Monkey Business

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

15 minutes ago, Macca said:

Go again mate

You dipped, you took a bite, ypu dipped again!

Ok then.....im gonna have a look at one of these soccer doubles: These guys have had some big wins this season inc 7-1. Lets hope they can keep the form going at home with at least a few goals.....

 

Football England Championship West Brom v Stoke    West Brom Win  +2.5 goals $3.50

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Best Sports bets for the weekend:

EPL: Watford vs Tottenham (Win) and More than 2.5 goals in the game $2.30

French Lique 1 Monaco (Win) and More than 2.5 goals in the game $3.70 vs Marseille

Crystal Palace v Southampton : Selection- Over 2.5 Match Goals $2.10

Preston v Bolton : Selection- Over 2.5 Match Goals $2.20.

NRL   Melbourne Storm v Penrith ....Melbourne line -2.5   $1.92

Football England Championship West Brom v Stoke    West Brom Win  +2.5 goals $3.50

Our best (so far) amount to approx 264/1

We await the mighty Binman....

[Macca 17,066]

6 hours ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Best Sports bets for the weekend:

EPL: Watford vs Tottenham (Win) and More than 2.5 goals in the game $2.30

French Lique 1 Monaco (Win) and More than 2.5 goals in the game $3.70 vs Marseille

Crystal Palace v Southampton : Selection- Over 2.5 Match Goals $2.10

Preston v Bolton : Selection- Over 2.5 Match Goals $2.20.

NRL   Melbourne Storm v Penrith ....Melbourne line -2.5   $1.92

Football England Championship West Brom v Stoke    West Brom Win  +2.5 goals $3.50

Our best (so far) amount to approx 264/1

We await the mighty Binman....

With odds-boost I just got on for 400-1 Wadda ... took the Storm to win @ 2.15 as the Storm line drifted out to +1.5.  Anyway,  we're in with a show.

One thing I recall from winning a few decent multi's is that you need a couple/few decent payers amongst the picks.  i.e you've got to take a few chances. 

It's not as simple as just picking all the favoured teams to win.  Our 2 value picks are West Brom & Monaco - mixed in with 4 other picks that ordinarily could or should get up. 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

3 hours ago, Macca said:

With odds-boost I just got on for 400-1 Wadda ... took the Storm to win @ 2.15 as the Storm line drifted out to +1.5.  Anyway,  we're in with a show.

One thing I recall from winning a few decent multi's is that you need a couple/few decent payers amongst the picks.  i.e you've got to take a few chances. 

It's not as simple as just picking all the favoured teams to win.  Our 2 value picks are West Brom & Monaco - mixed in with 4 other picks that ordinarily could or should get up. 

Yeap...thats a good point, a couple of decent legs. Thats why i always liked under 15.5 either side cause you always get at least 2.60 and it covers the draw. And with odds like 400/1 you only need get one and your in front for years. Many free hits after that.

Pity Storm could get the job done in Slaters last H&A game. Did alright till halftime. Reload again tomorrow. I like the other picks.

Edited August 31, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Macca 17,066]

14 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Yeap...thats a good point, a couple of decent legs. Thats why i always liked under 15.5 either side cause you always get at least 2.60 and it covers the draw.

Pity Storm could get the job done in Slaters last H&A game. Did alright till halftime. Reload again tomorrow. I like the other picks.

I base my thinking on the make-up of the results of any pick 5, 6 or 7 that one might put on ... there's nearly always at least 1 or 2 results that would have been at good odds beforehand.  Of course,  predicting which ones is the tough bit. 

My Monaco pick is based on them finding their true form ... they are a team that will almost certainly finish in the top 3 in Ligue 1 at seasons end so they will start winning at some stage and they are a free-scoring team.  Marseille have good scoring power from their midfield too.  2 - 1 or 3 - 1 is on the cards.  Here are their historical results (head to head)

[Dee Zephyr 19,269]

22 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Yeap...thats a good point, a couple of decent legs. Thats why i always liked under 15.5 either side cause you always get at least 2.60 and it covers the draw. And with odds like 400/1 you only need get one and your in front for years. Many free hits after that.

Pity Storm could get the job done in Slaters last H&A game. Did alright till halftime. Reload again tomorrow. I like the other picks.

We just can’t get Panthers games right Wadda. Such an unpredictable team. Storm had a host of players out, Slater missed the game due to family reasons I believe. 

Penrith had two players sin binned in the first half, they somehow managed to hold strong with the disadvantage and went on to win the game. It was actually an entertaining match to watch. Very strange feeling watching an NRL game only on a Friday night.

I’m liking the soccer games chosen this week, awesome value. I’m placing all 5 in the multi and also looking to play around with a system 3 or system 4.

[layzie 34,072]

I need to remember to read this thread a lot more.

Some very tasty soccer picks there. Quick multi before hitting the hay.

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

9 hours ago, layzie said:

I need to remember to read this thread a lot more.

Some very tasty soccer picks there. Quick multi before hitting the hay.

