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Tolstoys Nudge

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  1. Sorry boys I know it’s too late but I can’t resist asking if you’re now onboard with my thoughts re pulling trigger late vs Lions and the power of it — do you now see it? Do you now blv? Loved Hoyne (who’s the best in business) also agreeing Lions played some of best footy seen Ala kicking in that Qtr 2-3 being supported statistically & we just had to ride through it. Proud of our coaching group, let’s hope it’s wasn’t pulled too early, the Petty move is one I’ve always been HUGE on & couldn’t be happier to see come to fruition, it’s been staring us in face since Lions game last year, and it’s been clear as day it’s what we needed with HP hands & movement, it not only makes him dangerous but brings our smalls in and most of all his VOICE & Comms is essential and when Fritta comes back boy are we gonna be dangerous. They made the necessary adjustments & Grundy was a HIGE call no matter how you slice it, took BALLS of steel and it’s not necessarily over for him but it is now a 4-1 shot he returns in the scheme of it but things change often & thus it’s not mute by any stretch & I expect him to give Max a rest soon & then maybe be a potential decoy/double bluff option come finals where big bodies with skill MATTER & as a resting big Taking 4th defender for 2-3m a qtr, my WORD he could be handy & that’s how it was meant to work Ala preseason, it personnel changed & meant resting ruck was taking 2nd/3rd best defender instead, entirely diff proposition. Final thought on that — Grundy coming back when Fritta does so he’s resting as 4th tall is now 💯 on, even if 4-1 it’s 4-1 each week for 8wks meaning it’s likely at some stage remember that!!! But the real masterstroke is having a FRESH Max thanks to Brodie being there (never forget that should he not ever play again this year, but he will play next year this is Max’s swan song if he plays solo ruck, he WONT be doing it next year no way in hell) and a fresh CLARRY thanks to circumstance and mgmt! Our balk movement was 💯 put away post r4/5 & was always coming back — strap in fellas it’s gonna be a much tighter ride than 2021 but as a result the potential reward will mean it might feel even better (cus in shootouts, we’re not gonna see blowouts, we’re gonna need to come from behind a lot & have others come to us Ala crows but we might just end up 1-16pts in front & that’s the key. Suddenly ppl outside of Demonland realise Max is so far the best player and immovable object in comp it’s not even close let alone best Ruck, but they have forgotten that a fit Clarry might just be his equal! CANNOT wait — love your work this podcast is building and mainstream media muppets are just starting to cotton on despite what we have to still come back, so pumped!
  2. Edited post for Andy: (Final, pls ignore prev post, I’d delete it if I could but work meant I had to stop & start edit which made it almost unreadable 😞) I just wanted to say my bit to align to Binman’s 2023 rhetoric — which is spot-on!!! Boy, I’m so charged to have a coaching panel that’s being SMARTER in 2023 & fooling the moronic, forcibly vitriolic & reactive mainstream-media-bots w/their mediocrity & reactive mentality into having zero idea as to what MFC are building, not to mention the fact Clarry is gonna be cherry-ripe, that Selwyn has the boys super fit & more-dangerously the point — has them believing in that Aerobic excellence to the point where we sense we can beat anyone if in the game in last qtr!!! Buckley even tried to back over his verbal-faecal-matter LW saying for large part of the game he was right about MFC “fighting to make finals” despite us only being a victim to brilliance + some of the best kicking i’ve seen in 35+ years of footy! We rode it out & came home with confidence, belief & as Binman & I concur — this innate belief throughout the coaching & playing group is coming to the fore now, despite not having 2 of our absolute best & adroit