Jump to content

Featured Replies

Ok im going early. Ace has drifted out to 15/1. Thats enough to make me think there is something up or they are just putting it in for a run. or they are setting it for the next race......Somebody may also want to take Kentamari .......

I am going with Merchant Navy in the Newmarket R6 Flemington. I like this horse, hes down in the weights good barrier, strike rate 7:5.0.1

Theres a lot of talent n the race, but $5.00 is pretty good and thereabouts for our best. Will need some luck and Redkirk is a big danger. Hopefully the weight might get him across the line.

 

 

Continuing my theme of looking for the class horse which is the best horse I'll go with 'Kementari' in the Randwick Guineas as my best bet. 

Found a few standouts at Morphettville & Ascot but they are just good horses in inferior fields.  We've got the 2 best bets so far so it's over to @Demon77 & @binman

Here are the 2 best bets so far ...

Flemington  Race 6  No.11  Merchant Navy (5.50)

Randwick  Race 7  No.3  Kementari  (2.90)

 

Australian Group & Listed Races

5 minutes ago, Macca said:

Continuing my theme of looking for the class horse which is the best horse I'll go with 'Kementari' in the Randwick Guineas as my best bet. 

Found a few standouts at Morphettville & Ascot but they are just good horses in inferior fields.  We've got the 2 best bets so far so it's over to @Demon77 & @binman

Here are the 2 best bets so far ...

Flemington  Race 6  No.11  Merchant Navy (5.50)

Randwick  Race 7  No.3  Kementari  (2.90)

 

Australian Group & Listed Races

Nice one Macca, love your work.... had a feeling as soon as i take out Ace High, that stands out a mile. (although Ace High the place is very tempting).....So does Gailo Chop actually. Weight for Age sniper ive been reading and at 3.00 its right up there.

Is it 5.50 now? Tab.....i was looking at Racenet.

Edited by Wadda We Sing

 
6 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Nice one Macca, love your work.... had a feeling as soon as i take out Ace High, that stands out a mile. (although Ace High the place is very tempting).....So does Gailo Chop actually. Weight for Age sniper ive been reading and at 3.00 its right up there.

Is it 5.50 now? Tab.....i was looking at Racenet.

You can get $6 for Merchant Navy at Ladbrokes (enhanced odds)

And I also like Gailo Chop in the Australian Cup Wadda whilst also being concerned with Redkirk Warrior and Brave Smash in the Newmarket but ... Merchant Navy (52kgs) has only ever carried 55.5kgs up to 58kgs.  

1 minute ago, Macca said:

You can get $6 for Merchant Navy at Ladbrokes (enhanced odds)

And I also like Gailo Chop in the Australian Cup Wadda whilst also being concerned with Redkirk Warrior and Brave Smash in the Newmarket but ... Merchant Navy (52kgs) has only ever carried 55.5kgs up to 58kgs.  

Oh nice homework there...didnt realize that...Steamboat Special then!

 


15.95 for those 2 also.

Whats Ace High paying the place Macca?

 

Edited by Wadda We Sing

2 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

15.95 for those 2 also.

With the other 2 best bets to come I will be doing the 4 trebles ... we're due for at least 3 of the 4 to get up.  Just a small outlay on each but the combined odds will be a lot better this week. 

1 minute ago, Macca said:

With the other 2 best bets to come I will be doing the 4 trebles ... we're due for at least 3 of the 4 to get up.  Just a small outlay on each but the combined odds will be a lot better this week. 

Spot on....i like those 2 into Gailo Chop as well.....takes it out to close to 48/1. Seriously good odds for those 3.

 
23 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Spot on....i like those 2 into Gailo Chop as well.....takes it out to close to 48/1. Seriously good odds for those 3.

Yep ... with the odds booster I just got 47-1 for the 3 saluting.  As you said Wadda,  that is excellent combined odds for 3 very classy racehorses. 


Sorry fellas on a quick break. I like Merchant Navy a lot but I’m glad @Wadda We Sing picked it because I can count my winners down the straight over the years on the one hand.

Im having trouble so far but plenty of time left to find a “spesssshallll”.?

7 minutes ago, Demon77 said:

Sorry fellas on a quick break. I like Merchant Navy a lot but I’m glad @Wadda We Sing picked it because I can count my winners down the straight over the years on the one hand.

Im having trouble so far but plenty of time left to find a “spesssshallll”.?

Its not easy this week. Plenty of good horses in every race......more of a pick and hope week i reckon.

19 hours ago, Demon77 said:

I browsed through Sydney and Melbourne and there’s definitely some great value on offer.