Hey Layzie, thanks man. We did it just for some fun and were interested in peoples best bets to do with any kind of sport across the world over a given weekend. We are all pretty easy going here and there are no arguments and egos. Feel free to join in the fun and select a pick or 2. Just try and get them in by a Friday evening if you can. We also have the now infamous Day at the Races thread, which if nothing else will be good entertainment during the upcoming Spring Carnival.

Edited August 31, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Results so far:

Storm 16  Penrith 22    (loss)

West Brom 2 Stoke City 1  (win)

Preston 2 Bolton 2    (win)

Crystal Palace 0 Southhampton 2     (loss)

Two games still to come tonight....

[Macca 17,066]

1 hour ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Results so far:

Storm 16  Penrith 22    (loss)

West Brom 2 Stoke City 1  (win)

Preston 2 Bolton 2    (win)

Crystal Palace 0 Southhampton 2     (loss)

Two games still to come tonight....

Got close with the 2 losses too Wadda ... I'll add a couple more soccer to the 2 we have left out of our original picks - these 2 ...

EPL: Watford vs Tottenham (Win) and Match Score +2.5 goals $2.30

French Lique1:  Monaco (Win) and Match Score +2.5 goals $3.70 vs Marseille

Arsenal,  Man Utd,  Barcelona,  Valencia,  Ajax,  Napoli,  Leipzig,  Schalke,  Benfica & Porto are all engaged in matches tonight so there's some choices available.

Edited September 2, 2018 by Macca

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

27 minutes ago, Macca said:

Got close with the 2 losses too Wadda ... I'll add a couple more soccer to the 2 we have left out of our original picks - these 2 ...

EPL: Watford vs Tottenham (Win) and Match Score +2.5 goals $2.30

French Lique 1 Monaco (Win) and Match Score +2.5 goals $3.70 vs Marseille

Arsenal,  Man Utd,  Barcelona,  Valencia,  Ajax,  Napoli,  Leipzig,  Schalke,  Benfica & Porto are all engaged in matches tonight so there's some choices available.

Sunday fun day and reload ya reckon!?? Yes might have a go TAB way less crowded on a Sunday here, in fact empty mostly...

[Macca 17,066]

3 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Sunday fun day and reload ya reckon!?? Yes might have a go TAB way less crowded on a Sunday here, in fact empty mostly...

Well,  if the 2 choices left get up then we're going to have PL again Wadda ? 

I'll add on 2 or 3 more out of the other soccer games played tonight and then hopefully wake and win!  Don't fancy the Rugby League games today so overnight it is. 

I know many like to watch a sporting event whilst having a bet on that event but I'm often the opposite (except for horse racing)  I'd often rather watch & enjoy without the hip-pocket factor. 

For instance,  the Broncos are playing for a home final today as long as they win by 24+ whilst the Sharks can't take it easy either - they lose by a good margin and they could lose the double-chance.  And we know that blow-outs can happen in Rugby League - either way.

[Dee Zephyr 19,269]

Came up with a 4 leg multi for overnight soccer games.

I’ve taken 2 the suggested specials. Spurs win/over 2.5 goals and Monaco win/over 2.5 goals into a couple of more games.

BELGIAN PRO LEAGUE

Cercle Brugge v Gent - Monday 3rd at 02:00

Gent win/over 2.5 match goals. $3.10

 ITALIAN SERIE A

Lazio v Frosinone - Monday 3rd at 04:30

Lazio win/over 2.5 match goals $1.62

 

 

Edited September 2, 2018 by Dee Zephyr

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

8 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Came up with a 4 leg multi for overnight soccer games.

I’ve taken 2 the suggested specials. Spurs win/over 2.5 goals and Monaco win/over 2.5 goals into a couple of more games.

BELGIAN PRO LEAGUE

Cercle Brugge v Gent - Monday 3rd at 02:00

Gent win/over 2.5 match goals. $3.10

 ITALIAN SERIE A

Lazio v Frosinone - Monday 3rd at 04:30

Lazio win/over 2.5 match goals $1.62

 

 

I like it ....ive been to Gent! Awesome old town in Belgium. Beer and chocolate to die for! Im on...

[Dee Zephyr 19,269]

College Football has commenced this weekend. I don’t mind indulging in a 3-4 leg multi over any given weekend consisting only that of ranked teams and line betting only.

The top 25 are ranked and those rankings change weekly depending on results over the previous weekend. Some of the lines set might seem like a little over the top but as we know the bookies get things right most of the time. 

Some of the ranked teams might play against weak and unranked colleges and I’d rather hedge my bet with a highly ranked team. 

Here’s how Week 1 has fared so far with the Top 25 teams covering or not covering the line. There’s no written rule that you have to take the favourite at the line, it’s just my preference. 

Number before team denotes ranking and A or H denotes home or away.

