WheeloRatings

Melbourne v Brisbane (Round 18, 2023) https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20231806 Key Team Stats Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff Disposal Efficiency 71.3 73.1 -1.8 Kicking Efficiency 59.4 67.8 -8.4 Metres Gained 6095 5907 +188 Inside 50s 51 56 -5 Shots At Goal 26 28 -2 Shots Per Inside 50 51.0 50.0 +1.0 Contested Possessions 146 125 +21 Ground Ball Gets 82 86 -4 Intercepts 66 72 -6 Intercept Marks 17 18 -1 Centre Clearances 17 12 +5 Stoppage Clearances 28 20 +8 Contested Marks 14 13 +1 Marks Inside 50 12 17 -5 Hitouts 47 34 +13 Hitouts To Advantage 22 8 +14 Tackles 56 53 +3 Tackles Inside 50 14 10 +4 Def One On One Loss % 26.9 9.1 +17.8 Pressure Team pressure Quarter For Against 1 169 158 2 150 164 3 181 207 4 174 192 Match 168 180 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average* Jack Viney 23 54 54.1 Kysaiah Pickett 21 43 43.0 Max Gawn 12 36 22.9 Christian Petracca 15 35 48.1 Alex Neal-Bullen 20 35 48.0 Tom Sparrow 17 32 42.6 Taj Woewodin 14 28 25.5 Lachie Hunter 13 28 23.9 Trent Rivers 11 28 23.7 Angus Brayshaw 15 27 30.3 Jake Lever 12 26 15.2 Steven May 10 26 15.0 James Jordon 13 24 20.3 Ed Langdon 8 19 27.2 Christian Salem 8 18 29.0 Ben Brown 8 15 12.2 Jake Melksham 5 14 14.6 Charlie Spargo 8 13 24.9 Jacob van Rooyen 8 13 23.8 Jake Bowey 7 11 20.4 Harrison Petty 7 10 19.4 Judd McVee 6 9 18.2 Joel Smith 3 7 21.0 * Pressure points for rounds 4 and 6 have not been able to be sourced from the Herald Sun. Pressure points for these matches have been estimated from the number of pressure acts for each player. Source: Herald Sun Time in Forward Half Quarter For Against 1 47% 53% 2 50% 50% 3 40% 60% 4 64% 36% Match 50% 50% Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations. Score Sources Summary Score sources highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Category For Against Diff G B T G B T Kick-in 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0 Centre Bounce 1 2 8 0 1 1 +7 Stoppage (Other) 7 4 46 6 0 36 +10 Turnover 8 3 51 10 7 67 -16 Category For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in 0 2.6 0 2.4 Centre Bounce 8 10.7 1 6.7 Stoppage (Other) 46 23.2 36 21.6 Turnover 51 53.5 67 41.2 Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Brisbane. Category Region For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in D50 0 2.6 0 2.4 Centre Bounce Centre 8 10.7 1 6.7 Stoppage (Other) D50 7 0.8 6 2.2 Stoppage (Other) Centre 1 2.9 0 1.2 Stoppage (Other) Wing 18 11.3 18 6.9 Stoppage (Other) F50 20 8.2 12 11.3 Turnover D50 6 10.2 19 6.1 Turnover Centre 0 7.9 7 5.9 Turnover Wing 32 28.6 34 21.2 Turnover F50 13 6.6 7 8.0 Region For Against Match Season Match Season D50 13 13.6 25 10.6 Centre 9 21.5 8 13.8 Wing 50 39.9 52 28.1 F50 33 14.9 19 19.3 Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season 28 34.2 50 24.2 Shots at goal Team Shots G B T Acc. Set Position Melbourne 15 8 4 52 53.3 Brisbane 15 9 5 59 60.0 General Play Melbourne 11 8 2 50 72.7 Brisbane 13 7 2 44 53.8 Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2023 % 2022 % Max Gawn 32 91 52.5 65.5 Angus Brayshaw 28 80 25.6 16.0 Jack Viney 26 74 68.9 74.6 James Jordon 20 57 26.2 0.2 Christian Petracca 15 43 63.6 74.6 Tom Sparrow 11 31 46.6 32.2 Kysaiah Pickett 5 14 11.7 1.3 Jacob van Rooyen 3 9 5.7 Trent Rivers 0 0 4.2 0.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 3.1 3.5 Harrison Petty 0 0 0.9 0.0 Clayton Oliver 82.8 86.5 Brodie Grundy 55.7 83.7 James Harmes 27.8 14.6 Tom McDonald 5.4 0.0 Josh Schache 0.0 13.8 Ruck Contests and Hitouts Ruck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2023 % 2022 % Max Gawn 83 84 47.9 57.8 Jacob van Rooyen 15 15 10.0 Ben Brown 1 1 2.6 3.6 Harrison Petty 0 0 2.0 0.0 Steven May 0 0 0.1 0.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0.1 0.0 Christian Petracca 0 0 0.1 0.1 Brodie Grundy 49.5 77.4 Tom McDonald 8.9 7.0 Josh Schache 6.7 13.4 Clayton Oliver 0.0 0.0 Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2023) To Adv. % (2022) Max Gawn 83 39 17 32.3 33.6 Jacob van Rooyen 15 7 5 27.0 Ben Brown 1 1 0 0.0 14.3 Harrison Petty 0 0 0 22.2 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0 0.0 Brodie Grundy 30.8 30.2 Tom McDonald 25.0 33.3 Josh Schache 33.3 Opposition hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. Oscar McInerney 86 33 8 Joe Daniher 13 1 0

