Stats Files - 2024

[djr 1,305]

On 18/08/2024 at 08:10, WheeloRatings said:

Melbourne v Gold Coast (Round 23, 2024)

https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20242303

Key Team Stats

Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne.

Stat	For	Against	Diff
Disposal Efficiency	77.7	71.3	+6.4
Kicking Efficiency	72.3	63.3	+9.0
Metres Gained	6274	5576	+698
Inside 50s	54	49	+5
Shots At Goal	29	18	+11
Shots Per Inside 50	53.7	36.7	+17.0
Contested Possessions	121	111	+10
Ground Ball Gets	82	74	+8
Intercepts	67	63	+4
Intercept Marks	16	17	-1
Centre Clearances	18	7	+11
Stoppage Clearances	27	29	-2
Contested Marks	11	5	+6
Marks Inside 50	16	8	+8
Hitouts	40	34	+6
Hitouts To Advantage	10	11	-1
Tackles	50	47	+3
Tackles Inside 50	9	9	+0
Def One On One Loss %	20.0	35.3	-15.3

Contested Possessions

	For	Against	Diff
Melbourne's Defensive 50
Hard Ball Get	6	4	+2
Loose Ball Get	14	10	+4
Contested Mark	1	0	+1
Ruck Hard Ball Get	0	2	-2
Gather From Hitout	2	1	+1
Contested Knock On	0	1	-1
Free For	1	2	-1
Total	24	20	+4
Melbourne's Forward 50
Hard Ball Get	4	8	-4
Loose Ball Get	7	7	0
Contested Mark	3	2	+1
Ruck Hard Ball Get	2	0	+2
Gather From Hitout	1	1	0
Free For	1	2	-1
Total	18	20	-2
Post clearance
Hard Ball Get	14	16	-2
Loose Ball Get	43	32	+11
Contested Mark	11	5	+6
Contested Knock On	1	5	-4
Free For	7	10	-3
Total	76	68	+8
Pre clearance
Hard Ball Get	6	7	-1
Loose Ball Get	19	19	0
Ruck Hard Ball Get	5	2	+3
Gather From Hitout	9	11	-2
Contested Knock On	4	2	+2
Free For	2	2	0
Total	45	43	+2

• Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative.
• Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets.
• 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions.

Expected scores

	xScore	Score	Rushed	xWin %	xMargin	Margin	Swing
Melbourne	102.7	117	0	99%	+40.9	+54	+13.1
Gold Coast	61.8	63	1	1%

Team	Shots	Score	Accuracy	xScore	+/-	xSc. / Shot	Shot Rating
Overall
Melbourne	29	18.9.117	62.1%	102.7	+14.3	3.54	+0.49
Gold Coast	18	9.8.62	50.0%	60.8	+1.2	3.38	+0.07
General Play
Melbourne	12	4.6.30	33.3%	37.7	−7.7	3.15	−0.65
Gold Coast	8	5.3.33	62.5%	22.6	+10.4	2.82	+1.31
Set Position
Melbourne	17	14.3.87	82.4%	65.0	+22.0	3.82	+1.30
Gold Coast	10	4.5.29	40.0%	38.3	−9.3	3.83	−0.93

• xWin %: win probability based on expected scores.
• Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin.
• xScore: total expected score from all shots taken.
• +/-: total score above or below expected score.
• xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty.
• Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal.

Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores.

Pressure

Team pressure

Quarter	For	Agn	Diff
1	184	171	+13
2	174	182	-8
3	197	174	+23
4	167	175	-8
Match	181	175	+6

Source: Herald Sun

Most Pressure Points

Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ )

Player	Pressure Acts	Pressure Points	Season Average
Jack Viney	31	83	57.0
Koltyn Tholstrup	24	53	37.4
Alex Neal-Bullen	20	51	53.7
Trent Rivers	22	41	30.2
Kade Chandler	17	35	44.5
Ed Langdon	16	35	32.0
Kysaiah Pickett	19	34	43.2
Judd McVee	11	28	16.5
Jake Lever	13	26	15.4
Christian Salem	13	24	26.3
Bayley Fritsch	13	24	15.8
Harrison Petty	13	23	30.3
Jake Bowey	10	22	18.1
Max Gawn	6	18	22.2
Marty Hore	8	18	11.8
Jack Billings	7	14	23.5
Tom McDonald	4	14	19.3
Jacob van Rooyen	6	14	17.4
Blake Howes	5	13	16.1
Jake Melksham	5	12	11.1
Adam Tomlinson	3	9	19.1
Daniel Turner	3	6	12.8
Tom Sparrow	1	1	41.7

Source: Herald Sun

Time in Forward Half

Quarter	For	Against
1	43%	57%
2	37%	63%
3	42%	58%
4	58%	42%
Match	45%	55%

Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations.

