WheeloRatings

Ah, but how do you define/measure "bad kicking"? Teams will always miss some shots at goal - at what point do you say it was bad kicking? It's not about celebrating an expected score win, it's about understanding where/how you lost the game. Expected scores helps to differentiate whether you were getting good shots on goal but not executing, or you weren't getting enough good shots at goal. I would hope the post-game analysis by coaching staff is more in depth than "we lost, let's not do that next time".

It's clearly not a meaningless or bad stat if the clubs put a lot of stock in it. Can you say that a team should have won a match because they won on expected scores by a small margin? No, you can't. So articles like the above from Fox Sports don't really help with interpretation of expected scores. Goalkicking is not entirely about "who performs under pressure" - there's an element of that, but there is also an element of luck with goalkicking. Regardless, expected scores provide two very useful and insightful metrics (even completely ignoring the "who should have won" perspective). Average expected score per shot This metric is a measure of average shot difficulty. Melbourne supporters bemoan Melbourne's strategy of kicking it to the pocket because it leads to more difficult shots. This metrics quantifies this. Melbourne rank 18th for average shot difficulty in 2024 (16th last year) and 18th for set shots only (17th last year). Average difference between actual and expected score per shot This metric is a measure of goalkicking accuracy, and much better than raw accuracy (goals divided by shots). People already look at the final tally of goals and behinds and draw conclusions such as a team should have won by more or were lucky to win. Two recent examples are: - Essendon defeating West Coast 11.11 to 11.5 - Adelaide defeating Carlton 16.4 to 14.14 On the surface, you assume West Coast were lucky to get as close thanks to their accurate kicking and you assume Adelaide was very lucky to win thanks to their apparent ridiculously accurate kicking. - West Coast had 24 shots to 23 and won expected scores 89.9 to 80.7. - Adelaide had 25 shots to 26 (despite it being 20 "scores" to 28) and only lost expected scores 92.8 to 95.8.

With all the stats that are tracked in an AFL game, you seriously think that expected scores is the worst? It says a lot more about a match than most other stats in isolation. No one actually thinks they won a match because they won on expected scores only.

Here is my model's expected scores ladder, where I calculate the win probability for each match based on expected scores, rather than a binary win/loss. I think it's rather pointless simply reporting whether a team won a match on expected scores. The expected margin is more insightful. And using win probability is better for an expected scores ladder. I'm not going to argue that this is what the ladder "should be" or anything like that, but it does provide a sense for which teams might have been lucky/unlucky with their goal kicking or opposition goal kicking.

