Everything posted by deanox
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Who do we realistically target for a trade?
This is nonsensical. "Gaffs defense isn't good enough so get Steven May" as if they play similar positions. Add Lever and Hibberd back into the side and our back 6 are fine. We play a zoning defence that requires all the defenders to leave their man and run up the field to defend/hold up/pressure/spoil the next free player, while the midfield is meant to push back hard to cover the overlap that is created. Our problem is not defenders. The best one on one defender in the competition will lose the majority of contests when one out and unassisted by team mates and OMac is a good zone defender. Our problem is two way running by midfielders who are meant to run back hard to cover space and run back hard with their direct opponent to make sure that don't pop up out the back. Our mids don't cover this kind of ground they only run forwards. We don't need Gaff to defend, we need him to gut run. PS you're not going to get much peace because Omac will be in this side for the next 5-10 years unless he asks to be traded. The quicker you accept that, the easier watching footy will be!
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Who do we realistically target for a trade?
I think the nature of our losses this year indicate demonstrate how valuable Gaff could be. He covers a lot of ground and is regularly in the eagles top runners. That two way effort is something we miss. It was visible in the last play against the cats, it was massive against the saints and has played a part regularly as we watch teams stream past us and we don't follow. Put him in for JKH and we win this week. We need to be all in.
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Dangerfield Stages
The Geelong player charged direction and braced himself when running into Gawn from behind/side. It was intentional and Gawn didn't see it coming. He may not have intended to knock him over but he did.
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Changes vs Adelaide
But all that is based on either VFL and average AFL form from over 2 years ago in the worst AFL team in history. JKH has better VFL form and similar statistical AFL performance. I'm not saying that VDB won't perform better but he needs time and needs to demand someones spot first. He isn't a walk up start or necessarily an improvement on existing 22.
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Changes vs Adelaide
I don't understand the love for Vanders here. Although I appreciated his effort and attack on the ball in 2015 there is nothing about him that makes him an auto in. When playing he averaged 15 disposals, 4 tackles and half a goal per game. Nothing special, nothing better than JKH or Hannan. He is no more experienced than JKH or Hannan, all with around 30 games. He has never played under Goodwin and hardly trained with them, meaning he won't know our system/ structure/ game plan He may have limited endurance due to his time out of the game. Although we're live him for nostalgia reasons - he tried hard for us when we were horrible - he isn't asuperstar or walk up 22 player, so given he is underdone rushing him in makes no sense.
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Dangerfield Stages
I thought that about the Nev one until I saw the replay. He was chasing a player who was also not watching the ball. Just because the player chose to turn and prop doesn't mean Nev has to stop running. It is different from when a player is standing or leading towards the ball and you run front on into them to stop the mark.
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Changes vs Adelaide
JKH for Hannan is the only change I expect. JKH has had his second chance and didn't do enough. Maybe I'm being harsh because he missed that shot, but he doesn't get enough of it at AFL level to miss opportunities. Any other changes will be done for structural reasons (ie decide we want that extra tall etc). If Hibberd is fit he comes in for Vince or Smith. IMO it is Bernie because he played Hibberds role, while Smith is playing Levers role. I don't understand the Smith hate tonight I thought he did well. Bernie is playing attacking off HBF. Lots of meters gained, inside 50s and score involvements etc. Smith led the team for intercept posessions, and equal 2nd in contested possessions.
- GAMEDAY - Round 18
- GAMEDAY - Round 18
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Who do we realistically target for a trade?
We have the best ruck in the competition who loves to ruck all day. We have two gun KPFs. We have a young third KPF whom we're grooming as a back up ruck but we're can't fit him in. We've shown a reluctance to play a second ruck and have even preferred to pinch hit smalls. Which AFL ready ruck is stupid enough to come and play at Casey in the hope that we get 4 injured talls? Anyone who fits that description will be looking to move to aclub where they get more game time, not less.
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Run home to Finals - 2018
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Mr Jones
I'm not sure anyone is talking about retiring him but we do need to start thinking about it. He is nearly 31 and will slow down soon, if he isn't already slowing down. So it is prudent to prepare for replacing him. Our headache at the moment is that we have another inside mid on the list (Tyson) who would take his spot if he left this year. But as he will stay another year or two we'll probably lose Tyson as he seeks opportunity. That'll be a real issue if Viney also continues on/off foot injuries. We're can't afford to play without all three of them. Also if next year happens to be his last, then we are looking at replacing all the of Jones, Lewis and Vince in the space of 2 seasons, and we don't currently have replacements for all of them.