Ace High seems to be getting the wobbles in the markets. Out to $14 as of tonight. He’s drawn well and could easily find himself in the first few on the fence. Show A Star (Race 9 Syd) has drawn poorly again and although the $8 is tempting it’s best to wait on him at this stage. Some real shorties going around in the sprint races in Sydney.

At this early stage Shillelagh (R7 Flemington) looks a good bet at $4.20.

Edit: Brave Smash back in distance.....hmmm? Craig Williams suggested this according to a news story I came across a few days ago.

'Show a Star is also entered in the 200k Canberra Cup on Sunday ... currently showing 4.60. 

In fact,  there are a few horses entered for both Randwick & Canberra.  The Black Opal Stakes for 2yo's is now worth 300k as compared to the 2 Randwick races for 2yo's which are both also worth 300k. 

Edited by Macca

I was torn between two runners for “Best”.

Shillelagh and Gailo Chop.

Best Bet: Flemington Race 8 No.4 Gailo Chop.

Odds: $3.00

Shillelagh is the highest rated horse in her race and her form reads better than it shows. Samovare (favourite) worried me out of it.

Went with the Chop as he has been earmarked for this all along and you can’t fault him at the moment. I go back to a Caulfield review of a few weeks ago when the experts stated he would be extremely hard to beat in the Australian Cup.

 I noticed he’s drifted a tad to the $3 mark as Almandin has come in from $6 to $5.50 in the last 24 hours.

Enjoyable viewing coming up on Saturday and go the Dees!!

Edited by Demon77

Some feedback from my Santos mate. There was a very strong head wind last week at Randwick and Santos faced the brunt of it during the run. It was a very tough and gutsy win as the horse looked like he might get swamped with about 100-200m to go.


43 minutes ago, Demon77 said:

Some feedback from my Santos mate. There was a very strong head wind last week at Randwick and Santos faced the brunt of it during the run. It was a very tough and gutsy win as the horse looked like he might get swamped with about 100-200m to go.

Really...thats interesting...he did seem to struggle...

46 minutes ago, Demon77 said:

Some feedback from my Santos mate. There was a very strong head wind last week at Randwick and Santos faced the brunt of it during the run. It was a very tough and gutsy win as the horse looked like he might get swamped with about 100-200m to go.

Top pick D77.......Chop Chop......Ok so that makes 3 runners at odds of around 47/1...again i will get on early as they could come in....

They will all run.

 

Edited by Wadda We Sing

1 minute ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Really...thats interesting...he did seem to struggle...

Yeah, he had no cover for most of the race, hence connections being ecstatic with the win. 

I thought Caulfield was the only track where the wind causes chaos.

6 minutes ago, Demon77 said:

Yeah, he had no cover for most of the race, hence connections being ecstatic with the win. 

I thought Caulfield was the only track where the wind causes chaos.

Well maybe he is a good thing for the Slipper?..........just got to be careful with the hype tho..odds are good, so you can back a few....still 11s?

 

8 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Top pick D77.......Chop Chop......Ok so that makes 3 runners at odds of around 47/1...again i will get on early as they could come in....

They will all run.

 

It’d be nice to get this one home. Since you have given us the Newmarket winner I’ve decided on Merchant Navy/Brave Smash quinella/exacta.?


Just now, Demon77 said:

It’d be nice to get this one home. Since you have given us the Newmarket winner I’ve decided on Merchant Navy/Brave Smash quinella/exacta.?

yeah it looks alright.......I might go Gailo Chop Almandin in your honor D77.

3 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Well maybe he is a good thing for the Slipper?..........just got to be careful with the hype tho..odds are good, so you can back a few....still 11s?

 

Well....you’ve said it before. Any Gai runner is a chance, like on here, my mate knows there are some very talented sprinters in the race.

Yeah, $11W $3.50P currently.( TAB)

5 minutes ago, Demon77 said:

Well....you’ve said it before. Any Gai runner is a chance, like on here, my mate knows there are some very talented sprinters in the race.

Yeah, $11W $3.50P currently.( TAB)

Really good value for a horse like that.......whats the max runners you can take in  TAB multi>? i think its 5?

Edited by Wadda We Sing

 
6 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Really good value for a horse like that.......whats the max runners you can take in  TAB multi>? i think its 5?

Terrific value at $11 but you’d have to go back to 2009 for a horse (Phelan Ready) at double figure odds winning the Slipper. 

That’s a good question, I’m not sure the number of legs permitted for a horse multi. I’ve only tried a max of 4.

