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Everything posted by old55
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Do it Clint!
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The common thread between 20 of the last 21 Premiers
old55 replied to Bring-Back-Powell's topic in Melbourne Demons
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The common thread between 20 of the last 21 Premiers
old55 replied to Bring-Back-Powell's topic in Melbourne Demons
The "fact" that there is only a 5% chance in the last 20 years that the Premier will have kicked more behinds than goals in the final series is NOT the same as - if you kick more behinds than goals you have a only 5% chance of being Premier. The comparative data you are looking for is how many time finals teams have kicked more behinds than goals. Think about it this way - how many times has the Runner-up kicked more behinds than goals? -
The common thread between 20 of the last 21 Premiers
old55 replied to Bring-Back-Powell's topic in Melbourne Demons
I 've been on the bandwagon that poor scoring conversion is a big risk for us this year and has cost us games. But your "5% chance" reasoning is flawed. If it's correct does that mean if we kick more goals than behinds there's a 95% chance we'll win the flag? No team in the last 20 years has won the flag with a 208cm bald ruckman - we're clearly no chance ... -
Accurate analysis. We're in flag mode and Smith wasn't good enough at that level on Cameron who is probably the best going. Different opposition may be a different proposition. Port have some class small forwards.
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There's 45 on the list: 26 in Adelaide including JJ, Jones, Melky, Hibbo and there's 16 in the photo. That means 3 missing? I guess someone took the photo - who's not in it - Vanders, Thommo and Declase?
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The common thread between 20 of the last 21 Premiers
old55 replied to Bring-Back-Powell's topic in Melbourne Demons
11 goals 23 behinds - 12 behinds kicked, 11 rushed by the Hawthorn defence to regain possession of the ball. It was a tactic by Clarkson. -
McGowan was just re-elected with a Massive Majority reflecting WA's approval of his approach. Once vaccination gets to 70% and then 80% McGowan will be faced with some challenging choices.
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Essendon just bombing into the forward 50. Dogs with so many left footed play-makers want to play the right hand wing going forward.
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I agree - I've had the GFG for as long as I can remember, probably 15 years, including the Neeld years. I hope if we do win the flag this year there is some sort of exclusive event for those us in that position.
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If Green pushed Stevic over or hit him he'd be looking at YEARS not weeks. Get some perspective.
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So built his reputation on "Oliver is a good player", OK?
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I see Kane Cornes is saying "ask Matt Stevic what he thought because Stevic is a 400 game, 8 GF umpire". That's exactly why this should not be a factor - a 15 year old rising umpire is not Matt Stevic and players need to understand that respect must be shown. Greene cannot under any circumstances play again this year, it will be a total joke if he does, three weeks minimum penalty.
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Keen to hear your assessment of "the rugby player"?
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AFAIK Smith was on Cameron and was well beaten but he wouldn't have been Robinson Crusoe. Bowey was caught twice by the increased pace and pressure of finals and looked vulnerable, but I liked the way he backed himself in the last quarter and played some good footy. I think Hunt comes in for one of them. TMac is not having the direct impact of the first half of the year but he provides structure and allows Fritsch, Brown, Jackson and Gawn freedom. I don't think we need another small forward with ANB, Kossie, Spargo added to by Sparrow, Harmes and Viney. I'd persist with TMac. Sparrow has made it very tough for JJ, Jones and VDB.
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Just far far superior.
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Must be suspended for a long term. Disrespect of umpires is the greatest blight on our game. GF umpires, the best in the country, get booed onto the ground. That was blatant aggressive contact. Totally unacceptable. Massive weeks.
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The teams are very even, but one cause for MGC optimism is that we have Jack Viney - it's his season now.
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Brisbane are two years older and more experienced, are in their prime and into their 3rd consecutive top 4 finals campaign, if we win it will be against the tide ... Average Attributes Melbourne Attribute Brisbane 187.4cm Height 188.4cm 85.8kg Weight 88.3kg 24yr 8mth Age 26yr 5mth 93.4 Games 119.3 Total Players By Games Melbourne Games Brisbane 7 Less than 50 5 2 50 to 99 5 10 100 to 149 5 3 150 or more 7
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Agree. There's many types of back surgery from laminectomy (I've had one) through to fusion. All back surgeries are definitely not equal.
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Yeah, how about it eh?
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May you and @Pennant St Dee be there to plant the Grand Old Flag!
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You're over thinking it. Jones will be in if some of the fringe selections have a poor week or we get some injuries in roles he can fill.
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You've made your choice and that's fine but I would have been royally peed off if you were in the queue yesterday ahead of my 24yo daughter who has waited all this time for the recommended vaccination.
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Quite correctly too.