Score Sources

Summary

Category	Score	Against	Diff
Kick-in	1.0.6	0.1.1	+5
Centre Bounce	5.1.31	2.2.14	+17
Stoppage (Other)	7.2.44	1.1.7	+37
Turnover	5.6.36	6.5.41	-5

Score Source	For		Against
	Match	Season	Match	Season *
Kick-in	6	3.5	1	3.0
Centre Bounce	31	9.7	14	7.7
Stoppage (Other)	44	23.8	7	19.3
Turnover	36	41.5	41	47.7

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Gold Coast.

Chain start region

Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective.

Category	Region	For		Against
		Match	Season	Match	Season *
Centre Bounce	Centre	31	9.7	14	7.7
Kick-in	D50	6	3.5	1	3.0
Stoppage (Other)	D50	6	3.0	1	1.3
Stoppage (Other)	Centre	1	2.2	0	1.9
Stoppage (Other)	Wing	30	12.7	0	8.8
Stoppage (Other)	F50	7	6.0	6	7.3
Turnover	D50	15	9.1	14	9.0
Turnover	Centre	6	7.7	0	6.9
Turnover	Wing	8	17.6	20	25.5
Turnover	F50	7	7.0	7	6.4

Region	For		Against
	Match	Season	Match	Season *
D50	27	15.5	16	13.2
Centre	38	19.6	14	16.4
Wing	38	30.4	20	34.4
F50	14	13.0	13	13.6

Region	For		Against
	Match	Season	Match	Season *
Defensive 50	27	15.5	16	13.2
Defensive midfield	19	16.1	0	18.4
Centre bounce	31	9.7	14	7.7
Attacking midfield	26	24.1	20	24.7
Forward 50	14	13.0	13	13.6

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Gold Coast.

Points from defensive half

For		Against
Match	Season	Match	Season *
46	31.7	16	31.6

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Gold Coast.

Centre Bounce Attendances

	CBAs	CBA %	2024 %	2023 %
Max Gawn	25	83%	84.8%	64.9%
Jack Viney	23	77%	68.8%	72.1%
Trent Rivers	20	67%	29.0%	3.0%
Judd McVee	18	60%	4.0%	0.0%
Alex Neal-Bullen	16	53%	17.5%	2.1%
Tom Sparrow	6	20%	37.7%	44.9%
Jacob van Rooyen	5	17%	18.1%	7.6%
Kysaiah Pickett	4	13%	34.3%	11.2%
Koltyn Tholstrup	3	10%	6.4%
Christian Salem	0	0%	13.0%	0.0%
Harrison Petty	0	0%	7.9%	0.7%
Daniel Turner	0	0%	0.3%	0.0%
Tom McDonald	0	0%	0.0%	5.7%
Clayton Oliver			70.7%	81.4%
Christian Petracca			55.8%	61.1%
Bailey Laurie			8.3%	0.0%
Josh Schache			8.3%	0.0%
Charlie Spargo			4.2%	0.0%
Lachie Hunter			0.0%	0.2%

Ruck Contests and Hitouts

Ruck Contests

	Ruck Contests	RC %	2024 %	2023 %
Max Gawn	75	82%	80.8%	57.5%
Jacob van Rooyen	16	18%	18.0%	13.1%
Harrison Petty	0	0%	8.1%	2.0%
Daniel Turner	0	0%	3.2%	0.0%
Alex Neal-Bullen	0	0%	0.0%	0.0%
Tom McDonald	0	0%	0.0%	9.3%
Tom Sparrow	0	0%	0.0%	0.0%
Josh Schache			13.3%	4.1%
Ben Brown			0.2%	2.3%
Christian Petracca			0.0%	0.4%
Clayton Oliver			0.0%	0.1%
Steven May			0.0%	0.0%

Hitouts

	Ruck Contests	Hitouts	To Adv.	To Adv. % (2024)	To Adv. % (2023)
Max Gawn	75	33	8	28.2%	30.1%
Jacob van Rooyen	16	7	2	25.0%	31.1%
Daniel Turner	0	0	0	50.0%
Harrison Petty	0	0	0	25.0%	25.0%
Alex Neal-Bullen	0	0	0		0.0%
Tom McDonald	0	0	0		20.0%
Ben Brown				100.0%	0.0%
Josh Schache				100.0%	0.0%
Christian Petracca					100.0%

Opposition hitouts

	Ruck Contests	Hitouts	To Adv.
Jarrod Witts	73	27	8
Mac Andrew	16	6	2
Jed Walter	3	1	1

Hi Wheelo, is there a reason why some stats are not shown in other games in Round 23, namely PA v Adel, WC v Car, StK v Gee and WB v NM?

