A Day at the Races

[Dee Zephyr 19,267]

49 minutes ago, Macca said:

Geelong Cup on Wednesday and it looks a good betting race too ... the locals (or newly acquired locals ?) have real claims as do the overseas contingent. 

If chancing your arm on the exotics a mix of locals & newly arrived horses is probably the go.  The 1, 3 & 6 are all having their first start in the country and all 3 have decent overseas form for this sort of race. 

Geelong Cup 2400m $350k Group 3

Goodness me Macca, Withhold beat home 33 runners two starts ago and that run was in October last year. A field of 34 in a flat race? It’s common for the steeples, can’t say i have ever seen a field of that size on the flat.

Withhold is 33rd in the ballot for the Melbourne Cup and $15 to win it. 

Edited October 22, 2018 by Dee Zephyr

[Macca 16,910]

20 hours ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Goodness me Macca, Withhold beat home 33 runners two starts ago and that run was in October last year. A field of 34 in a flat race? It’s common for the steeples, can’t say i have ever seen a field of that size on the flat.

Withhold is 33rd in the ballot for the Melbourne Cup and $15 to win it. 

There seems to be quite a few of these types of huge fields mainly at Newmarket or Royal Ascot in contrast to a lot of their Group 1's that often only have small fields.  I suppose that is just how they do it over there.  

The topweight 'Finche' is lightly raced but has raced and performed well at Group level or listed races in all but it's first start.  All at around about the Geelong Cup distance.  I am not tipping it or any other horse to win outright however as the exotics is my caper with these sorts of races. 

I've narrowed it down to 5 winning chances and about a total of 7 or 8 that could get into the finish.  It's a good betting race DZ if one can figure out the form ?

Edited October 23, 2018 by Macca

[Dappa Dan 2,188]

21 hours ago, Macca said:

 

So who's your tip, then?

[Macca 16,910]

22 minutes ago, Dappa Dan said:

 

Don't have one ... what is yours?

[Dappa Dan 2,188]

2 minutes ago, Macca said:

Don't have one ... what is yours?

Ha. I just like the occasional flutter... Know very little.

That said. #7.

lol

[Macca 16,910]

Just now, Dappa Dan said:

 

You are on 'Midterm' then ... if it doesn't win we are sending people around ?

[Dappa Dan 2,188]

1 minute ago, Macca said:

You are on 'Midterm' then ... if it doesn't win we are sending people around ?

If my NFL tips are anything to go by, I'll be expecting them in a few hours.

[Macca 16,910]

9 minutes ago, Dappa Dan said:

If my NFL tips are anything to go by, I'll be expecting them in a few hours.

Ha!  Midterm is a real chance ... I have got it included

[Dappa Dan 2,188]

Meh. Not my day today.

[Macca 16,910]

It was a very good win by Runaway in the Geelong Cup,  all the same.  Can't say I had it amongst my chances but not to worry. 

Runaway will have to rely on a hefty weight penalty to get into the Melbourne Cup now.  The race should probably make a horse exempt for the Cup in my opinion.  Here's the race ...

 

 

[Macca 16,910]

Best Bet

Saturday  Moonee Valley  Race 9  No.4  Avilius  $2.70 (Place Only)

Assuming all 8 horses start in the race. 

[Macca 16,910]

@Dee Zephyr 

'El Magnificence' running in the 5th Race at the Valley tomorrow night?

[Dee Zephyr 19,267]

1 hour ago, Macca said:

@Dee Zephyr 

'El Magnificence' running in the 5th Race at the Valley tomorrow night?

G’day Macca.

There’s a strong chance the horse will be scratched tomorrow. They will go like last week’s pay in this 955m dash and being drawn in the middle might present some difficulties in terms of where to settle the horse. Not an ideal first-up race. Too much pressure I believe.

‘El’ has also accepted at Sale in the last race on Sunday. This presents a better first-up assignment, less pressure and a bigger track. Prize money is obviously much better tomorrow night but the aim is to have him firing for the whole campaign.

