A Day at the Races

[Dee Zephyr 19,156]

5 minutes ago, Macca said:

The place bet might have just been overlooked on a mass scale ... but as you said DJ,  $1.04 was 'overs',  all things considered. 

Was just about to sing the praises of 'Avilius' but it might lose the 'Bart Cummings' on protest ... hung in late and the 2nd horse looks like it will have a very good case.

I think Jaameh might have a good case too Macca. Was watching the race with dad as he had Jaameh one out in his daily double. Told him not to rip his ticket just yet after watching the head on.

Edit: Love the insight from the stewards room by the way. Both jocks making a good case.

Edited October 6, 2018 by Dee Zephyr

[Macca 16,611]

21 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

I think Jaameh might have a good case too Macca. Was watching the race with dad as he had Jaameh one out in his daily double. Told him not to rip his ticket just yet after watching the head on.

Edit: Love the insight from the stewards room by the way. Both jocks making a good case.

Well I was on Avilius with 2 doubles & a treble and was resigned to losing out ... lucky to keep the win really.  I reckon Jaamah wins if not interfered with.

[Dee Zephyr 19,156]

Avilius now a $9 favourite for the Melbourne Cup and Jaameh at $26.

For a moment I thought I better stop the beers as I was wondering why an overseas visitor by the name of Dyna Patty is favourite for the Melbourne Cup in my initial search. I was looking at the dishlickers market.?

[Macca 16,611]

3 Winners and a 3rd from our 4 picks today in a return to form by the 'A Day at the Races' crew ... got me a terrific return on the day. 

Well done team!

[Dee Zephyr 19,156]

4 minutes ago, Macca said:

Well I was on Avilius with 2 doubles & a treble and was resigned to losing out ... lucky to keep the win really.  I reckon Jaamah wins if not interfered with.

I thought it would be upheld also Macca. Dad only invests $3 on his daily double so no biggie.

Amphitrite impressive, I’ll shout him a beer. 

Amphitrite blew out to $5.40 fixed on Neds half an hour ago so I jumped on again. 3 out of 4 is marvellous work fellas.

[Macca 16,611]

2 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

I thought it would be upheld also Macca. Dad only invests $3 on his daily double so no biggie.

Amphitrite impressive, I’ll shout him a beer. 

Amphitrite blew out to $5.40 fixed on Neds half an hour ago so I jumped on again. 3 out of 4 is marvellous work fellas.

And Thinkin' Big had to do a bit too much work otherwise we would have snagged all 4.  But we got lucky with Avilius so no complaints DZ.

[Dee Zephyr 19,156]

5 minutes ago, Macca said:

And Thinkin' Big had to do a bit too much work otherwise we would have snagged all 4.  But we got lucky with Avilius so no complaints DZ.

I’m curious Macca. Most of these online bookies have the pay out policy on a horse for first past the post regardless if it loses a protest, that’s for a single win bet. Does this also apply for a multi bet?

Edited October 6, 2018 by Dee Zephyr

[Macca 16,611]

Just now, Dee Zephyr said:

I’m curious Macca. Most of these online bookies have the pay out policy on a horse for first past the post regardless if it loses a protest, that’s for a single win bet. Does this also apply for a multi bet?

Can't help you on that one DZ ... might have to give them a call to find out.  What I do know is that they all seem to have different policy's so good luck.

[Clintosaurus 7,551]

Only had one bet today - Sesar. Got $8.00 fixed but didn't see the race. Liked Youngstar and will be getting on for the Caulfield Cup.

[Macca 16,611]

Australian Group & Listed Races

Best Bet Strike Rate

36: 12 - 5 - 7

Sunday midnight the 'Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe' will be run ... here's the form for the race from Racing Post  'Enable' is the hot favourite and it should win.  I might include the horse in a double or treble as the whole card at Longchamp features a number of top class events including 3 other Group 1 races.  Being shown on cable but the race may bob up on free-to-air. 

Anyway,  next week we've got The Everest,  Caulfield Guineas,  Thousand Guineas,  Toorak Hcp,  Caulfield Stakes and a host of other Group races.  The racing just gets better from here on in.

Here are the replays of the Turnbull Stakes,  Spring Champion Stakes & The Bart Cummings Stakes from today.

 

 

 

 

[Macca 16,611]

The Winx win yesterday may well have been one of her best when analysing the race ... the sectionals run by the horse were simply amazing,  all things considered.  Read more here ...

Chris Waller: Winx closing sectionals in Turnbull Stakes 'as good as it gets'

Quote

They revealed the wonder mare had run the first 800m in 50.82 seconds yet stormed home over the last 800m in 43.98 seconds.

Analysts said that was a difference of about 40-41 lengths.

Furthermore, she ran her last 600m in 32.21 seconds the last 200m she scorched in 10.87 seconds.

As 'Gator' pointed out on the racing review show on the racing channel this morning,  46 seconds for the last 800m is fast.  It should be noted that 'Youngstar' ran 44.30 for the last 800m as well and seemed to rally when Winx ran past her.   A definite Blackbooker.

[Macca 16,611]

Watched 'Enable' win another l'Arc de Triomphe last night but she only just held on ... however,  the win by Enable won't be enough to displace Winx as the World's best horse.  Read more here ...  Greg Carpenter: Enable won't dethrone Winx

Anyway,  here is the replay of the l'Arc de Triomphe along with the replays of the Roman Consul Stakes & Gilgai Stakes from Randwick & Flemington

 

 

 

 

[Macca 16,611]

One of Wadda's favourites in 'Osborne Bulls' has snagged a run in the Everest with the withdrawal of 'Home of the Brave' (elevated temperature)  Form Guide - The Everest

Here's the odds & barriers ..

