Jump to content


Recommended Posts

Posted

Trapeze Artist to race on!  And the owner has insured the horse for $50Million.

The horse will race on for 12 months and then be retired to stud.  So it's next Spring,  Hong Kong in December,  the Autumn and then Royal Ascot and then that's it. 

Maybe 10 -12 Group 1 races in all but it might only be 8 or 9. 

  • Like 2

Posted

After having an early look at the Saturday fields there's a few trifecta races that might take the fancy - I'm easy on what the preference is because my main aim is going to be the 3 Group 1 races at Sha Tin on Sunday.  Anyway,  here are the 5 races I picked out but there might be a few others that suit

I've marked the Doomben race as my 3rd preference as there are only the 8 runners and therefore the value may not be there. 

Hawkesbury  Race 7  Hawkesbury Cup

Morphettville  Race 6  City of Adelaide Hcp

Doomben  Race 8  Victory Stakes

Hawkesbury  Race 5  Hawkesbury Rush

Hawkesbury  Race 6  Godolphin Crown

 

Best Bet Strike Rate

44: 20 - 9 - 2

Trifecta Strike Rate

1: 1 - 0  (+$102.50)


Australian Group and Listed Races

 

  • Like 2

Posted

I'm reckoning Hawkesbury  Race 7  The Hawkesbury Cup might be a good choice for our trifecta race ... it's a good betting race with a lot of familiar horses albeit Group 3 standard performers.   Could be a decent dividend for the right combination. 

Let me know what you think @Dee Zephyr @Wadda We Sing

 

 

  • Like 2
Posted
21 minutes ago, Macca said:

I'm reckoning Hawkesbury  Race 7  The Hawkesbury Cup might be a good choice for our trifecta race ... it's a good betting race with a lot of familiar horses albeit Group 3 standard performers.   Could be a decent dividend for the right combination. 

Let me know what you think @Dee Zephyr @Wadda We Sing

 

 

G’day Macca.

All the races you listed at Hawkesbury have horses with high ratings, which is a guide i usually like to go by, but I feel the size of the field in the Hawkesbury Cup makes that particular race appealing for our trifecta special. As usual, happy with the majority of course.

Dan Zephyr is back again. Caulfield R8 No.9.

Over the 1400m this time. So this prep has gone 1200m - 1000m - 1400m. ? My mate has been busy lately, I would really like to hear his thoughts on this.

  • Like 2
Posted
16 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

G’day Macca.

All the races you listed at Hawkesbury have horses with high ratings, which is a guide i usually like to go by, but I feel the size of the field in the Hawkesbury Cup makes that particular race appealing for our trifecta special. As usual, happy with the majority of course.

Dan Zephyr is back again. Caulfield R8 No.9.

Over the 1400m this time. So this prep has gone 1200m - 1000m - 1400m. ? My mate has been busy lately, I would really like to hear his thoughts on this.

It's a tricky race but 4 sets of eyes makes the process of finding the right combination easier ... there are only 1 or 2 horses that probably won't feature in the finish out of the 11 runners and whilst the favourite has real claims,  there's more than a few that can win the race. 

It's a good betting race DZ and our choices might come down to current form vs previous form at Group level.  A decent dividend beckons. 

  • Like 2

Posted
3 hours ago, Dee Zephyr said:

G’day Macca.

All the races you listed at Hawkesbury have horses with high ratings, which is a guide i usually like to go by, but I feel the size of the field in the Hawkesbury Cup makes that particular race appealing for our trifecta special. As usual, happy with the majority of course.

Dan Zephyr is back again. Caulfield R8 No.9.

Over the 1400m this time. So this prep has gone 1200m - 1000m - 1400m? My mate has been busy lately, I would really like to hear his thoughts on this.

I would like to know what the trainer is having on his Weetbix, and can i get some....

  • Haha 2
Posted

Going to 1400 from 1000 is better than going back in distance.

