A Day at the Races

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

27 minutes ago, Macca said:

The stewards have laid down some quite stringent rules that the horse has to pass so it might be the end.  But who knows?  The connections might keep pressing forward. 

Needs the Horse Whisperer. DHeads wont pay the money apparently...pfft

[Macca 16,903]

2 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Needs the Horse Whisperer. DHeads wont pay the money apparently...pfft

If the horse had have refused to jump outright today that would have been it according to the Stewards so it probably gets another chance.   The connections may or may not press on ... although,  apparently the horse has jumped out at its last 6 jump outs so they'd be in 2 minds.

'Graff' looks the goods ... beat a decent field with ease in the San Domenico.  Kris Lees the trainer reckons that Graff is the best colt he has ever trained - Black Book. 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

3 minutes ago, Macca said:

If the horse had have refused to jump outright today that would have been it according to the Stewards so it probably gets another chance.   The connections may or may not press on ... although,  apparently the horse has jumped out at its last 6 jump outs so they'd be in 2 minds.

'Graff' looks the goods ... beat a decent field with ease in the San Domenico.  Kris Lees the trainer reckons that Graff is the best colt he has ever trained - Black Book. 

Yeah i saw he said that. Pity Santos didnt run.....think he might have beat that lot.

[Macca 16,903]

@Dee Zephyr  gets one up for the team with 'Danawi' ... well done DZ!

Close at the line - real close.  You hate losing by that sort of margin so the luck was on our side this time. 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Leonardo Da Hinchi.....out of Hinchinbrook and Portrait.

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

45 minutes ago, Macca said:

@Dee Zephyr  gets one up for the team with 'Danawi' ... well done DZ!

Close at the line - real close.  You hate losing by that sort of margin so the luck was on our side this time. 

Yep great win. Hows our strike rate looking now Macca.

Edit: I think you can leave out the pick that came in late after your horse had jumped. Dont think it counts. People need to get their bets in earlier than that.

[Macca 16,903]

1 hour ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Yep great win. How's our strike rate looking now Macca.

Best Bet Strike Rate

13: 6 - 2 - 2

Australian Group Races

Again,  if one was to back all of our tips to win and then multi them up as well,  you'd break even (or better) today.  5.00 - 5.50 was available for Danawi (late)

  I went down the trifecta path with all of our picks and ended up with a very similar result.

 

Edit:  Adjusted the best bet strike rate to the correct figures

Edited August 25, 2018 by Macca

[Macca 16,903]

And 'Don't Give a Damn' salutes. 

The horse was our very first Best Bet ... yours truly selected it and it won back then as well.  Didn't pick it today but It's got to be a favourite of our's now.  Got the trifecta with the horse winning today (albeit a small dividend) A win is a win though. 

It's a good honest horse that is very consistent.

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

9 minutes ago, Macca said:

Best Bet Strike Rate

9: 3 - 2 - 2

Australian Group Races

Again,  if one was to back all our tips to win and then multi them up,  you'd break even today.  I went down the trifecta path with all of our picks and ended up with a very similar result.

Hang on a sec Macca, last weeks strike rate was.....

Best Bet Strike Rate

10: 5 - 2 - 1

[Macca 16,903]

2 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Hang on a sec Macca, last weeks strike rate was.....

Best Bet Strike Rate

10: 5 - 2 - 1

My brain just won't work today (hits head against wall) ... fixed. 

I'm usually reasonably good on the run too.  Age waits for no man hey Wadda ? Just as well you're here

Best Bet Strike Rate

13: 6 - 2 - 2

Australian Group Races

 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

1 hour ago, Macca said:

My brain just won't work today (hits head against wall) ... fixed. 

I'm usually reasonably good on the run too.  Age waits for no man hey Wadda ? Just as well you're here

Best Bet Strike Rate

13: 6 - 2 - 2

Australian Group Races

 

Me either Macca. Its all the stress of the Dees making finals!

Wow looking good. Weve only missed 3 races.

[Macca 16,903]

2 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Me either Macca. Its all the stress of the Dees making finals!

Wow looking good. Weve only missed 3 races.