[WheeloRatings 1,159]

2 hours ago, djr said:

Hi Wheelo, is there a reason why some stats are not shown in other games in Round 23, namely PA v Adel, WC v Car, StK v Gee and WB v NM?

Unfortunately there is an issue with the data source which is outside of my control. I will update the data if/when the issue is resolved.

[WheeloRatings 1,159]

Melbourne v Collingwood (Round 24, 2024)

https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20242406

Key Team Stats

Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne.

Stat	For	Against	Diff
Disposal Efficiency	70.3	76.1	-5.8
Kicking Efficiency	65.2	68.5	-3.3
Metres Gained	5545	6434	-889
Inside 50s	43	55	-12
Shots At Goal	19	36	-17
Shots Per Inside 50	44.2	65.5	-21.3
Contested Possessions	111	118	-7
Ground Ball Gets	80	84	-4
Intercepts	71	79	-8
Intercept Marks	19	12	+7
Centre Clearances	10	13	-3
Stoppage Clearances	17	18	-1
Contested Marks	10	6	+4
Marks Inside 50	8	21	-13
Hitouts	27	25	+2
Hitouts To Advantage	5	8	-3
Tackles	42	41	+1
Tackles Inside 50	4	11	-7
Def One On One Loss %	0.0	0.0	+0.0

Contested Possessions

	For	Against	Diff
Melbourne's Defensive 50
Hard Ball Get	5	3	+2
Loose Ball Get	15	9	+6
Contested Mark	1	2	-1
Ruck Hard Ball Get	1	0	+1
Gather From Hitout	1	1	0
Contested Knock On	0	2	-2
Free For	2	4	-2
Total	25	21	+4
Melbourne's Forward 50
Hard Ball Get	3	1	+2
Loose Ball Get	7	14	-7
Free For	1	2	-1
Total	11	17	-6
Post clearance
Hard Ball Get	15	11	+4
Loose Ball Get	40	50	-10
Contested Mark	10	6	+4
Contested Knock On	2	5	-3
Free For	10	12	-2
Total	77	84	-7
Pre clearance
Hard Ball Get	7	8	-1
Loose Ball Get	18	15	+3
Ruck Hard Ball Get	3	1	+2
Gather From Hitout	5	6	-1
Contested Knock On	0	2	-2
Free For	1	2	-1
Total	34	34	0

• Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative.
• Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets.
• 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions.

Expected scores

	xScore	Score	Rushed	xWin %	xMargin	Margin	Swing
Melbourne	61.0	57	1	0%			+10.0
Collingwood	116.9	103	3	100%	+56.0	+46

Team	Shots	Score	Accuracy	xScore	+/-	xSc. / Shot	Shot Rating
Overall
Melbourne	19	8.8.56	42.1%	60.0	−4.0	3.16	−0.21
Collingwood	36	15.10.100	41.7%	113.9	−13.9	3.17	−0.39
General Play
Melbourne	11	2.6.18	18.2%	29.8	−11.8	2.71	−1.08
Collingwood	14	4.5.29	28.6%	45.2	−16.2	3.23	−1.16
Set Position
Melbourne	8	6.2.38	75.0%	30.1	+7.9	3.77	+0.98
Collingwood	22	11.5.71	50.0%	68.8	+2.2	3.13	+0.10

• xWin %: win probability based on expected scores.
• Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin.
• xScore: total expected score from all shots taken.
• +/-: total score above or below expected score.
• xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty.
• Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal.

Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores.

 

 

Pressure

Team pressure

Quarter	For	Agn	Diff
1	157	192	-35
2	147	168	-21
3	158	187	-29
4	177	160	+17
Match	161	178	-17

Source: Herald Sun

Most Pressure Points

Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ )

Player	Pressure Acts	Pressure Points	Season Average
Alex Neal-Bullen	31	56	53.8
Kade Chandler	22	51	44.7
Jack Viney	24	50	56.7
Ed Langdon	21	39	32.3
Koltyn Tholstrup	19	38	37.5
Judd McVee	19	38	17.4
Trent Rivers	17	37	30.5
Kysaiah Pickett	16	34	42.8
Jake Bowey	14	31	19.0
Bailey Laurie	11	27	23.0
Christian Salem	11	26	26.3
Jack Billings	13	26	23.7
Bayley Fritsch	12	21	16.0
Blake Howes	10	18	16.2
Max Gawn	7	17	22.0
Taj Woewodin	10	17	14.6
Harrison Petty	6	15	29.6
Jake Melksham	7	15	11.6
Tom McDonald	5	13	19.0
Adam Tomlinson	6	9	17.9
Marty Hore	7	8	11.2
Jacob van Rooyen	3	5	16.8
Daniel Turner	1	1	12.0

Source: Herald Sun

Time in Forward Half

Quarter	For	Against
1	36%	64%
2	42%	58%
3	46%	54%
4	36%	64%
Match	39%	61%

Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations.

