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Return Of The Juddi

Madness
in Melbourne Demons

Featured Replies

Posted

Winner

Carlton 1.30

Melbourne 8.00

Richmond 8.00

Essendon 10.00

Collingwood 14.00

Hawthorn 21.00

St Kilda 34.00

Kangaroos 67.00

Geelong 81.00

Western Bulldogs 101.00

LOL at Carltons odds...

  • Quote
    •  
    Winner

    Carlton 1.30

    Melbourne 8.00

    Richmond 8.00

    Essendon 10.00

    Collingwood 14.00

    Hawthorn 21.00

    St Kilda 34.00

    Kangaroos 67.00

    Geelong 81.00

    Western Bulldogs 101.00

    LOL at Carltons odds...

    i'd be hitting those odds

  • Quote

    Carlton are at good odds because they have the options to trade, but isnt it Judd's decision as to where he goes.

    Will he make his decision to benefit WC?

    Im staying well away from betting on this one...

  • Quote
    •  

    Carlton 1.30 LOL

    They should be paying 1000 to 1

    They have no shot at Judd

    At those odds, I am throwing a few hundred on the Demons

  • Quote
    Winner

    Carlton 1.30

    Melbourne 8.00

    Richmond 8.00

    Essendon 10.00

    Collingwood 14.00

    Hawthorn 21.00

    St Kilda 34.00

    Kangaroos 67.00

    Geelong 81.00

    Western Bulldogs 101.00

    LOL at Carltons odds...

    Where can I find this to bet on it? Tab? sportsbet?

  • Quote

    I'd put $100 on Essendon or Collingwood.

  • Quote
    Where can I find this to bet on it? Tab? sportsbet?

    www.sportsbet.com.au

    i've already had a flutter, $10 on us, $10 on the pies... will be quite happy if I only get $80 back, if i get $140 back I can use it to get drunk and drown my sorrows...

  • Quote
    www.sportsbet.com.au

    i've already had a flutter, $10 on us, $10 on the pies... will be quite happy if I only get $80 back, if i get $140 back I can use it to get drunk and drown my sorrows...

    You can do that anyway

  • Quote
    •  
    Winner

    Carlton 1.30

    Melbourne 8.00

    Richmond 8.00

    Essendon 10.00

    Collingwood 14.00

    Hawthorn 21.00

    St Kilda 34.00

    Kangaroos 67.00

    Geelong 81.00

    Western Bulldogs 101.00

    LOL at Carltons odds...

    This might be a tricky point for some people.

    However, interestingly if I was a West Coast Eagles man trying to maximise Chris Judds value no joke thats exactly the market I would want to see. Honestly, if we had lost him you would want him to go to the club that can give you the best deal and the club that is the "least" threat to you.

    IMHO the Eagles have know and feared this day was coming for 2 years, Judd himself admitted as much

    Think the Eagles are very smart.

  • Quote

    Now if Judd was a very smart man he would bet all of his money on Melbourne and then he could be traded for a very low salary to melbourne as he would make 8x his existing account fixing Judd's finacial temptations and Melbournes finicial problems!!

    It's Win-Win!!

    except for Judd later being arrested for gambling fraud or something and losing all his money but we still get Judd and thats the main point

  • Quote

    Now if Judd was a very smart man he would bet all of his money on Melbourne and then he could be traded for a very low salary to melbourne as he would make 8x his existing account fixing Judd's finacial temptations and Melbournes finicial problems!!

    It's Win-Win!!

    except for Judd later being arrested for gambling fraud or something and losing all his money but we still get Judd and thats the main point

    Haha, I was thinking about something along these lines as well. :lol:

  • Quote
    Carlton are at good odds because they have the options to trade, but isnt it Judd's decision as to where he goes.

    Will he make his decision to benefit WC?

    Im staying well away from betting on this one...

    Definitely framed around draft picks. Carltank being so short and Richmond on the same line as us. Toiges were not even in the "preferred four".