A funny day at the races today ... had enough collects to save face but so many of the races were even affairs that I felt like I was guessing a lot.  But I knew that going in so no complaints.  The track bias at the Valley copped a bit of a caning from a few of the trainers too.

Next weekend will be more clear-cut Wadda with 10 of 11 of the Group or Listed races being WFA,  SW or SW+P races (Randwick 4,  Caulfield 5 (1 Hcp Listed race),  Morphettville 1,  Belmont (1) ... including the $1Million Memsie Stakes of course. 

[binman 42,606]

Sorry fellas on best bet. Wrong choice. Obviously. Cant use my home computer atm as renovating office. So trying to do stuff on phone.

Got track bias right. Summer sham wrong. Note to self best bets should always be good horses. Actually had a fantastic day, with 7 winners. Three at mv. 

 

 

 

 

[Macca 16,903]

3 hours ago, binman said:

Sorry fellas on best bet. Wrong choice. Obviously. Cant use my home computer atm as renovating office. So trying to do stuff on phone.

Got track bias right. Summer sham wrong. Note to self best bets should always be good horses. Actually had a fantastic day, with 7 winners. Three at mv.

Excellent point BM ... if one is to dip-out,  better to do it with a class runner (especially at this time of year) 

My choice was in a benchmark 78 race and I've learnt that lesson.  Was looking at Hiyaam closely but thought it needed the run but it did fly home.  A watcher though.

I really liked Avilius too even at the short odds - and it duly won in fine style ... Punters lament!

[binman 42,606]

I was close to choosing avilus too. But it was too short. Same with grunt. I was close to choosing paret as best but even though i backed it hesitated. Class will out. In hinsight best was theanswermyfriend. Backed ir but really was too short

[Macca 16,903]

Apart from the big Group racing returning next Saturday with the Group 1 Memsie Stakes along with 3 other Group 2 events,  racing also returns to Sha Tin next Sunday after a 7 week break. 

I really like the truly run racing at HK which makes dissecting the form a lot easier.  Plus,  following the Aussie jockeys & trainers up there can pay-off too.  There's usually at least 2 or 3 high quality feature events run at Sha Tin most Sunday's.

Best Bet Strike Rate

13: 6 - 2 - 2

Australian Group & Listed Races

And here's a couple of Group 1 events raced overnight at Saratoga (USA) over the classic Mile and a Quarter & Mile and a Half ...

 

 

 

[Macca 16,903]

A sad ending but a fabulous career looks like coming to an end. 

I had thoughts that the owners of Chautauqua might entertain a stint in Hong Kong as there are 5 x Group 1 & 2 races and a few Group 3's in their Oct to May sprint-race calendar - but that's a real long shot.  Excellent prizemoney up there though,  all the same.  

Chautauqua banned from racing - a grand career surely over (owners to appeal)

Quote

There remains one final step in the process.

 Chautauqua's owners are unhappy with the Racing NSW stewards' decision and, as such, have been invited to make submissions on Tuesday. 

"Managing owner of Chautauqua, Mr Rupert Leigh, has informed Stewards that the majority of shareholders in Chautauqua intend to make submissions in response to the Stewards’ preliminary decision," a Racing NSW release said.

"As such, Racing NSW Stewards shall hear those submissions at Racing NSW’s office commencing at 1pm on Tuesday, 28 August 2018."

 

[Macca 16,903]

As it's turned out it's not quite over for Chautauqua at all .. another trial beckons and it seems that the connections are so determined to run the horse that my Hong Kong alternative may well be an option ... Chautauqua is back from retirement

Latest odds for the Memsie Stakes ... a quality field with at least a handful of genuine winning chances.  A good betting race

[Macca 16,903]

Some very good fields assembled for Saturday ... just in time to start up our trifecta combo if we want to continue with it.  I'll leave it up to others to decide although DZ has already given it the go-ahead.  I'm up for it.

If so,  Wadda gets to have 2 picks in the rotation and that continues for 4 Weeks or the month of September.  And we could just come in with our nominations whenever we want - just as a change up.  Saves us waiting around for others.  

