.7 0.0 Josh Schache 0.0 13.8 Ruck Contests and Hitouts Ruck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2023 % 2022 % Max Gawn 50 60 55.3 57.8 Jacob van Rooyen 25 30 13.0 Joel Smith 8 10 1.0 0.0 Christian Petracca 0 0 0.2 0.1 Clayton Oliver 0 0 0.1 0.0 Steven May 0 0 0.1 0.0 Tom Sparrow 0 0 0.1 0.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0.0 0.0 Brodie Grundy 47.7 77.4 Tom McDonald 8.9 7.0 Josh Schache 6.2 13.4 Ben Brown 2.3 3.6 Harrison Petty 2.0 0.0 Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2023) To Adv. % (2022) Max Gawn 50 24 3 30.7 33.6 Jacob van Rooyen 25 15 5 31.5 Joel Smith 8 1 0 0.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0 0.0 Brodie Grundy 30.4 30.2 Harrison Petty 25.0 Tom McDonald 25.0 33.3 Ben Brown 0.0 14.3 Josh Schache 0.0 33.3 Opposition hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. Tom Hickey 57 17 5 Hayden McLean 21 4 1 Joel Amartey 5 1 0 Expected scores (Champion Data) 85 - 81

We have lost both CPs and clearances four times this year, against Western Bulldogs (R1), Brisbane (R2), Gold Coast (R8) and Hawthorn (R23), and are 3-1. RoundName Opposition Clearances CPs Margin Round 1 Western Bulldogs -7 -15 50 Round 2 Brisbane -28 -15 -11 Round 8 Gold Coast -7 -27 5 Round 23 Hawthorn -9 -8 27 Here is our record since 2018 when losing both: Season M Win Loss Draw 2018 2 1 1 0 2019 4 0 4 0 2020 2 1 1 0 2021 3 2 1 0 2022 4 2 2 0 2023 4 3 1 0 We are 9-3 when we win both this year: Clearances CPs M Win Loss Draw Won Won 12 9 3 0 Won Lost 2 1 1 0 Lost Won 3 1 2 0 Lost Lost 4 3 1 0 Drew Lost 1 1 0 0

Yes, we scored 58 points to 23 from turnovers today Category For Against Diff G B T G B T Kick-in 1 0 6 1 0 6 +0 Centre Bounce 1 0 6 2 0 12 -6 Stoppage (Other) 2 5 17 3 1 19 -2 Turnover 9 4 58 3 5 23 +35 Category For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in 6 2.5 6 2.4 Centre Bounce 6 11.5 12 7.7 Stoppage (Other) 17 23.9 19 21.0 Turnover 58 53.0 23 41.8