Score Sources

Summary

Category	Score	Against	Diff
Kick-in	1.1.7	1.0.6	+1
Centre Bounce	2.0.12	0.0.0	+12
Stoppage (Other)	2.2.14	4.4.28	-14
Turnover	3.6.24	10.9.69	-45

Score Source	For		Against
	Match	Season	Match	Season *
Kick-in	7	3.6	6	3.1
Centre Bounce	12	9.8	0	7.3
Stoppage (Other)	14	23.4	28	19.7
Turnover	24	40.8	69	48.7

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Collingwood.

Chain start region

Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective.

Category	Region	For		Against
		Match	Season	Match	Season *
Centre Bounce	Centre	12	9.8	0	7.3
Kick-in	D50	7	3.6	6	3.1
Stoppage (Other)	D50	6	3.1	0	1.3
Stoppage (Other)	Centre	0	2.1	6	2.0
Stoppage (Other)	Wing	7	12.5	9	8.8
Stoppage (Other)	F50	1	5.7	13	7.5
Turnover	D50	1	8.8	8	8.9
Turnover	Centre	0	7.4	19	7.4
Turnover	Wing	22	17.8	22	25.4
Turnover	F50	1	6.8	20	7.0

Region	For		Against
	Match	Season	Match	Season *
D50	14	15.5	14	13.3
Centre	12	19.3	25	16.8
Wing	29	30.3	31	34.2
F50	2	12.5	33	14.5

Region	For		Against
	Match	Season	Match	Season *
Defensive 50	14	15.5	14	13.3
Defensive midfield	15	16.1	26	18.7
Centre bounce	12	9.8	0	7.3
Attacking midfield	14	23.7	30	25.0
Forward 50	2	12.5	33	14.5

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Collingwood.

Points from defensive half

For		Against
Match	Season	Match	Season *
29	31.6	40	32.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Collingwood.

Centre Bounce Attendances

	CBAs	CBA %	2024 %	2023 %
Max Gawn	23	88%	85.0%	64.9%
Jack Viney	20	77%	69.1%	72.1%
Alex Neal-Bullen	18	69%	19.8%	2.1%
Judd McVee	15	58%	6.3%	0.0%
Trent Rivers	13	50%	29.9%	3.0%
Bailey Laurie	6	23%	11.0%	0.0%
Ed Langdon	4	15%	0.7%	0.0%
Jacob van Rooyen	3	12%	17.8%	7.6%
Kysaiah Pickett	2	8%	33.0%	11.2%
Christian Salem	0	0%	12.3%	0.0%
Harrison Petty	0	0%	7.5%	0.7%
Koltyn Tholstrup	0	0%	5.7%
Daniel Turner	0	0%	0.3%	0.0%
Tom McDonald	0	0%	0.0%	5.7%
Clayton Oliver			70.7%	81.4%
Christian Petracca			55.8%	61.1%
Tom Sparrow			37.7%	44.9%
Josh Schache			8.3%	0.0%
Charlie Spargo			4.2%	0.0%
Lachie Hunter			0.0%	0.2%

Ruck Contests and Hitouts

Ruck Contests

	Ruck Contests	RC %	2024 %	2023 %
Max Gawn	61	87%	81.1%	57.5%
Jacob van Rooyen	6	9%	17.6%	13.1%
Harrison Petty	3	4%	7.9%	2.0%
Daniel Turner	0	0%	3.1%	0.0%
Alex Neal-Bullen	0	0%	0.0%	0.0%
Tom McDonald	0	0%	0.0%	9.3%
Josh Schache			13.3%	4.1%
Ben Brown			0.2%	2.3%
Christian Petracca			0.0%	0.4%
Clayton Oliver			0.0%	0.1%
Steven May			0.0%	0.0%
Tom Sparrow			0.0%	0.0%

