Macca
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Everything posted by Macca
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In a stronger team he may not always play ... we're projecting forward of course and there is a chance we might even regress slightly. ANB can become a very good player but his decision making and disposal needs to improve. Lewis is another who may not last the distance this season. At times he's a real standout but he does get found out otherwise. Anyway, I did state that not all would agree with the 15 that I nominated - the thread is about who you believe can step up. Care to have a go?
Yet he didn't play in the prelim final. I'd have him in as well but I also have an eye on how the FD views things
I believe if we're to become a guaranteed top 4 team (and therefore a genuine contender) we're going to need 7 or 8 players to jump out of the ruck and become integral members of the team. i.e. Make the jump and stay there. Gawn, Viney, Jones, Lewis, Oliver, Brayshaw, Harmes, Melksham, Jetta, Hibberd, May, Lever, Salem, Petracca & T-Mac are automatics but injuries will happen and loss of form has to be factored in as well. I understand we've got 'Best 22' threads but this idea is more specific and therefore focuses on who you believe can establish themselves outside of the obvious choices. Total-Team possibly being the theme with the team therefore not having any real weak links (if possible) Role players like AVB, Weideman, Preuss, Fritsch/Stretch, Oscar/Frost, ANB/Hunt & Spargo/Garlett will get game time by default but can any of them become absolute integral members of the team? There are others of course including those who I've not mentioned, the new acquisitions and rookies. Unfortunately Nietschke is out of the picture for now but could any of Bedford, Jordan, Sparrow or Hore make the jump straight off? So, from the 25 senior players (plus 6 rookies) not included in the above list, which players can become bona-fide first choice picks? Here's our Senior List & Rookie List
Not to worry Wadda ... from my point of view getting a multi up is always a complete surprise. Even just the 3 legs. So I don't do many of them for that reason. And I figure we may as well look for some value in the picks as well ... thus, I took a chance on Barca +3.5 instead of +2.5. But there again, it is Barca and they nearly always perform to expectations. It was possibly a trap game for Juve (in hindsight) but you play the game again and they probably win 3-1 Multi's are hard to get ... they get heavily promoted by the betting agencies for good reason. The lure of the big payout for a tiny outlay is like bees to the honeypot!
There are a stack of Australian horses racing up at HK with the latest winner of a big event being a good case-in-point. Ex Australian galloper Furore wins the HK Derby in style with Hugh Bowman on board. And with the relaxed quarantine laws there's sure to be more Australian representation as the prize money is fantastic up there yet the local standard often doesn't measure up. In fact, 6 of the 14 starters in the HK Derby started their career's in Australia. Our jockeys are cashing in up there as well.
I usually put my bets on way in advance but the issue arose when I attempted to place a multi bet on close to the first leg being run. Might have been 20 - 30 minutes prior. I actually thought I was doing something wrong until I read your account ... previously, the Laddies site has crashed or has become treacle slow. And I ended up getting 21-1 for our multi ... Juve has drifted out to 2.88. Makes a big difference to the overall with just a .30-.40 percentage point swing.
Here is the tri -pick Serie A Sunday 10.30pm Genoa v Juventus / Juventus Win and +2.5 $2.63 Spain La liga Monday 6.45am Real Betis vs Barcelona (Win) and +3.5 $2.88 Portugal Primeira Liga Monday at 04:30 Moreirense FC v Benfica Benfica Win & Over 2.5 match goals. $2.20 Adds up to around about 17-1 (with a boost) Good luck all!
Hong Kong Derby tomorrow with former Australian galloper 'Dark Dream' installed as 2nd favourite. The winner should come from the top 4 listed runners. Here is the form for the race And here is the replay of the Coolmore Classic raced today at Rosehill.
Best Bet Strike Rate 103: 41 - 14 - 14 Australian Group & Listed Races
Slight correction to Gator's tips ... he missed on race 3. I think I was counting one of JJ's earlier tips in the mix. But if Gator or JJ have a good day I win as well. I only back their value runners though ... gotta be paying at least 3.50 or better. JJ also tipped me into Lucky Flipper ($6.50) in race 6 but I missed on Light the Waves ($4.00) in race 7 as the horse opened at $3.00 but drifted. Good get with Fifty Stars too Wadda ... I threw it into a couple of late multi's but dipped out. Not to worry though as I had a decent day at the races. And we might have the heir apparent to Winx with Mystic Journey ... well, the next dominant horse at least. A commanding performance in the All Star Mile. Beat some gun horses yet was 3-wide without cover for much of the race. Cost $11k as a yearling.
The first horse listed is the horse he marks on top Wadda As such in race 5 ... 3, 7, 2, 5 Here are the rest of his tips
Gator has picked the winner in races 2, 3, 4 & 5 ... all value picks too Needless to say, I'm now playing with house money!
Big breaking news re the All Star Mile Three All-Star Mile contenders in doubt, 'Le Romain' and possibly 'Trap for Fools' poised to get a start Meanwhile, here's JJ's best bet at Morphettville Race 8 No.2 Master Chum $5.50 I'll try and post up his tips late Saturday morning but failing that, go to Racing.com after 10.00am Saturday for his tips. And here are Gator's tips for Flemington this coming Saturday
Best Bet Flemington Race 8 No.11 Alizee $4.00
My midweek long shot Thursday 9.00pm Pakenham Race 7 No.3 Inglesias $41
'Surprise Baby' wins the Adelaide Cup ... a real horse for the future. Has never raced beyond 2000m and was having only its 2nd start beyond the mile. And it was having just it's 6th start and cost only $5,500 as a yearling. Sold 'Online' apparently - amazing. What a story! The 3200m Andrew Ramsden Stakes raced for $400k in mid May may be the target for Surprise Baby now ... the winner gains automatic entry into the Melbourne Cup. A day of high drama with the scratching of Eastender and the awful fall in the 8th race ... all jockeys ok apparently. Still waiting on news of Stellar Collision though. Hope it recovers alright.
James Jordan gets his 2nd winner at good odds in race 4 with 'Done By Me' Playing with house money now, thanks JJ!
Well there's 1 of JJ's tips saluting - Messershmitt wins at good odds. He can pick 'em out ... had only performed at BM58 level prior to today.
I have close to no interest in ODI's ... Tests - 90% interest and ODI World Cups 10%. One day cricket bores me senseless ... I like to see a real battle between bat and ball so even Test cricket can sometimes come up short. More so in Australia where we produce 'roads' And Avilius had an ulcerated off-side eye so it probably shouldn't have run at all ... we wouldn't ask a human athlete to perform with an ulcerated eye. I'm big on horse racing but I'm even bigger on horse welfare. And that bears no relationship to the gambling aspect ... I never offer excuses, never blame jockeys, never complain. It's my risk, pure and simple.
I'm on Lamborghini as well Wadda - small wager though and an exacta in the race as well (of course!) Did the form on the meeting last night and my top 3 or 4 mostly matched JJ's .... however, the horses that I marked as the standouts differed every time to JJ. So I've gone with James Jordan's tips on the win bets! He knows a hell of a lot more than I do. Value around today so even if he only gets 2 winners I'll be in front. n.b. None of the horses in the cup have any decent 3200m form but a few of the tipsters reckon that Lamborghini will get the trip.
Adelaide Cup day today with Bruce McAvaney hosting on the racing channel ... with hopefully JJ as his side-kick. An early sensation with 'Eastender' taken out of the cup by the stewards for being administered a race-day treatment. Stewards working in plain clothes apparently. Racenet Form Guide - Morphettville