2 minutes ago, Demon77 said:

Terrific value at $11 but you’d have to go back to 2009 for a horse (Phelan Ready) at double figure odds winning the Slipper. 

That’s a good question, I’m not sure the number of legs permitted for a horse multi. I’ve only tried a max of 4.

pretty sure its 5........its wide open this year tho.


Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

Featured Content

  • PREVIEW: Gold Coast

    The Gold Coast Suns find themselves outside of the top eight for the first time since Round 1 with pressure is mounting on the entire organisation. Their coach Damien Hardwick expressed his frustration at his team’s condition last week by making a middle-finger gesture on television that earned him a fine for his troubles. He showed his desperation by claiming that Fox should pick up the tab.  There’s little doubt the Suns have shown improvement in 2025, and their position on the ladder is influenced to some extent by having played fewer games than their rivals for a playoff role at the end of the season, courtesy of the disruption caused by Cyclone Alfred in March.  However, they are following the same trajectory that hindered the club in past years whenever they appeared to be nearing their potential. As a consequence, that Hardwick gesture should be considered as more than a mere behavioral lapse. It’s a distress signal that does not bode well for the Queenslanders. While the Suns are eager to remain in contention with the top eight, Melbourne faces its own crisis, which is similarly deep-seated but in a much different way. After recovering from a disappointing start to the season and nearing a return to respectability among its peer clubs, the Demons have experienced a decline in status, driven by the fact that while their form has been reasonable (see their performance against the ladder leader in the Kings Birthday match), their conversion in front of goal is poor enough to rank last in the competition. Furthermore, their opponents find them exceptionally easy to score against. As a result, they have effectively eliminated themselves from the finals race and are again positioned to finish in the bottom half of the ladder.

      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 4 replies
  • NON-MFC: Round 15

    As the Demons head into their Bye Round, it's time to turn our attention to the other matches being played. Which teams are you tipping this week? And which results would be most favourable for the Demons if we can manage to turn our season around? Follow all the non-Melbourne games here and join the conversation as the ladder continues to take shape.

      • Like
    • 280 replies
  • REPORT: Port Adelaide

    Of course, it’s not the backline, you might argue and you would probably be right. It’s the boot studder (do they still have them?), the midfield, the recruiting staff, the forward line, the kicking coach, the Board, the interchange bench, the supporters, the folk at Casey, the head coach and the club psychologist  It’s all of them and all of us for having expectations that were sufficiently high to have believed three weeks ago that a restoration of the Melbourne team to a position where we might still be in contention for a finals berth when the time for the midseason bye arrived. Now let’s look at what happened over the period of time since Melbourne overwhelmed the Sydney Swans at the MCG in late May when it kicked 8.2 to 5.3 in the final quarter (and that was after scoring 3.8 to two straight goals in the second term). 

      • Clap
      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 3 replies
  • CASEY: Essendon

    Casey’s unbeaten run was extended for at least another fortnight after the Demons overran a persistent Essendon line up by 29 points at ETU Stadium in Port Melbourne last night. After conceding the first goal of the evening, Casey went on a scoring spree from about ten minutes in, with five unanswered majors with its fleet of midsized runners headed by the much improved Paddy Cross who kicked two in quick succession and livewire Ricky Mentha who also kicked an early goal. Leading the charge was recruit of the year, Riley Bonner while Bailey Laurie continued his impressive vein of form. With Tom Campbell missing from the lineup, Will Verrall stepped up to the plate demonstrating his improvement under the veteran ruckman’s tutelage. The Demons were looking comfortable for much of the second quarter and held a 25-point lead until the Bombers struck back with two goals in the shadows of half time. On the other side of the main break their revival continued with first three goals of the half. Harry Sharp, who had been quiet scrambled in the Demons’ first score of the third term to bring the margin back to a single point at the 17 minute mark and the game became an arm-wrestle for the remainder of the quarter and into the final moments of the last.

      • Clap
    • 0 replies
  • PREGAME: Gold Coast

    The Demons have the Bye next week but then are on the road once again when they come up against the Gold Coast Suns on the Gold Coast in what could be a last ditch effort to salvage their season. Who comes in and who comes out?

      • Thanks
    • 294 replies
  • PODCAST: Port Adelaide

    The Demonland Podcast will air LIVE on Monday, 16th June @ 8:00pm. Join Binman, George & I as we dissect the Dees disappointing loss to the Power.
    Your questions and comments are a huge part of our podcast so please post anything you want to ask or say below and we'll give you a shout out on the show.
    Listen LIVE: https://demonland.com/

      • Thanks
    • 33 replies