players. That’s what concession can do (expected score has us +26 to expected btw) So I’m interested in each of you opening up on how you sre taking that last 12m & if you see it being let-loose now or kept in the tool-kit? I think we brought it out earlier than we’d of liked but wow, what a show! DON’T SLEEP on fact we missed 4 PRIME opportunities earlier in qtr (Brown missed mark in square, Max miss early in qtr, Nibs miss, Roo chance at end of qtr & more) & the ONLY Lions goal was from a wrongly adjudicated free. All this against a team in-form, firing & playing their best footy (that won’t stand up in finals, as it needs to be too perfect to come thru). It’ll be intriguing to see if SG locks away this beast-mode or will he now back us to maintain it for 6wks & Finals? My thought is that it’s prob still too early to let cat out of bag, as teams can study it & try to combat it & show other teams a “how-to” guide, risky! Will we go back to 80% beast-mode & only break-glass if needed? May still a worry, back 100% worrying him & fwd-line for me still needs to be worked out (FWIW: Grundy will play 35% Ruck & rest fwd/bench 60/40 — alongside a fwd line of the following: BBB (the vacuum), JVR, Fritta, Melk, Kossie, Nibbs & Trac that’s the fwd line, (yes it’s 8 players as that’s how fwd/bk teams work in modern footy folks due to rotations (bench) & rotations (rotate on-field) before I get apoplectic induced nibbles from tribe) only other combo is Tommo in & Petty fwd, but that’s in-shed atm! Keep up the great work. PS The Grundy narrative is just so moronic & delivered with false temerity that I’m at a loss to even begin to challenge it such is the lunacy & lack of common sense in some of the commentary. Grundy is NOT going anywhere, he WILL play Finals & the last 2-3 H&A games as it’s all sort of the bigger picture folks & shows the hegemony of our Club. Lastly, love to know if you felt THAT coming as I did, ie you were seeing Brisbane’s fear with them locking thing a up & seemingly worried bout our firepwr & fitness knowing they couldn’t keep playing that perfect OR if — like I would of been 4y ago — were you tossing out bubs with its dirty bath water? @binman How much SHOULD SG let the boys go now Ala prev yrs or does he cont to hold back until its too short a time period for clubs to react & makes it less weeks we have to keep the momentum up? I’m sure you’ll unpack what this beast-mode looked like but to see our normal DNA in there, w/just those small —yet beautiful & largely unseen prior to now —adjustments of: creating more space in the hit-zone (where we either mark or create stoppage) w/some late, smartly held leading patterns that don’t rely on blocks ergo aren’t obvious, added urgency on Ball-carrier to be on move (w/run by bball, Shepard for man coming to contest w/speed etc that’s clearly instructed to BURST once they control loose-ball, break-lines thru halfway to d50 & look for 15-20m hit up thats designed to get deeper entry @speed etc etc — This Is what I’ve been waiting for & we got it in spades. That stuff isn’t instinct, it’s practiced & it verifies loads of pre-season focus, that’s the exciting part —- it means it’s been clearly HELD-BACK!!! Clubs need a LOT of luck to win a flag folks so it’s no guarantee… But boy, we’re loaded & ready to explode you can take that to the bank whilst picturing a non-niggle-laden Clarry (which really we’ve never seen before with the power he has now as he’s been banged up for 3 years), absolutely flying R20 onward 🔥🔥🔥 This is a special group guys, so strap in!!! Yes I’m super-positive, an antidote to Andy’s MFCSS, but like Binman - it’s for a reason.. The closer I look at data the more I #believeinthedees 2023 Campaign & relish the strategy behind it. Yet not one media-bot outside Kornes (who’d of thought) & likely Hoyne will see it for what it is.. a scary scary proposition to handle! Mainstream media: Instead, somehow they all jump on the cats. Which I’m certain Mr Poker-Face himself, Goody — is all the more happy with!!!