Anyway,  here's a choice of 6 races and I've marked the Memsie Stakes on top.  Click on any of the links below for the Racenet.com form for that particular race.  I tend to click on the 'ratings' within the link to put the horses into ratings order.  Or sometimes the odds order.

• Caulfield  Race 7  Memsie Stakes  1400m  $1Million  Group 1  WFA
• Randwick  Race 6  Tramway Stakes  1400m  $200k  Group 2  SW + P
• Caulfield  Race 8  The Heath  1100m  $150k  Group 3  SW + P
• Randwick  Race 7  Chelmsford Stakes  1600m  $250k  Group 2  WFA
• Randwick  Race 5  Concorde Stakes  1000m  $160k  Group 3  SW + P
• Caulfield  Race 6  McNeil Stakes  1200m  $150k  Group 3  3-Y-0  SW + P

Edited August 29, 2018 by Macca

[Macca 16,903]

Best Bet

Caulfield Race 6 No.6 Seabrook $6

There's an omen bet if I've ever seen one ... there's only 1 turn over the 1200m at Caulfield and this Mick Price Filly is sure to be flying home. 

Ran some eye catching runs in its first preparation including a win in the Group 1 Champagne Stakes.  Both Gator & Hutchy have also picked it to win.

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

On 8/28/2018 at 5:17 PM, Macca said:

As it's turned out it's not quite over for Chautauqua at all .. another trial beckons and it seems that the connections are so determined to run the horse that my Hong Kong alternative may well be an option ... Chautauqua is back from retirement

Latest odds for the Memsie Stakes ... a quality field with at least a handful of genuine winning chances.  A good betting race

Can somebody explain to me why Hartnell is 13/1? Because i have no idea.....it returned the other week in red hot form and was only 3 lengths off them....? 1400 is a good distance for him ...no??

Edited August 30, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Well you all know who im gonna pick.......

Caulfield: Race 8 No 3  Voodoo Lad $3.50

Back to his favorite track, barrier 3 and Weir has him flying atm. Clearly the one to beat in that field.

[Macca 16,903]

12 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Can somebody explain to me why Hartnell is 13/1? Because i have no idea.....it returned the other week in red hot form and nearly won....? 1400 is a good distance for him ...no??

May be Wadda because all the money is flowing towards Vega Magic,  Kementari & Happy Clapper ... I suppose that's what Group 1 racing often does 'odds-wise.'

Showtime is another with real claims and even Dollar for Dollar is a chance.  And then there's Grunt & Black Heart Bart who can't be counted out in terms of getting into the finish. 

The Memsie & The Tramway Stakes up at Randwick are the standout races on Saturday.  Absolute top-notch fields in both races.

I can find trifecta combo's but there's any number of winning chances in all of the feature events.

Edited August 30, 2018 by Macca

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

12 minutes ago, Macca said:

May be Wadda because all the money is flowing towards Vega Magic,  Kementari & Happy Clapper ... I suppose that's what Group 1 racing often does 'odds-wise.'

Showtime is another with real claims and even Dollar for Dollar is a chance.  And then there's Grunt & Black Heart Bart who can't be counted out in terms of getting into the finish. 

The Memsie & The Tramway Stakes up at Randwick are the standout races on Saturday.  Absolute top-notch fields in both races.

I can find trifecta combo's but there's any number of winning chances in all of the feature events.

Well i guess your right, but he was sure flying at the end of the the last start Hartnell. Somebody on SEN said Kentamari will not get over being pantsed by Winx and will be unlikely to win.....

I think Le Romain might be a standout winner for a trifecta? Binman will probably best bet him as well! Hi Binman!!

[Dee Zephyr 19,267]

48 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Can somebody explain to me why Hartnell is 13/1? Because i have no idea.....it returned the other week in red hot form and was only 3 lengths off them....? 1400 is a good distance for him ...no??

I’ll give 100/1 for Hartnell if you like Wadda?. I wonder why they chose not to run him on Saturday.

Edit: The odds posted by Macca were prior to acceptances so maybe the betting was kept safe with Hartnell.

Edited August 30, 2018 by Dee Zephyr