Steele was very impressive too - top rated player on the ground (by Player Ratings) and clearly the number 1 pressure player on the ground. May has now picked up 25 votes (of his 26 season votes) in the last five matches. Coaches Votes for Melbourne players, 2023 https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_stats.html Votes Matches Polled Matches Christian Petracca 76 13 16 Clayton Oliver 40 9 10 Jack Viney 35 5 15 Steven May 26 4 14 Jake Lever 17 4 15 Max Gawn 15 5 13 Brodie Grundy 12 2 16 Kysaiah Pickett 12 2 14 Ed Langdon 10 2 16 Angus Brayshaw 8 3 16 Kade Chandler 6 2 15 Trent Rivers 6 1 16 Lachie Hunter 5 3 15 Christian Salem 4 1 7 Michael Hibberd 4 1 9 Bayley Fritsch 2 1 14 Tom McDonald 2 1 6 Jake Bowey 1 1 14 Round-by-round votes Votes 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15 16 17 Christian Petracca 76 5 • 7 9 1 1 10 • 10 • 8 10 1 5 2 7 Clayton Oliver 40 2 1 9 8 • 2 7 7 2 2 Jack Viney 35 • • • • 6 • • 7 • • • 10 3 9 • Steven May 26 • • • • • • 1 • • 8 7 • • 10 Jake Lever 17 9 2 • • • • • • • • 5 • 1 • • Max Gawn 15 5 • 3 • 3 • • 2 • 2 • • • Brodie Grundy 12 • • 6 6 • • • • • • • • • • • • Kysaiah Pickett 12 9 • • • 3 • • • • • • • • • Ed Langdon 10 • • 6 • • • • • • • • 4 • • • • Angus Brayshaw 8 • • • • • • 5 • • • 2 • • • • 1 Kade Chandler 6 • • 1 • • • 5 • • • • • • • • Trent Rivers 6 • • • • • • • • 6 • • • • • • • Lachie Hunter 5 • • 1 • • • • • • 2 • • • 2 • Christian Salem 4 • • • 4 • • • Michael Hibberd 4 • • 4 • • • • • • Bayley Fritsch 2 • • • • • • • • • • • 2 • • Tom McDonald 2 • • 2 • • • Jake Bowey 1 • • • • • • • • • • • • 1 •

It will be a day earlier next week 😉

St Kilda still finished with the top 5 players in ground ball gets, but Melbourne had a better spread with 15 players with 4+ compared to 12 St Kilda players.

I have just posted the Stats Files update - we lost the ground ball gets by 8. Melbourne's season average differential is +3.6 (ranked 3rd) but St Kilda's is +4.1 (ranked 1st).

Melbourne v St Kilda (Round 17, 2023) https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20231708 Key Team Stats Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff Disposal Efficiency 75.4 75.7 -0.3 Kicking Efficiency 70.4 68.9 +1.5 Metres Gained 5409 5364 +45 Inside 50s 46 52 -6 Shots At Goal 18 21 -3 Shots Per Inside 50 39.1 40.4 -1.3 Contested Possessions 130 138 -8 Ground Ball Gets 93 101 -8 Intercepts 76 76 +0 Intercept Marks 23 20 +3 Centre Clearances 9 11 -2 Stoppage Clearances 23 21 +2 Contested Marks 9 11 -2 Marks Inside 50 11 13 -2 Hitouts 39 18 +21 Hitouts To Advantage 6 5 +1 Tackles 57 65 -8 Tackles Inside 50 7 14 -7 Def One On One Loss % 12.5 15.4 -2.9 Pressure Team pressure Quarter For Against 1 176 173 2 174 169 3 178 186 4 158 172 Match 172 175 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average* Angus Brayshaw 27 65 30.6 Jack Viney 23 59 54.1 Kysaiah Pickett 26 56 43.1 Charlie Spargo 24 49 26.0 James Jordon 20 36 20.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 19 34 49.0 Christian Petracca 15 34 48.9 Tom Sparrow 15 33 43.3 Jake Lever 15 32 14.5 Jake Bowey 13 29 21.1 Christian Salem 8 24 30.6 Taj Woewodin 12 23 23.0 Ed Langdon 11 21 27.7 Lachie Hunter 13 20 23.7 Max Gawn 11 20 21.9 Brodie Grundy 7 19 26.5 Judd McVee 9 18 18.8 Trent Rivers 8 15 23.4 Harrison Petty 7 15 20.4 Steven May 6 15 14.2 Ben Brown 9 15 11.6 Jake Melksham 7 13 14.7 Joel Smith 3 8 23.8 * Pressure points for rounds 4 and 6 have not been able to be sourced from the Herald Sun. Pressure points for these matches have been estimated from the number of pressure acts for each player. Source: Herald Sun Time in Forward Half Quarter For Against 1 31% 69% 2 42% 58% 3 64% 36% 4 39% 61% Match 46% 54% Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarterly values are my own calculations. Score Sources Summary Score sources highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Category For Against Diff G B T G B T Kick-in 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0 Centre Bounce 2 1 13 1 1 7 +6 Stoppage (Other) 3 2 20 1 1 7 +13 Turnover 7 4 46 6 8 44 +2 Category For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in 0 2.8 0 2.5 Centre Bounce 13 10.9 7 7.1 Stoppage (Other) 20 21.8 7 20.8 Turnover 46 53.6 44 39.6 Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by St Kilda. Category Region For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in D50 0 2.8 0 2.5 Centre Bounce Centre 13 10.9 7 7.1 Stoppage (Other) D50 0 0.4 0 2.0 Stoppage (Other) Centre 6 3.0 6 1.2 Stoppage (Other) Wing 13 10.9 0 6.2 Stoppage (Other) F50 1 7.5 1 11.3 Turnover D50 14 10.5 1 5.2 Turnover Centre 12 8.4 13 5.9 Turnover Wing 20 28.4 23 20.4 Turnover F50 0 6.2 7 8.0 Region For Against Match Season Match Season D50 14 13.6 1 9.8 Centre 31 22.3 26 14.2 Wing 33 39.3 23 26.6 F50 1 13.8 8 19.3 Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season 51 34.6 8 22.6 Shots at goal Team Shots G B T Acc. General Play Melbourne 7 4 3 27 57.1 St Kilda 8 2 5 17 25.0 Set Position Melbourne 11 8 2 50 72.7 St Kilda 13 6 4 40 46.2 Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2023 % 2022 % James Jordon 17 71 22.8 0.2 Jack Viney 16 67 68.4 74.6 Angus Brayshaw 15 62 21.1 16.0 Max Gawn 14 58 48.3 65.5 Christian Petracca 12 50 65.3 74.6 Tom Sparrow 12 50 48.0 32.2 Brodie Grundy 10 42 55.7 83.7 Kysaiah Pickett 0 0 11.4 1.3 Trent Rivers 0 0 4.5 0.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 3.3 3.5 Harrison Petty 0 0 1.0 0.0 Clayton Oliver 82.8 86.5 James Harmes 27.8 14.6 Tom McDonald 5.4 0.0 Jacob van Rooyen 5.3 Josh Schache 0.0 13.8 Ruck Contests and Hitouts Ruck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2023 % 2022 % Max Gawn 44 54 44.8 57.8 Brodie Grundy 36 44 49.5 77.4 Alex Neal-Bullen 1 1 0.1 0.0 Ben Brown 0 0 3.0 3.6 Harrison Petty 0 0 2.3 0.0 Steven May 0 0 0.1 0.0 Christian Petracca 0 0 0.1 0.1 Jacob van Rooyen 9.6 Tom McDonald 8.9 7.0 Josh Schache 6.7 13.4 Clayton Oliver 0.0 0.0 Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2023) To Adv. % (2022) Max Gawn 44 21 4 30.6 33.6 Brodie Grundy 36 17 2 30.8 30.2 Alex Neal-Bullen 1 1 0 0.0 Harrison Petty 0 0 0 22.2 Ben Brown 0 0 0 0.0 14.3 Tom McDonald 25.0 33.3 Jacob van Rooyen 16.7 Josh Schache 33.3 Opposition hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. Rowan Marshall 65 15 4 Mitch Owens 5 2 1 Anthony Caminiti 9 1 0 Expected scores (Champion Data) 61 - 68