Coaches Votes for Melbourne players, 2024 https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_stats.html Votes Matches Polled Matches Max Gawn 36 7 8 Christian Petracca 25 3 8 Jake Lever 17 3 8 Steven May 15 4 7 Alex Neal-Bullen 12 2 8 Clayton Oliver 9 1 8 Bayley Fritsch 8 1 8 Kysaiah Pickett 8 2 6 Jack Viney 5 1 8 Judd McVee 5 1 8 Trent Rivers 5 2 8 Daniel Turner 4 1 2 Ed Langdon 2 1 8 Kade Chandler 2 1 8 Harrison Petty 1 1 6 Jack Billings 1 1 8 Round-by-round votes Votes 0 1 2 3 4 5 7 8 Max Gawn 36 • 7 2 8 4 3 9 3 Christian Petracca 25 • 5 10 • 10 • • • Jake Lever 17 • • • • 3 • 9 5 Steven May 15 • 7 • 3 • 2 3 Alex Neal-Bullen 12 • • 4 8 • • • • Clayton Oliver 9 • 9 • • • • • • Bayley Fritsch 8 • • 8 • • • • • Kysaiah Pickett 8 • 4 • • • 4 Jack Viney 5 5 • • • • • • • Judd McVee 5 • • • • 5 • • • Trent Rivers 5 • • • 1 • • 4 • Daniel Turner 4 4 • Ed Langdon 2 • • • • • • 2 • Kade Chandler 2 • • 2 • • • • • Harrison Petty 1 • • • • • 1 Jack Billings 1 • 1 • • • • • •

Thanks @binman I appreciate it. I'm glad you like the new team lists page. I have just added to that page the players' matches and goals for the current season. I can't source official stats on post-clearance contested possessions. I have just revisited the play-by-play dataset to see if I can calculate the post-clearance contested possessions. Clearances are not tagged in the dataset so I have attempted to determine clearances from disposals which "clear the stoppage area" as per the CD definition. From what Christian from CD has previously said on the ESPN Footy Podcast, the "stoppage area" is determined by the eye of the CD callers, so anything I calculate will only be approximate. The other issue is the limited publicly available data that I can use to validate my estimates. I have found a handful of articles (e.g. link) and match timelines which refer to post-clearance contested possessions and my estimates seem to be in the ballpark, so these numbers should be indicative. Estimated POST-clearance contested possession differential, 2021-2024 (after 7 matches of R8 2024) Team 2021 2022 2023 2024 Carlton −3.5 +8.1 +4.7 +8.5 Hawthorn −4.6 −3.1 +1.1 +6.6 West Coast −1.7 −9.9 −9.0 +5.8 Greater Western Sydney +1.4 −3.4 +1.6 +5.4 Western Bulldogs +4.6 +2.0 +1.0 +4.6 Gold Coast −4.1 −1.7 −1.2 +2.6 Collingwood −0.4 −1.9 +0.1 +2.0 Essendon −1.3 −1.4 −2.0 +1.8 Geelong +6.7 +5.3 +2.5 +1.5 Adelaide −3.2 +1.3 +2.2 +1.4 Brisbane +4.2 +3.3 +1.9 +1.3 Melbourne +9.4 +9.6 +6.0 −0.5 Richmond −2.7 −0.2 −0.2 −2.4 St Kilda +0.5 +0.5 +2.8 −4.0 Fremantle −2.0 −2.3 −2.2 −4.5 Sydney −0.7 +1.7 −0.1 −5.8 Port Adelaide +2.8 +0.8 −2.3 −6.5 North Melbourne −9.4 −10.5 −8.5 −15.8 Estimated PRE-clearance contested possession differential, 2021-2024 (after 7 matches of R8 2024) Team 2021 2022 2023 2024 Fremantle +5.6 +3.2 −1.9 +8.2 Gold Coast −5.7 +4.8 +3.6 +5.1 Port Adelaide +2.5 −0.5 −2.1 +4.9 Brisbane −1.3 −0.1 +2.5 +3.0 Essendon −3.9 −2.1 −0.8 +2.8 Melbourne +2.6 +4.9 +4.3 +2.8 Carlton −3.7 +4.8 +4.5 +2.6 Sydney −1.1 −0.4 −4.2 +2.6 St Kilda −1.3 +2.1 +0.2 +2.4 North Melbourne −1.5 +1.5 −0.8 −1.1 Hawthorn −2.2 −6.0 +1.7 −1.1 Adelaide +1.9 −0.3 −0.3 −2.0 Greater Western Sydney +2.6 −2.1 −0.2 −3.2 Collingwood +0.3 −7.6 +0.5 −3.5 West Coast +1.5 −7.7 −9.3 −4.0 Western Bulldogs +3.5 +6.0 +5.7 −4.0 Richmond −5.0 −2.4 −1.8 −7.0 Geelong +3.6 +2.0 −2.5 −8.0

