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Red and Blue realist

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Everything posted by Red and Blue realist

  1. Maybe they rate this trade period more than next, or they have something else planned? Or we just always plan to trade out our future 1st knowing we can always get one back, and this was the best on offer this year?
  2. I also read this somewhere, the perfect respond came through that we were last in disposal efficiency, so as a system we don't care as much about using it as well, as long as we can get it, and then move it forward. Dunstan is very good at getting the ball, so will work well in our system, plus the knock on Landgon before he got to us was how bad a user he was, I doubt anyone is saying that now!
  3. Jones played 7 games and AVB played 2, plus Jones had a few as sub as well. I'd suspect Dunstan knows where he is in the peaking order but might think if he can come in and do what he did during he's run with the saints that we'd be prepared to back him in more than they were. He might have also spoken with GCS and Essendon and realised that he's not best 22 anywhere, and thought that if he's going to be back-up anywhere it's better to be where 2 older guys have just left and they just happen to be the premiers as well!
  4. I posted this in the membership guessing thread, but it's relevant here - I just had to update something on my membership and was talking to a really nice guy there, he said the club has now sold over $3.5million in merch which is over double what the tigers did in 2017. Also Covid pending they thought memberships should fall between 70,000 and 75,000, said it'd be easy to get there with the MCC members signing up.
  5. I just had to update something on my membership and was talking to a really nice guy there, he said the club has now sold over $3.5million in merch which is over double what the tigers did in 2017. Also Covid pending they thought memberships should fall between 70,000 and 75,000, said it'd be easy to get there with the MCC members signing up.
  6. So I messaged Furphy about those premiers beers the players were drinking after the game, I'd much prefer those than the ones Carlton Draught normally release (but would buy both), Furphy have said that they only had 57 cases of those made and the only way the general public can get one is through a competition they are running. It looked like the players must have drank the other 56 in the celebrations on Saturday night/Sunday!
  7. Woewodin had 22 touches, 4 tackles and a goal to be named in the bests for East Freo, he played against Kobe Farmer - although Farmer only had 6 touches (no goals). Swan Districts won the game by 2 points.
  8. We've already extended TMac who had a year to run, along with Lever who had 2 years to run (from memory), plus have guys like Harmes, Gawn, Salem and Trac on longer term deals, so clearly the list management team are on top of this and have started to make plans already.
  9. I wouldn't be surprised to see Melk stay, he is contracted, but if he were to get an opportunity elsewhere then good luck to him. Of the 9 oldest players on our list only 3 are guaranteed to be with us next year (Gawn, May and Hibberd), a few years ago we'd be jumping up and down saying we need Melk to be a veteran presence (using NBA terms) even if he didn't play much.
  10. Just wanted to highlight again what a brilliant job our recruiting and list management team have done! Here is a shorten list of all the moves made at the trade table last year, that will impact our trading this year, and maybe give us a chance to look at what they might do this year: We traded our 2nd round 2021 (pick 37) and 4th round 2021 (pick 73) to Adelaide last year for picks 33 and 50 in 2020. Really pick 37 for 33 and 50. Then we traded picks 25, 68 & 69 in 2020 and our 2021 1st (pick 18) to Brissy for picks 18 & 19 (2020) and 2nd round 2021 (pick 33). So essentially pick 25 for pick 19 and 33 - one of the biggest pick wins ever I'd think? Of course we then we able to use pick 33 in the BBB deal with North, which worked very much in our favour as well. At this stage we have picks 33, 42 and 54 - and all our picks next year to play with, I can't wait to see what Lamb and Taylor do with these.
  11. It was the Brissy game, so a game we won by a bit but if we had kicked straight we would have won by a lot. Generally speaking our results with the 3 umpires have been pretty similar to the Dogs, just they get more frees.
  12. None of these umpires did either of our games this year. In total we've had those any of those 3 officiate 7 of our games (with 2 doing the Brissy final), in total we received 20 less free kicks than our opposition in those games. The Dogs had any of those 3 officiate 11 of their games (2 did their last final). In total they got an additional 51 free kicks in those games. The dogs only had 2 negative games (which included the Port final), whereas we only had 1 positive game (and one nil game). We had Mollison for 5 of our games and our free kick count was -5 different, Roesbury was -8 (1 game) and Stevic was -7 (2 games). For the Dogs, Rosebury was +44 (8 games), Stevic was 0 (3 games) and Mollison was +1 (1 game).
  13. This makes sense, you can use the same time periods for when the team that finished on top of the ladder won the premiership. 8 out of 9 times we've finished on top we've won the flag, soon to be 9 out of 10.
