Everything posted by Macca
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A Day at the Races
I'm not sure I want to mozz them Wadda but I'll post up my 3 possible winners in each of the 3 Group 1 races - they are all quite obvious but I always hope for my 3rd fancied runner to win (highlighted) I'll add a couple of placegetters and box the 3 first choice runners in each race in a separate bet ...to stave off punters lament. Race 6 - Beauty Generation, Season's Bloom, Singapore Sling Race 7 - Mr Stunning, Beat the Clock, Ivictory Race 8 - Ping Hai Star, Time Warp, Al Ain
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A Day at the Races
Leather & Lace got up for 3rd ... the winner too good (one of the 'other' Weir horses) I've had a couple of ok collects today but my main aim was always Sha Tin tomorrow. Quietly confident of getting a few reasonable returns if things fall my way.
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A Day at the Races
Nice dividend too Wadda - well done! It was a tricky race but we nearly got it ... 1st, 2nd & 4th is always the worst possible outcome. Mister Sea Wolf was never in it whilst we probably all looked at McCreery. Well you did anyway ?
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A Day at the Races
Sedanzer had a dream run and had clear air but ... needed the run. Isn't hindsight a wonderful aid?
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A Day at the Races
Excellent choices there DZ ... the right configuration of our picks could pay reasonably well. Here it is in full. Hawkesbury Race 7 The Hawkesury Cup ... W/2/3 ... No.2 Equador W/2/3 ... No.6 Mister Sea Wolf W/2/3 ... No.7 Kingsguard 2/3 ........ No.3 Duca Valentinois 2/3 ........ No.11 Plaisir
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A Day at the Races
So our trifecta (Hawkesbury Race 7) reads as ... W/2/3 ... No.2 Equador W/2/3 ... No.6 Mister Sea Wolf W/2/3 ... No.7 Kingsguard 2/3 ........ ????????????? 2/3 ........ ????????????? Over to you @Dee Zephyr to close the deal.
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A Day at the Races
Safari JJ's tips are up on Racing.com (click on 'Tips' - above right)
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A Day at the Races
I much prefer your summation Wadda ... it's all about the money and you offer better odds!
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A Day at the Races
So our 3 best bets are ... Hawkesbury Race 6 No.10 Sedanzer (4.60) Caulfield Race 5 No.3 William Thomas (3.20) Caulfield Race 6 No.1 Sunset Watch (1.95) That's a tidy 28-1 right there. Best Bet Strike Rate 44: 20 - 9 - 2
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A Day at the Races
Ping Hai Star is going to be hard to beat but 'Time Warp' is a proven Group 1 performer & the Japanese runner 'Al Ain' could be thereabouts as well. And who knows with 'Pakistan Star'? All 3 big races have a number of top performers engaged.
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A Day at the Races
You could give Ladbrokes a call Wadda but Day/Ruffles have blown out in the odds anyway ... the other 3 picks have more relevance and you could add-on to the 3 picks or delete 1 or 2 that don't your fancy. I got 17-1 (boosted) for the 3 picks at Ladbrokes and I'm happy with that.
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A Day at the Races
Yeah Ivictory broke the course record for 1200m at its last start at Happy Valley (01.08.52) but ... its up against the Group 1 horses for the first time. And the Group 1 horses have run similar or better times at Sha Tin. Some have run around 01.08.00 flat. This is a classic reason why I prefer trifectas. I get 'em all running around for me! (well, not all Wadda) I reckon Ivictory can get into the finish but so can about 4 or 5 other horses (especially Mr Stunning & Beat the Clock) It should be a cracking race, all the same. The Mile race & 2000m Group 1 races on the card have similar back stories. Here are the 3 races ... The Champions Mile The Chairman's Sprint The Audemars Piguet Qeil Cup The racing never ends for me ... as of next week Morphettville and Dommben get into full swing and then there's all the big group racing from Europe that starts up next week as well (and that lasts for 4 or 5 months with 1 or 2 Group 1 races every week) It's good therapy and a good distraction if the footy team isn't traveling well ?
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A Day at the Races
Sportsbet & the TAB have both got the first 5 available in the golf ... Ladbrokes may well have it up tomorrow.