 

[Macca 16,611]

There's way too much to cover in terms of finding the 5 best betting races this weekend ... a case could be made for at least a dozen good betting races at Caulfield & Randwick.  I listed 16 very competitive races including a couple of listed races at Morphettville. 

And there are 7 newly imported horses contesting the Caulfield Stakes & the Herbert Power Stakes just to complicate matters further for the punters.  Benbatl,  The Cliffsofmoher & Blair House are the 3 to watch in the Caulfield Stakes.  Racenet have done us the courtesy of rating the imports which is a real help.

Fields & Form All Races - Caulfield

Fields & Form All Races - Randwick

Edited October 10, 2018 by Macca

[Macca 16,611]

Best Bet

Caulfield Race 3 No.1 Sunlight $3.10

The horse ran a blistering 44.80 over 800m in a trial on Monday whilst streeting her rivals so we may be seeing Sunlight return to her absolute best. 

[Dee Zephyr 19,156]

Best Bet

Caulfield Race 4 No.14 Leather ‘N’Lace

TAB: $5.50W $2.10P

I think it’s a real good each way chance and the place might also appeal to some.

[Macca 16,611]

Racing at Cranbourne tonight as part of their carnival with the feature event being Race 7 - The Inglis Pinker Pinker Plate - worth $100k.  It's not a bad betting race even though it's a small field. 

On Sunday they race in the Cranbourne Cup worth a cool $350k ... a good field assembled for the race too. 

But tomorrow's Caulfield meeting rivals Derby Day these days.  And up at Randwick they've added the 'Kosciuszko' & the 'St Leger Stakes' to an already more than decent card.  The heavy track may not suit a few in the Everest now so the race might be a little easier to dissect.

[Macca 16,611]

2 hours ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Best Bet

Caulfield Race 4 No.14 Leather ‘N’Lace

TAB: $5.50W $2.10P

I think it’s a real good each way chance and the place might also appeal to some.

Gator has your horse as his best bet DZ along with 'The Autumn Sun' in the Guineas and he is in good form with his tips (as per usual)  

But I don't mind 'Oohood' getting into the finish in the Guineas and 'Native Soldier' could scoot away around the final turn as well.  The Speed map for the race has Native Soldier settling 1st or 2nd.  And Oohood has charged home to get into the finish in every one of its 10 races and it has run sharp times,  every time. 

 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

10 minutes ago, Macca said:

Gator has your horse as his best bet DZ along with 'The Autumn Sun' in the Guineas and he is in good form with his tips (as per usual)  

But I don't mind 'Oohood' getting into the finish in the Guineas and 'Native Soldier' could scoot away around the final turn as well.  The Speed map for the race has Native Soldier settling 1st or 2nd.  And Oohood has charged home to get into the finish in every one of its 10 races and it has run sharp times,  every time. 

 

Incredible racing card this weekend with many races nearly impossible to pick a winner...... Is there a heavy track at Randwick Macca?

Im sticking with a tried and true favourite, (what is the next number in this sequence)?.....1,2,1,2, ..

Caulfield Race 5 No 2 The mighty Voodoo Lad $3.60

[Macca 16,611]

Just now, Wadda We Sing said:

Incredible racing card this weekend with many races nearly impossible to pick a winner...... Is there a heavy track at Randwick Macca?

Im sticking with a tried and true favourite, (what is the next number in this sequence)?.....1,2,1,2, ..

Caulfield Race 5 No 2 The mighty Voodoo Lad $3.60

Randwick is currently a Heavy9 and they are hoping for a Heavy8 if there isn't any more rain ... but rain is forecast for Sydney tonight & tomorrow so it could be a real bog. 

Related - The talk emanating from Sydney is that they're quite keen to change a number of their racing dates to mid November up to early December where the weather is a lot more kinder.  The Everest along with the 'Championships' held in April could move to the later dates.

Top choice with Voodoo Lad Wadda ... loves the track and is in top form.  Hutchy's top pick too.

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

So the Best Bets for this week, with Binman to come, are:

Caulfield Race 3 No 1 Sunlight $3.10

Caulfield Race 4 No 14 Leather n Lace  $5.50

Caulfield Race 5 No 2 Voodoo Lad $3.60

Those 3 will get you around 60/1 depending on which betting agency you choose to go with...

Good luck punters..

Edited October 12, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Macca 16,611]

20 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

So the Best Bets for this week, with Binman to come, are:

Caulfield Race 3 No 1 Sunlight $3.10

Caulfield Race 4 No 14 Leather n Lace  $5.50

Caulfield Race 5 No 2 Voodoo Lad $3.60

Those 3 will get you around 60/1 depending on which betting agency you choose to go with...

Good luck punters..

I'm glad you do these collations Wadda as it reminds me to put on the multi with the help of the booster odds.  As you know,  Laddies give out a daily allowance  of booster bets so it pays to take advantage from Friday into Saturday.  Cheers

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

1 minute ago, Macca said:

I'm glad you do these collations Wadda as it reminds me to put on the multi with the help of the booster odds.  As you know,  Laddies give out a daily allowance  of booster bets so it pays to take advantage from Friday into Saturday.  Cheers

Yep, thats it Macca and i got a decent boost on Ladbrokes for our picks.

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

.

Edited October 12, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Dee Zephyr 19,156]

3 hours ago, Wadda We Sing said:

.

I see your full stop and raise you a ? 

What did I miss here?