Sorry I should clarify that those figures relate to where we're kicking to when we're going inside 50, but not necessarily resulting in a shot at goal. Here are the locations of our shots at goal by round. Shots at goal location, Melbourne 2023, by Round Round Corridor Pocket 0-20m 20-35m 35+ 0-20m 20-35m 35+ 1 16.7 10.0 20.0 10.0 20.0 23.3 2 28.6 4.8 14.3 0.0 9.5 42.9 3 3.0 30.3 18.2 6.1 9.1 33.3 4 12.5 21.9 25.0 6.2 12.5 21.9 5 4.0 8.0 28.0 4.0 12.0 44.0 6 11.5 19.2 15.4 0.0 7.7 46.2 7 13.3 13.3 23.3 6.7 16.7 26.7 8 7.7 15.4 34.6 3.8 15.4 23.1 9 10.3 24.1 27.6 0.0 10.3 27.6 10 13.0 17.4 30.4 8.7 13.0 17.4 11 0.0 11.5 42.3 7.7 15.4 23.1 12 11.1 0.0 22.2 7.4 25.9 33.3 13 3.6 7.1 32.1 7.1 7.1 42.9 15 22.7 27.3 4.5 0.0 22.7 22.7 16 7.7 15.4 26.9 7.7 26.9 15.4

Yes, that is true! I'd need to look at chains following a stoppage to see the eventual outcome, but yes, you are more likely to score a goal from a shot in the corridor compared to the pocket: Result Corridor Pocket 0-20m 20-35m 35+ 0-20m 20-35m 35+ Goal 79.8 58.3 48.2 53.8 42.3 36.6 Behind 14.6 29.3 37.0 31.9 39.5 39.6 No Score 5.6 12.4 14.8 14.3 18.2 23.7

I missed the boat in the pregame thread to respond to @A F, so I'll respond here. Yes, this is something I have access to. I have looked at the locations of the result of kicks inside 50 and categorised them according to distance (0-20m, 20-35m, 35m+) and corridor v pocket. To determine the corridor, I extend the centre square to the 50m arc and then draw a line from that point to the goal posts. Melbourne has gone to the 'hot spot' (20-35m out in the corridor) about 26% each of the time the last three matches, up from 20% for the season. We are far more likely to go to the hot spot in the third quarter. The last table below shows that you are more likely to turn the ball over kicking to 20+ metres out in the corridor than kicking to the pocket, which is something that @binman has spoken about quite a bit. Location of Kicks Inside 50, Melbourne 2023, by Round Round Corridor Pocket 0-20m 20-35m 35+ 0-20m 20-35m 35+ 1 9.4 22.6 5.7 3.8 28.3 30.2 2 15.9 18.2 15.9 6.8 18.2 25.0 3 6.0 28.0 8.0 4.0 28.0 26.0 4 19.6 25.5 9.8 3.9 23.5 17.6 5 5.0 17.5 30.0 2.5 22.5 22.5 6 8.5 14.9 14.9 6.4 23.4 31.9 7 17.6 9.8 21.6 3.9 21.6 25.5 8 8.3 33.3 18.8 4.2 6.2 29.2 9 21.4 12.5 19.6 3.6 17.9 25.0 10 7.1 19.0 31.0 0.0 14.3 28.6 11 12.5 18.8 22.9 4.2 22.9 18.8 12 5.7 7.5 13.2 7.5 32.1 34.0 13 13.2 26.4 17.0 0.0 17.0 26.4 15 15.2 26.1 13.0 4.3 10.9 30.4 16 9.7 25.8 14.5 3.2 21.0 25.8 Location of Kicks Inside 50, Melbourne 2023, by Quarter Period Corridor Pocket 0-20m 20-35m 35+ 0-20m 20-35m 35+ 1 11.6 15.1 13.4 4.7 24.4 30.8 2 9.3 19.8 16.3 3.5 19.8 31.4 3 12.4 27.8 18.0 2.6 19.1 20.1 4 13.6 18.4 18.4 4.9 19.9 24.8 Location of Kicks Inside 50, 2023, by Team Team Corridor Pocket 0-20m 20-35m 35+ 0-20m 20-35m 35+ St Kilda 8.0 27.8 19.4 2.0 19.8 23.0 Essendon 10.7 26.5 19.1 4.0 18.5 21.1 Greater Western Sydney 10.6 24.4 21.2 3.9 18.1 21.8 North Melbourne 7.5 24.0 25.1 4.4 18.9 20.1 Gold Coast 11.2 23.9 18.8 4.4 20.0 21.7 Port Adelaide 9.0 23.4 23.7 3.6 17.4 22.8 Sydney 11.7 23.3 23.3 4.6 15.4 21.6 Fremantle 7.0 22.5 22.3 4.1 22.3 21.7 Hawthorn 9.3 22.0 21.7 4.3 21.2 21.5 Collingwood 12.5 21.2 17.7 5.5 16.5 26.6 Western Bulldogs 9.9 20.6 13.8 5.7 23.3 26.8 Adelaide 9.6 20.5 20.7 3.4 18.6 27.2 Melbourne 11.8 20.4 16.7 3.9 20.7 26.5 Geelong 7.4 20.2 19.9 4.0 21.0 27.4 Carlton 9.3 19.9 16.6 5.4 20.5 28.2 Richmond 9.4 19.7 18.6 5.6 22.9 23.8 Brisbane 9.8 18.4 15.2 6.6 23.6 26.4 West Coast 8.0 17.4 19.0 5.2 24.7 25.8 Location of Kicks Inside 50, 2021-2023, by Chain Result Result Corridor Pocket 0-20m 20-35m 35+ 0-20m 20-35m 35+ Score 51.7 33.9 33.2 44.7 29.3 30.0 Stoppage 11.6 12.5 9.6 24.3 25.2 19.9 Turnover 36.7 53.5 57.2 31.0 45.5 50.1