    I am contrary to you on betting RRR. I am going to put some on Juddy coming to MFC based on a gut feel. I think not enough weight is being given to his choice in the matter and WC will not be out to burn Chris Judd. He has been a good servant for them and a premiership captain.

  • Quote
    I am contrary to you on betting RRR. I am going to put some on Juddy coming to MFC based on a gut feel. I think not enough weight is being given to his choice in the matter and WC will not be out to burn Chris Judd. He has been a good servant for them and a premiership captain.

    that's exactly right... the odds have changed, mainly collingwood coming right in to $3.50... we've actually drifted out to $9...

    Carlton 1.38 Collingwood 3.50 Essendon 7.50 Melbourne 9.00 Richmond 11.00 Hawthorn 16.00 St Kilda 34.00 Kangaroos 67.00 Geelong 126.00 Western Bulldogs 151.00

  • Quote
    that's exactly right... the odds have changed, mainly collingwood coming right in to $3.50... we've actually drifted out to $9...

    Yip nearly every market the bookies frame Collingwood always firm its called volume of money from volume of supporters.

    Bookies prefer to call it "easy" money. Oh Yes just a quick other point market framed to 140% ... its times like this you wish you were a bookmaker.

    however, all that said and done a market framed to 140% + .... Means the bookies are saying "we have no idea who is going to win."

  • Quote

    This is getting better and better. I'm going to make a handsome profit, and we'll get Judd.

  • Quote

    Yip nearly every market the bookies frame Collingwood always firm its called volume of money from volume of supporters.

    Bookies prefer to call it "easy" money. Oh Yes just a quick other point market framed to 140% ... its times like this you wish you were a bookmaker.

    however, all that said and done a market framed to 140% + .... Means the bookies are saying "we have no idea who is going to win."

    does that mean if you bet right you cant lose? or that the bookies cant lose? lol

    where does the 140% come into it...?

  • Quote
    does that mean if you bet right you cant lose? or that the bookies cant lose? lol

    where does the 140% come into it...?

    if the books bet to a 100% they break even; so (ibso facto) the extra 40% is the their guarenteed profit margin

  • Quote
    does that mean if you bet right you cant lose? or that the bookies cant lose? lol

    where does the 140% come into it...?

    so if you know carlton are not in the hunt for sure!!!

    you cant lose if its between ,3 teams with coll. the least profit of $3.50( $10 yesterday ) then ess @$8 and melb@ $9.

  • Quote

    Chris Judd is $7.50 to go to the Demons on sporting Bet... Carlton are favourites at $1.45 followed by Collingwood at $3.75, Essendon at $5.50... The proffessional money not giving us much of a chance... $7.50 does look great value IMO... :blink::wacko:

  • Quote
    Chris Judd is $7.50 to go to the Demons on sporting Bet... Carlton are favourites at $1.45 followed by Collingwood at $3.75, Essendon at $5.50... The proffessional money not giving us much of a chance... $7.50 does look great value IMO... :blink::wacko:

    Well we've shortened anyway. I find it interesting that theres been such a move for Essendon, given that the only thing to come out of their camp would be seen as neutral at best (Lloyd putting his foot in it).

  • Quote

    Interestingly if you take the top 4 in the market ... which seems like the most logical choices.

    Carlton Collingwood Melbourne Essendon at current odds you still have a market framed to 118% ... which would be probably far closer to normal Saturday horse racing field.

    Bookies ... you can see why punters have no money!!!

  • Quote

    sorry, im relatively new to the betting thing. how are you coming up with the percentage numbers?

  • Quote
    sorry, im relatively new to the betting thing. how are you coming up with the percentage numbers?

    easy way without bothering to calculate Odds converter

    Carlton 1.50 = 66.66%

    Collingwood 3.5 = 28.57%

    Melbourne 7.0 = 14.29 %

    Essendon 9 = 9.00 %

    Then just add up

  • Quote
    •  

    so theoretically is you are paying 7$ you have a 14.29% chance f the betting is even, but you pay above the odds cause it all adds up to 140%. sorta like in roulette, how it all adds up nicely except for 00, which throws it in the favour of the dealer...

  • Quote

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