Melbourne v Geelong (Round 8, 2024) https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20240805 Key Team Stats Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff Disposal Efficiency 73.6 69.8 +3.8 Kicking Efficiency 70.5 61.6 +8.9 Metres Gained 6294 6207 +87 Inside 50s 51 50 +1 Shots At Goal 27 24 +3 Shots Per Inside 50 52.9 48.0 +4.9 Contested Possessions 127 124 +3 Ground Ball Gets 76 88 -12 Intercepts 79 76 +3 Intercept Marks 13 15 -2 Centre Clearances 12 8 +4 Stoppage Clearances 15 18 -3 Contested Marks 16 8 +8 Marks Inside 50 13 13 +0 Hitouts 24 27 -3 Hitouts To Advantage 5 10 -5 Tackles 55 51 +4 Tackles Inside 50 13 2 +11 Def One On One Loss % 25.0 28.6 -3.6 Expected scores xScore Score Rushed xWin % xMargin Margin Swing Melbourne 83.0 74 1 88% +21.2 +8 Geelong 61.8 66 1 12% +13.2 Team Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. / Shot Shot Rating Overall Melbourne 27 10.13.73 37.0% 82.0 −9.0 3.04 −0.33 Geelong 24 9.11.65 37.5% 60.8 +4.2 2.53 +0.17 General Play Melbourne 13 3.7.25 23.1% 37.3 −12.3 2.87 −0.95 Geelong 9 5.3.33 55.6% 21.7 +11.3 2.41 +1.26 Set Position Melbourne 14 7.6.48 50.0% 44.7 +3.3 3.19 +0.24 Geelong 15 4.8.32 26.7% 39.2 −7.2 2.61 −0.48 xWin %: win probability based on expected scores. Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin. xScore: total expected score from all shots taken. +/-: total score above or below expected score. xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty. Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal. Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores. Pressure Team pressure Quarter For Against 1 183 173 2 161 158 3 171 165 4 193 181 Match 176 170 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average Clayton Oliver 32 58 41.0 Jack Viney 25 57 57.8 Alex Neal-Bullen 24 55 49.5 Caleb Windsor 17 48 34.2 Kade Chandler 19 47 46.8 Kysaiah Pickett 24 45 41.2 Tom Sparrow 22 42 51.9 Christian Petracca 16 37 38.5 Harrison Petty 16 30 25.2 Jack Billings 11 27 26.0 Blake Howes 12 26 20.5 Max Gawn 10 22 28.0 Tom McDonald 12 22 23.7 Trent Rivers 13 22 22.1 Jake Lever 10 20 16.5 Judd McVee 9 17 15.6 Daniel Turner 8 16 11.0 Ed Langdon 8 14 31.9 Jacob van Rooyen 5 11 15.5 Bayley Fritsch 6 9 13.9 Taj Woewodin 4 7 14.8 Steven May 5 7 10.1 Bailey Laurie 2 2 7.0 Source: Herald Sun Time in Forward Half Quarter For Against 1 39% 61% 2 56% 44% 3 61% 39% 4 53% 47% Match 53% 47% Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations. Score Sources Summary Category Score Against Diff Kick-in 0.2.2 0.0.0 +2 Centre Bounce 1.3.9 0.1.1 +8 Stoppage (Other) 2.2.14 4.4.28 -14 Turnover 7.7.49 5.7.37 +12 Score Source For Against Match Season Match Season * Kick-in 2 3.8 0 2.8 Centre Bounce 9 11.1 1 5.4 Stoppage (Other) 14 23.6 28 18.1 Turnover 49 43.9 37 40.0 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Geelong. Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Category Region For Against Match Season Match Season * Centre Bounce Centre 9 11.1 1 5.4 Kick-in D50 2 3.8 0 2.8 Stoppage (Other) D50 0 1.6 18 2.2 Stoppage (Other) Centre 6 1.9 0 1.5 Stoppage (Other) Wing 7 13.5 9 9.6 Stoppage (Other) F50 1 6.6 1 4.8 Turnover D50 27 8.9 12 6.6 Turnover Centre 12 6.8 6 4.5 Turnover Wing 3 19.0 16 24.4 Turnover F50 7 9.2 3 4.5 Region For Against Match Season Match Season * D50 29 14.2 30 11.6 Centre 27 19.8 7 11.4 Wing 10 32.5 25 34.0 F50 8 15.9 4 9.2 Region For Against Match Season Match Season * Defensive 50 29 14.2 30 11.6 Defensive midfield 7 19.1 14 13.1 Centre bounce 9 11.1 1 5.4 Attacking midfield 21 22.0 17 26.9 Forward 50 8 15.9 4 9.2 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Geelong. Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season * 36 33.4 44 24.8 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Geelong. Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2024 % 2023 % Max Gawn 18 78% 85.6% 64.9% Clayton Oliver 18 78% 69.7% 81.4% Christian Petracca 17 74% 63.1% 61.1% Jack Viney 16 70% 72.8% 72.1% Tom Sparrow 10 43% 43.1% 44.9% Kysaiah Pickett 8 35% 29.3% 11.2% Jacob van Rooyen 5 22% 12.8% 7.6% Trent Rivers 0 0% 4.1% 3.0% Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0% 2.1% 2.1% Bailey Laurie 0 0% 1.5% 0.0% Harrison Petty 0 0% 0.7% 0.7% Tom McDonald 0 0% 0.0% 5.7% Christian Salem 27.2% 0.0% Josh Schache 8.3% 0.0% Koltyn Tholstrup 8.3% Charlie Spargo 4.2% 0.0% Ruck Contests and Hitouts Ruck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2024 % 2023 % Max Gawn 48 71% 82.9% 57.5% Jacob van Rooyen 15 22% 14.3% 13.1% Harrison Petty 5 7% 1.1% 2.0% Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0% 0.0% 0.0% Christian Petracca 0 0% 0.0% 0.4% Clayton Oliver 0 0% 0.0% 0.1% Steven May 0 0% 0.0% 0.0% Tom McDonald 0 0% 0.0% 9.3% Tom Sparrow 0 0% 0.0% 0.0% Josh Schache 13.3% 4.1% Ben Brown 0.0% 2.3% Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2024) To Adv. % (2023) Max Gawn 48 20 5 30.1% 30.1% Jacob van Rooyen 15 2 0 29.6% 31.1% Harrison Petty 5 2 0 0.0% 25.0% Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0 0.0% Christian Petracca 0 0 0 100.0% Tom McDonald 0 0 0 20.0% Josh Schache 100.0% 0.0% Ben Brown 0.0% Opposition hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. Rhys Stanley 48 21 9 Mark Blicavs 13 4 0 Sam De Koning 4 1 1 Tom Hawkins 3 1 0

I'm not 100% sure of the stat they're looking at, but we are 3rd this year for proportion of all points scored from the defensive midfield. Score sources are usually reported as one of (a) points scored, (b) points conceded, or (c) differential, so I would ordinarily assume it would be one of those, but I did find the following article that refers to % of points conceded by zone. So I assume your interpretation is correct in that David King was referring to % of points scored from the defensive midfield zone. https://www.espn.com.au/afl/story/_/id/29699624/afl-understanding-geelong-incredible-team-defence-their-achilles-heel Average points scored per match, 2024 (including the first two matches in round 8) by zone Team D50 Defensive Midfield Centre Bounce Attack Midfield F50 Total Def Mid % St Kilda 16.0 24.6 8.1 14.9 9.4 73.0 33.7% Gold Coast 11.3 22.6 12.0 20.0 18.9 84.7 26.6% Melbourne 12.1 20.9 11.4 22.1 17.0 83.6 25.0% Hawthorn 11.1 15.1 8.9 22.9 9.7 67.7 22.4% Greater Western Sydney 21.3 23.3 13.1 28.1 21.4 107.3 21.7% Collingwood 9.9 18.6 7.4 35.2 15.4 86.5 21.5% Richmond 16.4 14.9 3.9 21.9 12.6 69.6 21.4% Sydney 20.0 21.4 9.6 35.0 18.0 104.0 20.6% Essendon 13.7 17.0 13.6 23.6 15.0 82.9 20.5% Brisbane 