Everything posted by Macca
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A Day at the Races
Well, Silent Warrior should win then ... because JJ is due? Glass half full here Wadda. I watched the 2 preview shows on fast-forward last night and then listened out for the best bet on RSN this morning and the consensus tip is 'Land of Plenty' in the 7th at Flemington tomorrow (No.8)
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A Day at the Races
Turns out they did get a bit of rain in Adelaide yesterday. A Soft6 at the moment but quite windy ... could get back to a Good4 but a Soft5 is a possibility (according to the 'Experts')
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A Day at the Races
My best bet for the weekend - I need to get back on the winners list so I'm going to go with JJ's best bet - decent odds too! Morphettville Race 2 No.8 Silent Warrior $4.00
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A Day at the Races
I've got 2 best-bets in Wadda ... the other 2 might take a day or so though. One mate has gone early and my Super Rugby tip kinda jumped out at me at first glance. I'll post up the other 2 tips when I get 'em in. Cronulla (1-12) over the Parramatta Eels $2.75 Waratahs (1-12) over the Auckland Blues $3.10
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A Day at the Races
JJ's has tipped Sopressa and then Savacool in the Oaks. And he is leaning towards Catchy in the Robert Sangster (reading between the lines) Mentioned that barrier 8 is a good one for the horse with the 400m dash to the turn. Anyway, here's our trifecta ... W/2/3 - Savacool W/2/3 - Think Bleue W/2/3 - Sopressa 2/3 - Pleasuring 2/3 - Temple Of Bel
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A Day at the Races
Yeah ... but we won't start talking about it until tomorrow night. I haven't even had a look yet but will probably go at the Super Rugby again. I'm envisaging some more NBA, AFL & NRL from the other 3 but who knows? Whenever DZ ... the last 2 picks are your domain. The 'Get On' crew like Savacool & Think Bleue especially but 'Gator' has 'Temple of Bel on top of Sopressa if that's any help.
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A Day at the Races
I suppose that's up to DZ but whilst there's been a bit of rain in Adelaide today the forecast is for mainly fine weather tomorrow & Saturday. The track is still graded as a Good4 so it probably won't be downgraded to slow. We should have a contingency plan for scratchings though Wadda and I suppose whoever is in the position that DZ is in now could get to make the executive decision? Picks 4 & 5 finishes off the bet as it is. It will be interesting to see JJ's tip but I'd be surprised if it wasn't one of our top 3. There's a few more that can get into the finish and Identifying those horses is the other half of the battle.
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A Day at the Races
Yeah I like Savacool to win as well but 'Think Bleue' has good speed from the barrier and the horse inside it (Pretty to Sea) should bring your pick near to a leading position. It could be a bit of a mad scramble to the first turn though Wadda and that's why my pick is a Weir Horse that has drawn a decent barrier - 'Sopressa' The inside gate should see the horse get a nice run in the race and it's in decent form. So here's how we sit with @Dee Zephyr to finish off ... W/2/3 - Savacool W/2/3 - Think Bleue W/2/3 - Sopressa 2/3 - ???????? 2/3 - ????????
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A Day at the Races
Yes JJ is on 'Get on' but he only gives out his best bet of the day. Sometime after 8 30pm Racing.com had his tips last week but they only went up on the Saturday.
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A Day at the Races
I hadn't thought of that DZ Maybe leave it as it is for 4 week blocks? This would be week 3
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A Day at the Races
Well the Oaks it is then ... binman has gone with 'Savacool so it's over to you @Wadda We Sing
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A Day at the Races
Yep ... it's drawn gate 1 and according to racenet Despatch has the fastest barrier speed and should settle in the lead or near the lead. Won in convincing fashion at its last start but its up against some good horses in this race. Viridine was a good thing beaten at its last run whilst Nature Strip is a classy horse. She's So High is another - trained by Mick Price with Oliver on board.
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A Day at the Races
The sprint races at Morphettville have a 400m dash to a 400m bend which is worth noting ... those race links to racenet.com also have speed maps and settling positions which are also more than handy when evaluating a trifecta combo. As you'd know DZ, the wide barriers aren't always a hindrance for those horses with early speed. Especially if those horses to their immediate left are not fast starters. As you said, there are some quality fields assembled on the weekend. I like the Oaks race as well as the Euclase Stakes.