I know some people dislike the idea of expected scores, however... @ crow_data_sci over on Twitter has posted the raw data from his updated Expected Score model, including roughly 27,000 shots at goal since the beginning of 2021. If anyone is interested in downloading the raw csv file, I have included his tweet at the bottom of this post. This is a better way to look at goal accuracy as it takes into account the estimated difficulty of the shot. The expected score for a particular shot takes into account distance to goal, angle and context (set shot, handball receive, hard ball get, etc). It's only a model and won't be perfect (e.g. it doesn't take into account weather conditions or actual pressure on the player) but it's better than raw accuracy. In the following tables I have looked at average points scored per shot (raw measure of accuracy), average expected score (difficulty), and the difference (improved measure of accuracy), sorted by the difference. While Petracca is comfortable the least accurate player this season for players with 30+ shots, the difficulty of his shots (average expected score) is third hardest (similar to Stringer, Rachele, Martin and Papley). He's still the second least accurate player taking into account difficulty ahead of Jade Gresham, but it does add context to his accuracy. I have included tables for the following: Melbourne players this season; Melbourne overall by round, including the opposition's difference between actual and expected score; Melbourne players since the beginning of 2021; and All players this season. Melbourne Expected Scores, 2023, 10+ shots Player Shots Goals Avg Score Exp. Score Diff. Tom Sparrow 10 6 4.0 3.0 1.01 Charlie Spargo 15 10 4.3 3.4 0.86 Tom McDonald 11 8 4.6 3.8 0.86 Ben Brown 14 9 4.0 3.1 0.86 Jacob van Rooyen 24 17 4.4 3.6 0.81 Kade Chandler 28 15 3.6 3.1 0.46 Brodie Grundy 16 10 4.0 3.6 0.42 Bayley Fritsch 56 29 3.5 3.1 0.38 Jack Viney 13 6 3.1 2.9 0.15 Alex Neal-Bullen 21 10 3.2 3.2 −0.03 Kysaiah Pickett 50 22 3.0 3.3 −0.25 Ed Langdon 13 3 2.0 2.3 −0.27 Max Gawn 18 7 2.7 3.1 −0.41 Christian Petracca 45 12 2.0 2.7 −0.67 Trent Rivers 11 2 1.5 2.8 −1.36 Melbourne Expected Scores, 2023, by Round Round Shots Goals Avg Score Exp. Score Diff. Opposition 1 30 17 3.7 3.4 0.30 0.04 2 21 13 3.9 3.1 0.79 0.51 3 33 21 4.0 3.2 0.86 −0.16 4 32 19 3.9 3.4 0.53 −0.22 5 24 11 3.2 2.8 0.37 0.08 6 25 15 3.8 3.3 0.58 0.01 7 30 22 4.5 3.4 1.07 0.10 8 26 13 3.4 2.9 0.50 0.08 9 29 15 3.4 3.1 0.27 −0.16 10 23 11 3.2 3.0 0.15 −0.37 11 26 10 2.7 3.0 −0.34 0.71 12 27 8 2.3 2.9 −0.68 −0.01 13 28 8 2.2 3.1 −0.91 0.21 15 22 8 2.6 3.3 −0.64 0.26 16 26 5 1.7 2.9 −1.18 0.38 Melbourne Expected Scores, 2021-2023, 20+ shots Player Shots Goals Avg Score Exp. Score Diff. Jacob van Rooyen 24 17 4.4 3.6 0.81 Bayley Fritsch 237 143 3.9 3.2 0.66 Tom Sparrow 45 20 3.0 2.6 0.43 Kade Chandler 29 15 3.5 3.1 0.39 Tom McDonald 100 56 3.7 3.3 0.38 James Jordon 35 17 3.2 2.9 0.37 Kysaiah Pickett 204 103 3.3 3.1 0.26 Ben Brown 118 64 3.5 3.3 0.25 Ed Langdon 63 29 3.1 2.9 0.22 Charlie Spargo 82 38 3.2 3.1 0.06 Sam Weideman 30 16 3.5 3.6 −0.05 James Harmes 50 20 2.8 2.8 −0.06 Jake Melksham 54 25 3.1 3.2 −0.06 Clayton Oliver 56 21 2.7 2.9 −0.13 Luke Jackson 56 27 3.3 3.4 −0.15 Jack Viney 43 18 2.8 3.0 −0.20 Alex Neal-Bullen 90 34 2.7 3.0 −0.33 Christian Petracca 184 60 2.3 2.7 −0.39 Max Gawn 97 36 2.6 3.0 −0.42 Angus Brayshaw 25 5 1.6 2.6 −0.96 AFL Expected Scores, 2023, 30+ shots Player Shots Goals Avg Score Exp. Score Diff. Taylor Walker (Adel) 71 46 4.1 2.9 1.21 Jaidyn Stephenson (NM) 35 23 4.1 3.2 0.93 Logan McDonald (Syd) 30 22 4.6 3.7 0.89 Michael Walters (Frem) 38 25 4.1 3.3 0.80 Oscar Allen (WC) 56 37 4.2 3.4 0.78 Cody Weightman (WB) 36 21 3.8 3.1 0.74 Darcy Fogarty (Adel) 44 26 3.8 3.1 0.71 Nick Larkey (NM) 61 42 4.4 3.7 0.68 Jeremy Cameron (Geel) 69 39 3.7 3.1 0.61 Todd Marshall (Port) 36 21 3.8 3.2 0.60 Luke Pedlar (Adel) 35 19 3.5 3.0 0.56 Jye Amiss (Frem) 44 29 4.1 3.6 0.55 Joe Daniher (Bris) 66 39 3.8 3.3 0.52 Dan Butler (St K) 40 24 3.9 3.4 0.50 Charlie Curnow (Carl) 80 44 3.7 3.2 0.50 Archie Perkins (Ess) 30 15 3.3 2.8 0.48 Kyle Langford (Ess) 46 29 4.1 3.6 0.48 Luke Breust (Haw) 49 28 3.7 3.3 0.47 Tom Hawkins (Geel) 67 37 3.6 3.1 0.46 Michael Frederick (Frem) 31 17 3.5 3.1 0.44 Bobby Hill (Coll) 34 20 3.8 3.4 0.43 Brody Mihocek (Coll) 54 32 3.8 3.4 0.43 Bayley Fritsch (Melb) 56 29 3.5 3.1 0.38 Jack Lukosius (GC) 48 26 3.7 3.3 0.37 Toby Greene (GWS) 66 37 3.6 3.3 0.34 Zac Bailey (Bris) 38 19 3.3 3.0 0.33 Shai Bolton (Rich) 38 19 3.3 3.0 0.32 Oliver Henry (Geel) 40 22 3.6 3.3 0.31 Tom Papley (Syd) 55 25 3.0 2.7 0.29 Izak Rankine (Adel) 66 30 3.0 2.8 0.27 Eric Hipwood (Bris) 52 28 3.5 3.2 0.27 Mitch Lewis (Haw) 42 24 3.7 3.5 0.20 Charlie Cameron (Bris) 59 37 4.0 3.8 0.18 Jake Stringer (Ess) 47 19 2.9 2.7 0.17 Ben King (GC) 54 33 4.0 3.8 0.16 Lachie Schultz (Frem) 35 19 3.5 3.4 0.10 Errol Gulden (Syd) 32 13 2.9 2.8 0.10 Aaron Naughton (WB) 51 28 3.7 3.6 0.08 Josh Rachele (Adel) 42 16 2.8 2.7 0.07 Sam Powell-Pepper (Port) 41 17 3.0 2.9 0.06 Jack Riewoldt (Rich) 43 23 3.6 3.6 0.05 Jeremy Finlayson (Port) 60 29 3.2 3.2 0.03 Junior Rioli (Port) 31 14 3.1 3.1 0.02 Tim Taranto (Rich) 30 13 3.0 3.0 −0.01 Cameron Zurhaar (NM) 46 20 3.0 3.0 −0.01 Jamie Elliott (Coll) 40 17 2.9 2.9 −0.06 Jack Higgins (St K) 56 27 3.1 3.3 −0.13 Mitch Owens (St K) 38 19 3.3 3.5 −0.15 Charlie Dixon (Port) 37 18 3.2 3.4 −0.16 Jye Menzie (Ess) 30 16 3.5 3.6 −0.17 Luke Jackson (Frem) 36 16 3.1 3.2 −0.18 Cam Rayner (Bris) 32 15 3.1 3.3 −0.19 Kysaiah Pickett (Melb) 50 22 3.0 3.3 −0.25 Jesse Hogan (GWS) 46 24 3.5 3.8 −0.31 Dustin Martin (Rich) 39 13 2.4 2.7 −0.34 Max King (St K) 30 14 3.0 3.4 −0.36 Jack Darling (WC) 34 14 2.9 3.3 −0.41 Malcolm Rosas (GC) 31 11 2.6 3.1 −0.45 Isaac Heeney (Syd) 42 15 2.5 3.0 −0.49 Will Hayward (Syd) 30 13 3.0 3.6 −0.52 Jamarra Ugle-Hagan (WB) 58 20 2.5 3.0 −0.54 Harry McKay (Carl) 62 23 2.6 3.1 −0.55 Ben Keays (Adel) 32 11 2.6 3.2 −0.62 Christian Petracca (Melb) 45 12 2.0 2.7 −0.67 Jade Gresham (St K) 37 13 2.4 3.1 −0.70