  14. The good thing about being capital gains tax exempt is that they have the ability to release those gains more freely than those that have tax considerations, so there can be a move to view take gains and use them more often than individuals might. It doesn't replace direct cash flow, but done properly could help replace lost revenue. It will be interesting to see if they ever release the investment strategy they take with the 'future fund', and what they want it to do, cause I agree generating the same level of income return will be very hard. There's a difference between revenue and profit, in 2019 the pokies had rough revenue of $4.5mil but costs of $3mil. Still $1.5mil from $23mil is around a 6.5% return.
  15. Yes, but then they were going to lose the majority of the income anyway, I suspect the Bentleigh club might have run at a loss without pokie revenue, together with cashing in at a point where the property market seems to have peaked, makes it a great decision. The board will have to invest well, but given the lack of CGT issues, they can take a lot more liberties with capital gains than in a normal company or individuals. I also suspect with the season we're having, that revenues will naturally be up (covid pending), which might mean the reliance on needing to use the income from these investments isn't as great.
  16. There's already been talk of Dunkley tagging Trac or Oliver, so all teams are considering this.
  17. So in 2019 (pre-covid) the club made around $4.5mil in revenue with $3mil in expenses, so that'll be roughly (not taking into consideration other items such as depreciation etc.) a $1.5mil loss in revenue that the $24mil will have to cover, which of course it would have lost anyway not renewing the gaming machines. I think the board has done very well here.
  18. Every one of my non Dees supporting mates who've messaged me since the prelim win have mentioned how they would have loved to see Jonesy in the side, shows the respect that he has from other supporters. Thanks for getting us through those tough times.
  19. They have a shop in Ballarat, which has a 8 meter bulldog that lights up at night, but out of the back of this they run a huge amount of community programs - mens health etc. Brett Goodes (ex player and Adam's brother) used to operate out of there for the Dogs and was always welcoming and friendly.
  20. Will WA change some restrictions to regional Victorians now the lockdowns have eased - not saying that people from regional areas will be able to get over for a grand final (if we make it), but what if we asked if Jonesy could come back to Vic and have his family relocate to Geelong, Ballarat or Bendigo to have their babies? Then him might be able to travel a little freely - maybe only a few days quarantine rather than a full 2 weeks?
  21. This is correct, although can sometimes be a bit of a misleading stat, for instance if Jones and Hibberd played it changes our dynamic significantly. However, the 6 oldest players on our list didn't play and we've got a total of 8 players who've played 150 games or more and only 3 were in Saturday's team. The dogs had 8 of their 10 players with over 150 games play and the Bombers had 5 of 8. So in comparison to the other teams around our age and experience it seems like we're a bit more even below our older guys. Good reason to believe we'll be competitive for some time. The Cats have 14 players over 150 games, and all of them played on the weekend, that suggests the cliff is coming very fast for them. I used that 150 game threshold as generally most guys are at least 28 before they get there.
  22. I think Rich is the most important player to put time into this week, he gives them so much drive out of the backline, Birchall has become a chipper rather than long kicker and we play much better when we're forcing teams to go short and slow. Sparrow was very good overhead and matches Rich for height so I'd give him first go, but could understand if they brought Melksham in to do a tagging role, he's done it before in the forward line and the defender can't leave him alone because he'll kick goals. I think there'll be no changes, but I'd wonder if they contemplate shutting down Rich.
  23. Don't forget Wines, he'll poll as well against the Blues, and not convinced Oliver will have against the Crows (maybe he'll get 1 or 2 from either/both of the coaches but not much more). Bont might end up with a couple of votes as well. Think if one of Oliver or Bont scores the 10 this week they'll take it out.
  24. It looked to me that both Hibberd and Melksham were playing for their spots and were trying to hard. Hibbo, nearly took out Smith early in the 3rd and was directly involved in 3 of those 4 goals they kicked quickly at the start of the 4th, the Murphy goal he was his direct opponent but then dropped out the back of the pack by 3 or 4 meters which enabled the quick snap goal. It looked to me that he dropped back hoping to be feed the ball so he could move it out of defense rather than stay closer so he could impact his opponent if he got the ball. I think if Rohan comes back Smith would be the much better match up. So I'd go: May, Viney and TMac in for Hibberd, Melksham and Sparrow.
  25. I think bringing Hibberd back in without the chance to regain touch could be worse, he was so bad those last few games and looked so low on confidence that it would be better (IMO) to send him to a scratch match (no Casey unfortunately) to get some easy touches and then bring him back in when he's right. Bowey has been fantastic since he's come in because he's been so clean, he's really taken Hibbo role.
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