1 hour ago, rpfc said:

History suggests so. We did win there not long ago but its always a very tough call.

It would though be a very very sweet win if we do get up.

22 hours ago, Mel Bourne said:

Do people ever say these things “don’t matter”?

I think you’re conflating that sentiment with “not much point sooking about it ad nauseum on Demonland”. 
 

 

Ironically those 3 losses might matter (the draw and two poitns from the hawks is likely to end up being as good as a win).

In a positive sense.

Because if we had won those three games we would have likely finished top of tbe ladder.

As montagna pointed out on first crack on fox, only one flag in the last 10 years has been won by the team finishing top of the ladder (I think it was the hawks in 2013).

And 8 of those flags have been won by a team playing in the second qualifying final. That's to say a team finishing 2nd or 3rd.

Perhaps it reflects how well a team has timed its physical preparation, and or the tweaking of its game plan (ie the top team has peaked and 2nd and 3rd are still on the up).

Or perhaps it has something to do with the fact that the top team plays the fourth team, in a game that is more likely a mismatch.

So maybe not a great preparation for a cut throat preliminary ie an easy win, two week break into a team that has had a competitive, hard fought win (or wins in the tigers case last year).

And perhaps the prefinals bye is a factor, as it means the team finishing top that wins its first final comes into the prelim having only played one easy game in four weeks

Or a combination of all of the above.

Whatever the reasons, that stat is starting to look more a trend than a statistical anomaly.

Edited August 2, 20213 yr by binman

57 minutes ago, binman said:

Ironically those 3 losses might matter (the draw and two poitns from the hawks is likely to end up being as good as a win).

In a positive sense.

As montagna pointed out on first crack on fox, only one flag in the last 10 years has been won by the team finishing top of the ladder (I think it was the hawks in 2013).

And 8 of those flags have been won by a team playing in the second qualifying final. That's to say a team finishing 2nd or 3rd.

Perhaps it reflects how well a team has timed its physical preparation, and or the tweaking of its game plan (ie the top team has peaked and 2nd and 3rd are still on the up).

Or perhaps it has something to do with the fact that the top team plays the fourth team, in a game that is more likely a mismatch.

So maybe not a great preparation for a cut throat preliminary ie an easy win, two week break into a team that has had a competitive, hard fought win (or wins in the tigers case last year).

And perhaps the prefinals bye is a factor, as it means the team finishing top that wins its first final comes into the prelim having only played one easy game in four weeks

Or a combination of all of the above.

Whatever the reasons, that stat is starting to look more a trend than a statistical anomaly.

What's more it supports Dee supporters mind set that we are good enough to win it,  terrific theory I love it.

we're good enough to beat Geelong in Geelong. or anyone, anywhere for that matter, i don't think any team should hold any fear for us. especially if we get the next 3 weeks right

7 hours ago, 58er said:

Didn't mention any thing about playing at Geelong. If they end up 2nd and we are 3.Rd then we play either at GMBHA or the G 

BUT YOU wrongly asserted we could play the next week in WA at Optus which we can't as we would be the higher up team.

AFL are very cognisant re erosion of rights of teams in any ground changes etc. 

I asserted no such thing.

 

Don't do drugs kids.