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A Day at the Races
The 4 picks are in and here they are Wadda ... in order of when the events are decided. Geelong (1-39) vs Sydney $2.10 (Sat 1.45pm) Crusaders (1-12) @ Brumbies $3.75 (Sat 7.30pm) Boston Celtics (-4.5) vs Milwaukee Bucks $1.95 (Sun 10.10am) Day/Ruffles (Top 5) it is a pairs event) Zurich Classic $6.00 (Monday morning) Adds up to 92-1. Cashing out before the golf is an option or 2 separate bets (first 3 events & all 4)
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A Day at the Races
My best bet for the weekend is at Hawkesbury as well ... Hawkesbury Race 6 (The Godolphin Crown) ... No.10 Sedanzer ($4.60 win & $1.85 place) It is a very consistent horse that could have easily won its last 5 races. It finishes off its races well. It's a decent field but the horse has drawn the 3 gate and is trained by Gai Waterhouse.
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A Day at the Races
I've got no issue posting the 4pick up Wadda and my mates are welcome to tell their mates as well. The mate who does NRL also sometimes does AFL or Soccer. The American sports mate really knows his stuff (across the 4 big sports) With the golf mate it's a top 5 position only (not the winner) His theory is that a number of the better golfers will rally late. I don't follow golf closely so I defer to his knowledge. I reckon 4 picks is enough in a multi especially if there is individual value in each pick ($3+) If I get a chance I'll post up the 4 picks sometime after they all come in. I do a 1-12 or 13+ margin pick with Super Rugby as I rarely miss with the actual winner ... I also look for a bit of value. No risk, no reward. After Super Rugby I concentrate on the Internationals & Six Nations.
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A Day at the Races
I'm putting together a 4 pick multi on weekends where myself and 3 mates have 1 pick each. Similar to what we do here with our best bets. No luck first time up last weekend but they're all keen to continue it on ... we all specialise in different sports ... I'm Super Rugby, one is NRL, one is American sports and the other is AFL or golf (of all things!) It's based on all participants having one good thing every weekend and then working as a team.
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A Day at the Races
You've got to laugh at some of the comments made about a horses chances. They will quite often talk up a horses chances and then finish off with "Not in this" Or talk down a horses chances and then end with "Should win" The weight comments are often only referring to 1kg or disingenuous ones where there is an obvious anomoly.
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A Day at the Races
Before that last race it was carrying weight and racing quite well. Its last run was in the Doncaster hcp where a lot of good horses got in at low weights
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A Day at the Races
The Group 1's are back on next week so the Hawkesbury Cup will have to do Wadda My tip is Mister Sea Wolf to win ... so its that and Equador so far Over to you BM
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A Day at the Races
@Wadda We Sing Do you want to kick things off again re the trifecta?
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A Day at the Races
It's a tricky race but 4 sets of eyes makes the process of finding the right combination easier ... there are only 1 or 2 horses that probably won't feature in the finish out of the 11 runners and whilst the favourite has real claims, there's more than a few that can win the race. It's a good betting race DZ and our choices might come down to current form vs previous form at Group level. A decent dividend beckons.
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A Day at the Races
I'm reckoning Hawkesbury Race 7 The Hawkesbury Cup might be a good choice for our trifecta race ... it's a good betting race with a lot of familiar horses albeit Group 3 standard performers. Could be a decent dividend for the right combination. Let me know what you think @Dee Zephyr @Wadda We Sing
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A Day at the Races
After having an early look at the Saturday fields there's a few trifecta races that might take the fancy - I'm easy on what the preference is because my main aim is going to be the 3 Group 1 races at Sha Tin on Sunday. Anyway, here are the 5 races I picked out but there might be a few others that suit I've marked the Doomben race as my 3rd preference as there are only the 8 runners and therefore the value may not be there. Hawkesbury Race 7 Hawkesbury Cup Morphettville Race 6 City of Adelaide Hcp Doomben Race 8 Victory Stakes Hawkesbury Race 5 Hawkesbury Rush Hawkesbury Race 6 Godolphin Crown Best Bet Strike Rate 44: 20 - 9 - 2 Trifecta Strike Rate 1: 1 - 0 (+$102.50) Australian Group and Listed Races
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NHL
Capitals/Penguins match-up in the 2nd round of the playoffs could be a beauty. Game 7 of the Toronto/Boston series is on Thursday Morning 9.30am AEST ... I reckon we'll get more of the same after today's ripsnorter.