Melbourne v Hawthorn (Round 23, 2023) https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20232306 Key Team Stats Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff Disposal Efficiency 74.5 75.3 -0.8 Kicking Efficiency 70.2 70.5 -0.3 Metres Gained 5369 5045 +324 Inside 50s 61 38 +23 Shots At Goal 29 17 +12 Shots Per Inside 50 47.5 44.7 +2.8 Contested Possessions 116 124 -8 Ground Ball Gets 80 82 -2 Intercepts 69 63 +6 Intercept Marks 20 14 +6 Centre Clearances 11 13 -2 Stoppage Clearances 15 22 -7 Contested Marks 14 9 +5 Marks Inside 50 14 10 +4 Hitouts 26 34 -8 Hitouts To Advantage 5 9 -4 Tackles 55 42 +13 Tackles Inside 50 9 7 +2 Def One On One Loss % 28.6 42.9 -14.3 Pressure Team pressure Quarter For Against 1 172 173 2 192 155 3 180 159 4 179 167 Match 180 163 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average* Jack Viney 28 60 56.0 Tom Sparrow 23 52 44.3 Clayton Oliver 18 49 57.5 Kade Chandler 24 49 31.4 Kysaiah Pickett 22 48 42.0 Angus Brayshaw 13 32 34.9 Christian Salem 14 32 30.2 Christian Petracca 17 31 46.8 Lachie Hunter 14 31 24.1 Bailey Laurie 16 31 13.4 Jake Melksham 13 28 16.4 Steven May 10 26 14.7 Alex Neal-Bullen 13 22 44.9 Jake Bowey 9 22 22.7 Ed Langdon 11 20 27.9 Trent Rivers 9 19 23.1 Max Gawn 7 18 22.0 Joel Smith 8 18 18.3 Jake Lever 6 17 15.4 Adam Tomlinson 7 16 14.1 Jacob van Rooyen 8 13 22.1 Judd McVee 3 11 18.0 Josh Schache 3 5 13.0 * Pressure points for rounds 4 and 6 have not been able to be sourced from the Herald Sun. Pressure points for these matches have been estimated from the number of pressure acts for each player. Source: Herald Sun Time in Forward Half Quarter For Against 1 50% 50% 2 62% 38% 3 70% 30% 4 69% 31% Match 63% 37% Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations. Score Sources Summary Score sources highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Category For Against Diff G B T G B T Kick-in 1 0 6 1 0 6 +0 Centre Bounce 1 0 6 2 0 12 -6 Stoppage (Other) 2 5 17 3 1 19 -2 Turnover 9 4 58 3 5 23 +35 Category For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in 6 2.5 6 2.4 Centre Bounce 6 11.5 12 7.7 Stoppage (Other) 17 23.9 19 21.0 Turnover 58 53.0 23 41.8 Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Hawthorn. Category Region For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in D50 6 2.5 6 2.4 Centre Bounce Centre 6 11.5 12 7.7 Stoppage (Other) D50 0 0.6 0 2.0 Stoppage (Other) Centre 0 2.8 0 1.2 Stoppage (Other) Wing 2 12.6 6 6.9 Stoppage (Other) F50 15 7.8 13 10.9 Turnover D50 25 11.9 3 6.2 Turnover Centre 6 7.6 0 6.1 Turnover Wing 21 26.9 13 21.4 Turnover F50 6 6.6 7 8.1 Region For Against Match Season Match Season D50 31 15.0 9 10.6 Centre 12 22.0 12 15.1 Wing 23 39.5 19 28.2 F50 21 14.5 20 19.0 Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season 33 34.5 22 24.6 Shots at goal Team Shots G B T Acc. General Play Melbourne 12 7 4 46 58.3 Hawthorn 6 3 3 21 50.0 Set Position Melbourne 17 6 4 40 35.3 Hawthorn 11 6 2 38 54.5 Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2023 % 2022 % Max Gawn 23 88 61.8 65.5 Jack Viney 19 73 71.2 74.6 Clayton Oliver 16 62 80.1 86.5 Angus Brayshaw 16 62 35.3 16.0 Tom Sparrow 13 50 45.6 32.2 Christian Petracca 11 42 61.9 74.6 Kysaiah Pickett 3 12 11.7 1.3 Jacob van Rooyen 3 12 7.2 Trent Rivers 0 0 3.2 0.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 2.3 3.5 Josh Schache 0 0 0.0 13.8 Brodie Grundy 54.4 83.7 James Jordon 27.6 0.2 James Harmes 26.7 14.6 Tom McDonald 5.4 0.0 Harrison Petty 0.7 0.0 Ruck Contests and Hitouts Ruck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2023 % 2022 % Max Gawn 52 71 55.1 57.8 Jacob van Rooyen 11 15 12.1 Josh Schache 4 5 6.2 13.4 Joel Smith 2 3 0.3 0.0 Christian Petracca 2 3 0.3 0.1 Clayton Oliver 1 1 0.1 0.0 Tom Sparrow 1 1 0.1 0.0 Steven May 0 0 0.1 0.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0.1 0.0 Brodie Grundy 47.7 77.4 Tom McDonald 8.9 7.0 Ben Brown 2.3 3.6 Harrison Petty 2.0 0.0 Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2023) To Adv. % (2022) Max Gawn 52 22 5 31.6 33.6 Jacob van Rooyen 11 3 0 31.0 Josh Schache 4 1 0 0.0 33.3 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0 0.0 Brodie Grundy 30.4 30.2 Harrison Petty 25.0 Tom McDonald 25.0 33.3 Ben Brown 0.0 14.3 Opposition hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. Ned Reeves 55 26 7 Max Ramsden 11 5 2 Jacob Koschitzke 7 3 0 Expected scores (Champion Data) 91 - 54 Premiership metrics Melbourne is currently ranked in the top 6 in all 19 of the "premiership metrics" and ranked number 1 in seven. A reminder that these are the metrics where at least nine of the last eleven premiers ranked in the top 6 in home and away matches of their premiership year. Although not one of the 19 metrics as I don't have data pre-2021, "time in forward half" is another important stat and I have Melbourne ranked second this year to Port Adelaide. Interestingly, here are the best quarters (average across all matches) for time in forward half this year: 58.7% Melbourne Q4 56.1% Melbourne Q3 55.7% Port Adelaide Q3 55.5% Port Adelaide Q2