(21) (A) UCF 56 v UCONN 17 Line UCF -23.5 ✔️

(11) (H) Michigan State 38 v Utah State 31 Line Mich.St. -0.5✔️

(4) (H) Wisconsin 34 v W Kentucky 3 Line Wisconsin -36.5 ✖️

(13) (H) Stanford 31 v San Diego State 10 Line Stanford -14 ✔️

(5) (H) OSU 77 v Oregon State 31 Line OSU -39✔️

(23) (A) Texas 29 v Maryland 34 Line Texas -13.5✖️

(7) (H) Oklahoma 63 v FAU 14 Line Oklahoma -18.5✔️

(16) (H) TCU 55 v Southern 7 Line TCU -50✖️

(2) (H) Clemson 48 v Furman 7 Line Clemson -50.5✖️

(6)  (A) Washington 16 v (9) Auburn 21 Line Auburn -1.5✔️

(3) (H) Georgia 45 v Austin Peay 0 Line Georgia -48✖️

(17) (A) WVU 40 v Tennessee 14 Line WVU -10✔️

(10) (H) PSU 45 v App State 38 Overtime. Line PSU -24.5✖️

(15) (H) USC 43 v UNLV 21 Line USC - 26.5✖️

(22) (A) Boise State 56 v Troy 20 Line Boise St -10✔️

(18) (H) Miss St 63 v SF Austin 6 Line Miss St -48✔️

(12) (H) Notre Dame 24 v  (14) Michigan 17 Line ND -8.5 ✖️

(1) (H) Alabama 51 v Louisville 14 Line Alabama -24✔️

(24) (H) Oregon 58 v Bowling Green 24 Line Oregon -30.5✔️

I like to wait until a few weeks into the season when the rankings become a little more concrete although they do alter, it still gives me a reasonable idea of the stronger colleges.

As you can see above, some lines were covered and some not. You might want to avoid the lines set at -30 and above but those teams did give the bigger spread a decent shake. I tend to also avoid ranked colleges playing each other unless I see value in the home team. 

There was only one noticeable upset with the 23 ranked Texas losing. Sometimes head to head markets aren’t offered in certain games, only line betting. 

I don’t mind the NCAA Football as something to pass the time by and we all know we needed other interests to get us through the off season in the last decade or so.

 

[Macca 17,066]

Had the goals but wrong winners ... however,  Liverpool,  Man City,  Juventus,  Real Madrid,  Barcelona & Bayern Munich all won with all their games providing +2.5 goals  (Barcelona won 8-2 in their game)

So the method is there but the trust has to probably be with the really big clubs and then be satisfied with the lesser dividend.  Just like the horses,  it's better to be let down by the class runner/team.

[Dee Zephyr 19,269]

Good bet???? To win $700....

 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

43 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Good bet???? To win $700....

 

Serious question.....if a player (Federer) pulls a hamstring during the match and retires.......then...

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Oh what.....Federer lost!!

[Macca 17,066]

1 hour ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Good bet???? To win $700....

A bad bet ... a real bad bet!

You often wonder about the situation of those who place these sorts of bets ... do they do it all the time?  Unlimited collateral?  Seems like a hiding to nothing bet DZ.

 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

4 minutes ago, Macca said:

A bad bet ... a real bad bet!

You often wonder about the situation of those who place these sorts of bets ... do they do it all the time?  Unlimited collateral?  Seems like a hiding to nothing bet DZ.

 

Thats why i was asking about the injury senario Macca. Sure there are 1.02 bets, but i always think......(not that id ever bet on them)....what about the injury scenario and forfeiting matches ....do these monkeys even think of that? Some people have too much money

[Macca 17,066]

1 minute ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Thats why i was asking about the injury senario Macca. Sure there are 1.02 bets, but i always think......(not that id ever bet on them)....what about the injury scenario and forfeiting matches ....do these monkeys even think of that? Some people have too much money

1.10 or even 1.08 you'd maybe understand but 1.02?  That's what I call skinny odds.

And here we are trying to win $700 with a fiver!  ?

 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

3 minutes ago, Macca said:

1.10 or even 1.08 you'd maybe understand but 1.02?  That's what I call skinny odds.

And here we are trying to win $700 with a fiver!  ?

 

I know which way id rather try!

 

[Dee Zephyr 19,269]

1 hour ago, Macca said:

A bad bet ... a real bad bet!

You often wonder about the situation of those who place these sorts of bets ... do they do it all the time?  Unlimited collateral?  Seems like a hiding to nothing bet DZ.

 

I’ve never understood the idea behind these massive bets at those odds Macca. What’s the theory behind it? I mean....$700, what difference does it make?

The only thing that springs to mind is the punter might be some kind of high roller that needs to keep turning over funds for rewards or benefits  of some sort. Even then, TAB rewards won’t get you a flight to the Bahamas.

[Macca 17,066]

10 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

I’ve never understood the idea behind these massive bets at those odds Macca. What’s the theory behind it? I mean....$700, what difference does it make?

The only thing that springs to mind is the punter might be some kind of high roller that needs to keep turning over funds for rewards or benefits  of some sort. Even then, TAB rewards won’t get you a flight to the Bahamas.

Well what we can guess at DZ is that it couldn't have been a first-timer.  And perhaps the punter has never been burnt before with these sort of bets?

Not sure you'd 'go-again' in a hurry though ... the quintessential 'Once bitten,  twice shy' hey!  Oops!

Edited September 4, 2018 by Macca