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deanox

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Everything posted by deanox

  1. They also tweeted a photo of Jackson's mullet in full flight today with the caption "marvellous isn't it?". He's in. If he passes the fitness test. https://www.melbournefc.com.au/news/814091
  2. Ah yes, the "silent majority"!
  3. Has anyone considered that losing the captaincy might not be a driver but in fact the other way around? What is the reason he isn't captain is because he flagged his intention to explore FA? At MFC he has to be behind Gawn, Petracca and Oliver in salary, and May and Lever must be close. It's very hard for a captain to leave, and not a good look for the club, so if he was considering on a business/ financial basis, not being captain could be a win-win for both. Hey MFC, I've been approached by purge clubs RE FA next year. I don't really want to leave but the numbers they are throwing around add $100k per year for 4 years, I so need to think about it. No worries Jack, we don't want you to go but understand the financial offer might not be something we can match. At that point, both parties may manage PR together, even if there is only a 10% chance of it happening.
  4. This was meant to be illustrative only, and I've plucked approx target figures from a cafe to use. But it serves the purpose to show that the wage cost of an extra PH is minuscule in the context of actually running a business. If the owner is concerned that the daily trade provide a gross profit (say sales minus COGS minus wages) due to decreased revenue then close, and save the penalty rates and COGS. But regardless, this should all be factored into your business plan. And if your margins are so tight that you can't afford to increase costs by 0.05% then you've got bigger problems than the public holiday. That's $500 for a business with costs of $1,000,000. FWIW I agree it should be the Monday instead.
  5. Assuming 50% uplift for penalty rates (its probably less than that) and assuming equal staffing across 6 days per week for 50 weeks of the year operation, the cost of a single public holiday is 0.167% of your annual wage bill. For a Cafe, wages should be about 30% of your sales (assuming 30% wages, 30% COGS, 30% overheads, 10% profit). That means the cost of a public holiday is equivalent to about 0.05% of your annual turnover. 10 public holidays would be 0.5% of your annual turnover. If the cost of an additional public holiday is effecting the viability of a business, then either the business is already struggling, or the way it is analysing costs/profit is wrong (too narrow ignoring overheads, focusing only on one day, etc.).
  6. I thought the same thing. It is ok only if it's called advantage but I didn't think they did. Wrong decision by the umpires. There was also a bizarre call against GWS early "you can't handball to a player who is crossing the mark", and I am 99.9% sure than is not a real rule (unless it's been added in recent seasons).
  7. Working at home and the pandemic has put a lot of strain on the mental health of many people. Personally I'm really looking forward to a long weekend, even if all that means is I can sleep in a touch, and read a book in my back yard. The GF parade is just an excuse to have the day off. It used to be Show Day. But the benefits of the day off go further than the parade itself.
  8. Rusty how does metres gained get calculated for kick outs? May took most of them, I'm assuming that if he kicks from within the goal square it doesn't count (it doesn't count as a kick either), but if he plays on for a few metres first it counts for both?
  9. We could just leave them in their positions at quarter time, so they play back in the 1st and 3rd and forward in the 2nd and 4th?
  10. Lever was recruited pre 6-6-6 rules being announced. Our game plan was a full ground zone with no 1-1 direct match ups. Remember the "diamond defence" with only 4 defenders? Lever - one of the competitions best intercept marls - was to play a pivotal role in that game plan, alongside OMac (whose best attribute is reading the flight of the ball and knowing when to go to the contest and worst is his 1 on 1 defending). It is worth noting that this game plan also involved extra numbers at the contest to win it in close, thus the focus on contested ball winners in drafts. We were blindsided by that rule change, and it hurt us more than other teams due to our game plan. The year after 6-6-6 came in we went out to get Steven May, a strong 1 on 1 defender, to try and balance the back line. Remember how dominant Jeff White was when we drafted him? Long run up, great leap over the top, but not strong and was short for a ruck. The AFL changed the rule to bring in the centre circle to prevent knee injuries, but it also reduced his effectiveness in the centre circle.
  11. Jack leaving benefits us, only if he leaves on his own terms. If we push him out or low ball him to force the issue, it's a culture damaging move, unless there is an issue behind the scenes with his relationships.
  12. I like these changes.
  13. That would explain the differences in kicking for goal accuracy. Used to the breeze.
  14. I think it's relevant, if just so I can highlight that in this thread (and all threads really), I try to be agnostic on players. I tried to word that deliberately so that I wasn't actually making a judgement on OMac, but in what we expect of someome in his role ie how to judge him. I think we've all done that in this thread, which is good. On Tomlinson: his versatility is great. I think when we are back on the G his running and ability to protect space see him back in the wing again, given we struggled with the width in 2018 and 2019. @Engorged Onionregrading enjoying this thread, it would be great if we could have a board dedicated to analysis like this, with threads about specific aspects of the analysis, dissecting individual plays out highlighting similarities between situations. I guess it would need to be heavily moderated ro keep it on track.