I usually draw a line thoufh horses going back in sistance, though if they are sprinters 1200 back to 1100 (or at worst back to 1100) or 1100 back to 1000 can be ok if they are simply better at the 1000.

DZ is not a spinter though is it?

Il do the form for the Hawksbury cup.

  • Like 3
Posted
7 minutes ago, binman said:

Going to 1400 from 1000 is better than going back in distance.

I usually draw a line thoufh horses going back in sistance, though if they are sprinters 1200 back to 1100 (or at worst back to 1100) or 1100 back to 1000 can be ok if they are simply better at the 1000.

DZ is not a spinter though is it?

Il do the form for the Hawksbury cup.

The best distance for Dan has been at the 1400m. The case could be that tomorrow’s race was always in the plans.

He was scratched a fortnight ago or so on the day and the reason for running him last week over the 1000m after his first up run of 1200m could simply be they just wanted to give the horse a “run”. That’s my unqualified opinion on it anyway. 

  • Like 1

Posted

@Wadda We Sing

 Do you want to kick things off again re the trifecta?

  • Like 1
Posted (edited)
26 minutes ago, Macca said:

@Wadda We Sing

 Do you want to kick things off again re the trifecta?

Sure Macca, assuming you mean the Hawksbury Cup? I have to say I like Equador. Won 10 times at the track, is a High Chapparal and trained by Gai. She just hates a Cup.

Dont really know much about the rest of them? Throw the Waller runner McCreery in somewhere for a place, although its up 5.5kg in weight.

Edited by Wadda We Sing
  • Like 2

Posted
33 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Sure Macca, assuming you mean the Hawksbury Cup? I have to say I like Equador. Won 10 times at the track, is a High Chapparal and trained by Gai. She just hates a Cup.

Dont really know much about the rest of them? Throw the Waller runner McCreery in somewhere for a place, although its up 5.5kg in weight.

The Group 1's are back on next week so the Hawkesbury Cup will have to do Wadda

My tip is Mister Sea Wolf to win ... so its that and Equador so far

3 hours ago, binman said:

I'll do the form for the Hawksbury cup.

Over to you BM

  • Like 2
Posted (edited)
17 minutes ago, Macca said:

The Group 1's are back on next week so the Hawkesbury Cup will have to do Wadda

My tip is Mister Sea Wolf to win ... so its that and Equador so far

Over to you BM

Actually i meant Mr Sea Wolf was carrying an extra 5.5kg from its last run, not McCreery.......good pick tho, has to go in..

Edited by Wadda We Sing
  • Like 2
Posted
20 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Actually i meant Mr Sea Wolf was carrying an extra 5.5kg from its last run, not McCreery.......good pick tho, has to go in..

Before that last race it was carrying weight and racing quite well.

Its last run was in the Doncaster hcp where a lot of good horses got in at low weights

  • Like 2
Posted
43 minutes ago, Macca said:

Before that last race it was carrying weight and racing quite well.

Its last run was in the Doncaster hcp where a lot of good horses got in at low weights

Ran well in that race too...

  • Like 2
Posted
42 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Ran well in that race too...

You've got to laugh at some of the comments made about a horses chances. 

They will quite often talk up a horses chances and then finish off with "Not in this"

Or talk down a horses chances and then end with "Should win"

The weight comments are often only referring to 1kg or disingenuous ones where there is an obvious anomoly.

  • Like 2

Posted (edited)

Since the racing has slowed down a little, im going to throw my sport multi in that i take every week. I like going for home teams and lower margins in more even games. Ive done ok with them over the years, but lately its been a bit hard, with a few upsets around the place. I generally just take AFL & NRL but occasionally throw in some others. I also try and keep it to a max of 6 legs.

