A Day at the Races

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

9 hours ago, Macca said:

Sportsbet & the TAB have both got the first 5 available in the golf ... Ladbrokes may well have it up tomorrow. 

 

 

Nothing up for Ladbrokes this morning so far......

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

On 4/25/2018 at 5:57 PM, Macca said:

After having an early look at the Saturday fields there's a few trifecta races that might take the fancy - I'm easy on what the preference is because my main aim is going to be the 3 Group 1 races at Sha Tin on Sunday.  Anyway,  here are the 5 races I picked out but there might be a few others that suit

I've marked the Doomben race as my 3rd preference as there are only the 8 runners and therefore the value may not be there. 

Hawkesbury  Race 7  Hawkesbury Cup

Morphettville  Race 6  City of Adelaide Hcp

Doomben  Race 8  Victory Stakes

Hawkesbury  Race 5  Hawkesbury Rush

Hawkesbury  Race 6  Godolphin Crown

 

Best Bet Strike Rate

44: 20 - 9 - 2

Trifecta Strike Rate

1: 1 - 0  (+$102.50)

Australian Group and Listed Races

 

Racing.com did a segment this morning and identified I Victory on Sunday at Sha Tin as the best horse of the day.

[Macca 16,972]

2 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Racing.com did a segment this morning and identified I Victory on Sunday at Sha Tin as the best horse of the day.

Yeah Ivictory broke the course record for 1200m at its last start at Happy Valley (01.08.52) but ... its up against the Group 1 horses for the first time.  And the Group 1 horses have run similar or better times at Sha Tin.  Some have run around 01.08.00 flat. This is a classic reason why I prefer trifectas.  I get 'em all running around for me! (well,  not all Wadda)

I reckon Ivictory can get into the finish but so can about 4 or 5 other horses (especially Mr Stunning & Beat the Clock)  It should be a cracking race,  all the same.  The Mile race & 2000m Group 1 races on the card have similar back stories.   Here are the 3 races ...

The Champions Mile

The Chairman's Sprint

The Audemars Piguet Qeil Cup

The racing never ends for me ... as of next week Morphettville and Dommben get into full swing and then there's all the big group racing from Europe that starts up next week as well (and that lasts for 4 or 5 months with 1 or 2 Group 1 races every week)  It's good therapy and a good distraction if the footy team isn't traveling well ?

 

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

2 minutes ago, Macca said:

Yeah Ivictory broke the course record for 1200m at its last start at Happy Valley (01.08.52) but ... its up against the Group 1 horses for the first time.  And the Group 1 horses have run similar or better times at Sha Tin.  Some have run around 01.08.00 flat. This is a classic reason why I prefer trifectas.  I get 'em all running around for me! (well,  not all Wadda)

I reckon Ivictory can get into the finish but so can about 4 or 5 other horses (especially Mr Stunning & Beat the Clock)  It should be a cracking race,  all the same.  The Mile race & 2000m Group 1 races on the card have similar back stories.   Here are the 3 races ...

The Champions Mile

The Chairman's Sprint

The Audemars Piguet Qeil Cup

The racing never ends for me ... as of next week Morphettville and Dommben get into full swing and then there's all the big group racing from Europe that starts up next week as well (and that lasts for 4 or 5 months with 1 or 2 Group 1 races every week)  It's good therapy and a good distraction if the footy team isn't traveling well ?

 

Ok i see what you mean, yes. In the APQC race, Ping Hai Star was identified as pretty damn good and the footage i saw of him was going 2 for 1 strides against the others.

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

10 hours ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Cool, ill get on. Cheers....Ladbrokes only have win on the golf that i can see? Its also a live event as it started thurday.....

Im looking at a few BBs....get one in by lunchtime.

Ok im going with Caulfield Race 5 No 3 William Thomas $3.20 Damien Oliver

[Macca 16,972]

44 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Nothing up for Ladbrokes this morning so far......

You could give Ladbrokes a call Wadda but Day/Ruffles have blown out in the odds anyway ... the other 3 picks have more relevance and you could add-on to the 3 picks or delete 1 or 2 that don't your fancy. 

I got 17-1 (boosted) for the 3 picks at Ladbrokes and I'm happy with that.

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

1 minute ago, Macca said:

You could give Ladbrokes a call Wadda but Day/Ruffles have blown out in the odds anyway ... the other 3 picks have more relevance and you could add-on to the 3 picks or delete 1 or 2 that don't your fancy. 

I got 17-1 (boosted) for the 3 picks at Ladbrokes and I'm happy with that.

Yes i took the 3 picks last night anyway, and threw in Mr Sea Wolf for a plc instead of the golf. 39/1

[Macca 16,972]

7 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Ok i see what you mean, yes. In the APQC race, Ping Hai Star was identified as pretty damn good and the footage i saw of him was going 2 for 1 strides against the others.

Ping Hai Star is going to be hard to beat but 'Time Warp' is a proven Group 1 performer & the Japanese runner 'Al Ain' could be thereabouts as well.  And who knows with 'Pakistan Star'?