Coaches Votes for Melbourne players, 2023 https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_stats.html Votes Matches Polled Matches Christian Petracca 90 17 21 Jack Viney 58 10 20 Max Gawn 42 8 18 Clayton Oliver 40 9 11 Steven May 26 4 19 Angus Brayshaw 24 6 21 Kysaiah Pickett 23 4 19 Jake Lever 17 4 20 Brodie Grundy 12 2 17 Ed Langdon 10 2 21 Harrison Petty 8 1 14 Kade Chandler 6 2 19 Trent Rivers 6 1 21 Lachie Hunter 5 3 20 Christian Salem 4 1 12 Michael Hibberd 4 1 11 Jake Melksham 3 1 11 Bayley Fritsch 2 1 14 Tom McDonald 2 1 6 Alex Neal-Bullen 1 1 21 Jake Bowey 1 1 19 Round-by-round votes Votes 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 Christian Petracca 90 5 • 7 9 1 1 10 • 10 • 8 10 1 5 2 7 8 • 2 3 1 Jack Viney 58 • • • • 6 • • 7 • • • 10 3 9 • 1 4 6 9 3 Max Gawn 42 5 • 3 • 3 • • 2 • 2 • • • 10 7 10 • • Clayton Oliver 40 2 1 9 8 • 2 7 7 2 2 • Steven May 26 • • • • • • 1 • • 8 7 • • 10 • • • • • Angus Brayshaw 24 • • • • • • 5 • • • 2 • • • • 1 • 5 • 9 2 Kysaiah Pickett 23 9 • • • 3 • • • • • • • • • • 7 • 4 • Jake Lever 17 9 2 • • • • • • • • 5 • 1 • • • • • • • Brodie Grundy 12 • • 6 6 • • • • • • • • • • • • • Ed Langdon 10 • • 6 • • • • • • • • 4 • • • • • • • • • Harrison Petty 8 • • • • • • • • • • • • 8 • Kade Chandler 6 • • 1 • • • 5 • • • • • • • • • • • • Trent Rivers 6 • • • • • • • • 6 • • • • • • • • • • • • Lachie Hunter 5 • • 1 • • • • • • 2 • • • 2 • • • • • • Christian Salem 4 • • • 4 • • • • • • • • Michael Hibberd 4 • • 4 • • • • • • • • Jake Melksham 3 • • • • • • 3 • • • • Bayley Fritsch 2 • • • • • • • • • • • 2 • • Tom McDonald 2 • • 2 • • • Alex Neal-Bullen 1 • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 1 • Jake Bowey 1 • • • • • • • • • • • • 1 • • • • • •