  3. I’ll edit out anything repeated from My post to make your life easier, how’s that? (Which I’ve now done)
  4. If you wanna work em in, go for — I just didn’t wanna create too much work for you mate! Some new content so both may have a place (re moving fwd & team structure yep. Repeat is more in the vibe than the content I think but I trust you implicitly & this defer 😎
  5. Sorry Andy, I’m fired up this morning & made a meal of the vmail service — 2m thing really threw — might be too late to work into the pod but I just wanted to say my bit to align to Binman’s 2023 rhetoric — which is spot-on!!! Boy, how excited I am to have a coaching panel that’s being SMARTER in 2023 & fooling the moronic, forcibly vitriolic & reactive mainstream-media-bots w/their mediocrity & reactive mentality into having zero idea as to what MFC are building, not to mention the fact Clarry is gonna be cherry-ripe, that Slewyn has the boys super fit & more-dangerously the point — has them believing in that Aerobic excellence to the point where we sense we can beat anyone if in the game in last qtr!!! Buckley even tried to back over his verbal-faecal-matter LW saying for large part of the game he was right about MFC “fighting to make finals” despite us only being a victim to brilliance + some of the best kicking i’ve seen in 35+ years of footy! We rode it out & came home with confidence, belief & as Binman & I concur — this innate belief throughout the coaching & playing group is coming to the fore now, despite not having 2 of our absolute best & adroit players. That’s what concession can do (expected score has us +26 to expected btw) So I’m interested in each of you opening up on how you sre taking that last 12m & if you see it being let-loose now or kept in the tool-kit? I think we brought it out earlier than we’d of liked but wow, what a show! DON’T SLEEP on fact we missed 4 PRIME opportunities earlier in qtr (Brown missed mark in square, Max miss early in qtr, Nibs miss, Roo chance at end of qtr & more) & the ONLY Lions goal was from a wrongly adjudicated free. All this against a team in-form, firing & playing their best footy (that won’t stand up in finals, as it needs to be too perfect to come thru). It’ll be intriguing to see if SG locks away this beast-mode or will he now back us to maintain it for 6wks & Finals? My thought is that it’s prob still too early to let cat out of bag, as teams can study it & try to combat it & show other teams a “how-to” guide, risky! Will we go back to 80% beast-mode & only break-glass if needed? May still a worry, back 100% worrying him & fwd-line for me still needs to be worked out (FWIW: Grundy will play 35% Ruck & rest fwd/bench 60/40 — alongside a fwd line of the following: BBB (the vacuum), JVR, Fritta, Melk, Kossie, Nibbs & Trac that’s the fwd line, (yes it’s 8 players as that’s how fwd/bk teams work in modern footy folks due to rotations (bench) & rotations (rotate on-field) before I get apoplectic induced nibbles from tribe) only other combo is Tommo in & Petty fwd, but that’s in-shed atm! Keep up the great work. PS The Grundy narrative is just so moronic & delivered with false temerity that I’m at a loss to even begin to challenge it such is the lunacy & lack of common sense in some of the commentary. Grundy is NOT going anywhere, he WILL play Finals & the last 2-3 H&A games as it’s all sort of the bigger picture folks & shows the hegemony of our Club. Lastly, love to know if you felt THAT coming as I did, ie you were seeing Brisbane’s fear with them locking thing a up & seemingly worried bout our firepwr & fitness knowing they couldn’t keep playing that perfect OR if — like I would of been 4y ago — were you tossing out bubs with its dirty bath water? @binman How much SHOULD SG let the boys go now Ala prev yrs or does he cont to hold back until its too short a time period for clubs to react & makes it less weeks we have to keep the momentum up? Clubs need a LOT of luck to win a flag folks so it’s no guarantee… But boy, we’re loaded & ready to explode you can take that to the bank whilst picturing a non-niggle-laden Clarry (which really we’ve never seen before with the power he has now as he’s been banged up for 3 years), absolutely flying R20 onward 🔥🔥🔥 This is a special group folks, strap in!!! Yes I’m super-positive, an antidote to Andy’s MFCSS, but like Binman - it’s for a reason.. The closer I look at data the more I #believeinthedees 2023 Campaign & relish the strategy behind it. YET not one media person outside Kornes (who’d of thought) & likely Hoyne will see it for what it is.. a scary scary proposition to handle! Mainstream media: Instead, somehow they all jump on the cats. Which I’m certain Mr Poker-Face himself, Goody — is all the more happy with!!!
  6. Easily the victim of the night as for me it was the absolute most quintessential Jack goal of AT, pure grit & determination with poise to finish — match winner 💯
  7. 6. Gawn 5. Petracca 4. Brayshaw 3. Rivers 2. Milkshake 1. Mcvee
  8. Def should he tried as it’s only time he’s looked dangerous in 6wks — But Spargo also out of sorts for mine I’d prefer Howes, Chandler or AMW atm (Woey can play up ground)!
  9. For me it’s gotta be: In: Tomlinson Out: Spargo Petty Fwd. makes no sense why this hasn’t happened — best we’ve looked is when he’s up there & is a nice foil for BBB. Pickett has 1-2 more weeks to lift or AMW/Chandler comes in For mine just to help him light-up a bit.
