The long awaited clash between Melbourne and Essendon is almost upon us. Thirty-seven rounds of AFL football have passed by since the two clubs met on a balmy early April night last year in a game that produced a high scoring shootout at the MCG with the Bombers prevailing by 18 points. It was their only meeting for 2019 and happened at a time when the pandemic was something on the far distant horizon.
 
	Several months later when the 2019 season ended, the AFL issued the first of its fixtures for the next year. We were still a way off Christmas and the bushfire season. The virus was still unknown and unnamed in this country. At that time, the Demons and the Bombers were drawn to play on 3rd May in Round 7 but well before that date came around, Covid19 put an end to the original draw after just one round, leaving the entire season in limbo.
 
	When the competition returned in mid June, the redrawn fixture had Melbourne and Essendon facing off in Round 3 as an “away” game for the Demons at the MCG. But it never eventuated thanks to a “positive” test from now retired Bomber, Connor McKenna.
 
	The abandoned game, later declared a “bye”, was eventually rescheduled to Round 18 and, as a consequence, the Demons and Bombers were the only clubs in the competition to miss out on the benefit of a brief respite during the latter part of the season when the draw was compacted in two “frenzy” periods with four and five day breaks between games, the new norm.
 
	The anecdotal evidence is that the lack of a real break during that period from Rounds 9 to 17 had an effect on the performance of both sides. Now, only one of them has an outside chance of making the finals while the other limped out of contention with only one win in the last half of the season.
 
	Melbourne should win and it should win well but we do need to factor in its recent performances. The last three wins have been against teams above it on the ladder and in the top eight while the last three defeats were against teams placed below it at the time they met. They are flaky and regarded as unreliable which makes this a danger game even against an Essendon that has many players injured or out of form and confidence.
 
	The Demons will come into the game knowing where they stand vis a vis the Saints who play on Friday night but still have a second chance if overtaking them is out of the question. For the second option, they will have to wait until Sunday night. In the end, the permutations and combinations are meaningless if they don’t win and in that respect, they still hold most of the ace cards.
 
	Melbourne’s position would be even stronger if its midfield could take advantage of the ruck advantage it holds thanks to the skipper. Against the Giants, it was 45 to 20 in hit outs but that only translated into a slightly superior 36 to 32 clearances. From there, the Giants managed to get the ball inside their forward 50 arc an overwhelming 52 times against the Demons’ 39. One day the midfield will learn to win the ball consistently from the ruck duels and move it quickly and accurately to the forwards. If that happens, they will cause havoc as they did in 2018 when they stormed into the finals. In the meantime, they will continue to rely heavily on the backlines led by Steven May who is in All Australian form and well supported by a tight defence. On Saturday, that should be enough.
 
	Melbourne by 29 points.
 
	THE GAME
 
	Essendon v Melbourne at the Gabba Saturday, 19 September, 2020 at 2.10pm
 
	HEAD TO HEAD
 
	Overall Essendon 130 wins Melbourne 83 wins 2 draws  
	At the Gabba Essendon 0 wins Melbourne wins  
	The last five meetings Essendon 3 wins Melbourne 2 wins  
	The Coaches Worsfold 1 win Goodwin 2 wins
 
	MEDIA
 
	TV – Fox Footy Channel Live at 2.00pm
 
	RADIO - TBA
 
	THE LAST TIME THEY MET 
 
	Essendon 20.10.130 defeated Melbourne 18.4.112 at the MCG, Round 3, 2019
 
	The Bombers came out with all guns blazing but the accurate (for a change) Demons fired back in the second term to lead by seven points at the break. The high scoring shoot out continued but it was Essendon that took the initiative and ran out 18 point winners. The Demons’ best were Brayshaw, Gawn and Harmes (three goals). Hunt also booted three while Lockhart, Melksham and Weideman kicked two each.
 
	THE TEAMS
 
	ESSENDON
 
	FB Jordan Ridley Brandon Zerk-Thatcher Martin Gleeson 
	HB Devon Smith Michael Hurley Adam Saad 
	C Tom Cutler Zach Merrett Brayden Ham 
	HF Will Snelling James Stewart Matt Guelfi 
	FF Jake Stringer Joe Daniher Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti 
	FOL Sam Draper Dylan Shiel Darcy Parish 
	I/C Dylan Clarke Kyle Langford Jayden Laverde Mason Redman, 
	EMG Josh Begley Cale Hooker Kobe Mutch Andrew Phillips
 
	IN Michael Hurley Jayden Laverde 
	Mason Redman
 
	OUT Mitchell Hibberd (omitted) Andrew Phillips (omitted) Jacob Townsend (omitted)
 
	MELBOURNE
 
	FB Joel Smith Steven May Michael Hibberd 
	HB Trent Rivers Jake Lever Christian Salem 
	C Ed Langdon Christian Petracca Aaron vandenBerg 
	HF Jayden Hunt Sam Weideman Alex Neal-Bullen 
	FF Kysaiah Pickett Mitch Brown Charlie Spargo 
	FOL Max Gawn Jack Viney Clayton Oliver 
	I/C Oskar Baker Bayley Fritsch Jake Melksham Adam Tomlinson 
	EMG Mitch Hannan Luke Jackson Neville Jetta Tom Sparrow
 
	IN Michael Hibberd
 
	OUT Neville Jetta (omitted)
 
	Round 18: Injury List
 
	James Harmes (hamstring) — test 
	Michael Hibberd (ankle) — test 
	Luke Jackson (hamstring) —  test 
	Nathan Jones (quad)  —  1 week 
	Angus Brayshaw (foot) — season 
	James Jordon (finger) — season 
	Aaron Nietschke (knee) — season 
	Harry Petty (groin) — season 
	Kade Kolodjashnij (head) — indefinite