Hitouts

	Ruck Contests	Hitouts	To Adv.	To Adv. % (2024)	To Adv. % (2023)
Max Gawn	61	25	5	27.9%	30.1%
Jacob van Rooyen	6	1	0	24.7%	31.1%
Harrison Petty	3	1	0	24.4%	25.0%
Daniel Turner	0	0	0	50.0%
Alex Neal-Bullen	0	0	0		0.0%
Tom McDonald	0	0	0		20.0%
Ben Brown				100.0%	0.0%
Josh Schache				100.0%	0.0%
Christian Petracca					100.0%

Opposition hitouts

	Ruck Contests	Hitouts	To Adv.
Darcy Cameron	49	16	4
Mason Cox	21	9	4

[At the break of Gawn 4,400]

Letting them score 70pts off turnover and only scoring 24 ourselves is emblematic of our entire season. Poor at scoring from turnover and poor at defending turnover.

[Swooper1987 3,202]

19 minutes ago, WheeloRatings said:

Melbourne v Collingwood (Round 24, 2024)

https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20242406

Key Team Stats

Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne.

Stat	For	Against	Diff
Disposal Efficiency	70.3	76.1	-5.8
Kicking Efficiency	65.2	68.5	-3.3
Metres Gained	5545	6434	-889
Inside 50s	43	55	-12
Shots At Goal	19	36	-17
Shots Per Inside 50	44.2	65.5	-21.3
Contested Possessions	111	118	-7
Ground Ball Gets	80	84	-4
Intercepts	71	79	-8
Intercept Marks	19	12	+7
Centre Clearances	10	13	-3
Stoppage Clearances	17	18	-1
Contested Marks	10	6	+4
Marks Inside 50	8	21	-13
Hitouts	27	25	+2
Hitouts To Advantage	5	8	-3
Tackles	42	41	+1
Tackles Inside 50	4	11	-7
Def One On One Loss %	0.0	0.0	+0.0

Contested Possessions

	For	Against	Diff
Melbourne's Defensive 50
Hard Ball Get	5	3	+2
Loose Ball Get	15	9	+6
Contested Mark	1	2	-1
Ruck Hard Ball Get	1	0	+1
Gather From Hitout	1	1	0
Contested Knock On	0	2	-2
Free For	2	4	-2
Total	25	21	+4
Melbourne's Forward 50
Hard Ball Get	3	1	+2
Loose Ball Get	7	14	-7
Free For	1	2	-1
Total	11	17	-6
Post clearance
Hard Ball Get	15	11	+4
Loose Ball Get	40	50	-10
Contested Mark	10	6	+4
Contested Knock On	2	5	-3
Free For	10	12	-2
Total	77	84	-7
Pre clearance
Hard Ball Get	7	8	-1
Loose Ball Get	18	15	+3
Ruck Hard Ball Get	3	1	+2
Gather From Hitout	5	6	-1
Contested Knock On	0	2	-2
Free For	1	2	-1
Total	34	34	0

• Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative.
• Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets.
• 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions.

Expected scores

	xScore	Score	Rushed	xWin %	xMargin	Margin	Swing
Melbourne	61.0	57	1	0%			+10.0
Collingwood	116.9	103	3	100%	+56.0	+46

Team	Shots	Score	Accuracy	xScore	+/-	xSc. / Shot	Shot Rating
Overall
Melbourne	19	8.8.56	42.1%	60.0	−4.0	3.16	−0.21
Collingwood	36	15.10.100	41.7%	113.9	−13.9	3.17	−0.39
General Play
Melbourne	11	2.6.18	18.2%	29.8	−11.8	2.71	−1.08
Collingwood	14	4.5.29	28.6%	45.2	−16.2	3.23	−1.16
Set Position
Melbourne	8	6.2.38	75.0%	30.1	+7.9	3.77	+0.98
Collingwood	22	11.5.71	50.0%	68.8	+2.2	3.13	+0.10

• xWin %: win probability based on expected scores.
• Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin.
• xScore: total expected score from all shots taken.
• +/-: total score above or below expected score.
• xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty.
• Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal.

Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores.

 

 

Pressure

Team pressure

Quarter	For	Agn	Diff
1	157	192	-35
2	147	168	-21
3	158	187	-29
4	177	160	+17
Match	161	178	-17

Source: Herald Sun

Most Pressure Points

Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ )

