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2022 The Run Home - Predictions


Vipercrunch

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We can beat anyone, obviously, and finish the season 19-3. But, really, I can't see us magically fixing everything and the many out of form players coming good straight out of the short bye. Plus our fixture is tough, and it now looks like we'll be without Maxy for a good month++. Tough to see us, on current form and circumstances, staying inside the top 4 which is a shame given our good start. I hope for more, but will take a 5th spot, home final, then get the job done against a top 4 loser. Hopefully by the end of the H&A, we'll have gotten Tommy back with some time to settle, and any returning from injury/out of form, have found what they need to get us over the line in a thriller against the Lions. At the G.

Naturally, it really depends on how we come out of the bye, especially now without Max. Really tough. On current form we could lose pretty much every single game. And problematically, much like winning, losing breeds more loss. We need to break free from that cycle very quickly, because it's not going to get any easier.

For what it's worth, I think we can, even without Max, but geez we need a really quick step up from the group, and the likes of fringe players like Weid, who we're likely going to need if Jacko needs to ruck. 

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Max being imperious didn’t mean we won the Sydney game.

Similarly, his injury does not mean doom.

Daw can play a role or Weideman can come in. Jackson will provide a competitive ruck in there for the mids to work off.

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3 weeks ago I saw that MFC were 8:1 to miss the top 4 and 20:1 to miss the final 8. Now we are 3.6:1 to miss the 4, and 13:1 to miss the 8.  I thought the odds 3 weeks ago were too good to pass up. Also, when I back something it generally loses. And more than happy to lose, but if I win, at least I’ll have some money in my pocket to help me drown my sorrows.

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