Edit: They weren’t expecting to make the Moonee Valley field with the low rating but when they did it would’ve generated some strong discussion for the best and most logical option.

Edited October 25, 2018 by Dee Zephyr

[Macca 16,910]

2 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

G’day Macca.

There’s a strong chance the horse will be scratched tomorrow. They will go like last week’s pay in this 955m dash and being drawn in the middle might present some difficulties in terms of where to settle the horse. Not an ideal first-up race. Too much pressure I believe.

‘El’ has also accepted at Sale in the last race on Sunday. This presents a better first-up assignment, less pressure and a bigger track. Prize money is obviously much better tomorrow night but the aim is to have him firing for the whole campaign.

I will look out for it on Sunday DZ ... as well as that race the $200k Sale Cup looks an interesting race with DK Weir having a couple of runners including 'Plein Ceil' which would have to be a decent show. 

In other news 'Latrobe' is out of the Melbourne Cup and will instead run in the $2Million McKinnon Stakes on the last day of the 4 day Carnival.  Decent prizemoney for a alternate race hey?  Would Winx run in the McKinnon?  Anyway,  read more at ... RacingPost.com

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Ciao guys, can somebody post a link to the fields for best bets....im having a lot of trouble connecting to the net this week. Ciao.

[Macca 16,910]

5 hours ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Ciao guys, can somebody post a link to the fields for best bets....im having a lot of trouble connecting to the net this week. Ciao.

Can't post up the links until this evening Wadda but go to Racenet.com if you can and then follow the links

Ciao!

[Dee Zephyr 19,267]

Best Bet

Moonee Valley Race 7 No.9

Siege Of Quebec Win $3.40

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Best Bet:

Mooney Valley Race 6 No 1 El Dorado Dreaming

Im also keen on a place bet, but i cant get a price here.

Wondering around Pom....(didnt see that coming)...peii. God its huge!

Edited October 26, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Ok now ive got some coverage at last.

Mooney Valley Race 6 No 1 El Dorado Dreaming Plc $1.95    (sorry about the odds but i couldnt find them)

Mooney Valley Race 7 No 9 Siege of Quebec Win  $3.40

Mooney Valley Race 9 No 4 Avillus $2.90

 

I got 22/1 boosted so its not bad at all. Good luck punters.

[binman 42,629]

My best is mystic journey at the valley. Race 6 no 3. Good value too.

[Dee Zephyr 19,267]

7 hours ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Mooney Valley Race 6 No 1 El Dorado Dreaming Plc $1.95 

 

5 hours ago, binman said:

My best is mystic journey at the valley. Race 6 no 3. Good value too.

Both on the money guys. ?

Edited October 27, 2018 by Dee Zephyr

[Dee Zephyr 19,267]

Can’t see the $1.40 lasting too long on the tote for Winx.

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

7 hours ago, binman said:

My best is mystic journey at the valley. Race 6 no 3. Good value too.

I dont think its a good idea to have Best bets in the same race BM? Thoughts? Its not a rivalry thing as I see it. Or perhaps you didnt see other peoples bets. Good pick by the way.

 

[Macca 16,910]

Winx just seems to be getting better ... didn't get out of 3rd gear.  Bowman gave the horse the perfect ride and the horse was not extended. 

However,  2 lengths to Benbatl,  5 lengths to Humidor and 8 lengths the Avilius.  I reckon they just keep racing the mighty mare ... certainly the Autumn carnival but why not another Spring campaign including another Cox Plate? 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

11 hours ago, Macca said:

Winx just seems to be getting better ... didn't get out of 3rd gear.  Bowman gave the horse the perfect ride and the horse was not extended. 

However,  2 lengths to Benbatl,  5 lengths to Humidor and 8 lengths the Avilius.  I reckon they just keep racing the mighty mare ... certainly the Autumn carnival but why not another Spring campaign including another Cox Plate? 

4 Cox Plates. Dont think that will be beaten for a while. She went around the outside too, so ran further than the others who were all on the inside as well. We are all blessed to witness such greatness. 

Why not indeed Macca. Im sure they havent ruled it out.