Player	Pressure Acts	Pressure Points	Season Average
Alex Neal-Bullen	31	56	53.8
Kade Chandler	22	51	44.7
Jack Viney	24	50	56.7
Ed Langdon	21	39	32.3
Koltyn Tholstrup	19	38	37.5
Judd McVee	19	38	17.4
Trent Rivers	17	37	30.5
Kysaiah Pickett	16	34	42.8
Jake Bowey	14	31	19.0
Bailey Laurie	11	27	23.0
Christian Salem	11	26	26.3
Jack Billings	13	26	23.7
Bayley Fritsch	12	21	16.0
Blake Howes	10	18	16.2
Max Gawn	7	17	22.0
Taj Woewodin	10	17	14.6
Harrison Petty	6	15	29.6
Jake Melksham	7	15	11.6
Tom McDonald	5	13	19.0
Adam Tomlinson	6	9	17.9
Marty Hore	7	8	11.2
Jacob van Rooyen	3	5	16.8
Daniel Turner	1	1	12.0

Source: Herald Sun

Time in Forward Half

Quarter	For	Against
1	36%	64%
2	42%	58%
3	46%	54%
4	36%	64%
Match	39%	61%

Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations.

Score Sources

Summary

Category	Score	Against	Diff
Kick-in	1.1.7	1.0.6	+1
Centre Bounce	2.0.12	0.0.0	+12
Stoppage (Other)	2.2.14	4.4.28	-14
Turnover	3.6.24	10.9.69	-45

Score Source	For		Against
	Match	Season	Match	Season *
Kick-in	7	3.6	6	3.1
Centre Bounce	12	9.8	0	7.3
Stoppage (Other)	14	23.4	28	19.7
Turnover	24	40.8	69	48.7

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Collingwood.

Chain start region

Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective.

Category	Region	For		Against
		Match	Season	Match	Season *
Centre Bounce	Centre	12	9.8	0	7.3
Kick-in	D50	7	3.6	6	3.1
Stoppage (Other)	D50	6	3.1	0	1.3
Stoppage (Other)	Centre	0	2.1	6	2.0
Stoppage (Other)	Wing	7	12.5	9	8.8
Stoppage (Other)	F50	1	5.7	13	7.5
Turnover	D50	1	8.8	8	8.9
Turnover	Centre	0	7.4	19	7.4
Turnover	Wing	22	17.8	22	25.4
Turnover	F50	1	6.8	20	7.0

Region	For		Against
	Match	Season	Match	Season *
D50	14	15.5	14	13.3
Centre	12	19.3	25	16.8
Wing	29	30.3	31	34.2
F50	2	12.5	33	14.5

Region	For		Against
	Match	Season	Match	Season *
Defensive 50	14	15.5	14	13.3
Defensive midfield	15	16.1	26	18.7
Centre bounce	12	9.8	0	7.3
Attacking midfield	14	23.7	30	25.0
Forward 50	2	12.5	33	14.5

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Collingwood.

Points from defensive half

For		Against
Match	Season	Match	Season *
29	31.6	40	32.0

* Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Collingwood.

Centre Bounce Attendances

	CBAs	CBA %	2024 %	2023 %
Max Gawn	23	88%	85.0%	64.9%
Jack Viney	20	77%	69.1%	72.1%
Alex Neal-Bullen	18	69%	19.8%	2.1%
Judd McVee	15	58%	6.3%	0.0%
Trent Rivers	13	50%	29.9%	3.0%
Bailey Laurie	6	23%	11.0%	0.0%
Ed Langdon	4	15%	0.7%	0.0%
Jacob van Rooyen	3	12%	17.8%	7.6%
Kysaiah Pickett	2	8%	33.0%	11.2%
Christian Salem	0	0%	12.3%	0.0%
Harrison Petty	0	0%	7.5%	0.7%
Koltyn Tholstrup	0	0%	5.7%
Daniel Turner	0	0%	0.3%	0.0%
Tom McDonald	0	0%	0.0%	5.7%
Clayton Oliver			70.7%	81.4%
Christian Petracca			55.8%	61.1%
Tom Sparrow			37.7%	44.9%
Josh Schache			8.3%	0.0%
Charlie Spargo			4.2%	0.0%
Lachie Hunter			0.0%	0.2%

Ruck Contests and Hitouts

Ruck Contests

	Ruck Contests	RC %	2024 %	2023 %
Max Gawn	61	87%	81.1%	57.5%
Jacob van Rooyen	6	9%	17.6%	13.1%
Harrison Petty	3	4%	7.9%	2.0%
Daniel Turner	0	0%	3.1%	0.0%
Alex Neal-Bullen	0	0%	0.0%	0.0%
Tom McDonald	0	0%	0.0%	9.3%
Josh Schache			13.3%	4.1%
Ben Brown			0.2%	2.3%
Christian Petracca			0.0%	0.4%
Clayton Oliver			0.0%	0.1%
Steven May			0.0%	0.0%
Tom Sparrow			0.0%	0.0%

