binman

I think your stats partly answered this question IT, as does part of AOBs post Set ups for clearances that are more likely to create scoring chances can often be a set up that gives us less chance of actually winning that clearance. The very first center bounce of the game against the Saint's is a great example. if the objective was to win that clearance Kossie would not have started in the centre and two players might have gone to the contest. Instead one player did (i think Viney?), won it, fed it out to kossie who handballed to Oliver who had gone to the goal side of the contest, some 10 metres away, who then fed it back to Viney, who could run inside 50 and kick a goal. That aggressive clearance set up increased the chance of creating a scoring opportunity from that stoppage. But conversely reduced the likelihood we would win it. In 2019 Viney and Oliver would have gone to the contest, won it but not be able to spread it so well (one reason being one less player to give it to) and often the player who received the ball was on the defensive side of the contest and then would get tackled

I reckon because once the ball hits the ground tmac is a liability, whereas Jackson is crazy good for a big fella in terms of ground ball gets.

Assuming of course that there will be more space for forwards. Something I'm not convinced about. The Dees gave Freo and the Saints precious little space up forward (or the tigers and dogs in the practice matches for that matter) and as consequence both teams struggled to get marks inside 50 and score. My gut feeling is that the increase in pace on the game, which is the driver of open forward lines because the ball gets in there quick, is less a function of the rule changes, more a function of the psychology of the players. Carlton have been very aggressive with their ball movement. But are two zip down. Lets see if Teague remains as aggressive. I suspect he won't be and they will revert to slower ball movement, because whilst fast ball movement creates more one on ones and helps a team score it also exposes to them to the rebound. And a teams like the tigers and dogs will kill them on transition.

Funny you should ask that binman. I was wondering the same thing. Here are my thoughts on that question: From Goody's first two seasons we have made some pretty big tactical changes to way we play the game. In some respects some of the fundamentals have changed. For example winning clearances is not as an important indicator/focus as it was in 2018 and 2019. To be clear clearances are still important - just not central to our game plan. If i was to put a figure on it i reckon the club would be happy to end the year on break even in clearance differential as opposed to being say plus three in 2018 And some fundamentals have not changed - for example winning contested ball remains critical. The tactical shift commenced in 2019, when we took the opportunity of a lost season to introduce tempo footy (which also helped mitigate the risk of demoralising thrashings), something we took into 2020, and was on display in both our two games this season. In 2020, particularly the second half of the season, we moved away from being a stoppage and clearance based team first and foremost to a team : that has shifted the dial to trying to win pure clearances that result in scoring opportunities - even though in doing so we 'lose' more clearances than we have historically done when we 'lose' clearances we put the ball carrier under pressure, force a poor kick or handball and look to create a turnover from HB that we can counter attack from and set up scoring chains that is now all about intercept marks (Cameron will now be sweating on how to prevent Lever and May having field day) This tactical shift has been really evident this year. As evidence of this shift we have had different mixes in our center square set ups - eg Kossie starting each quarter there, Jordon playing as a mid (unlike the bulls, most of his possessions are uncontested), Nibbler and Harmes (they used Melksham this way too last the end of last year). Another example is letting one player try and win the contested ball (instead of multiple players at the contest) and having players on the outside to receive if they do win it - which if it is Viney, Trac or Oliver is more often than not the case. Jordon, Spargo and Kossie have all been great this year being that outside the contest receiver, as was Salem on the weekend. Another shift, albeit a less dramatic one, is we are now all about territory. I guess we always have been - and in some ways it was key to our tactics in 2018 - but territory is a kpi again. Get it forward. The difference between now and 2018 is that we are prepared to give ground to make ground now. All of the above speaks to a team that is evolving tactically and contradicts the erroneous narrative that Goody as coach has not evolved. I also think it speaks to some of our challenges - these sort of big tactical shifts can't be easy to implement and some players will find it harder than others to change. I wonder if brayshaw is one such example. On Gus, he better learn how to adapt because his future at the dees is on the wing. With our new way of playing the very last thing we need is another inside bull.