14.4 13.9 8.6 25.1 11.9 73.9 18.8% North Melbourne 13.0 13.1 11.1 22.6 10.7 70.6 18.6% Geelong 20.3 18.3 17.0 24.3 19.1 99.0 18.5% Western Bulldogs 17.9 16.7 12.7 20.3 23.6 91.1 18.3% Fremantle 17.6 13.4 12.4 16.9 18.7 79.0 17.0% Port Adelaide 16.1 14.8 14.5 26.8 17.8 89.9 16.4% Carlton 14.0 15.6 12.1 36.0 19.9 97.6 16.0% Adelaide 20.6 12.4 11.5 17.1 15.8 77.4 16.0% West Coast 15.3 9.6 12.9 20.0 15.1 72.9 13.1% Average points conceded per match, 2024 (including the first two matches in round 8) by zone Opposition D50 Defensive Midfield Centre Bounce Attack Midfield F50 Total Def Mid % Gold Coast 14.1 11.9 8.7 22.7 26.4 83.9 14.1% Sydney 9.9 12.7 9.3 23.7 14.9 70.4 18.1% Melbourne 9.0 13.0 6.0 28.3 10.0 66.3 19.6% Fremantle 12.0 13.4 8.9 20.3 16.1 70.7 19.0% Adelaide 11.0 14.5 11.0 22.5 17.0 76.0 19.1% Port Adelaide 19.1 14.5 9.8 26.5 9.6 79.5 18.2% Geelong 12.0 14.6 10.7 21.6 14.3 73.1 19.9% St Kilda 17.0 15.4 7.9 26.1 15.3 81.7 18.9% West Coast 24.6 16.7 12.9 23.6 20.6 98.3 17.0% Brisbane 14.3 16.9 9.6 22.1 15.6 78.4 21.5% Essendon 18.4 17.3 11.9 23.4 17.4 88.4 19.5% Carlton 17.8 19.8 11.5 20.4 19.5 88.9 22.2% Western Bulldogs 14.7 19.9 13.1 18.7 13.0 79.4 25.0% Greater Western Sydney 11.6 20.1 15.1 18.9 13.0 78.7 25.6% North Melbourne 28.9 20.6 17.6 29.9 26.3 123.1 16.7% Richmond 20.9 20.6 12.4 20.1 18.1 92.1 22.3% Collingwood 15.9 20.6 9.9 32.4 8.6 87.4 23.6% Hawthorn 9.6 22.6 15.1 33.4 16.1 96.9 23.3% I have recently added some score source data to the website (on the match stats and team stats pages), outlined in the following post. cc @binman

Coaches Votes for Melbourne players, 2024 https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_stats.html Votes Matches Polled Matches Max Gawn 33 6 7 Christian Petracca 25 3 7 Alex Neal-Bullen 12 2 7 Jake Lever 12 2 7 Steven May 12 3 6 Clayton Oliver 9 1 7 Bayley Fritsch 8 1 7 Jack Viney 5 1 7 Judd McVee 5 1 7 Trent Rivers 5 2 7 Daniel Turner 4 1 1 Kysaiah Pickett 4 1 5 Ed Langdon 2 1 7 Kade Chandler 2 1 7 Jack Billings 1 1 7 Round-by-round votes Votes 0 1 2 3 4 5 7 Max Gawn 33 • 7 2 8 4 3 9 Christian Petracca 25 • 5 10 • 10 • • Alex Neal-Bullen 12 • • 4 8 • • • Jake Lever 12 • • • • 3 • 9 Steven May 12 • 7 • 3 • 2 Clayton Oliver 9 • 9 • • • • • Bayley Fritsch 8 • • 8 • • • • Jack Viney 5 5 • • • • • • Judd McVee 5 • • • • 5 • • Trent Rivers 5 • • • 1 • • 4 Daniel Turner 4 4 Kysaiah Pickett 4 • 4 • • • Ed Langdon 2 • • • • • • 2 Kade Chandler 2 • • 2 • • • • Jack Billings 1 • 1 • • • • •

Melbourne v Richmond (Round 7, 2024) https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20240701 Key Team Stats Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff Disposal Efficiency 71.7 72.5 -0.9 Kicking Efficiency 68.9 66.3 +2.5 Metres Gained 6255 5717 +538 Inside 50s 50 50 +0 Shots At Goal 26 16 +10 Shots Per Inside 50 52.0 32.0 +20.0 Contested Possessions 136 119 +17 Ground Ball Gets 89 81 +8 Intercepts 69 73 -4 Intercept Marks 22 23 -1 Centre Clearances 8 10 -2 Stoppage Clearances 24 15 +9 Contested Marks 10 7 +3 Marks Inside 50 14 11 +3 Hitouts 27 27 +0 Hitouts To Advantage 12 10 +2 Tackles 52 57 -5 Tackles Inside 50 9 11 -2 Def One On One Loss % 28.6 30.8 -2.2 Expected scores Team Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. / Shot