Hitouts

	Ruck Contests	Hitouts	To Adv.	To Adv. % (2024)	To Adv. % (2023)
Max Gawn	61	25	5	27.9%	30.1%
Jacob van Rooyen	6	1	0	24.7%	31.1%
Harrison Petty	3	1	0	24.4%	25.0%
Daniel Turner	0	0	0	50.0%
Alex Neal-Bullen	0	0	0		0.0%
Tom McDonald	0	0	0		20.0%
Ben Brown				100.0%	0.0%
Josh Schache				100.0%	0.0%
Christian Petracca					100.0%

Opposition hitouts

	Ruck Contests	Hitouts	To Adv.
Darcy Cameron	49	16	4
Mason Cox	21	9	4

Thanks Wheelo for your input this season.  Much appreciated.

[At the break of Gawn 4,400]

@WheeloRatings wondering if you can help me out. Is this our worst season in a long time of not winning the possession count per game? Feel like we’ve only won possession count a handful of times this year but we regularly won it during 2021-22.

 

[Adam The God 29,243]

That time in forward half last night is abhorrent. Just pathetic.

[WheeloRatings 1,159]

1 hour ago, At the break of Gawn said:

@WheeloRatings wondering if you can help me out. Is this our worst season in a long time of not winning the possession count per game? Feel like we’ve only won possession count a handful of times this year but we regularly won it during 2021-22.

 

Melbourne won the possession count seven times this year (30% of games) which is the lowest proportion in a season for Melbourne since 2013 when we won the possession count once. The last three seasons we have won the possession count in 60%, 58% and 64% of games.

[At the break of Gawn 4,400]

1 hour ago, WheeloRatings said:

Melbourne won the possession count seven times this year (30% of games) which is the lowest proportion in a season for Melbourne since 2013 when we won the possession count once. The last three seasons we have won the possession count in 60%, 58% and 64% of games.

Thank you! Thought as much.

[Demon Dynasty 17,080]

Round 24, 2024 MCG - Demons vs Magpies

Easily our worst Team Rating for the season.  The last time we performed this poorly was 2020.

Player	Rating	Rank	2023 Season Rating	% Change vs 2023
C Salem	4.175	1	2.993	39.5
M Gawn	3.925	2	3.350	17.2
T McDonald	3.775	3	2.054	83.8
Ed Langdon	2.850	4	3.057	-6.8
J Billings	2.550	5	-	-
K Chandler	2.550	5	2.265	12.6
K Pickett	2.550	5	2.101	21.4
A Tomlinson	2.350	8	2.915	-19.4
T Rivers	2.075	9	3.696	-43.9
A N-Bullen	2.050	10	2.532	-19.0
J Melksham	1.800	11	1.599	12.6
B Howes	1.650	12	2.235	-26.2
H Petty	1.650	12	2.718	-39.3
K Tholstrup	1.600	14	-	-
D Turner	1.550	15	1.825	-15.1
M Hore	1.500	16	-	-
B Laurie > 26%	1.500	16	3.131	-52.1
Jack Viney	1.400	18	3.707	-62.2
J Bowey < 31%	1.275	19	2.820	-54.8
T Woewoden	1.225	20	1.406	-12.9
J V Rooyen	0.950	21	2.170	-56.2
B Fritsch	0.825	22	2.324	-64.5
J McVee	0.500	23	2.320	-78.4
Team Score	45.78		69.86	-34.5
Top 6	19.83		24.43	-18.8
Bottom 6	7.18		15.17	-52.7

< Subbed out TOG %

> Subbed in TOG %

Magpies

Player	Rating	Rank
N Daicos	7.025	1
J Daicos	5.650	2
P Lipinski	5.625	3
E Allan	4.250	4
J Noble	4.025	5
S Sidebottom	3.675	6
W Parker	3.525	7
B Hill	3.300	8
S Pendlebury	3.300	8
D Cameron	2.950	10
B Maynard	2.925	11
J Elliott	2.825	12
F Macrae > 51%	2.650	13
J Richards	2.550	14
J Crisp	2.450	15
I Quaynor	2.400	16
J Howe	2.325	17
B McCreery	2.275	18
W H-Elliott	1.550	19
C Dean	1.400	20
M Cox	1.325	21
D Moore < 34%	1.275	22
L Schultz	0.000	23
Team Rating	69.28
Top 6	30.25
Bottom 6	10.15

