Just being bored I was thinking about our over all play in games and how many quarters we have won so far this year,so i put together a ladder on quarters won by everyone to see what the ladder would look like ... yes i am bored    so i gave 1 point for each Q won,none if the Q was drawn and 1 point if you won the game.

So before last nights game 48Q have been played we have won 30 and lost 18,we have won 7 games so that gives us 37 pts and % would be the same so the ladder would like this...

Ade    42 pts             compared to the real  ladder          Ade   36 pts

P.A     40                                                                         GWS  36 

GWS 39                                                                         Geel   32

Melb 37                                                                          P.A     28   

Geel 32                                                                         Melb   28

Ess  31                                                                         Rich    28

Rich 30                                                                        WC     28 

WC  30                                                                        Ess     24 

---------                                                                     -------------

Syd 29                                                                        WB    24

WB  28                                                                       StK    24

StK  27                                                                      Fre     24    

Coll 26                                                                      Syd    20

GC  26                                                                     Coll     20

Carl 26                                                                    GC     20

NM  24                                                                   Carl     20 

Fre 24                                                                    NM      16

Haw 24                                                                  Haw     16

Bris  17                                                                 Bris       8

Ok i think i will go and mow the lawn now ....

 

Happy mowing odm, but I reckon your formula has actually nailed the true order of teams this year. Love your work, get on to Gill! 

Edited June 23, 20178 yr by Webber
Wrong name

Too complicated for my poor ole brain!  But, I DID notice that if both Geelong and Port get rolled this weekend, and we win, we slot into THIRD spot on the ladder!  How cool would that be...?!!

The way things are this season, being somewhere on the ladder means nothing until things progress and open out a bit more, such that there is a game or two break on where we are.

It's also a good year to have a healthy percentage, which thankfully at the moment we have.

48 minutes ago, Rodney (Balls) Grinter said:

The way things are this season, being somewhere on the ladder means nothing until things progress and open out a bit more, such that there is a game or two break on where we are.

It's also a good year to have a healthy percentage, which thankfully at the moment we have.

That's the interesting thing.

Each week I think that a logical result will mean that is the end of that club's chance to make the 8 and then comes an illogical result that makes it possible.

I wrote Hawthorn off weeks ago but after last night they are still a low possibility. Swans .. who knows.

This time last year the 8 was set and it was only North have such a diabolical second half to the season that maintained any interest and even then that was only in the last few weeks.

Win against the Eagles and the Swans and we are up there big time. Lose both and we are very much back in the pack scrambling for the last position in the 8.

My head hurts too much to try but there must be some head to head games coming up that will go a long way to determining the mathematical probabilities of each team. For example North have a comparatively easy run home but lose against the Bulldogs you would have to say they are out. Perhaps the same could be said about the Swans against Essendon and with even greater certainty if we beat them the next week.

MFC v Adelaide in Darwin is shaping up as a potentially huge game should we string together wins over the next 3 weeks. Dare I say that it could be for a top 2 position and if not certainly for the top 4.

36 minutes ago, Diamond_Jim said:

That's the interesting thing.

Each week I think that a logical result will mean that is the end of that club's chance to make the 8 and then comes an illogical result that makes it possible.

I wrote Hawthorn off weeks ago but after last night they are still a low possibility. Swans .. who knows.

This time last year the 8 was set and it was only North have such a diabolical second half to the season that maintained any interest and even then that was only in the last few weeks.

Win against the Eagles and the Swans and we are up there big time. Lose both and we are very much back in the pack scrambling for the last position in the 8.

My head hurts too much to try but there must be some head to head games coming up that will go a long way to determining the mathematical probabilities of each team. For example North have a comparatively easy run home but lose against the Bulldogs you would have to say they are out. Perhaps the same could be said about the Swans against Essendon and with even greater certainty if we beat them the next week.

MFC v Adelaide in Darwin is shaping up as a potentially huge game should we string together wins over the next 3 weeks. Dare I say that it could be for a top 2 position and if not certainly for the top 4.

Following your example of Dogs defeating North probably ending it for North, I'd reckon there are three other games this round which, combined, pretty much end finals hopes for the four losers.

Essendon over Sydney

Port over Collingwood

Geelong over Fremantle

Richmond defeating Carlton would provide the formality of ending the Blues theoretical hopes. Buuuut Carlton's one virtuous tradition is making Richmond fans cry, so we'll wait and see.

And if those five games all go against the favourites, we're back in a ridiculous jam, with Collingwood, Sydney, Fremantle, Essendon and Cartlon all on six wins.

St Kilda slipping up against Gold Coast would put both of them on 6 wins, too.

Ha! In theory, we could have 10 teams sitting on 6 or 7 wins at the end of this round, with just 8 wins pushing a team into top 4, and 5 wins making you bottom 4.