Everything posted by binman
- Game plans, tactics and all that jazz
- Stats File - 2025 edition
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POSTGAME: Rd 11 vs Sydney
Yep. And he has a couple if attributes Tmac doesn't, or at least not to the same level - genuine speed and excellent lateral movement. I'm loving how goodTurner is running back with the flight of the ball.
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We're Not Dead Yet - The 2025 Season
Fans wants us to run out games, and when well up keep piling on the goals. Which is faire enough, we all love the sugar hit of goals. But if the aim was to increase our percentage then the best way to achieve that goal would have been to park the bus, suck time out of the clock, deny them scoring opportunities and not worry about scoring ourseves. Thats to say NOT allow the game to become the shoot out It became. But no fans want that.
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POSTGAME: Rd 11 vs Sydney
I save it for special wins only. The last two victories pass the bar easily.
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PREGAME: Rd 12 vs St. Kilda
I was at the game so haven't seen any vision, but live it looked like an issue with his foot or ankle. He took off and ran pretty hard for 50-60 metres, which surely would be unlikely if it was a knee injury. At least I hope so.
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POSTGAME: Rd 11 vs Sydney
Spargs passed the HIA test apparently.
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POSTGAME: Rd 11 vs Sydney
Great call on petty. I sat with a mate and his son in the forward pocket at the punt road end, one row back from the fence. That's the first time I've sat on the fence at an AFL gamec in so long i cant even remember the last time- maybe the 1981 grand final. So for half the match I had a close up view of petts. His work rate and physicality against McCartin was unbelievable. McCartin is a beast, must have 10kg on petts, but petts didn't give him an inch. So important, one to deny intercept marks and two get tge ball to ground for koz and the gang.
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POSTGAME: Rd 11 vs Sydney
I love him so much. Great game. Guts and Determination. His season high tackle count is 9. He had 8 at half time (7 in the first quarter!), and 12 at the end.
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POSTGAME: Rd 11 vs Sydney
Sometimes when a team is poor it's mote about how well their opponent plays, and how effectively the oppo takes away their strengths and exploits their weaknesses. Today was one such example.
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POSTGAME: Rd 11 vs Sydney
- GAMEDAY: Rd 11 vs Sydney
Really? Blimey, must be a small crowd. Thanks for the heads up.- GAMEDAY: Rd 11 vs Sydney
Can anyone there confirm if the top of the ponsford open?- GAMEDAY: Rd 11 vs Sydney
I suspect we'll shorten and start equal favourites at 1.85.- GAMEDAY: Rd 11 vs Sydney
I don't bet on the dees but if I did I would back us for a win today based on my assessment we are overs at 2.00. Objectively we should be favourite - I'd peg us at 1.75 to win. Playing on our home deck and our opponents have to travel We have close to our best 22 team and our opponents are missing at least 5-6 of their best 22 They are missing tall forwards which creates a structural problem for them Last year, at their best, they were one of the best transition teams going with a method we struggled to negate - this year they are below mid table for transition and are relying on winning contest and territory, which is our one wood We have won 4 of our last 5 games The Swas have lost 3 of their last 5 games We are coming off a win against the premiership on their home deck, with, in horse racing parlance, the lions franking that form last night (also helping my punting bank) The Swans, at home against a travelleing team, struggled to get past the blues, who do anything but frank the form getting smashed at home by the giants Note: that doesn't in of itself mean I think we'll win. Just means I think a dees victory is the most probable outcome hence 2.00 is good value. BUT I do think we'll win. If we kick straight I'm predicting a 32 point victory- What are they saying at Moore Park?
I was in Perth too. Horrible crowd. Horrible day.- CASEY: Rd 09 vs Northern Bullants
100% agree. That's why you send best 22 players back to the magoos. Get some confidence back and get back to basic. And for jvr that's about clunking his marks leading out hard. Tick. Tick- CASEY: Rd 09 vs Northern Bullants
Jeffo another good tackle inside 50 and he kicks 5. Good signs.- CASEY: Rd 09 vs Northern Bullants
Jeffo great tackle inside 50. Kicks his 4th goal. Good signs.- VIVE LA DIFFÉRENCE by The Oracle
Calm down? All I said was bollocks, hardly an example of getting wound up or a furious repudiation of your opinion. Jesus. Thin skin much.- CASEY: Rd 09 vs Northern Bullants
Kolt"s energy, effort and body language much, much better than last week. Good signs.- CASEY: Rd 09 vs Northern Bullants
Sestan on fire.- CASEY: Rd 09 vs Northern Bullants
Great one grab contested mark by jeffo. Goes back and nails it. By the came after a nice intercept mark by sestan followed up by another neat short kick that hit its target. JVR also has clunked a couple of strong marks. Great signs- CASEY: Rd 09 vs Northern Bullants
Laurie kicks a goal on the back of two sestan 30 metre kicks in the scoring chain that hit their target. Easy kicks yes, but they are exactly the kicks that need to be hit 90% of the time but that we struggle with. I reckon sestan is not far away from breaking into the seniors.- We're Not Dead Yet - The 2025 Season
Great post EO. It highlights a critiical element of modern coaches' philosophy, particularly goody's - a huge emphasis on percentages and probability. That's to say say strategies informed by the probability of them increasing scoring (or decreaing oppo scoring). A great example is the shift in the NBA to taking massive numbers of 3 point shots. That tactical shift, one many people really hate, is a direct result of the data showing that even though a higher percentage of shots get missed than 2 point shots, there is statistical advantage to take more 3 point shots In terms of scoring. That's to say teams score more taking a higher volume of lower percentage shots. Goody won a flag playing the percentages - namely a higher volume of inside 50s and winning territory. There was a tactical response from other team which has changed the percentages and we've had to adjust our method as a result. - GAMEDAY: Rd 11 vs Sydney