Combined Ratings

Player	Rating	Rank
N Daicos	7.025	1
J Daicos	5.650	2
P Lipinski	5.625	3
E Allan	4.250	4
C Salem	4.175	5
J Noble	4.025	6
M Gawn	3.925	7
T McDonald	3.775	8
S Sidebottom	3.675	9
W Parker	3.525	10
B Hill	3.300	11
S Pendlebury	3.300	11
D Cameron	2.950	13
B Maynard	2.925	14
Ed Langdon	2.850	15
J Elliott	2.825	16
F Macrae > 51%	2.650	17
J Richards	2.550	18
J Billings	2.550	18
K Chandler	2.550	18
K Pickett	2.550	18
J Crisp	2.450	22
I Quaynor	2.400	23
A Tomlinson	2.350	24
J Howe	2.325	25
B McCreery	2.275	26
T Rivers	2.075	27
A N-Bullen	2.050	28
J Melksham	1.800	29
B Howes	1.650	30
H Petty	1.650	30
K Tholstrup	1.600	32
D Turner	1.550	33
W H-Elliott	1.550	33
M Hore	1.500	35
B Laurie > 26%	1.500	35
C Dean	1.400	37
Jack Viney	1.400	37
M Cox	1.325	39
D Moore < 34%	1.275	40
J Bowey < 31%	1.275	40
T Woewoden	1.225	42
J V Rooyen	0.950	43
B Fritsch	0.825	44
J McVee	0.500	45
L Schultz	0.000	46

Stats courtesy of footwire.com & wheeloratings.com

[Demon Dynasty 17,080]

Team & Player Ratings H&A Season 2024 vs H&A Season 2023

That's a wrap fellow minions.

Player	2024 Rating	2024 Rank	2023 Rating	% Change vs 2023	2023 Rank	Change in Rank vs 2023
C Petracca	4.476	1	4.707	-4.9	2	1
Max Gawn <	4.132	2	3.350	23.3	7	5
Steven May <	3.741	3	3.213	16.4	8	5
C Salem <	3.421	4	2.993	14.3	12	8
T Rivers	3.391	5	3.696	-8.3	5	0
C Oliver	3.364	6	5.002	-32.7	1	-5
Jack Viney	3.178	7	3.707	-14.3	4	-3
Jake Lever <	3.103	8	3.131	-0.9	9	1
Ed Langdon	3.089	9	3.057	1.0	10	1
A N-Bullen	3.000	10	2.532	18.5	20	10
T McDonald	2.967	11	2.054	44.4	27	16
Judd McVee	2.816	12	2.320	21.4	22	10
J Bowey <	2.755	13	2.820	-2.3	15	2
A Tomlinson	2.753	14	2.915	-5.6	14	0
T Sparrow <	2.517	15	2.811	-10.5	16	1
K Pickett	2.433	16	2.101	15.8	26	10
J Billings < >	2.430	17	-	-	-	-
B Laurie < >	2.425	18	2.235	8.5	24	6
M Hore >	2.343	19	-	-	-	-
B Howes	2.341	20	-	-	-	-
C Windsor <	2.275	21	-	-	-	-
K Chandler	2.223	22	2.265	-1.9	23	1
T Woewodin < >	2.052	23	1.406	45.9	34	11
J V Rooyen <	2.026	24	2.170	-6.6	25	1
A M-Wakefield <	1.933	25	-	-	-	-
K Tholstrup < >	1.898	26	-	-	-	-
J Melksham >	1.850	27	1.599	15.7	32	5
L Hunter* <	1.838	28	2.939	-37.5	13	-15
B Fritsch	1.746	29	2.324	-24.9	21	-8
H Petty <	1.701	30	2.718	-37.4	19	-11
S McAdam*	1.483	31	-	-	-	-
D Turner < >	1.393	32	1.825	-23.7	31	-1
Ben Brown <	1.391	33	1.941	-28.3	28	-5
C Spargo*	1.200	34	1.886	-36.4	29	-5
J Schache*	0.700	35	1.525	-54.1	33	-2
K Brown* >	0.125	36	-	-	-	-
Team Rating	65.17		69.86	-6.7
Top 6	22.53		24.43	-7.8
Bottom 6	14.04		15.17	-7.5

* Played less than two full matches (in total)

< Subbed out at least once or more (player rating could be somewhat comprised)

> Subbed in at least once or more (player rating could be somewhat comprised)

Stats courtesy of footwire.com & wheeloratings.com

[DeeZone 8,908]

Thanks DD that is a shocking way to finish the year, I guess it’s already been pretty well dissected. let’s hope our veterans can get back to their best in ‘25 and that our youngsters put in a big preseason. Let’s not waste pick 5, we need another midfield star and a bit extra real depth around the club.

[layzie 32,686]

Time in forward half 39% and -98 on the overall disposal count. 

What were we actually doing?