Oh sorry, that was buried in my original post. Here it is again below - Melbourne had 5 'no scores' from general play, GWS 0; Melbourne 2 'no scores' from set shots, GWS 1. Melbourne went at 12% accuracy from general play (2 goals from 17 shots, GWS 3 goals from 6 shots)! Team Shots G B T Acc. General Play Melbourne 17 2 10 22 11.8 Greater Western Sydney 6 3 3 21 50.0 Set Position Melbourne 9 3 4 22 33.3 Greater Western Sydney 6 4 1 25 66.7 The circles in the left half of the following field map are Melbourne's shots from general play. Melbourne's only set shot within 30 metres was Melksham's on the tight angle.

Is this what you had in mind? Set Shots Team Shots Goals Behinds No score Accuracy Fremantle 194 114 48 32 58.8 Geelong 244 142 66 36 58.2 Essendon 191 109 60 22 57.1 Melbourne 219 124 68 27 56.6 Brisbane 229 129 74 26 56.3 North Melbourne 169 95 50 24 56.2 Greater Western Sydney 200 111 63 26 55.5 West Coast 155 86 45 24 55.5 Western Bulldogs 219 120 73 26 54.8 St Kilda 184 100 53 31 54.3 Richmond 192 104 52 36 54.2 Collingwood 214 115 67 32 53.7 Adelaide 221 118 68 35 53.4 Sydney 217 113 72 32 52.1 Carlton 228 118 70 40 51.8 Gold Coast 197 99 76 22 50.3 Port Adelaide 240 118 87 35 49.2 Hawthorn 183 89 57 37 48.6 General Play Team Shots Goals Behinds No score Accuracy Collingwood 186 90 54 42 48.4 North Melbourne 140 62 50 28 44.3 Adelaide 219 96 75 48 43.8 Port Adelaide 204 88 73 43 43.1 Sydney 193 82 76 35 42.5 Brisbane 202 85 71 46 42.1 Geelong 152 63 58 31 41.4 Essendon 196 81 75 40 41.3 St Kilda 183 73 55 55 39.9 Fremantle 166 66 55 45 39.8 Gold Coast 179 71 66 42 39.7 Greater Western Sydney 177 69 66 42 39.0 Melbourne 185 72 68 45 38.9 Hawthorn 162 61 63 38 37.7 Richmond 178 66 72 40 37.1 Western Bulldogs 152 55 68 29 36.2 West Coast 133 44 48 41 33.1 Carlton 152 46 64 42 30.3