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Mr Jones
In 2015 he was 28. I agree that was probably when his public recognition peaked and when he was aconsistent stand out for Melbourne but most players hit their prime earlier, around 25. What do you think his trade value would have been at 25 or 28? What is a 25 year old midfielder who averages 25 disposals and 4.5 tackles worth? I love his effort and he'll go down as a demon legend, and as someone who stuck through with us in the darkest times, but I'm not sure he was ever AFL top line. But that's hard to say given the lack of quality on the list at the time!
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Changes vs Geelong
No one at Casey is really demanding a spot on form. Of our players who are considered fringe, all probably did enough: Frost- struggled by foot but defensively and areially was very good. Hannan - little impact but kicked 1.2, and generating/taking opportunities is his job Garlett- less impact than liked but kicked 2.0 and just provided a constant threat over the back which needed to be defended. Spargo - added abit of spark and intensity and kicked 2 goals JKH - struggled abit but worked his way into the game and laid 9 tackles We seem to mostly have the balance right in terms of player types, however definitely added amedium forward for an inside mid this week. And given geelongs engine room, my predicted changes: Tyson for Hannan.
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POST MATCH DISCUSSION - Round 17
On replacing aging senior players: Interesting that only 9 of 22 were above 25 years of age today, and only 6 over 27. Vince and Lewis are nearly done and Jones probably isn't far (another 2 seasons?), but Garlett, Hibbard and Jetta are 28 so should have 3-4 years left, especially given all have had breaks. The main problem is that 4 of those players are in our back 6. We really need Hunt to come on (and keep him), plus unearth another couple for back there.
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POST MATCH DISCUSSION - Round 17
Great analysis. A couple of thoughts: At half time we were already leading the marks, and were pretty much even in contested possessions, so I don't think this was a big change in the second half. I feel the difference in the contrsted work was our numbers at the ball, and positioning ie we were inside our opponents at the contest early. Collingwood did exactly the same thing to us. The meters gained stat is particularly interesting given they had more inside 50s. Id like to see an analysis of that but they'd never give us that data! You are right that we didn't switch us much, but I was also pleased to note our "fat side" players defensive side at all times, unlike against St Kilda. On the score involvements, it's worth looking at them as "per score" instead of total: MFC 4.48 per score vs WB 3.84 per score. Although it it's probably reflective of performance, it doesn't look like quite as large a gap in this format and also may be skewed by us giving up some early goals through turnovers in defence plus us having a few long chain "coast to coast" goals once we got on top.
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POST MATCH DISCUSSION - Round 17
To me the game was won on the outside. The first half they won the uncontested ball by a big margin indicating they were able to find space for low pressure possessions, setting up ball movement. We won it in the second half as we were able to find space. Imo this was about positioning at stoppages. We won the centre clearances all day when the was less congestion and we could get the ball outside. They won the stoppage clearances convincingly by putting extra numbers in, getting in our way, pressuring our first reciever and stopping us getting the ball out.
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My 3 word player analysis V Bulldogs
Omac- Strong and Dependable Punched well, bodied well, I thought he played well. Frost - Disposal lets down Used his pace well and strong in the air but very sloppy by foot. Hope he improves in this area because I'm a fan.
- Last chance for Kennedy-Harris?
- POST MATCH DISCUSSION - Round 17
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Last chance for Kennedy-Harris?
Well obviously. But from player 15-30 is generally depth. You need those to be readily replaceable on form or in injury and be able to perform. If they are much better you won't be able to give them game time or $ and they'll leave, worse and you lose. We don't want players 23-30 to be kids, we're wanting competitors who can play a role without leaving us a man short. Can he become that for us for the next 2-3 years? Perhaps. He's shown alot of improvement at VFL, shown ability to find the ball and competitiveness and tackling. We still have a number out of contract who aren't performing to that level. So it'll come down to JKH or a very low pick. Today was a pass, let's see how he goes the next few weeks.
- Last chance for Kennedy-Harris?
- GAMEDAY - Round 17
- GAMEDAY - Round 17
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GAMEDAY - Round 17
Right now the symptoms are we're losing the clearances, and getting smashed in uncontested possessions. I think the main problem is we are all going for the hardball instead of trusting our team mates and staying outside to recieve and defend. We are not able to get clean first possession because we are congested and then have no one else to give it too outside. Then if they get it, we're are all caught inside allowing them to get low pressure uncontested possessions as they make space. On top of that we're aren't making position when transitioning from defence unless it's a fast break. The poor kicks have largely been the result of poor options.