  15. I'll go back and have a look at that goal and provide my thoughts, but I'm those breaks it's often that the other defenders or mids don't overlap back into their defensive positions fast enough. The one on one defenders who are competing do have a subtle job though: slow down the play, without giving away the 50. I've noticed Lockhart do this well a couple of times, bringing down his opponent in the contest so that seconds are lost as they regain their feet. I've always thought Oscar's strength has been his decision making on whether to hold position or pressure the player/contest. He rarely leaves his position or man and doesn't at least impact the contest (ie doesn't get stuck in between). He may not win that contest he gets too, but the goal is to slow it down so that help can arrive. When assessing his performance, he isn't great one on one or on a lead. But not many are. And we don't want him to be defending one on one or on a lead. If he is, we've already broken down somewhere else, so we need to pick him on the requirements of his role, not on Steven May's.
  16. Very good insight. Some takeaways: - that loose ball gather would have been a contested possession for Dougal, unless he marked it and then it would have been an uncontested possession. Stats can be useless. - we could have been in trouble if that happened, with loose saints able to rebound while our defensive zone was out of position (we were swarming forward) - the value of players like OMac and probably Lockhart, ANB and Spargo, isn't always in what they obviously do (on camera) its in how they hold the team together in those crucial moments. Their continued selection is a balance of whether their positioning discipline out weighs their other deficiencies, with respect to players competing for their spots (Smith, Bennell, Hunt etc. who aren't getting the games). - Given the importance of structure in the modern game, selection must be a nightmare given the reserves are playing 12 on 12, so structure can't be assessed.
  17. I can't watch that now but my recollection was that we asked him to take a pay cut otherwise we'd need to trade him, he said no, so we did the deal, and he got surprised and said he works have actually taken a play cut if he thought we were serious. Does that ring true?
  18. We don't always have the best support in the NT with crowds often seeming to lean towards Adelaide and others, but I hope that if we nominate an Alice Springs final, that the whole state gets in behind us. I actually hope we do too. Its probably the only time Alice will ever see an AFL final, it would be an amazing gesture.
  19. I think this explains it well. Midfield lost the contested battle. Defence won it back (good defending or poor delivery inside 50 from the Saimts or both?). We won the uncontested game (in that our full ground zone meant that the saints uncontested possessions were about maintaining possession, often chipping around the back, while our UPs were attacking or moving up field). We were more efficient up forward, from limited opportunities. So putting those things together, the quality/effort of our defensive zoning combined with our ability to move the ball offensively, was more important than winning contested possessions or large numbers of up forward possessions. Imagine if we could combine our strong contested ability with our full ground defensive zone effort in the same match! Some additional info here: https://www.melbournefc.com.au/news/804456
  20. One thing that jumped out at me this week was how our 6 forwards (Weid, Pickett, Spargo, Brown, Hannan, Melksham) combined for only 43 disposals of our 287, and 3 goals. They were our 6 lowest disposal winners. They are also the bottom 4 and 6 of the bottom 9 in your scoring. But then we only had 30 inside 50s (vs 46!). From the heat maps it looked like a of the game was played very deep for us. I know disposals aren't a great measure, or comparable across positions, by it has a big effect here. We won with 12 scoring shots vs geelongs 22: that's a lot more points available for score involvements for example. 3 of Geelongs 6 named forwards are in their top 7 with scores above 3. I'm not sure if this is saying "our forwards did enough with what they had" or "our forward line is still a massive problem. It's probably a bit of both.
  21. Surely there is an inside mid/half forward flanker on the outer we could trade for?
  22. My hobby horse too. I think this would go a long way to "fixing" those common gripes with the modern game. Currenly coaches encourage this third player in to tackle, to deliver a stalemate/stoppage instead of a holding the ball against them. But remove this tactic and they'll need to instruct their players to release the ball and knock out to players who are clear, because else you'll be caught by 2+ opposition players and definitley gove away a htb. If the "tackle the tackler" is penalised then there is no incentives for coaches to have all their players in close together when they are attacking, and the attacking players will need to be dropping away to the outside (ie the wings) to win the ball that is knocked out of the pack. Space will open. Ball players will be protected. Faster movement away from stoppages. Just pay it quickly though. Don't hold the whistle back.
  23. If the third player in is from the team in possession then he is either holding the man by "tackling the tackler" or effecting an illegal disposal by taking it off him. There is no situation where the third person in solely tackles his own team mate independent of the above situations. IF that did occur, they would be jointly holding the ball in, so easy decision against them.
  24. GOTY. 1 on 3 clutch goal at crucial time.
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