Here are the points from defensive chains, forward chains and centre bounces for the last three seasons, and for each round this season. The percentage of points from the defensive half is higher this season than the previous two season, but has only been above our 2023 season average in two of our last eight matches (Carlton & Collingwood). We average 33.5 points per match from the defensive half this season, but have only scored 15 points in total over the past two weeks. Points scored from chain origin Season Round Opposition Defensive % Forward % Centre Bounce % 2021 716 31.9 1164 51.8 366 16.3 2022 748 35.9 1021 49.0 314 15.1 2023 503 37.4 681 50.6 161 12.0 2023 Round 1 Western Bulldogs 78 67.8 25 21.7 12 10.4 2023 Round 2 Brisbane 38 46.3 38 46.3 6 7.3 2023 Round 3 Sydney 43 32.1 70 52.2 21 15.7 2023 Round 4 West Coast 50 39.7 69 54.8 7 5.6 2023 Round 5 Essendon 32 41.6 30 39.0 15 19.5 2023 Round 6 Richmond 27 28.1 57 59.4 12 12.5 2023 Round 7 North Melbourne 55 39.6 59 42.4 25 18.0 2023 Round 8 Gold Coast 21 23.3 60 66.7 9 10.0 2023 Round 9 Hawthorn 32 31.1 70 68.0 1 1.0 2023 Round 10 Port Adelaide 20 26.3 43 56.6 13 17.1 2023 Round 11 Fremantle 17 23.6 36 50.0 19 26.4 2023 Round 12 Carlton 47 77.0 12 19.7 2 3.3 2023 Round 13 Collingwood 28 42.4 26 39.4 12 18.2 2023 Round 15 Geelong 4 6.3 58 92.1 1 1.6 2023 Round 16 Greater Western Sydney 11 24.4 28 62.2 6 13.3 Here is a further disaggregation of defensive chains, separating turnovers, kick-ins and stoppages (limited to where Melbourne won the clearance). We score from roughly 13% of defensive half stoppages and defensive half clearances, but has been much lower in the last two weeks. Defensive half chains by category Season Round Opposition Chains Scored % Score Points / Chain Turnover 2021 1268 154 12.1 554 0.44 2022 1177 148 12.6 553 0.47 2023 744 95 12.8 350 0.47 2023 Round 1 Western Bulldogs 55 13 23.6 58 1.05 2023 Round 2 Brisbane 53 5 9.4 20 0.38 2023 Round 3 Sydney 40 5 12.5 25 0.62 2023 Round 4 West Coast 42 7 16.7 32 0.76 2023 Round 5 Essendon 49 5 10.2 20 0.41 2023 Round 6 Richmond 56 7 12.5 27 0.48 2023 Round 7 North Melbourne 50 6 12.0 31 0.62 2023 Round 8 Gold Coast 48 5 10.4 20 0.42 2023 Round 9 Hawthorn 52 9 17.3 24 0.46 2023 Round 10 Port Adelaide 50 4 8.0 14 0.28 2023 Round 11 Fremantle 44 6 13.6 16 0.36 2023 Round 12 Carlton 38 6 15.8 21 0.55 2023 Round 13 Collingwood 45 7 15.6 27 0.60 2023 Round 15 Geelong 57 4 7.0 4 0.07 2023 Round 16 Greater Western Sydney 65 6 9.2 11 0.17 Kick-in 2021 191 19 9.9 59 0.31 2022 219 10 4.6 40 0.18 2023 140 9 6.4 44 0.31 2023 Round 1 Western Bulldogs 11 2 18.2 12 1.09 2023 Round 2 Brisbane 9 1 11.1 6 0.67 2023 Round 3 Sydney 12 0 0.0 0 0.00 2023 Round 4 West Coast 9 0 0.0 0 0.00 2023 Round 5 Essendon 14 2 14.3 12 0.86 2023 Round 6 Richmond 12 0 0.0 0 0.00 2023 Round 7 North Melbourne 7 2 28.6 12 1.71 2023 Round 8 Gold Coast 7 0 0.0 0 0.00 2023 Round 9 Hawthorn 6 0 0.0 0 0.00 2023 Round 10 Port Adelaide 14 0 0.0 0 0.00 2023 Round 11 Fremantle 7 1 14.3 1 0.14 2023 Round 12 Carlton 8 1 12.5 1 0.12 2023 Round 13 Collingwood 8 0 0.0 0 0.00 2023 Round 15 Geelong 12 0 0.0 0 0.00 2023 Round 16 Greater Western Sydney 4 0 0.0 0 0.00 Stoppage (Other) 2021 310 28 9.0 103 0.33 2022 300 45 15.0 155 0.52 2023 184 24 13.0 109 0.59 2023 Round 1 Western Bulldogs 9 3 33.3 8 0.89 2023 Round 2 Brisbane 18 2 11.1 12 0.67 2023 Round 3 Sydney 7 3 42.9 18 2.57 2023 Round 4 West Coast 12 3 25.0 18 1.50 2023 Round 5 Essendon 15 0 0.0 0 0.00 2023 Round 6 Richmond 12 0 0.0 0 0.00 2023 Round 7 North Melbourne 11 2 18.2 12 1.09 2023 Round 8 Gold Coast 14 1 7.1 1 0.07 2023 Round 9 Hawthorn 11 3 27.3 8 0.73 2023 Round 10 Port Adelaide 11 1 9.1 6 0.55 2023 Round 11 Fremantle 10 0 0.0 0 0.00 2023 Round 12 Carlton 15 5 33.3 25 1.67 2023 Round 13 Collingwood 16 1 6.2 1 0.06 2023 Round 15 Geelong 11 0 0.0 0 0.00 2023 Round 16 Greater Western Sydney 12 0 0.0 0 0.00 All defensive half chains Season Round Opposition Chains Scored % Score Points / Chain 2021 1769 201 11.4 716 0.40 2022 1696 203 12.0 748 0.44 2023 1068 128 12.0 503 0.47 2023 Round 1 Western Bulldogs 75 18 24.0 78 1.04 2023 Round 2 Brisbane 80 8 10.0 38 0.47 2023 Round 3 Sydney 59 8 13.6 43 0.73 2023 Round 4 West Coast 63 10 15.9 50 0.79 2023 Round 5 Essendon 78 7 9.0 32 0.41 2023 Round 6 Richmond 80 7 8.8 27 0.34 2023 Round 7 North Melbourne 68 10 14.7 55 0.81 2023 Round 8 Gold Coast 69 6 8.7 21 0.30 2023 Round 9 Hawthorn 69 12 17.4 32 0.46 2023 Round 10 Port Adelaide 75 5 6.7 20 0.27 2023 Round 11 Fremantle 61 7 11.5 17 0.28 2023 Round 12 Carlton 61 12 19.7 47 0.77 2023 Round 13 Collingwood 69 8 11.6 28 0.41 2023 Round 15 Geelong 80 4 5.0 4 0.05 2023 Round 16 Greater Western Sydney 81 6 7.4 11 0.14