Shot Rating Overall Melbourne 26 13.5.83 50.0% 74.3 +8.7 2.86 +0.34 Richmond 16 5.8.38 31.2% 53.7 −15.7 3.35 −0.98 General Play Melbourne 10 3.2.20 30.0% 26.6 −6.6 2.66 −0.66 Richmond 6 1.4.10 16.7% 16.5 −6.5 2.75 −1.08 Set Position Melbourne 16 10.3.63 62.5% 47.6 +15.4 2.98 +0.96 Richmond 10 4.4.28 40.0% 37.2 −9.2 3.72 −0.92 xScore: total expected score from all shots taken. +/-: total score above or below expected score. xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty. Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal. Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores. Pressure Team pressure Quarter For Against 1 185 173 2 150 181 3 181 168 4 162 162 Match 170 171 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average Jack Viney 25 51 57.9 Tom Sparrow 24 44 53.3 Clayton Oliver 21 42 38.6 Ed Langdon 16 41 34.4 Alex Neal-Bullen 20 40 48.7 Christian Petracca 17 33 38.7 Kade Chandler 13 32 46.7 Tom McDonald 12 29 24.0 Harrison Petty 15 28 24.2 Trent Rivers 12 28 22.1 Taj Woewodin 11 27 16.4 Caleb Windsor 12 26 32.3 Jack Billings 10 26 25.9 Kysaiah Pickett 11 25 40.4 Blake Howes 12 22 19.7 Judd McVee 9 22 15.4 Max Gawn 7 18 28.9 Jacob van Rooyen 10 16 16.1 Jake Lever 8 13 16.0 Bayley Fritsch 4 7 14.6 Daniel Turner 3 6 6.0 Steven May 4 5 10.7 Bailey Laurie 3 4 9.5 Source: Herald Sun Time in Forward Half Quarter For Against 1 45% 55% 2 58% 42% 3 46% 54% 4 40% 60% Match 46% 54% Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations. Score Sources Summary Category Score Against Diff Kick-in 0.1.1 0.0.0 +1 Centre Bounce 1.1.7 0.1.1 +6 Stoppage (Other) 3.1.19 0.2.2 +17 Turnover 9.4.58 5.9.39 +19 Score Source For Against Match Season Match Season * Kick-in 1 4.0 0 3.1 Centre Bounce 7 11.4 1 6.0 Stoppage (Other) 19 25.0 2 16.7 Turnover 58 43.1 39 40.4 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Richmond. Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Category Region For Against Match Season Match Season * Kick-in D50 1 4.0 0 3.1 Centre Bounce Centre 7 11.4 1 6.0 Stoppage (Other) D50 6 1.9 0 0.0 Stoppage (Other) Centre 7 1.3 0 1.7 Stoppage (Other) Wing 6 14.4 1 9.7 Stoppage (Other) F50 0 7.4 1 5.3 Turnover D50 13 6.3 7 5.9 Turnover Centre 6 6.0 6 4.3 Turnover Wing 21 21.3 23 25.6 Turnover F50 18 9.6 3 4.7 Region For Against Match Season Match Season * D50 20 12.1 7 9.0 Centre 20 18.7 7 12.0 Wing 27 35.7 24 35.3 F50 18 17.0 4 10.0 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Richmond. Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season * 45 32.1 21 22.0 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Richmond. Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2024 % 2023 % Max Gawn 19 90% 86.6% 64.9% Clayton Oliver 17 81% 68.6% 81.4% Jack Viney 14 67% 73.3% 72.1% Christian Petracca 12 57% 61.6% 61.1% Tom Sparrow 10 48% 43.0% 44.9% Kysaiah Pickett 9 43% 28.2% 11.2% Jacob van Rooyen 1 5% 11.6% 7.6% Bailey Laurie 1 5% 2.2% 0.0% Harrison Petty 1 5% 0.8% 0.7% Trent Rivers 0 0% 4.7% 3.0% Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0% 2.3% 2.1% Tom McDonald 0 0% 0.0% 5.7% Christian Salem 27.2% 0.0% Josh Schache 8.3% 0.0% Koltyn Tholstrup 8.3% Charlie Spargo 4.2% 0.0% Ruck Contests and Hitouts