Slight delay with the stats update this week as I headed over to Melbourne to see the game. Melbourne's pressure of 200 was our highest for the year and Carlton's 206 was the highest against Melbourne. The pressure in the last game between Melbourne and Carlton was 170-170. The pressure points from Oliver (106) and Viney (98) were well above any other Melbourne player this season with the previous high being Oliver's last match with 85 pressure points. Melbourne v Carlton (Round 22, 2023) https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20232201 Key Team Stats Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff Disposal Efficiency 66.2 72.3 -6.1 Kicking Efficiency 59.6 64.8 -5.2 Metres Gained 5638 5758 -120 Inside 50s 48 53 -5 Shots At Goal 19 15 +4 Shots Per Inside 50 39.6 28.3 +11.3 Contested Possessions 156 148 +8 Ground Ball Gets 118 119 -1 Intercepts 77 80 -3 Intercept Marks 15 17 -2 Centre Clearances 8 11 -3 Stoppage Clearances 37 32 +5 Contested Marks 8 6 +2 Marks Inside 50 7 10 -3 Hitouts 59 29 +30 Hitouts To Advantage 13 5 +8 Tackles 88 87 +1 Tackles Inside 50 8 21 -13 Def One On One Loss % 21.4 9.1 +12.3 Pressure Team pressure Quarter For Against 1 196 224 2 185 201 3 207 197 4 214 202 Match 200 206 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average* Clayton Oliver 42 106 58.1 Jack Viney 40 98 55.8 Angus Brayshaw 30 70 35.0 Tom Sparrow 29 65 43.9 Christian Petracca 24 51 47.6 Kysaiah Pickett 22 50 41.7 Christian Salem 17 44 30.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 22 42 46.0 Ed Langdon 24 41 28.2 Lachie Hunter 15 35 23.7 Joel Smith 11 27 18.3 Kade Chandler 10 26 30.5 Jake Bowey 10 26 22.7 Jake Melksham 11 26 15.4 Jacob van Rooyen 12 24 22.6 Max Gawn 11 23 22.3 Judd McVee 9 21 18.3 Brodie Grundy 9 20 26.1 James Jordon 8 20 24.0 Trent Rivers 8 19 23.3 Jake Lever 5 8 15.3 Steven May 4 8 14.1 Michael Hibberd 0 0 10.5 * Pressure points for rounds 4 and 6 have not been able to be sourced from the Herald Sun. Pressure points for these matches have been estimated from the number of pressure acts for each player. Source: Herald Sun Time in Forward Half Quarter For Against 1 24% 76% 2 52% 48% 3 61% 39% 4 57% 43% Match 50% 50% Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations. Score Sources Summary Score sources highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Category For Against Diff G B T G B T Kick-in 0 0 0 1 0 6 -6 Centre Bounce 1 1 7 2 1 13 -6 Stoppage (Other) 2 2 14 1 2 8 +6 Turnover 5 5 35 5 3 33 +2 Category For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in 0 2.4 6 2.2 Centre Bounce 7 11.8 13 7.5 Stoppage (Other) 14 24.2 8 21.1 Turnover 35 52.8 33 42.7 Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Carlton. Category Region For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in D50 0 2.4 6 2.2 Centre Bounce Centre 7 11.8 13 7.5 Stoppage (Other) D50 0 0.6 0 2.1 Stoppage (Other) Centre 0 3.0 0 1.3 Stoppage (Other) Wing 13 13.1 7 6.9 Stoppage (Other) F50 1 7.5 1 10.8 Turnover D50 13 11.3 13 6.3 Turnover Centre 6 7.7 6 6.4 Turnover Wing 16 27.1 14 21.8 Turnover F50 0 6.7 0 8.1 Region For Against Match Season Match Season D50 13 14.3 19 10.7 Centre 13 22.4 19 15.2 Wing 29 40.3 21 28.7 F50 1 14.1 1 19.0 Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season 33 34.6 38 24.7 Shots at goal Team Shots G B T Acc. Set Position Melbourne 10 4 5 29 40.0 Carlton 11 7 2 44 63.6 General Play Melbourne 9 4 2 26 44.4 Carlton 4 2 2 14 50.0 Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2023 % 2022 % Angus Brayshaw 16 76 34.1 16.0 Jack Viney 15 71 71.1 74.6 Max Gawn 15 71 60.4 65.5 Clayton Oliver 14 67 81.7 86.5 Christian Petracca 13 62 62.8 74.6 Brodie Grundy 6 29 54.4 83.7 Tom Sparrow 3 14 45.4 32.2 Kysaiah Pickett 2 10 11.7 1.3 James Jordon 0 0 27.6 0.2 Jacob van Rooyen 0 0 7.0 Trent Rivers 0 0 3.3 0.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 2.4 3.5 James Harmes 26.7 14.6 Tom McDonald 5.4 0.0 Harrison Petty 0.7 0.0 Josh Schache 0.0 13.8 Ruck Contests and Hitouts Ruck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2023 % 2022 % Max Gawn 80 73 54.4 57.8 Brodie Grundy 26 24 47.7 77.4 Jacob van Rooyen 2 2 12.0 Christian Petracca 1 1 0.2 0.1 Joel Smith 0 0 0.1 0.0 Steven May 0 0 0.1 0.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0.1 0.0 Clayton Oliver 0 0 0.0 0.0 Tom McDonald 8.9 7.0 Josh Schache 6.7 13.4 Ben Brown 2.3 3.6 Harrison Petty 2.0 0.0 Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2023) To Adv. % (2022) Max Gawn 80 47 11 32.1 33.6 Brodie Grundy 26 11 2 30.4 30.2 Jacob van Rooyen 2 1 0 32.7 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0 0.0 Harrison Petty 25.0 Tom McDonald 25.0 33.3 Ben Brown 0.0 14.3 Josh Schache 33.3 Opposition hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. Tom De Koning 45 15 1 Marc Pittonet 63 14 4 Patrick Cripps 1 0 0 Expected score (Champion Data) 57 - 55