The figures I posted exclude rushed behinds, so it's purely shots at goal.

Yes, I'm a long-time Dees fan. I pretty much just post here and on Twitter.

I have Petracca third in my Brownlow Medal predictions, on 18.2 votes.

Coaches Votes for Melbourne players, 2023 https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_stats.html Votes Matches Polled Matches Christian Petracca 69 12 15 Clayton Oliver 40 9 10 Jack Viney 35 5 14 Jake Lever 17 4 14 Steven May 16 3 13 Max Gawn 15 5 12 Brodie Grundy 12 2 15 Kysaiah Pickett 12 2 13 Ed Langdon 10 2 15 Angus Brayshaw 7 2 15 Kade Chandler 6 2 15 Trent Rivers 6 1 15 Lachie Hunter 5 3 14 Christian Salem 4 1 6 Michael Hibberd 4 1 9 Bayley Fritsch 2 1 14 Tom McDonald 2 1 6 Jake Bowey 1 1 13 Round-by-round votes Votes 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 15 16 Christian Petracca 69 5 • 7 9 1 1 10 • 10 • 8 10 1 5 2 Clayton Oliver 40 2 1 9 8 • 2 7 7 2 2 Jack Viney 35 • • • • 6 • • 7 • • • 10 3 9 Jake Lever 17 9 2 • • • • • • • • 5 • 1 • Steven May 16 • • • • • • 1 • • 8 7 • • Max Gawn 15 5 • 3 • 3 • • 2 • 2 • • Brodie Grundy 12 • • 6 6 • • • • • • • • • • • Kysaiah Pickett 12 9 • • • 3 • • • • • • • • Ed Langdon 10 • • 6 • • • • • • • • 4 • • • Angus Brayshaw 7 • • • • • • 5 • • • 2 • • • • Kade Chandler 6 • • 1 • • • 5 • • • • • • • • Trent Rivers 6 • • • • • • • • 6 • • • • • • Lachie Hunter 5 • • 1 • • • • • • 2 • • • 2 Christian Salem 4 • • • 4 • • Michael Hibberd 4 • • 4 • • • • • • Bayley Fritsch 2 • • • • • • • • • • • 2 • • Tom McDonald 2 • • 2 • • • Jake Bowey 1 • • • • • • • • • • • • 1

Of all the teams that have had 70+ inside 50s since 1998, yesterday was the outright lowest goals scored. Previous lowest was 6 goals. Conditions probably worse than most other 70+ inside 50 games, but still! I only went back to 2012 for inside 50 conversion, but North Melbourne scored 1 goal from 34 inside 50s against Geelong!