Good question. And thanks for posting in this thread Grr-owl. Now that we have kicked off the season i'm keen for some more football nerd tactical talk. Perhaps we can kick off season 2021 with some questions for discussion What will the impact of the rules changes be? Will, as Grr-owl suggests, there be more one on ones in the forward line? With the changes in rules favour us, particularly in terms of recruiting Brown? Has our game plan changed form a tactical perspective over the time Goody has been coach - and if so how? What is the go with the reduction in clearances this year? Other?

From Goody's first two seasons we have made some pretty big tactical changes to way we play the game. In some respects some of the fundamentals have changed. For example winning clearances is not as an important indicator/focus as it was in 2018 and 2019. To be clear clearances are still important - just not central to our game plan. If i was to put a figure on it i reckon the club would be happy to end the year on break even in clearance differential as opposed to being say plus three in 2018 And some fundamentals have not changed - for example winning contested ball remains critical. The tactical shift commenced in 2019, when we took the opportunity of a lost season to introduce tempo footy (which also helped mitigate the risk of demoralising thrashings), something we took into 2020, and was on display in both our two games this season. In 2020, particularly the second half of the season, we moved away from being a stoppage and clearance based team first and foremost to a team : that has shifted the dial to trying to win pure clearances that result in scoring opportunities - even though in doing so we 'lose' more clearances than we have historically done when we 'lose' clearances we put the ball carrier under pressure, force a poor kick or handball and look to create a turnover from HB that we can counter attack from and set up scoring chains that is now all about intercept marks (Cameron will now be sweating on how to prevent Lever and May having field day) This tactical shift has been really evident this year. As evidence of this shift we have had different mixes in our center square set ups - eg Kossie starting each quarter there, Jordon playing as a mid (unlike the bulls, most of his possessions are uncontested), Nibbler and Harmes (they used Melksham this way too last the end of last year). Another example is letting one player try and win the contested ball (instead of multiple players at the contest) and having players on the outside to receive if they do win it - which if it is Viney, Trac or Oliver is more often than not the case. Jordon. Spargo and Kossie have all been great this year being that outside the contest receiver, as was Salem on the weekend. Another shift, albeit a less dramatic one, is we are now all about territory. I guess we always have been - and in some ways it was key to our tactics in 2018 - but territory is a kpi again. Get it forward. The difference between now and 2018 is that we are prepared to give ground to make ground now. All of the above speaks to a team that is evolving tactically and contradicts the erroneous narrative that Goody as coach has not evolved. I also think it speaks to some of our challenges - these sort of big tactical shifts can't be easy to implement and some players will find it harder than others to change. I wonder if brayshaw is one such example. On Gus, he better learn how to adapt because his future at the dees is on the wing. With our new way of playing the very last thing we need is another inside bull.

Totally pennant. I think a change for the dees, that actually started in 2019, is how hard we are to score against when on. When teams open us up it usually because our all team defence and two way running has dropped off. This year we have been really strong in this regard. The other change that has contributed to our defensive strength is how well our back half is going. And how well they are working collectively to maintain their fluid zone. This really started last year. And has been on show this year. I'm confident we win if we get these two elements right, particularly the all team defence and two way running. The all team aspect is psychological, not physical, so a failure to bring it would me a massive fail. And inexcusable. This is where the coaches responsibility stops and the players begin. The coaches will get the ready and do all the talks and yadda yards. But if they lose because they drop off defensively, even a tiny bit, it is 100% on the players.

I had the red and blue pills a long time ago. I think my mistake was having both, as I thought they were supposed to make me see things as they were. But I start every season seeing a flag.

I reckon another factor with the poor disposal, theirs particularly, was late in quarters, and most of the last, both teams were stuffed

Agree with all points. On the first one, one of the joys of going to the footy is being able to see the whole ground, watch the set ups/structures and see the defensive running players do. I was up on level 3 in the pocket so had a great view down the ground. I made exactly the same point to my mate as you did in your first paragraph.