I've got a Brownlow predictor as well, and I've got Daicos first, Petracca second and Bont third. https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_brownlow.html

Petracca has now polled in 16 games, three more than any other player (Daicos, Butters and Rozee all with 13). Coaches Votes for Melbourne players, 2023 https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_stats.html Votes Matches Polled Matches Christian Petracca 89 16 20 Jack Viney 55 9 19 Max Gawn 42 8 17 Clayton Oliver 40 9 10 Steven May 26 4 18 Kysaiah Pickett 23 4 18 Angus Brayshaw 22 5 20 Jake Lever 17 4 19 Brodie Grundy 12 2 16 Ed Langdon 10 2 20 Harrison Petty 8 1 14 Kade Chandler 6 2 18 Trent Rivers 6 1 20 Lachie Hunter 5 3 19 Christian Salem 4 1 11 Michael Hibberd 4 1 10 Jake Melksham 3 1 10 Bayley Fritsch 2 1 14 Tom McDonald 2 1 6 Alex Neal-Bullen 1 1 20 Jake Bowey 1 1 18 Round-by-round votes Votes 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Christian Petracca 89 5 • 7 9 1 1 10 • 10 • 8 10 1 5 2 7 8 • 2 3 Jack Viney 55 • • • • 6 • • 7 • • • 10 3 9 • 1 4 6 9 Max Gawn 42 5 • 3 • 3 • • 2 • 2 • • • 10 7 10 • Clayton Oliver 40 2 1 9 8 • 2 7 7 2 2 Steven May 26 • • • • • • 1 • • 8 7 • • 10 • • • • Kysaiah Pickett 23 9 • • • 3 • • • • • • • • • • 7 • 4 Angus Brayshaw 22 • • • • • • 5 • • • 2 • • • • 1 • 5 • 9 Jake Lever 17 9 2 • • • • • • • • 5 • 1 • • • • • • Brodie Grundy 12 • • 6 6 • • • • • • • • • • • • Ed Langdon 10 • • 6 • • • • • • • • 4 • • • • • • • • Harrison Petty 8 • • • • • • • • • • • • 8 • Kade Chandler 6 • • 1 • • • 5 • • • • • • • • • • • Trent Rivers 6 • • • • • • • • 6 • • • • • • • • • • • Lachie Hunter 5 • • 1 • • • • • • 2 • • • 2 • • • • • Christian Salem 4 • • • 4 • • • • • • • Michael Hibberd 4 • • 4 • • • • • • • Jake Melksham 3 • • • • • • 3 • • • Bayley Fritsch 2 • • • • • • • • • • • 2 • • Tom McDonald 2 • • 2 • • • Alex Neal-Bullen 1 • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • 1 Jake Bowey 1 • • • • • • • • • • • • 1 • • • • •

You can access the top 5 players in a given match in the Tracker section of the AFL app, but I think that's all.

No I don't believe that information is publicly available, unfortunately. Telstra own that data but they don't make it readily accessible.