Ruck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2024 % 2023 % Max Gawn 60 88% 84.2% 57.5% Jacob van Rooyen 7 10% 13.5% 13.1% Harrison Petty 1 1% 0.2% 2.0% Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0% 0.0% 0.0% Christian Petracca 0 0% 0.0% 0.4% Clayton Oliver 0 0% 0.0% 0.1% Steven May 0 0% 0.0% 0.0% Tom McDonald 0 0% 0.0% 9.3% Tom Sparrow 0 0% 0.0% 0.0% Josh Schache 13.3% 4.1% Ben Brown 0.0% 2.3% Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2024) To Adv. % (2023) Max Gawn 60 26 11 30.5% 30.1% Jacob van Rooyen 7 1 1 32.0% 31.1% Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0 0.0% Christian Petracca 0 0 0 100.0% Harrison Petty 1 0 0 25.0% Tom McDonald 0 0 0 20.0% Josh Schache 100.0% 0.0% Ben Brown 0.0% Opposition hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. Toby Nankervis 37 15 7 Sam Naismith 26 9 3 Mykelti Lefau 6 3 0

Melbourne v Brisbane (Round 5, 2024) https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20240501 Key Team Stats Stats highlighted purple were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff Disposal Efficiency 71.2 76.1 -4.8 Kicking Efficiency 66.8 75.3 -8.5 Metres Gained 5295 5599 -304 Inside 50s 50 58 -8 Shots At Goal 19 22 -3 Shots Per Inside 50 38.0 37.9 +0.1 Contested Possessions 121 134 -13 Ground Ball Gets 72 93 -21 Intercepts 64 61 +3 Intercept Marks 26 17 +9 Centre Clearances 11 11 +0 Stoppage Clearances 24 33 -9 Contested Marks 14 10 +4 Marks Inside 50 9 12 -3 Hitouts 58 27 +31 Hitouts To Advantage 13 8 +5 Tackles 53 82 -29 Tackles Inside 50 5 15 -10 Def One On One Loss % 30.0 12.5 +17.5 Expected scores Team Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. / Shot Shot Rating Overall Melbourne 19 8.10.58 42.1% 58.0 +0.0 3.05 +0.00 Brisbane 22 12.8.80 54.5% 82.8 −2.8 3.76 −0.13 General Play Melbourne 7 1.6.12 14.3% 16.6 −4.6 2.36 −0.65 Brisbane 11 6.4.40 54.5% 37.1 +2.9 3.38 +0.26 Set Position Melbourne 12 7.4.46 58.3% 41.5 +4.5 3.46 +0.38 Brisbane 11 6.4.40 54.5% 45.6 −5.6 4.15 −0.51 xScore: total expected score from all shots taken. +/-: total score above or below expected score. xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty. Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal. Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores. Pressure Team pressure Quarter For Against 1 199 227 2 160 191 3 151 197 4 164 186 Match 168 201 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average Tom Sparrow 30 76 54.8 Jack Viney 30 59 59.0 Ed Langdon 17 45 33.3 Koltyn Tholstrup 17 39 39.0 Clayton Oliver 19 38 38.0 Kade Chandler 20 36 49.2 Alex Neal-Bullen 13 33 50.2 Caleb Windsor 17 30 33.3 Max Gawn 11 28 30.7 Judd McVee 10 27 14.3 Jack Billings 9 26 25.8 Trent Rivers 10 25 21.2 Christian Petracca 12 22 39.7 Taj Woewodin 10 21 13.8 Tom McDonald 8 20 23.0 Harrison Petty 10 18 23.2 Blake Howes 10 18 19.3 Steven May 6 15 11.8 Jake Lever 7 11 16.5 Jacob van Rooyen 5 6 16.2 Ben Brown 2 3 9.0 Bayley Fritsch 1 2 15.8 Christian Salem 0 0 26.8 Source: Herald Sun Time in Forward Half Quarter For Against 1 34% 66% 2 51% 49% 3 42% 58% 4 64% 36% Match 46% 54% Source: Match total sourced from the Herald Sun; quarter values are my own calculations. Score Sources Summary Category Score Against Diff Kick-in 1.0.6 0.1.1 +5 Centre Bounce 1.3.9 1.1.7 +2 Stoppage (Other) 2.3.15 6.4.40 -25 Turnover 4.6.30 5.4.34 -4 Score Source For Against Match Season Match Season * Kick-in 6 4.5 1 3.7 Centre Bounce 9 12.2 7 6.8 Stoppage (Other) 15 26.0 40 19.2 Turnover 30 40.7 34 40.7 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Brisbane. Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Category Region For Against Match Season Match Season * Kick-in D50 6 4.5 1 3.7 Centre Bounce Centre 9 12.2 7 6.8 Stoppage (Other) D50 0 1.2 0 0.0 Stoppage (Other) Centre 1 0.3 6 2.0 Stoppage (Other) Wing 12 15.8 24 11.2 Stoppage (Other) F50 2 8.7 10 6.0 Turnover D50 0 5.2 1 5.7 Turnover Centre 2 6.0 1 4.0 Turnover Wing 28 21.3 26 26.0 Turnover F50 0 8.2 6 5.0 Region For Against Match Season Match Season * D50 6 10.8 2 9.3 Centre 12 18.5 14 12.8 Wing 40 37.2 50 37.2 F50 2 16.8 16 11.0 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Brisbane. Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season * 31 30.0 20 22.2 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Brisbane. Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2024 % 2023 % Max Gawn 22 92% 86.1% 64.9% Christian Petracca 18 75% 62.3% 61.1% Jack Viney 16 67% 74.2% 72.1% Tom Sparrow 15 62% 42.4% 44.9% Clayton Oliver 10 42% 66.9% 81.4% Trent Rivers 8 33% 5.3% 3.0% Alex Neal-Bullen 3 12% 2.6% 2.1% Jacob van Rooyen 2 8% 12.6% 7.6% Koltyn Tholstrup 2 8% 8.3% Christian Salem 0 0% 27.2% 0.0% Harrison Petty 0 0% 0.0% 0.7% Tom McDonald 0 0% 0.0% 5.7% Kysaiah Pickett 25.2% 11.2% Josh Schache 8.3% 0.0% Charlie Spargo 4.2% 0.0% Ruck Contests and Hitouts Ruck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2024 % 2023 % Max Gawn 96 90% 83.8% 57.5% Jacob van Rooyen 11 10% 13.8% 13.1% Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0% 0.0% 0.0% Ben Brown 0 0% 0.0% 2.3% Christian Petracca 0 0% 0.0% 0.4% Clayton Oliver 0 0% 0.0% 0.1% Harrison Petty 0 0% 0.0% 2.0% Steven May 0 0% 0.0% 0.0% Tom McDonald 0 0% 0.0% 9.3% Tom Sparrow 0 0% 0.0% 0.0% Josh Schache 13.3% 4.1% Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2024) To Adv. % (2023) Max Gawn 96 51 12 29.2% 30.1% Jacob van Rooyen 11 7 1 29.2% 31.1% Alex Neal-Bullen 0 0 0 0.0% Ben Brown 0 0 0 0.0% Christian Petracca 0 0 0 100.0% Harrison Petty 0 0 0 25.0% Tom McDonald 0 0 0 20.0% Josh Schache 100.0% 0.0% Opposition hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. Oscar McInerney 87 26 8 Joe Daniher 13 1 0 Darcy Gardiner 2 0 0 Eric Hipwood 5 0 0

Coaches Votes for Melbourne players, 2024 https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_stats.html Votes Matches Polled Matches Christian Petracca 25 3 5 Max Gawn 21 4 5 Alex Neal-Bullen 12 2 5 Steven May 10 2 4 Clayton Oliver 9 1 5 Bayley Fritsch 8 1 5 Jack Viney 5 1 5 Judd McVee 5 1 5 Kysaiah Pickett 4 1 4 Jake Lever 3 1 5 Kade Chandler 2 1 5 Jack Billings 1 1 5 Trent Rivers 1 1 5 Round-by-round votes Votes 0 1 2 3 4 Christian Petracca 25 • 5 10 • 10 Max Gawn 21 • 7 2 8 4 Alex Neal-Bullen 12 • • 4 8 • Steven May 10 • 7 • 3 Clayton Oliver 9 • 9 • • • Bayley Fritsch 8 • • 8 • • Jack Viney 5 5 • • • • Judd McVee 5 • • • • 5 Kysaiah Pickett 4 • 4 • • Jake Lever 3 • • • • 3 Kade Chandler 2 • • 2 • • Jack Billings 1 • 1 • • • Trent Rivers 1 • • • 1 •