So FWIW:

Melbourne 1-39 $2.40 (I think we have too much to play for to lose, dry track as well, but will be close)

Western Bulldogs 1-39 $2.06 (well youd think!!..... bullies will get the job done)

Geelong Cats 1-39 $2.08 (Danger game, but tipping Geelong at home)

Richmond H2H $1.50  (should account for Collingwood)

Hawthorn H2H $1.42 (StKilda are terrible, could be a big win for the Hawks)

Penrith H2H $1.52   (to get up at home over Canterbury)

Manley H2H $1.52  (You would think will beat Newcastle)

61.03 (enhanced) for $7.00 = $427.18

Edited by Wadda We Sing
  • Like 2
Posted
1 hour ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Since the racing has slowed down a little, im going to throw my sport multi in that i take every week. I like going for home teams and lower margins in more even games. Ive done ok with them over the years, but lately its been a bit hard, with a few upsets around the place. I generally just take AFL & NRL but occasionally throw in some others. I also try and keep it to a max of 6 legs.

So FWIW:

Melbourne 1-39 $2.40 (I think we have too much to play for to lose, dry track as well, but will be close)

Western Bulldogs 1-39 $2.06 (well youd think!!..... bullies will get the job done)

Geelong Cats 1-39 $2.08 (Danger game, but tipping Geelong at home)

Richmond H2H $1.50  (should account for Collingwood)

Hawthorn H2H $1.42 (StKilda are terrible, could be a big win for the Hawks)

Penrith H2H $1.52   (to get up at home over Canterbury)

Manley H2H $1.52  (You would think will beat Newcastle)

61.03 (enhanced) for $7.00 = $427.18

I'm putting together a 4 pick multi on weekends where myself and 3 mates have 1 pick each.  Similar to what we do here with our best bets.

No luck first time up last weekend but they're all keen to continue it on ... we all specialise in different sports ... I'm Super Rugby, one is NRL,  one is American sports and the other is AFL or golf (of all things!)

It's based on all participants having one good thing every weekend and then working as a team.

 

  • Like 2
Posted (edited)
17 minutes ago, Macca said:

I'm putting together a 4 pick multi on weekends where myself and 3 mates have 1 pick each.  Similar to what we do here with our best bets.

No luck first time up last weekend but they're all keen to continue it on ... we all specialise in different sports ... I'm Super Rugby, one is NRL,  one is American sports and the other is AFL or golf (of all things!)

It's based on all participants having one good thing every weekend and then working as a team.

 

That sounds really good. Feel free to post your super rugby leg here..haha...Golf? Golf is the most unpredictable sport ive ever come across, beyond me. But the odds are very good if you get a winner, usually 6s or more.

In fact feel free to post the multi here~ haha, with your mates permission of course.

Multis are good fun.

Edited by Wadda We Sing
  • Like 2

Posted
34 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

That sounds really good. Feel free to post your super rugby leg here..haha...Golf? Golf is the most unpredictable sport ive ever come across, beyond me. But the odds are very good if you get a winner, usually 6s or more.

In fact feel free to post the multi here~ haha, with your mates permission of course.

Multis are good fun.

I've got no issue posting the 4pick up Wadda and my mates are welcome to tell their mates as well.  

The mate who does NRL also sometimes does AFL or Soccer.  The American sports mate really knows his stuff (across the 4 big sports)

With the golf mate it's a top 5 position only (not the winner)  His theory is that a number of the better golfers will rally late.  I don't follow golf closely so I defer to his knowledge. 

I reckon 4 picks is enough in a multi especially if there is individual value in each pick ($3+)

If I get a chance I'll post up the 4 picks sometime after they all come in. 

I do a 1-12 or 13+ margin pick with Super Rugby as I rarely miss with the actual winner ... I also look for a bit of value.  No risk,  no reward.  After Super Rugby I concentrate on the Internationals & Six Nations. 

  • Like 2
Posted
37 minutes ago, Macca said:

I've got no issue posting the 4pick up Wadda and my mates are welcome to tell their mates as well.  

