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Posted

Only 6 Rival Captains have picked the Dees to make the Grand Final.

 

FULL RESULTS

Which seven other clubs do you think can make this year‘s top eight?
(18 times seven selections)
17 – Brisbane Lions, Melbourne, Western Bulldogs,
16 – Port Adelaide
13 – Richmond, Geelong Cats
11 – Sydney Swans
9 – GWS Giants
5 – Essendon, Carlton
2 – Fremantle
1 – St Kilda

Which other club is most likely to reach the Grand Final?
(No captains picked eventual premier Melbourne in 2021).
6 – Melbourne
5 – Brisbane Lions
3 – Western Bulldogs
2 – Richmond
2 – Port Adelaide

Which player from another club do you think will win the 2022 Brownlow Medal?
(One captain correctly nominated Oliver Wines in 2021).
8 – Marcus Bontempelli, Western Bulldogs
4 – Clayton Oliver, Melbourne
2 – Patrick Cripps, Carlton
2 – Josh Kelly, GWS Giants
1 – Christian Petracca, Melbourne
1 – Lachie Neale, Brisbane Lions

Which player from another club do you think will win the 2022 Coleman Medal?
(No captain nominated eventual Coleman Medalist Harry McKay in 2021).
6 – Harry McKay, Carlton
4 – Jeremy Cameron, Geelong Cats
3 – Tom Hawkins, Geelong Cats
3 – Aaron Naughton, Western Bulldogs
1 – Max King, St Kilda
1 – Lance Franklin, Sydney Swans

Which player from another club do you think will win the 2022 NAB AFL Rising Star?
(No captain nominated eventual Ron Evans Medalist Luke Jackson in 2021).
7 – Jason Horne-Francis, North Melbourne
5 – Nick Daicos, Collingwood
2 – Josh Rachele, Adelaide Crows
1 – Logan McDonald, Sydney Swans
1 – Finn Callaghan, GWS Giants
1 – Jamarra Ugle-Hagan, Western Bulldogs
1 – Josh Ward, Hawthorn

 

It’s a fun yearly story but the captains strike rate of 1 from 68 shows it’s either very hard to predict these things and/or they aren’t very good at it.

2 hours ago, Demonland said:

Only 6 Rival Captains have picked the Dees to make the Grand Final.

FULL RESULTS

Which seven other clubs do you think can make this year‘s top eight?
(18 times seven selections)
17 – Brisbane Lions, Melbourne, Western Bulldogs,
16 – Port Adelaide
13 – Richmond, Geelong Cats
11 – Sydney Swans
9 – GWS Giants
5 – Essendon, Carlton
2 – Fremantle
1 – St Kilda

Which other club is most likely to reach the Grand Final?
(No captains picked eventual premier Melbourne in 2021).
6 – Melbourne
5 – Brisbane Lions
3 – Western Bulldogs
2 – Richmond
2 – Port Adelaide 

It’s not correct to say only 6 captains have picked the demons to make the GF. 

they were asked for the one team most likely to make it. If they were asked which two teams will make the GF the number would be 12 or potentially higher

also from memory I think only one captain picked us to even make finals last year!

 

No surprise the Kangaroos skipper isn't even sitting in the same postcode as the cup


2 hours ago, DubDee said:

It’s not correct to say only 6 captains have picked the demons to make the GF. 

they were asked for the one team most likely to make it. If they were asked which two teams will make the GF the number would be 12 or potentially higher

also from memory I think only one captain picked us to even make finals last year!

Excellent clarification DubDee. I agree it would probably be something like 12 (or maybe higher) out of 17 (70%) if they were asked to name the 2 teams that would make the Grand Final. It probably overstates the true likelihood. I'd say we're something like a 70% chance of Top 4.

Interestingly there seems to be consensus that the 8 will remain unchanged apart from Richmond coming in at the expense of Essendon. I can't see how Cameron & Hawkins can both be so favoured to win the Coleman as they're going to take goals off each other (a but like Petracca & Oliver in the Brownlow). And yet neither Ben Brown nor Balley Fritsch are listed. I do agree that Harry McKay is the obvious pick.
 

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