Melbourne v Greater Western Sydney (Round 16, 2023) https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20231606 Key Team Stats Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff Disposal Efficiency 62.9 66.4 -3.5 Kicking Efficiency 50.0 56.8 -6.8 Metres Gained 6679 6582 +97 Inside 50s 73 46 +27 Shots At Goal 26 12 +14 Shots Per Inside 50 35.6 26.1 +9.5 Contested Possessions 187 143 +44 Ground Ball Gets 133 108 +25 Intercepts 113 108 +5 Intercept Marks 19 12 +7 Centre Clearances 14 2 +12 Stoppage Clearances 33 26 +7 Contested Marks 6 4 +2 Marks Inside 50 5 3 +2 Hitouts 34 24 +10 Hitouts To Advantage 8 9 -1 Tackles 57 72 -15 Tackles Inside 50 17 5 +12 Def One On One Loss % 28.6 11.1 +17.5 Pressure Team pressure Quarter For Against 1 182 162 2 192 182 3 173 225 4 196 181 Match 186 187 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average* Jack Viney 26 65 53.7 Alex Neal-Bullen 28 64 50.1 Angus Brayshaw 23 52 28.3 Christian Petracca 21 47 49.8 Kysaiah Pickett 23 47 42.1 James Harmes 24 47 36.3 Joel Smith 20 43 27.8 Christian Salem 13 31 31.7 Lachie Hunter 15 30 24.0 Tom Sparrow 13 28 44.1 Kade Chandler 15 28 32.3 Ed Langdon 13 28 28.2 Brodie Grundy 14 28 26.9 Jake Melksham 13 27 15.0 Trent Rivers 8 22 24.0 Jake Lever 13 22 13.3 Harrison Petty 8 19 20.9 Ben Brown 8 19 10.8 Max Gawn 8 17 22.1 Jake Bowey 8 14 20.5 Steven May 5 13 14.1 Judd McVee 7 12 18.9 Bayley Fritsch 0 0 19.0 * Pressure points for rounds 4 and 6 have not been able to be sourced from the Herald Sun. Pressure points for these matches have been estimated from the number of pressure acts for each player. Source: Herald Sun Time in Forward Half Quarter For Against 1 61% 39% 2 57% 43% 3 63% 37% 4 52% 48% Match 60% 40% Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarterly values are my own calculations. Score Sources Summary Score sources highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Category For Against Diff G B T G B T Kick-in 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1 Centre Bounce 1 0 6 0 0 0 +6 Stoppage (Other) 1 6 12 1 0 6 +6 Turnover 3 9 27 6 4 40 -13 Category For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in 0 2.9 1 2.7 Centre Bounce 6 10.7 0 7.1 Stoppage (Other) 12 21.9 6 21.7 Turnover 27 54.1 39 39.3 Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Greater Western Sydney. Category Region For Against Match Season Match Season Kick-in D50 0 2.9 1 2.7 Centre Bounce Centre 6 10.7 0 7.1 Stoppage (Other) D50 0 0.4 0 2.1 Stoppage (Other) Centre 1 2.8 0 0.9 Stoppage (Other) Wing 3 10.7 6 6.6 Stoppage (Other) F50 8 7.9 0 12.0 Turnover D50 1 10.3 7 5.5 Turnover Centre 0 8.2 0 5.4 Turnover Wing 14 29.0 26 20.3 Turnover F50 12 6.7 6 8.1 Region For Against Match Season Match Season D50 1 13.6 8 10.3 Centre 7 21.7 0 13.4 Wing 17 39.7 32 26.9 F50 20 14.6 6 20.1 Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season 11 33.5 15 23.5 Shots at goal Team Shots G B T Acc. General Play Melbourne 17 2 10 22 11.8 Greater Western Sydney 6 3 3 21 50.0 Set Position Melbourne 9 3 4 22 33.3 Greater Western Sydney 6 4 1 25 66.7 Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2023 % 2022 % Christian Petracca 12 75 66.2 74.6 Angus Brayshaw 12 75 18.5 16.0 Jack Viney 11 69 68.5 74.6 Max Gawn 9 56 47.5 65.5 Tom Sparrow 8 50 47.8 32.2 Brodie Grundy 7 44 56.6 83.7 James Harmes 3 19 27.8 14.6 Trent Rivers 2 12 4.8 0.0 Kysaiah Pickett 0 0 12.2 1.3 Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 3.6 3.5 Harrison Petty 0 0 1.1 0.0 Clayton Oliver 82.8 86.5 James Jordon 19.0 0.2 Tom McDonald 5.4 0.0 Jacob van Rooyen 5.3 Josh Schache 0.0 13.8 Ruck Contests and Hitouts Ruck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2023 % 2022 % Max Gawn 48 56 44.1 57.8 Brodie Grundy 34 40 49.8 77.4 Ben Brown 3 4 3.7 3.6 Harrison Petty 0 0 2.5 0.0 Steven May 0 0 0.1 0.0 Christian Petracca 0 0 0.1 0.1 Jacob van Rooyen 9.6 Tom McDonald 8.9 7.0 Josh Schache 6.7 13.4 Clayton Oliver 0.0 0.0 Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2023) To Adv. % (2022) Max Gawn 48 17 6 31.6 33.6 Brodie Grundy 34 16 2 31.8 30.2 Ben Brown 3 1 0 0.0 14.3 Harrison Petty 0 0 0 22.2 Tom McDonald 25.0 33.3 Jacob van Rooyen 16.7 Josh Schache 33.3 Opposition hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. Kieren Briggs 58 20 8 Lachlan Keeffe 27 4 1 Expected score from Champion Data 77 - 43

Accuracy from round 12-16 Team Shots Goals Behinds No Score Accuracy Melbourne 104 29 51 24 27.9 Gold Coast 103 43 41 19 41.7 Fremantle 93 40 23 30 43.0 Carlton 107 47 36 24 43.9 St Kilda 97 43 29 25 44.3 Richmond 103 48 35 20 46.6 Brisbane 120 56 40 24 46.7 Geelong 92 44 28 20 47.8 Sydney 121 58 49 14 47.9 Essendon 98 48 33 17 49.0 Hawthorn 83 41 23 19 49.4 Western Bulldogs 107 54 37 16 50.5 Collingwood 112 57 32 23 50.9 Greater Western Sydney 103 53 33 17 51.5 West Coast 64 33 16 15 51.6 Adelaide 136 72 42 22 52.9 Port Adelaide 123 66 38 19 53.7 North Melbourne 86 50 23 13 58.1 Player Shots Goals Behinds No Score Accuracy Kade Chandler 7 0 7 0 0.0 Trent Rivers 4 0 2 2 0.0 Lachie Hunter 2 0 2 0 0.0 Tom Sparrow 2 0 2 0 0.0 Ben Brown 1 0 1 0 0.0 Christian Petracca 16 2 8 6 12.5 Jack Viney 5 1 2 2 20.0 Max Gawn 5 1 2 2 20.0 Kysaiah Pickett 16 4 7 5 25.0 Alex Neal-Bullen 6 2 2 2 33.3 Charlie Spargo 3 1 2 0 33.3 Ed Langdon 3 1 1 1 33.3 Bayley Fritsch 15 7 8 0 46.7 Joel Smith 6 3 3 0 50.0 Brodie Grundy 4 2 1 1 50.0 Jake Bowey 2 1 1 0 50.0 Jake Melksham 2 1 0 1 50.0 Jacob van Rooyen 5 3 0 2 60.0

Thanks @titan_uranus. It's a similar profile to 2022 as well - the third tweet in the thread looks at non-premiers with the most premiership metrics and Melbourne ranked top 6 in 18 metrics in 2022. It's not a guarantee of success, but you're unlikely to win the premiership if you have too many holes in these areas of your game.

Please forgive the misspelling of opposition! 😕

@Engorged Onion I also recommend the ESPN Footy Podcast, with Christian from Champion Data. Incidentally, they responded to a question of mine on the podcast this week regarding expected scores for Melbourne's 186 point loss and how it compared to West Coast's loss on the weekend, but unfortunately they only have expected scores since 2013!

SEN. You can listen to it on the SEN Sports day podcast, and specifically the "Full On Footy Analysis with Daniel Hoyne". In relation to the first point, I have posted the updated "premiership metrics" for 2023. Melbourne currently rank in the top 6 in 18 of 19 of these metrics. The last 11 premiers all ranked in the top 6 in at least 14 of these 19 categories.