The mate who does NRL also sometimes does AFL or Soccer.  The American sports mate really knows his stuff (across the 4 big sports)

With the golf mate it's a top 5 position only (not the winner)  His theory is that a number of the better golfers will rally late.  I don't follow golf closely so I defer to his knowledge. 

I reckon 4 picks is enough in a multi especially if there is individual value in each pick ($3+)

If I get a chance I'll post up the 4 picks sometime after they all come in. 

I do a 1-12 or 13+ margin pick with Super Rugby as I rarely miss with the actual winner ... I also look for a bit of value.  No risk,  no reward.  After Super Rugby I concentrate on the Internationals & Six Nations. 

Ok, top 5 in the golf makes more sense then. True enough if you can get 3 dollar value, then 4 is ok.

1-12 or 13+ is fine by me...no guts no glory! I much prefer the margins and they can usually present themselves......would be very interested to have a look at the selections anyway.

  • Like 2

Posted

My best bet for the weekend is at Hawkesbury as well ...

Hawkesbury Race 6 (The Godolphin Crown) ... No.10 Sedanzer ($4.60 win & $1.85 place)

It is a very consistent horse that could have easily won its last 5 races.  It finishes off its races well.  It's a decent field but the horse has drawn the 3 gate and is trained by Gai Waterhouse.

  • Like 2
Posted

Best Bet. Caulfield R6 No.1 Sunset Watch.

TAB odds: $1.95

Apologies for the short odds gents, I’ve looked for the last few days and this horse came out on top.

Tricky 2yr old set weights race but this colt is speedy and seems to hold his sprint well at the end. Two wins in a row and won well both times including one at the 1200m. 

  • Like 2
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Ok, top 5 in the golf makes more sense then. True enough if you can get 3 dollar value, then 4 is ok.

1-12 or 13+ is fine by me...no guts no glory! I much prefer the margins and they can usually present themselves......would be very interested to have a look at the selections anyway.

The 4 picks are in and here they are Wadda ... in order of when the events are decided.

  • Geelong (1-39) vs Sydney  $2.10  (Sat 1.45pm)
  • Crusaders (1-12) @ Brumbies $3.75 (Sat 7.30pm)
  • Boston Celtics (-4.5) vs Milwaukee Bucks $1.95 (Sun 10.10am)
  • Day/Ruffles (Top 5)  it is a pairs event) Zurich Classic  $6.00 (Monday morning)

Adds up to 92-1.   Cashing out before the golf is an option or 2 separate bets (first 3 events & all 4)

 

 

Edited by Macca
  • Like 2
Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, Macca said:

The 4 picks are in and here they are Wadda ... in order of when the events are decided.

  • Geelong (1-39) vs Sydney  $2.10  (Sat 1.45pm)
  • Crusaders (1-12) @ Brumbies $3.75 (Sat 7.30pm)
  • Boston Celtics (-4.5) vs Milwaukee Bucks $1.95 (Sun 10.10am)
  • Day/Ruffles (Top 5)  it is a pairs event) Zurich Classic  $6.00 (Monday morning)

Adds up to 92-1.   Cashing out before the golf is an option or 2 separate bets (first 3 events & all 4)

 

 

Cool, ill get on. Cheers....Ladbrokes only have win on the golf that i can see? Its also a live event as it started thurday.....

Im looking at a few BBs....get one in by lunchtime.

Edited by Wadda We Sing
  • Like 2
Posted
13 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Cool, ill get on. Cheers....Ladbrokes only have win on the golf that i can see? Its also a live event as it started thurday.....

Im looking at a few BBs....get one in by lunchtime.

Sportsbet & the TAB have both got the first 5 available in the golf ... Ladbrokes may well have it up tomorrow. 