Or for that matter about the woeful rurn up by hawks fans today. Perfect day for footy. Middle of the day. The g. Amongst a victory team? Or is just the dees fans who cop it? Maybe the saints should have asked to swap the hawks game to get a game at the g in?

I went last night and discussing this issue with my mate guessed 25k. At 75% capacity crowd would be 37k. So where is the faux outrage at saints fans for not turning up?

Yep. A poster (forest demons perhaps) made the good point last week that it is quality over quantity. Better to get one really good clearance that creates a scoring chance than 3 scrappy ones that the team have won by extra numbers at the contest that don't create a scoring chance. Or worse set up an opposition rebound off hb

Two years ago a win like that and we would have smashed them in clearances. Tonight? 34 clearances to both sides. We have changed the way be play quite markedly. I'f you can't see that, you ain't really watching. A related stat ( ie related to the reduced focus on clearances and the increased tactical focus on rebounding from half back): we only had one more inside 50 than them. And they had 13 less scoring shots than us. 13.

Funnily enough I watched it a couple of weeks back too. Didnt think of lever. Will now. Fun film but best actor oscar? Please

Funnily enough I watched it a couple of weeks back too. Didnt think of lever. Will now. Fun film but best actor oscar? Please

And one less day's recovery. The rain and the extra day were key reasons I tipped us. That and I'm a happy clapper.

How's this for a comment: Dangerfield initially thought a lengthy suspension was not a possibility..... “After the game, I didn’t think there was anything in it at all, to be honest,” he said. “And then the hours unfold ... it goes from ‘I didn’t think there was anything in it’, because it was within play to, ‘I’m in a bit of trouble’.” Nothing in it? He broke Kelly's nose and knocked him out [censored] cold. Nothing in it? Even if he thought it was 'within play' (please), surely a player of his experience would know instantly that such a brutal incident would be heavily scrutinized and that he was almost certainly going to be in more than 'a bit of trouble'. I mean c'mon, its not 1979! And leaving aside all of that how do that pathetic comments square with his role as president of the AFLPA? I have lost total respect for him

Surely Hunt would be chance to go out for Hibberd. almost like for like. And Hibberd is better player, if nowhere near as quick.

The injury list has Hibberd(ankle) ) Melksham and Viney (foot) as as test this week. But also notes all three made it through the VFL practice match unscathed. So you'd reckon all three are good to go, unless they are not match fit.

Ok. Then my answer makes sense. I have always thought he could be winger, but again the problem is he doesn't get enough of the pill. And i'm not sure how good his aerobic fitness is

A mate is getting our tickets. I always sit level 3, behind the goals at the city end (which I think is the Coventry?) at that god awful place. So i hope that's what is left.

I just don’t understand why Hunt has been moved back to the backline in the first place: I reckon the thinking is to take advantage of his pace and ability to run and carry of half back. Mtres gain will be his KPI Speed is super important, and we are not the quickest side that for sure. So Hunt helps with that. And with the fatigue from rotations and longer quarter and arguably the man on the mark rule change (though i reckon the jury is still out on the impact of this ) there will be more space so running players are going to be more important than ever. Problem is he simply doesn't get enough of the pill. (note: perhaps you meant you don’t understand why Hunt was moved FROM the the backline in the first place. If so my comments above makes no sense!)

I have a feeling that this year they will generally only run two pure inside mids at a time, and sometimes perhaps even only one. Meaning a mix of two (sometimes one) of Oliver, Viney, Tracc and sometimes Sparrow. Which leaves no rotation for Gus i don't think. To augment this set up, as they have shown already in the two practice games and the Freo game, they will run players like Jordon, Kozzie, Sparrow, Harmes (when available), ANB and even players like Melksham and Jackson (who i'm sure will at some point play as mid whilst Max is still in the ruck) as mids.

Exactly