Melbourne v North Melbourne (Round 21, 2023) https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20232107 Key Team Stats Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff Disposal Efficiency 72.0 75.6 -3.5 Kicking Efficiency 61.5 65.6 -4.1 Metres Gained 6223 5789 +434 Inside 50s 69 45 +24 Shots At Goal 29 22 +7 Shots Per Inside 50 42.0 48.9 -6.9 Contested Possessions 148 118 +30 Ground Ball Gets 98 78 +20 Intercepts 74 68 +6 Intercept Marks 16 20 -4 Centre Clearances 14 11 +3 Stoppage Clearances 26 29 -3 Contested Marks 8 7 +1 Marks Inside 50 17 5 +12 Hitouts 37 47 -10 Hitouts To Advantage 19 19 +0 Tackles 54 64 -10 Tackles Inside 50 12 10 +2 Def One On One Loss % 6.7 21.4 -14.8 Pressure Team pressure Quarter For Against 1 174 203 2 175 163 3 160 184 4 189 182 Match 175 182 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average* Tom Sparrow 29 55 42.7 James Harmes 24 50 37.6 Alex Neal-Bullen 20 44 46.3 Jack Viney 20 38 53.6 Jake Bowey 15 38 22.5 Angus Brayshaw 19 36 33.2 Lachie Hunter 16 34 23.1 Christian Petracca 16 33 47.5 James Jordon 16 30 24.2 Christian Salem 13 29 28.7 Jacob van Rooyen 12 29 22.6 Joel Smith 9 24 17.3 Trent Rivers 10 23 23.5 Kysaiah Pickett 12 22 41.2 Kade Chandler 10 22 30.7 Jake Melksham 7 22 14.3 Max Gawn 10 20 22.2 Harrison Petty 11 19 19.7 Ed Langdon 12 17 27.6 Jake Lever 9 17 15.7 Judd McVee 9 13 18.2 Steven May 4 10 14.4 Michael Hibberd 2 6 11.6 * Pressure points for rounds 4 and 6 have not been able to be sourced from the Herald Sun. Pressure points for these matches have been estimated from the number of pressure acts for each player. Source: Herald Sun Time in Forward Half Quarter For Against 1 54% 46% 2 49% 51% 3 77% 23% 4 67% 33% Match 63% 37% Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations. Score Sources Summary Score sources highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Category For Against Diff G B T G B T Kick-in 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0 Centre Bounce 3 2 20 1 2 8 +12 Stoppage (Other) 5 4 34 1 3 9 +25 Turnover 7 6 48 8 6 54 -6 Category For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in 0 2.5 0 2.0 Centre Bounce 20 12.0 8 7.2 Stoppage (Other) 34 24.7 9 21.8 Turnover 48 53.7 54 43.1 Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne. Category Region For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in D50 0 2.5 0 2.0 Centre Bounce Centre 20 12.0 8 7.2 Stoppage (Other) D50 0 0.6 0 2.2 Stoppage (Other) Centre 6 3.1 0 1.4 Stoppage (Other) Wing 25 13.2 6 6.9 Stoppage (Other) F50 3 7.8 3 11.3 Turnover D50 12 11.2 6 6.0 Turnover Centre 8 7.8 2 6.4 Turnover Wing 22 27.7 26 22.1 Turnover F50 6 7.0 20 8.6 Region For Against Match Season Match Season D50 12 14.3 6 10.2 Centre 34 22.9 10 15.1 Wing 47 40.9 32 29.0 F50 9 14.8 23 19.9 Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season 33 34.7 19 24.1 Shots at goal Team Shots G B T Acc. General Play Melbourne 11 6 3 39 54.5 North Melbourne 14 4 8 32 28.6 Set Position Melbourne 18 9 5 59 50.0 North Melbourne 8 6 2 38 75.0 Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2023 % 2022 % Max Gawn 22 79 59.9 65.5 Jack Viney 19 68 71.1 74.6 Christian Petracca 17 61 62.8 74.6 Angus Brayshaw 15 54 32.5 16.0 James Jordon 12 43 28.9 0.2 Tom Sparrow 11 39 46.7 32.2 James Harmes 7 25 26.7 14.6 Jacob van Rooyen 6 21 7.3 Kysaiah Pickett 3 11 11.8 1.3 Trent Rivers 0 0 3.4 0.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 2.5 3.5 Harrison Petty 0 0 0.7 0.0 Clayton Oliver 82.8 86.5 Brodie Grundy 55.7 83.7 Tom McDonald 5.4 0.0 Josh Schache 0.0 13.8 Ruck Contests and Hitouts Ruck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2023 % 2022 % Max Gawn 63 62 53.1 57.8 Jacob van Rooyen 38 38 12.7 Harrison Petty 0 0 2.0 0.0 Joel Smith 0 0 0.1 0.0 Christian Petracca 0 0 0.1 0.1 Steven May 0 0 0.1 0.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0.1 0.0 Brodie Grundy 49.5 77.4 Tom McDonald 8.9 7.0 Josh Schache 6.7 13.4 Ben Brown 2.3 3.6 Clayton Oliver 0.0 0.0 Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2023) To Adv. % (2022) Max Gawn 63 30 15 33.1 33.6 Jacob van Rooyen 38 7 4 33.3 Harrison Petty 0 0 0 25.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0 0.0 Brodie Grundy 30.8 30.2 Tom McDonald 25.0 33.3 Ben Brown 0.0 14.3 Josh Schache 33.3 Opposition hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. Todd Goldstein 53 24 10 Tristan Xerri 44 21 8 Nick Larkey 4 2 1 Expected Scores (Champion Data) 93 - 75

The ground is looking good from here! I'm looking forward to the walk down to the ground shortly.