  10. Everyone does seem to be forgetting that expected score had us winning by 37!!! Fwd issues re entry are real but if we fix that even by 10-15% and kick anywhere else expected score these 2 things combined will have an absolutely ENORMOUS impact and perfect conditions @ Marvel is 💯 the place to start to see that begin to come to fruition! I think the wet weather exacerbated the whole thing our last dry game we beat the unbeatable Collingwood minus our best player! Just let that percolate for a sec. Yes there’s issues but blv Me it is FAR BETTER to have fixable issues than personnel or major gameplan issues both of which require an off-season and preseason to correct. I’m livid right now but I’m also aware it can all change very very quickly and I think losing Fritta might actually help our balance a little whilst we work through this period.
  11. I thought BBB looked good, esp given conditions! Expect 3-4 this week
  12. Again, reference the Hoyne sports day comparison that clearly suggests otherwise! The data says we’re playing the same for same time of year & that we just need to connect and convert better Ala 2021 r13-19 then r20-GF — we’re in thick of it on all key metrics and UNLIKE LY we’re gonna have a well rested group not carrying major injuries (at this stage) inc a rested Oliver & Gawn!!!
  13. The Hoyne video posted re 2021/2023 demons comparison says it ALL — Were doing fine and will hopefully flick the switch
  14. 2nd rounders might be required for PK1 if not then yeah sure it’s still a chance
  15. Henry might’ve just priced himself out of red and blue — was close to done deal some say but now.. price might be too high (trade price) let’s hope he drops off again…
  16. Depends on numerous things but read my prev posts bud
  17. The more I think about it the more we may be getting annihalated by loading! Bye didn’t help but last qtr vs cats was more about silky handballs that turned to direct turnover goals to cats it’s that simple! Viney is ok, just a stinger. Clarry looking ok now fingers crossed! Petty working back, May 💯 has a back injury it’s just his it is and weeks out won’t help apparently. Loading hard for finals may be the difference this year if it’s been as hard as reported so let’s be thankful we can now gather some momentum being in BBB to help create a mismatch with resting tuck instead of seeing them labour and be nothing but poor defensively and get some fwd cohesion — remember it’s the wet that’s killed us, that and poor goal kicking in Freo game. So we’re on track! ANB genuinely under pressure now given the turnovers and others issues he’s having atm, this week I think we might even see Woey depending if Clarry is fit. Brown, Clarry and Bowser the ins with Woey a chance if Hibbs needs a rest or if Clarry doesn’t come up.
  18. It’s got to be BBB time now — that’s the movement and run we needed to see! So despite me wanting Petty fwd, seems it won’t happen unless Smith plays small, which isn’t impossible but BBB, JVR, Fritta has a MUCH nicer look and would worry ANY defence o don’t care what anyone says! Cats game a write-off for me in those conditions it’s always a slogfest & Cats got lucky with us being too cute i50 — Dry conditions that fwd setup would be great to see! If we go Petty over Smith or BBB then Disco/Tommo play for Petty spot down-back. MY CHANGES: *If Petty stays back (which I doubt) IN: BBB, Bowey, Clarry OUT: Jordon, Chandler, Spaz (sad but who else?!?!) *If Petty returns fwd IN: Bowey, BBB OUT: Jordon, Chandler/JVR (IF JVR rested, if not which I’d prefer, just to see JVR/BROWN/PETTY/FRITTA combo I’d drop Chandler, Fritta/Koss/Nibbs enough smalls as Smith is also capable playing small) THIS is the fwd setup I’m bloody DYING to see and BBB showed his run this week for first time this year to cover ground doing exactly what they want him to do. His Di is hung much needed and we’d have 4/5 lethal finishers as well, Koss deep with Smith HHF & Nibs slightly deeper at times since BBB can get up ground, Brayshaw to play HHF at times)
  19. One is my profile pic — SO good but cut down by injury others: Ingersole, Obst, Moo, Walsh, Whelan
  20. Fair enough but personally I rkn our back 10 is cohesive irrespective of Gameday combo! issues is a bit rich too if I’m honest — ESS got hot & pressure lacking up field meant they got good looks at it and we lost Lever pre game whom has a solid 1/1 def % and would’ve crunched a HEAP of those long balls
  21. It actually puts them behind schedule due to the total km difference and lower intensity of VFL footy
  22. Who says he isn’t match-fit? No WAY he’d be playing if he wasn’t bit only match fit but loaded at same level of all others in his position. Ergo Clarry decision — hospital visit mean the isn’t loaded enough and shows the maturity of the coaching group and ensures come finals our team win the full of u overcooked-under rested meat!!!
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