 

 

  • Like 2

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
  • Demonland Forums  

  • Match Previews, Reports & Articles  

    2024 Player Reviews: #15 Ed Langdon

    The Demon running machine came back with a vengeance after a leaner than usual year in 2023.  Date of Birth: 1 February 1996 Height: 182cm Games MFC 2024: 22 Career Total: 179 Goals MFC 2024: 9 Career Total: 76 Brownlow Medal Votes: 5 Melbourne Football Club: 5th Best & Fairest: 352 votes

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 6

    2024 Player Reviews: #24 Trent Rivers

    The premiership defender had his best year yet as he was given the opportunity to move into the midfield and made a good fist of it. Date of Birth: 30 July 2001 Games MFC 2024: 23 Career Total: 100 Goals MFC 2024: 2 Career Total:  9 Brownlow Medal Votes: 7 Melbourne Football Club: 6th Best & Fairest: 350 votes

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 2

    TRAINING: Monday 11th November 2024

    Veteran Demonland Trackwatchers Kev Martin, Slartibartfast & Demon Wheels were on hand at Gosch's Paddock to kick off the official first training session for the 1st to 4th year players with a few elder statesmen in attendance as well. KEV MARTIN'S PRESEASON TRAINING OBSERVATIONS Beautiful morning. Joy all round, they look like they want to be there.  21 in the squad. Looks like the leadership group is TMac, Viney Chandler and Petty. They look like they have sli

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Training Reports 2

    2024 Player Reviews: #1 Steven May

    The years are rolling by but May continued to be rock solid in a key defensive position despite some injury concerns. He showed great resilience in coming back from a nasty rib injury and is expected to continue in that role for another couple of seasons. Date of Birth: 10 January 1992 Height: 193cm Games MFC 2024: 19 Career Total: 235 Goals MFC 2024: 1 Career Total: 24 Melbourne Football Club: 9th Best & Fairest: 316 votes

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons

    2024 Player Reviews: #4 Judd McVee

    It was another strong season from McVee who spent most of his time mainly at half back but he also looked at home on a few occasions when he was moved into the midfield. There could be more of that in 2025. Date of Birth: 7 August 2003 Height: 185cm Games MFC 2024: 23 Career Total: 48 Goals MFC 2024: 1 Career Total: 1 Brownlow Medal Votes: 1 Melbourne Football Club: 7th Best & Fairest: 347 votes

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 5

    2024 Player Reviews: #31 Bayley Fritsch

    Once again the club’s top goal scorer but he had a few uncharacteristic flat spots during the season and the club will be looking for much better from him in 2025. Date of Birth: 6 December 1996 Height: 188cm Games MFC 2024: 23 Career Total: 149 Goals MFC 2024: 41 Career Total: 252 Brownlow Medal Votes: 4

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 9

    2024 Player Reviews: #18 Jake Melksham

    After sustaining a torn ACL in the final match of the 2023 season Jake added a bit to the attack late in the 2024 season upon his return. He has re-signed on to the Demons for 1 more season in 2025. Date of Birth: 12 August 1991 Height: 186cm Games MFC 2024: 8 Career Total: 229 Goals MFC 2024: 8 Career Total: 188

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 7

    2024 Player Reviews: #3 Christian Salem

    The luckless Salem suffered a hamstring injury against the Lions early in the season and, after missing a number of games, he was never at his best. He was also inconvenienced by minor niggles later in the season. This was a blow for the club that sorely needed him to fill gaps in the midfield at times as well as to do his best work in defence. Date of Birth: 15 July 1995 Height: 184cm Games MFC 2024: 17 Career Total: 176 Goals MFC 2024: 1 Career Total: 26 Brownlow Meda

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 8

    2024 Player Reviews: #39 Koltyn Tholstrop

    The first round draft pick at #13 from twelve months ago the strongly built medium forward has had an impressive introduction to AFL football and is expected to spend more midfield moments as his career progresses. Date of Birth: 25 July 2005 Height: 186cm Games MFC 2024: 10 Career Total: 10 Goals MFC 2024: 5 Career Total: 5 Games CDFC 2024: 7 Goals CDFC 2024: 4

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Melbourne Demons 9
  • Tell a friend

    Love Demonland? Tell a friend!

×
×
  • Create New...