All 3 big races have a number of top performers engaged. 

[Macca 16,972]

So our 3 best bets are ...

• Hawkesbury  Race 6  No.10  Sedanzer  (4.60)
• Caulfield  Race 5  No.3  William Thomas (3.20)
• Caulfield  Race 6  No.1  Sunset Watch  (1.95)

That's a tidy 28-1 right there. 

Best Bet Strike Rate

44: 20 - 9 - 2

Edited April 28, 2018 by Macca

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

So for our Best Bets so far we have:

Caulfield Race 6 No 1 Sunset Watch $2.20

Hawkesbury Race 6. No 10 Sadanza $4.60

Caulfield Race 5. No 3 William Thomas $3.40

Approx 34.40/1

...oops, you beat me to it haha....i calculated the ladbrokes odds.

Edited April 28, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Macca 16,972]

3 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

So for our Best Bets so far we have:

Caulfield Race 6 No 1 Sunset Watch $2.20

Hawkesbury Race 6. No 10 Sadanza $4.60

Caulfield Race 5. No 3 William Thomas $3.40

Approx 34.40/1

...oops, you beat me to it haha....i calculated the ladbrokes odds.

I much prefer your summation Wadda ... it's all about the money and you offer better odds!

[Macca 16,972]

Safari JJ's tips are up on Racing.com (click on 'Tips' - above right)

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

17 minutes ago, Macca said:

Safari JJ's tips are up on Racing.com (click on 'Tips' - above right)

His best was Race 6 No 8 Schism $3.00 D. Lane

[binman 42,986]

So my selection for the trifecta is Kingsgauard. Will roll along on speed and be hard to get past. 

No bets bets, though having looked at race 6 i had a quick glance at some other races at hawksbury. Victorem will be hard to beat i would have thought. And White Moss and Up and rolling will on speed and hard to beat. Both are pretty good value i think.

[Macca 16,972]

So our trifecta (Hawkesbury Race 7) reads as ... 

• W/2/3 ... No.2  Equador
• W/2/3 ... No.6  Mister Sea Wolf
• W/2/3 ... No.7  Kingsguard
• 2/3 ........ ?????????????
• 2/3 ........ ?????????????

Over to you @Dee Zephyr to close the deal. 

[binman 42,986]

1 minute ago, Wadda We Sing said:

His best was Race 6 No 8 Schism $3.00 D. Lane

I tipped Schism last week at Caulfield, but it was scrathed. Good horse

[Dee Zephyr 19,267]

48 minutes ago, Macca said:

So our trifecta (Hawkesbury Race 7) reads as ... 

• W/2/3 ... No.2  Equador
• W/2/3 ... No.6  Mister Sea Wolf
• W/2/3 ... No.7  Kingsguard
• 2/3 ........ ?????????????
• 2/3 ........ ?????????????

Over to you @Dee Zephyr to close the deal. 

Hi all. My two to fill the placings.

No.3 Duca Valentinois.

No.11 Plaisir.

Good luck all.

[Macca 16,972]

Just now, Dee Zephyr said:

Hi all. My two to fill the placings.

No.3 Duca Valentinois.

No.11 Plaisir.

Good luck all.

Excellent choices there DZ ... the right configuration of our picks could pay reasonably well.   Here it is in full.  Hawkesbury Race 7  The Hawkesury Cup ...

• W/2/3 ... No.2   Equador
• W/2/3 ... No.6   Mister Sea Wolf
• W/2/3 ... No.7   Kingsguard
• 2/3 ........ No.3   Duca Valentinois
• 2/3 ........ No.11 Plaisir

[Dee Zephyr 19,267]

Well done @Wadda We Sing, awesome win by William Thomas. Super strong late!

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

11 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Well done @Wadda We Sing, awesome win by William Thomas. Super strong late!

Never in doubt..! (except during the race)

I note at Morphetville they have 2 tips colums......1 for Best bets and 1 for J Jordan.!!

Edited April 28, 2018 by Wadda We Sing

[Macca 16,972]

Sedanzer had a dream run and had clear air but ... needed the run.  Isn't hindsight a wonderful aid?

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

4 minutes ago, Macca said:

Sedanzer had a dream run and had clear air but ... needed the run.  Isn't hindsight a wonderful aid?

Not worried im still alive in several multis....now its over to Sunset Watch...

[Dee Zephyr 19,267]

Hmmm, definitely watching the Sunset. Loomed ominously at the top of the straight but didn’t find much. Even the half a million dollar colt (5) couldn’t get into the race. Come on the trifecta!!

Edited April 28, 2018 by Dee Zephyr

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

1 minute ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Hmmm, definitely watching the Sunset. Loomed ominously at the top of the straight but didn’t find much. Even the half a million dollar colt (5) couldn’t get into the race. Come on the trifecta!!

Yeah, bad luck fellas. Why dont horses run the way they ran in their last race! Looks like that safe house in Russia may have to wait till the spring........over to the tri!

[Wadda We Sing 10,685]

Well....i threw McCreery in for 3rd as an after thought because i was talking about it yesterday....