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A Day at the Races
@Wadda We Sing @Dee Zephyr @binman You blokes got a preference for the trifecta race? I'm happy to go with any race that takes your fancy ... the 4 races listed below all have merit. No rush but we probably should decide by Friday Evening ... Robert Sangster Stakes Morphettville 1200m G1 F & M WFA $1Million Australasian Oaks Morphettville 2000m G1 SW $500k Euclase Stakes Morphettville 1200m G2 3yo SW $500k A.D. Hollindale Stakes Gold Coast 1800m G2 WFA $358k
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THE BOMBERS' DOPING SAGA - THE FAT LADY SINGS
I agree on the 'look' but were we looking that closely? Seems to me we were taken aback by how well they started playing. But let's not forget Dr Ageless was also involved down there and therefore the connection (by default) to Dank. Nothing will ever come of it though. Because no one will ever spill the beans - they'd be incriminating themselves and whoever does that rjay?
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A Day at the Races
Here are the 4 Group 1's from Sunday (Japan & Sha Tin) ...
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A Day at the Races
Found another race (Hollindale St.) this upcoming Saturday that could be a decent trifecta race - and it's a good field assembled too if the early acceptors are any indication. In fact, all 3 races have a number of very good horses that have been accepted. So 3 races in all that could suit although there may be 1 or 2 other races that might measure up. A.D. Hollindale Stakes Gold Coast 1800m G2 WFA $358k Australasian Oaks Morphettville 2000m G1 SW $500k Robert Sangster Stakes 1200m G1 WFA $1Million Trifecta Strike Rate 2: 1 - 1 (+66.50)
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A Day at the Races
That was a blow out ... Pakistan Star dominant.
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A Day at the Races
No Wadda, but that doesn't surprise. The small fields and the truly run races lends itself to the obviously good horses getting into the finish. But if 1 or 2 of the 3 top fancies don't figure in the finish there are some good dividends to be had. Trifectas at Sha Tin in the Group races have an 'each-way' feel about them ... I don't miss very often but the dividends can also often be 'money-back' or thereabouts. I see it as more of a percentage play hoping that my 4th & 5th picks can get into the finish (in a 3-5-5 trifecta) I also box the first 3 picks as that combo does salute on more than the odd occasion. 2-4-4 is another option that can reward.
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A Day at the Races
Yeah ... 150% here but like the Demons, we'll take any win Wadda!
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A Day at the Races
And Ivictory was up to it ... stunned Mr Stunning & clocked Beat the Clock! A star is born ... that was a seriously good win.
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A Day at the Races
Aren't the races from Sha Tin on the free-to-air channel?
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A Day at the Races
Well I got my days total outlay back on the 4th race Trifecta ... % only but I'm now playing with house money with bets already laid. I should just bet at Sha Tin and have the odd flutter in the local races here in Australia (Group 1's) Not every week but there's usually 2 or 3 good trifecta races on up there most weeks. Beauty Generation won with real class in the just completed G1 Mile ... just missed on the trifecta but 2 races to go Wadda. The Sprint race is up next. Lets see how good this Ivictory is up against Mr Stunning & Beat the Clock. It would want to be good to beat those 2.
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A Day at the Races
Demons get a win! ... albeit against average opposition. Still, there are a stack of average sides in the league. And the good teams aren't that good. Anyway, what was that line out of 'Hotel California'? "You can check out anytime you like, but you can never leave!" Next Weekend's Group 1's (Overseas) USA Kentucky Derby 2000m 3yo SW (Sunday Morning) USA Woodford Reserve Turf Classic 1800m WFA(Sunday Morning) UK Newmarket 2000 Guineas 1600m 3yo SW(Sunday Morning) UK Newmarket 1000 Guineas 1600m 3yo Fillies SW (Monday Morning)
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A Day at the Races
Here are the early odds for the 2 Group 1's next Saturday at Morphettville ... a much better choice for our trifecta type race in my opinion. The fields will no doubt be reduced although 20 horses did run in the G1 Sprint last year whilst only 14 ran in the 2017 G1 Australasian Oaks ...